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The Weekly Watch

Admitting Defeat?

Open Thread Image.jpg

We clearly lost the wars in Vietnam and Afghanistan, and I would argue we've lost the Ukraine proxy war and the war with Iran. We should cut our losses and minimize the chaos, death, and destruction that has become the US trademark and make some sort of peace. However, our ego (and Zionists and MIC handlers) won't allow it. No, we're going to play out our role as the black knight, and go down swinging.

(2 min)

Have you seen the movie "The Apprentice" about Donald and his mentor Roy Cohn? (it is streaming on both Prime and Netflix). One of the rules Roy taught Donald is never admit defeat, always claim victory. That mentality is going to be problematic for our country and the world as we are losing two (more) wars, and seem incapable of admitting it to ourselves. Reality doesn't change when you live in a fantasy world, and the circumstances on the ground will force us face up to the conditions we've created at some point. I suspect it will be the coming economic hardships across the US and world which will finally cause us to capitulate.

So here we are... in an on again, off again ceasefire with Iran. We seem to be following the Israeli approach to ceasefire, "you ceasefire while we bomb you". Provided the meeting between Trump and Xi takes place, I fully expect and new round of bombing Iran afterwards. That's my speculation for what it is worth.

Buffalo Springfield - For What It's Worth (Lyrics under the clip)

I respect Chas Freeman...both his many accomplishments and his analysis of our current situation.
In this interview with Glenn Diesen he compares and contrasts maritime power with land power, as well as air and space war.
Chas Freeman: US-Israel Divorce, End of NATO & Sea Power

(52 min) Ambassador Chas Freeman discusses how the relevance of sea power decline in terms of controlling transportation corridors and energy, while the relative decline of the US will result in the end of NATO and US-Israel divorce.
Ambassador Freeman was a former Assistant Secretary of Defense, earning the highest public service awards of the Department of Defense for his roles in designing a NATO-centred post-Cold War European security system and in reestablishing defence and military relations with China. He served as U. S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia during operations Desert Shield and Desert Storm.

He continues the discussion with Nima
Amb. Chas Freeman: Israel’s Agenda Is Falling Apart (59 min)
They discuss the current exchange of fire between the US and Iran.

Larry Johnson continues the discussion with Nima...

(64 min) Larry Johnson: Iran Fires on 3 US Ships – US Bombs Qeshm – FLAMES OF WAR IGNITE
Larry's recent article, The Gulf Separating the US and Iran is Too Wide to Bridge explains the difficulty to a path of peace...

The US position rests on a number of false assumptions. First, Iran is not the leading sponsor of terrorism and has not been engaged in plots to destabilize it Gulf Arab neighbors. Second, there is no rift between the political leaders of Iran and the IRGC… the President, the Foreign Minister, the Head of the Iranian legislature and the Ayatollah all fought and served with the IRGC during the war with Iraq. Third, Iran’s economy is beginning to revive thanks to support from Russia, China and Pakistan and from the high price of oil. Fourth, notwithstanding Trump’s claims to the contrary, the Iranian navy, air force and ballistic missile, cruise missile and drones are intact and able to continue exchanging blows with the US and Israel.
Donald Trump faces several dilemmas… The US economy is beginning to falter with growing public anger over the surging price of gasoline. There are no viable military options to effect a regime change in Iran or to compel Iran to agree to US demands. The US supplies of critical weapons systems will be further depleted if the US renews its aerial and missile attacks on Iran, and Iranian retaliation on US and Israeli targets will inflict significant damage. As long as the US continues to attack Iran, its relations with Russia and China will deteriorate.
The real threat to the US is not military, it is economic. The continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran confronts the world with an unprecedented economic threat. US attempts to block this will only worsen what will become a global economic catastrophe.

Screenshot 2026-05-10 at 05-10-57 The Gulf Separating the US and Iran is Too Wide to Bridge.png

No wonder blocking the strait will precipitate a world economic tragedy.
His other recent article:
Russia and China are Serious About Replacing the US as the Persian Gulf Power Brokers
is also worth a read.

Col. Douglas Macgregor: The Next Phase of Iran War, Famine & $200 Oil
(50 min) Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Colonel Douglas Macgregor to the show. Mr. Macgregor is a retired U.S. Army Colonel and a decorated combat veteran. In this in-depth discussion, Macgregor provides a critical analysis of the current geopolitical situation, focusing on the ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf and its profound global economic implications. Macgregor argues that the current war has created a catastrophic disruption in global maritime trade, with commercial ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz down by over 90%. This disruption is causing severe economic challenges, including potential famines, skyrocketing energy prices, and significant supply chain disruptions.
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:40 - Iran Campaign Prediction Review
00:00:40 - Iran War Phases Clarified
00:03:02 - Strait of Hormuz Closure
00:04:41 - Resource Sovereignty Essential Now
00:06:53 - Markets Manipulation and Warfare
00:09:00 - Revolution in Warfare
00:10:33 - Concealing War Strategic Disaster
00:13:00 - Trump's Strategic Dilemma
00:16:43 - Commodity Investments Shift
00:20:26 - Gold Reserves De-Dollarization Trends
00:24:00 - War Duration and Oil Disruptions
00:30:10 - China & Oil Refining
00:36:43 - Western Reindustrialization
00:40:30 - US Reorganization Critical Minerals
00:44:20 - Reindustrialization and Direction
00:46:04 - Strategic Metal Concerns
00:49:35 - Concluding Thoughts

Celente: Buffett Warns Dollar to “HELL”– Scariest Times Coming
A stark warning from top voices like Warren Buffett and Gerald Celente highlights rising debt, global conflict, and a widening gap between Wall Street gains and Main Street struggles. “It’s the death of the dollar… inflation’s skyrocketing, and the damage is incalculable.”

Pepe Escobar: China JUST Humiliated Trump’s Sanctions – Iran NOW Controls Hormuz

(61 min) Pepe's recent articles:
Trump Goes to China, But Iran Holds All the Cards
Will he make it to China, and if so will it be productive?

A new West Asia order is in the horizon

Let’s start with a false flag.
Iran attacked the UAE port of Fujairah – its oil export Holy Grail – with more than a dozen ballistic and cruise missiles.
No, it didn’t. The IRGC vehemently denied it. UAE media – a ultra-censored bunch – started spinning that the attack came from Saudi Arabia.
Fog of war. Nobody can reveal where the false flag really came from. Quite easy to do the math on who would profit from it.
Then Saudi Arabia and Kuwait cut American access to their airbases (now restored) – quite angry because the Pentagon totally downplayed the attack on Fujairah (echoes of false flag, all over again).
So for the clownish U.S. Secretary of Forever Wars, missiles over Fujairah did not qualify as breaking the – fragile – ceasefire.
Barbaria was furious with Riyadh’s counterpunch. The result was that much-lauded “humanitarian” Operation Freedom, Liberty or whatever – to “unblock” the Strait of Hormuz – duly vanished in less than 48 hours.
The official reason was “great progress in negotiations.” There’s less than zero progress. And the real reason was not exactly operational impasse caused by Riyadh blocking its airspace. It was a stunning firepower demo by Iran which left the Pentagon literally speechless. Nothing officially confirmed, of course. Fog of war.
Immediately afterwards the Americans attacked Iranian tanker Hasna close to the Strait of Hormuz, disabling its rudder with a Super Hornet’s cannon.
The Iranian response was harsh: a combo of anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles, kamikaze drones with high-explosive warheads, and fast attack boats. The victims were three U.S. destroyers – Truxtun, Mason, Rafael Peralta – attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz from the Gulf of Oman.
The destroyers literally ran away begging for their lives. The IRGC Navy’s op was so hardcore they had to deploy their last-resort defense systems, such as CIWS guns.

Epstein Fury is over and now we have Operation Freedom. TPTB love their project names.

What about the Ukraine Proxy War?
Most of the news this week centered on the Victory Day celebration yesterday. Ukraine swarmed Russia with over 250 fixed wing drones on Friday. Russia warned again of their intention of hitting Kiev if the celebrations were targeted. It appears Trump brokered a three day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine just in time to avoid escalation.

The Duran lays out the situation prior to the ceasefire announcement
Russia Hawks Take Control, Victory Day Stakes Are High. Most Dangerous Moment of the Conflict

Russia has just issued its most serious military warning of the entire conflict and the world should be paying close attention. On The Duran, Alex Christoforou and Alexander Mercouris break down the explosive situation unfolding around Russia's Victory Day ceasefire, after Ukraine launched a massive wave of 260–300 drones deep into Russian territory in direct defiance of Moscow's ultimatum. The Russian Defense Ministry not Putin, not Lavrov, but the military itself has formally stated that a Ukrainian attack on the Victory Day parade in Moscow will trigger a retaliatory strike on central Kiev, with Western diplomats explicitly warned they are not safe. Zelensky appears to be gambling that Russia is bluffing, while Germany and NATO back his play, but inside the Kremlin, the hawks in the Defense Ministry, Foreign Ministry, and intelligence agencies are now firmly in control, leaving Putin increasingly isolated in his pursuit of diplomacy with Trump. Is this the moment the Russia-Ukraine conflict spirals into something far more dangerous and is Zelensky deliberately trying to force an escalation that pulls the West back in?
00:00:00 - Introduction: Russia's Victory Day Ceasefire Announced
00:02:17 - Why Ukraine Was Never Going to Honor the Ceasefire
00:03:11 - Zelensky's Phony Counter-Ceasefire Explained
00:04:37 - Ukraine Drone Escalation: Baltic States Overflight Confirmed
00:05:22 - Russia's Unprecedented Threat to Strike Central Kiev
00:07:35 - Is Zelensky Trying to Drag NATO Back Into the War?
00:10:52 - Was Zelensky's Ceasefire an Attempt at a Face-Saving Offramp?
00:13:00 - The West Calls Russia's Bluff: Germany's Dangerous Gamble
00:16:26 - The Two Scenarios: Russia Looks Weak or NATO Goes to War
00:22:09 - Red Square as Sacred Space: Why Moscow Is a Red Line
00:24:06 - Why Did Russia Telegraph Its Warning? The Deterrence Logic
00:27:37 - Ushakov's Message: Ukraine Must Make a Move on Donbas
00:30:23 - What Was Really Agreed at Anchorage? The Trump-Putin Deal Theory
00:33:36 - Who Are the Doves Left in the Kremlin?
00:37:45 - Putin Isolated: Defense, Foreign Ministry and Intel All Hawkish
00:39:45 - Russia Officially Threatens Western Diplomats: A Historic First

Alex continues the story explaining the Trump ceasefire...

PUTIN calls out NATO. Trump scores Russia-Ukraine ceasefire WIN. Starmer ready to CRUSH Status Quo
(42 min) Trump just scored his biggest diplomatic win yet brokering a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire on Victory Day 2026 that held through the entire Moscow parade, complete with a 1,000-prisoner swap from each side. Alex Christoforou of The Duran breaks down the full picture from Athens: how Putin's stark warning that Russia was fighting "the entire NATO block" set the stage, why the US quietly called off Ukraine's planned drone strikes, and what Zelensky's laughable spin about "granting permission for the parade" tells us about the information war being waged in real time. Beyond Ukraine, Alex examines Iran's Foreign Minister Arachi defiantly claiming missile inventory is at 120% not the 75% cited by the CIA as US Patriot stockpiles are reportedly burned through, the Gulf states sign $17 billion in arms contracts that won't be delivered for years, and Washington sanctions Chinese companies just days before Trump's Beijing summit. With Kier Starmer vowing to "break with the status quo" while promising more Ukraine funding and a deeper EU embrace, and the EU's "Europe Day" getting demolished in the comments for trying to upstage Victory Day, one question keeps rising to the surface: is the Western establishment so detached from reality that it can no longer see itself losing?
00:00:22 Introduction from Athens; Happy Victory Day
00:01:43 Victory Day parade in Red Square; Fitzo attends
00:02:19 Putin's key statement: Russia fighting entire NATO block
00:03:46 Ukraine drone strikes on May 8th; Russian ceasefire broken
00:05:10 Trump announces US-mediated ceasefire on Truth Social
00:06:56 Russia and Ukraine both confirm Trump's ceasefire
00:08:36 Analysis: who really wins from this ceasefire deal?
00:13:32 Trump the "neutral mediator" while still selling bombs to Ukraine
00:16:57 Zelensky's spin: "We gave permission for the parade"
00:20:03 US sanctions Chinese companies over Iran weapons aid
00:21:42 Iran FM Arachi: missile inventory at 120%, not 75%
00:25:11 US Patriot interceptor stockpiles depleted; Gulf arms deals
00:29:32 Pentagon UFO document release what's really in them?
00:33:09 Clown World: EU's "Europe Day" vs Victory Day
00:37:04 Kier Starmer defiant after Labour election disaster
00:39:50 Starmer's "break with status quo" more of the same

If you're interested in the progress on the front lines, here's a detailed article:
Brief Frontline Report – May 5th, 2026

In other news...
US Launches Its 63rd Airstrike of the Year in Somalia

US issues new Cuba sanctions as UN experts warn of ‘energy starvation’

No surprise here:
A scandal has erupted over covert NATO conferences with the Western entertainment industry. Leaked documents reviewed by The Grayzone show how NATO has sought to infiltrate film and TV for decades, with UK intel operatives taking the lead.

Let's circle back to Iran and let Prof. Marandi explain the situation from Tehran.

(40 min) Seyed M. Marandi: Iran Rejects U.S. Deal - War Is Likely Imminent
Prof. Marandi argues that the US has handed over a peace proposal to Iran that is not acceptable, and war is likely imminent.

My bet is Trump will wait till after his meeting with Xi before restarting his bombing campaign.

Like it or not, admit it or not, the fact is the US/NATOstan has lost both the Ukraine Proxy War and the Iran War. I doubt TPTB are capable of admitting their loss, but that doesn't change the facts on the ground nor in the Strait. Instead of cutting our losses and leaving, we intend to take the world into an economic disaster of our making. Of course they will blame Iran, but who started this war? The world will know who is to blame.

Y'all have a great Sunday. Happy Mother's day to all the mother's out there.

Screenshot 2026-05-10 at 06-23-02 Happy Mother's day at DuckDuckGo.png
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Since when does the leader of Russia require an agreement not to bomb his victory parade? I also wonder why there was no typical display of hardware. No tanks, no missiles, only goose stepping north Koreans.

Putin in remarks said his forces were advancing against the full weight of NATO. Of course NATO would be a lot smaller if he hadn't invaded in the first place. Sweden and Finland joined in response. Also April is the second month in a row of Russia losing territory. I don't think Ukraine is advancing as much as Russia is unable to control areas it had formerly taken due to logistics and supply issues as Ukraine continues to upgrade it's long range drone capabilities.

Ukraine has been striking oil processing facilities up to 800km inside Russia and lots of air defence allowing it's drones to operate with increasingly more leeway within Russia. Air defences are often a prelude to other things.

Putin also this week said he thought the war might soon be over. He ought to know, but he also says Ukraine needs to give him the Donbas which he hasn't been able to take in 5 years of war, so I don't know. I figure when he gives up Crimea the end is near. Europe wants to try him at the Hague.

I sure hope Trump doesn't offer asylum.

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Lookout's picture

@ban nock

As to your delusions about Russia, the propaganda machine has done it's job on you.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

QMS's picture

.
the spinners will go to obscure the failures of insane policy
decisions. Defeat is repackaged as 'ceasefire' or 'peace deal'.
"A freeze in hostilities" means weapons shortages by the aggressors.

I think the pressure put on trumpet by the bankers may give him a
wake-up call in recognizing there are more important issues than his
bruised ego. Once the banksters begin to see real losses the tune will
change PDQ.

Thanks for the podcasts. Plenty to listen to on this overcast Sunday.

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Zionism is a social disease

Lookout's picture

@QMS

I suspect other countries will begin to pressure Trump to exit Persia. We'll see and know more by next weekend.

Thanks for coming by and have a good day!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

soryang's picture

Hi Lookout! Thanks for the mother's day reminder!

I like Karen's Hao's reporting on AI, this is her most recent-

I Tracked Down the Hidden Workers Secretly Powering ChatGPT

No borders, no rules, beg for work...the corporatist's perfect labor market.

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己所不欲,勿施于人。

Lookout's picture

@soryang

is profitable. AI could be used for good, but instead it is all about profit.

I know folks who regularly use it (mainly GROK and ChatGPT). Of course the search engines use it.

Thanks for the clip. Sorry for the worker abuse.

Have a great day!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

I just started reading “Going to Tehran” which Prof. Mandani keeps recommending. It was written in 2013, too bad U.S. policy-makers didn’t read it. Title of the Introduction is “Will the United States Lose the Middle East…or Come to Terms w/the Islamic Republic of Iran?” It mentions Amb. Freeman several times. On p. 17 he “points out that ‘to dismiss a foreign government, policy, or circumstance as ‘irrational’ is to confess that one does not understand its motivations, causes, or calculus, has no idea how to deal with it short of the use of force, and has no intention of making the effort to discover how to do so.’” A later chapter mentions he “worked on China policy intensively” and “served as Nixon’s interpreter on his historic 1972 trip to Beijing….”

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Anya

Lookout's picture

@Anya

He speaks Mandarin fluently. He was also ambassador to Saudi Arabia during the Gulf Wars. His experiences provide his insights. I would like to read that book sometime soon, and you're right about our so called diplomats not reading books like that.

Thanks for your comment and info on Chas!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout If you have any interest in biographies and/or Chas Freeman, he did a long (542-page) interview for something called the Oral History Project. I knew about it because a couple Foreign Service Officers I’d worked for had also been interview subjects. The State Department interviewed some Foreign Service Officers whose lives they considered interesting. Here’s the link to Freeman’s. I’ve gotten through his family background, education, and into his 20’s, which are all interesting but don’t know if I’ll make it to the end of 542 pages….
https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/mss/mfdip/2004/2004fre01/2...

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Anya

Lookout's picture

@Anya

I'll enjoy checking it out this week.

Again I appreciate the link.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

enhydra lutris's picture

tunes and OT. The whole world is treading water waiting for the great orange dotard to give up or get it on, as the case may be. I even saw one headline somewhere that seemingly hinted that he was getting so impatient with the Ukie-Rus fracas that he was considering military options. I assume that that meant stock options or something, since we really can't do anything else.

Meanwhile, the disconnects between the speculation and gambling markets and the real world intensifies Lotsa cowrie being made swapping bits of paper and digital tokens representing bets on bits of paper while consumable commodities continue to dry up. Sometimes one envies rep van winkle, just find a cozy corner and sleep through the chaos and idiocy.

Ah well, whatever --

be well and have a good one

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Lookout's picture

@enhydra lutris

...across the land. Whatcha goin' do?

You think we can't get worse, and then we do.

Thanks for the song and the visit!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

I am wondering when Putin puts this SMO to an end. I think that behind the scenes, Russians are ready to bomb the NATO bases working with Ukraine, as well as Kiev. The last thing he needs is to be considered a wimp by anybody.
It will be interesting to see how the globe's reduced farm production will affect us. One thing about it, we will see in about 6 months.
Oh, well, I saw an Indigo Bunting at the bird feeder, so I will take it. It is the little things, my friend.

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

Lookout's picture

@on the cusp

Glad you had one on your feeder. I think Putin and Russia recognize a war with the EU is coming. I bet they have plans of how to execute it. Hitting drone manufacturing centers in the EU is being talked about already.

Sadly, the war looks to be expanding, and as you say when the economic consequences come home to roost we'll all be in a pickle.

"The COLLAPSE Has Begun..." - Martin Armstrong

(11 min) Martin Armstrong is the CEO of Armstrong Economics and is renowned for his economic forecasting model, the Economic Confidence Model, which has notably predicted major market events. He has advised governments and financial institutions worldwide, offering insights into market trends, currency movements, and geopolitical impacts on the economy.

Enjoy your porch and the birds! Thanks for coming by today.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout would actually take Armstrong's advice. I read his articles once in a while, and occasionally watch his video interviews.
I read an article by Mark A. Shyrock from the Hal Turner Radio website. I won't include a link because I can't verify much about him or the website.
Nevertheless, he and other financial sources, such as Forbes, are pegging the first week of July to be the beginning of famine and lack of energy supply. I don't know if it doom porn or accurate, but it is clear farms truncated their acreage to be farmed, or went out of business due to the lack of affordable or available fertilizer. It is depressing as hell.

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

Lookout's picture

@on the cusp

All we can do is the best we can do. I've got empty non-ethanol gas cans I'm going to refill this week before it goes higher...it's close to $5/gal now.

Look for those bargains folks.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout buy now, because next week it will be more expensive. I seem to be adding to my thinking that in 6 weeks, it will not be available at all.

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

@on the cusp I’ve also been stocking up on all kinds of things for the same reasons. My small apartment looks like a hoarder’s home. Somebody mentioned aluminum may go extinct so now I have enough aluminum foil to last the rest of my life. I was chatting w/the manager of the nutrition/supplement dept. at my local Natural Grocery. He says he’s seen no sign of supply shortages, isn’t worried. I wish he was right even if I’ll be suffering if I decide to move and have to pack all this mess up.

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Anya

@Anya about aluminum. About a month ago, I saw a roll of aluminum foil had a $22 price tag. I found a store brand $12. I am not a tin foil snob!
I have steadily stocking up on things like tweezers, scissors, paper goods, and canned goods.
What looks like crazy hoarding is actually smart planning for an emergency.

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

one would expect.

A mere coincidence no doubt.

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@humphrey

The rest of the tweet:

REPORTER: With what? Special forces from Israel? From the United States?

"I'm not going to talk about military means, but what President Trump has said to me, I want to go in there."

"I think it can be done physically."

REPORTER: How long?

"I'm not going to give a timetable."

So a foreign leader sets the mission, dodges the means, refuses a timeline, and YOUR kids fight it. YOUR taxes fund it. YOUR dollar inflates for it.

This is Israel dictating YOUR foreign policy. Reject it.

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Lookout's picture

@humphrey Submit or be bombed. Now that's diplomacy!

Thanks for the X posts!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

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@humphrey making bank?

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

usefewersyllables's picture

@humphrey

here in the front range of the Rockies, as is the bubonic plague. Both affect the local rodent populations- always have, and always will. When moving barn hay back during the ranch days, I’d take appropriate precautions, like pulling my tee shirt up to breathe through if it got dusty. If it was casually transmitted, I’d be dead several times over.

The fact that suddenly hantavirus is A Thing, and maybe The Next Thing, makes my bullshitdar start going bong bong bong.

There have always been a handful of hantavirus cases per year in CO, since it was identified as a specific pathogen. They have generally been among the indigenous population, or perhaps poorly-paid farm hands, or some poor person’s kid. Nobody gave even a quarter-shit. But now, on a cruise ship? Ermergawd….

If it is now transmitted casually, that is new- and disturbing, if true. Previously, if you got either hantavirus or the plague in these parts, you basically had to be giving the local black-footed prairie dogs blow jobs.

So: either this current blather is a media creation in service of someone’s agenda; or someone was playing gain-of-function games, yet again, and let it slip out through the cracks, yet again.

Once again, that would be a distinction without a difference. In any case, it definitely smells of large-scale, media-collusion-driven manipulation, at least to this reporter. I have questions.

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Twice bitten, permanently shy.

Lookout's picture

@humphrey

Hey, it worked the first time. Another version of submit!!!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

QMS's picture

.

The upcoming summit in China may be indicative of how
the west is positioned in regards to their battle on BRICS.
US is in a weak position, losing on two war fronts. China is in
a strong position politically and economically. But China doesn't
entertain fantasies of global empire. Actually expect the US to
cancel the spectacle using some military blunder to cover their
tracks. The image of trumpet groveling on the world stage is not
something he would tolerate. We shall see what transpires on Thursday.

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Zionism is a social disease

Lookout's picture

@QMS

...how Xi handles Trump. This week will be telling on several levels.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Lookout's picture

I like singing this one. Here's the 1928 original.

Harry McClintock - The Big Rock Candy Mountains [ORIGINAL] - [1928].

It's where they hung the jerk that invented work...

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Pluto's Republic's picture

.
.... are among the most informed and cogent that I've seen in the various public forums I've visited in the past two weeks. (Substacks excepted.)

Moreover, the comments and questions that originate from US news media — pertaining to Iran, China, Russia, and war — are so banal or so misleading that I was stunned. (I can't be the only one who notices this.) This intense information failure puts the US news media at a distant third, when it comes to providing useful or truthful facts to the general public.

In the early dark hours this morning, I chatted briefly with Dmitry Orlov about the deeply explicit speech that V. Putin gave yesterday, at the 81st annual May 9th victory parade on the Red Square in Moscow. According to Orlov, the speech contained certain lines that were never spoken quite this way before. Putin's consequential words are now reverberating in Russia.

Orlov published an essay about Putin's unusual speech. It addresses Russia's deep concern about the obvious and intensifying delusions-of-mind that have overwhelmed both the US and the EU. I'll drop an excerpt, later, about the new mental clarity that is sweeping across the sane world — about the irrational delusions that have consumed minds in the US and much of Europe.

The weaponization of propaganda has clearly backfired with disastrous results in the United States. Our continuing survival is a toss-up.

Thanks for the Weekly Watch, Lookout.

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Lookout's picture

@Pluto's Republic

that they must start a war with Russia. Putin recognizes that and I think that influenced his speech.

Always nice to "see" you. Thanks for coming by!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

QMS's picture

.

Has western analysts buffaloed. Investments in Brazil and Kenya
are paying off big time. Kevin gives an informed presentation.
(about 13 minutes)

Meaznwhile the hedgemony fails again.

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Zionism is a social disease

Lookout's picture

@QMS

We can't understand anyone with a different perspective. My way or the highway is our lame thinking.

The dollar will lose it's sanctioning ability soon.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Pluto's Republic's picture

@QMS
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Kevin Walmsley is a uniquely enlightened source for information on this "battleground." Walmsley researches deeply for his short videos, and he carefully cites his references. His very existence — his credibility and his business interests — require him to be objective and accurate when describing the evolving economic realities in China, relative to the US and other significant trading nations. Based on the data Walmsley collects in his research, he will periodically predict the economic outcomes for nations involved in contested trades.

Walmsley is not political, nor is he a geopolitical analyst. He's an American businessman/contractor, who spends time in China scouting factories and manufacturers for his American (and foreign) clients. It just so happens that he is operating smack in the middle of a major geopolitical shit-show.

In some magical way, Walmsley's video reports — delivered with intelligence and clarity — invariably shine a bright light on the Clash of Civilizations that is taking place in the background. This Clash has now become a looming threat to humanity that most nations at the UN are trying to ignore, although the threat is apparent to anyone who cares to look. Neither Clashing Civilization intends to recognize the superiority of the other. As a result, the entire planet is facing a number of risks — ecological disasters that degrade the biome; natural disasters caused by unmitigated global warming; nuclear disasters caused by rampant mental illness and delusional beliefs among the global leaders of the Violent Nations; infrastructure failure, famine, and poisoned water sources caused by widespread capitalist greed and government corruption.

If you listen carefully at the end of many of his videos you can sometimes hear the spoken words of Walmsley and his fellow missionaries praying for the well being of the planet.

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soryang's picture

@QMS

...at how the so called business savvy folks running the government forgot about goodwill and business reputation as an intangible asset. But when you are interested more in financial manipulation, resource extraction, and coercive shortcuts to appropriation, the old fashioned things like strategic business planning, and capital investment go out the window. Not having the foresight to plan ahead or invest for the long term, the desire to get rich quick, at the other guy's expense leads to slash and burn foreign policy. Who didn't see this coming? The know it all's on Wall Street, the oil patch, and the defense industry self licking ice cream cone.

I heard a lot of conjecture about operation freedom or whatever it was last week. It was an extremely expensive operation that required a disproportionate application of naval resources, and even though effective (in the opinion of the reporting analyst) in the narrowest sense of getting two tankers out through the strait, was extremely impracticable, as a general operating concept. Therefore, it's not something that can maintained in terms of opening the strait. He further observed in the contested battlespace that the strait represented, the destroyers involved could only operate effectively for three days at most.

I've heard others claim this and that about the purpose and outcome. As a practical matter, in cost benefit terms, it didn't work, as a means to break the Iranian blockade.

This is Sal's opinion for the most part above from What's going on with Shipping today. Some of the analysis above came from an earlier video, I included his observations that he did not modify in this latest video. I cued the last 12 minutes of his latest review and update of ship movements in Hormuz.

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己所不欲,勿施于人。