Independents abandoning the Democratic Party

Bernie Sanders has warned the Democratic Party that they need to reach out to independents. Based on a recent PEW survey, it's become critical.

Seven-in-ten Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (70%) now express a favorable view of the Democratic Party. However, these ratings of the party among its backers are now lower than at any point since December 2014, after the Democrats’ midterm election loss. As recently as January, 82% of Democrats and leaners held a positive view of the Democratic Party, and fully 87% did so in October.

This decline is most pronounced among Democratic leaners. In January, about seven-in-ten (73%) Democratic leaners said they viewed the Democratic Party favorably; that share has fallen 18 points to just 55% today, one of the lowest ratings the party has received from its leaners over the last two decades.

indies.png

That's just in 2017!
The Dems rejection of Sanders and a real progressive agenda could end up meaning a complete wipe-out in 2018. Combine this with the WashPo survey that the Dems are out of touch.
Only a progressive insurgency can save the Dems now.

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riverlover's picture

But even with a Come-to-Jesus moment now, they have so squandered trust that it may take several (losing) cycles still. I have no trust in DNC, Perez, Cuomo in NY. Tainted, all. With money-bag dye.

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Hey! my dear friends or soon-to-be's, JtC could use the donations to keep this site functioning for those of us who can still see the life preserver or flotsam in the water.

@riverlover
but the overthrow of the establishment has to be very public, i.e. the exact opposite of what you will read on TOP.

Don't write off the Dems yet. Remember the GOP is still likely to grasp defeat from the jaws of victory.

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@gjohnsit

I'm not sure Democratic politicians do.

No, scratch that. We need a liberal insurgency.

No, scratch that. The country needs liberal outcomes.

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earthling1's picture

@HenryAWallace
I'm going to have to take exception with conflating liberal with progressive. I really think new definitions are needed re: these two labels.
To me liberal is TOP.
It is the DNC, Third way DCCC, establishment Democrats. Of which I am no longer a member.
Progressive is the Sanders wing of the left.
The Green Party
The Social Democratic wing.
Even the Socialists.
The people on the right see no difference between liberals and progressives, or the left generally.
We must counter this perception. It is like the left viewing the right as homogenous, no difference between the Teapartiers and Establishment Republicans or even Libertarians.
There is way to much confusion and it is dividing all of us in subtle ways that is a roadblock to joining together to fight a common a d powerful enemy. Great wealth.

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Neither Russia nor China is our enemy.
Neither Iran nor Venezuela are threatening America.
Cuba is a dead horse, stop beating it.

@earthling1

The post of mine to which you replied clearly recognized that "liberal" and "progressive" were different words whose respective meanings were different and distinct from each other. That's the direct opposite of conflating those two words.

As for the respective meanings of "liberal" and "progressive:"

https://caucus99percent.com/content/liberals-must-not-say-liberal-left-p...

https://caucus99percent.com/comment/260113#comment-260113

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/liberal, including https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/liberalism

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/progressive

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-sirota/whats-the-difference-betw_b_9...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberalism

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progressivism--all of it, but especially:

In response to World War I, progressive President Woodrow Wilson's Fourteen Points established the concept of national self-determination and criticized imperialist competition and colonial injustices; these views were supported by anti-imperialists in areas of the world that were resisting imperial rule.[26] During the period of acceptance of economic Keynesianism, circa 1920s to 1970s, there was widespread acceptance in many nations of a large role for state intervention in the economy. However, with the rise of neoliberalism and challenges to state interventionist policies in the 1970s and 1980s, centre-left progressive movements responded by creating the Third Way that emphasized a major role for the market economy.[27] In the aftermath of the arising of the Great Recession, economic policies established or influenced by neoliberalism have faced scrutiny and criticism in mainstream politics.[citation needed] There have been social democrats who have called for the social democratic movement to move past Third Way.[28] Prominent progressive conservative elements in the British Conservative Party have criticized neoliberalism.[29]

The Democratic Leadership Council think tank was "progressive." Its very first offshoot is called the Progressive Policy Institute. http://www.progressivepolicy.org/issues/

Another of its offshoots is called Third Way. http://www.thirdway.org/

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@HenryAWallace No outcomes without insurgency, I fear.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

@Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal

I said only that it needs them.

As you and I discussed a couple of times before, I think it may be too late, even for insurgency. Emphasis on may, but I see no signs of a population ready to wield pitchforks over liberal outcomes. BLM, maybe. If I had to educate my son about how to behave to a cop who stops him for speeding or running a red light lest I receive him in a body bag, I would rise up over that. Economic stuff doesn't seem to be moving anyone to buy bulletproof vests and gas masks, though.

That would, I think, take some combination of the Sixties music/show business effort and Thomas Paine and the Forties war films and a fourth factor I can't identify yet. Then, maybe people would rise up? Good luck putting that together. And even then, we'd have to figure out how to escape detection in the fundraising, planning and recruitment stages. Yeaaahhhh. I'm not holding my breath.

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thanatokephaloides's picture

@gjohnsit

The Dems not only need a progressive insurgency but the overthrow of the establishment has to be very public, i.e. the exact opposite of what you will read on TOP.

And that overthrow of the establishment, Turd Way and all, must include TOP, in my humble opinion.

(I realize I'll probably see pigs fly first....)

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

GreatLakeSailor's picture

@thanatokephaloides
.

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Compensated Spokes Model for Big Poor.

thanatokephaloides's picture

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

Creosote.'s picture

@thanatokephaloides
when machine-like private and public conformity is the great prize, the acme of achievement?

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out since at least 1991, to independents--all of whom Democrats they imagine to lean heavily right--to Republicans and, above all, to big donors.

The most iconically blue state after going for McGovern in 1972 was Massachusetts. I believe, though I have not checked recently, that the largest group of registered voters in Massachusetts is registered "unenrolled," which is the Massachusetts version of "independent," or "not a member of any political party."

In any event, the large number of unenrolled registrants in Massachusetts, which has gone blue in Presidentials for decades, except for Eisenhower and Reagan, should be proof positive that not all indies lean right. Many of them are leftists who are just too disgusted with New Democrats to be able to register Democratic anymore. But, the Dem PTB know that as well as I do, or better. They don't care. They want neocon policies in this country, even if they lose elections.

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@HenryAWallace

proof positive that not all indies lean right.

All presumptions by the Dems start with the assumption that 1) Dems occupy The Left, and 2) the Repubs occupy The Right.
So therefore any indi/swing vote must be to the Dems right.

The idea that the Dems have moved too far to the right and left their base abandoned is not even considered because (see Rule #1 above).
It's circular logic, greased with corporate money.

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@gjohnsit the Democratic Party in the US now occupied the equivalent political space as the Tory Party in the UK and the RPR [now UMP] in France.

There is more space to the left of it than there is to the right.

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@LaFeminista Correct, but the function of politics currently is to keep these economic and military policies in place, while getting the working stiffs to murder each other if possible.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

@gjohnsit

I think they know exactly what is going on, and probably know a lot more than we do.

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@HenryAWallace Both you and gjohnsit correct on the fact that they don't care and won't change.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

I'm for an alternative, I cannot any longer believe anything that comes out of that neo-liberal infested rats nest.

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divineorder's picture

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A truth of the nuclear age/climate change: we can no longer have endless war and survive on this planet. Oh sh*t.

@divineorder

They aren't really free of the Dem Establishment, and the DE is still fighting their little difference.

We need a lot more than the BNC is offering.

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@divineorder Not all that new; it's just that last year was too much for America. Like the last straw. With the exception of the people who decided to eat up the establishment propaganda and go all crazypants over Donald Trump and Russia.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

Hillbilly Dem's picture

except maintaining their phony baloney jobs (h/t Mel Brooks). They loathe the left. They would burn down the party before they allow the left to have a meaningful seat at the table, let alone run the show.

Forty five years later, the national Democratic party still cannot shake the notion that a more liberal approach will equate to a Nixon vs. McGovern result a'la 1972.

When Charles "Chucky" "Chuck-Chuck" "Chuckles" Schumer said that Hillary will pick up 2 moderate Philly Repub votes for every steelworker's vote she loses in Pittsburgh, he was simply parroting the "conventional wisdom" that is actually believed at the DNC. They still think that if they just lean a little further to the right, they'll pick off enough Rethugs to win.

They are so full of shit, it makes me want to puke. They'll never get it. Which self-preserving genius is going to have an epiphany? Tom Perez? Donna Brazile? Howard Dean? Nancy Pelosi? Chelsea Clinton? A party that has nothing to do with the Dems is the only way. Is there enough time? Enough interest? Beats me, but I'm for the kind of change that cannot and will not come from the 2017 version of my grandfather's once beloved Democratic party. Sad, but true.

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"Just call me Hillbilly Dem(exit)."
-H/T to Wavey Davey

@Hillbilly Dem @Hillbilly Dem I having been following Greenwald's tweets and he had a comment from blogger Atrios who said that he thought one of the problems with asserting Bernie would have been beaten Trump was he thought the democratic party leadership would have actively undermined Bernie's run. Jon Schwartz of The Intercept then provided a link on how the democratic party establishment deliberately undermined McGovern's run at Nixon.

http://www.tinyrevolution.com/mt/archives/001705.html

Probably the best writing about this at the political party level was done by the late Walter Karp. Karp points out in Buried Alive that before the 1972 elections there was a huge influx of new people and energy into the Democratic party from the anti-war and civil rights movements. This was enough to get McGovern nominated. But here's what happened then, as Karp describes it:

As soon as McGovern was nominated, party leaders began systematically slurring and belittling him, while the trade union chieftains refused to endorse him on the pretense that this mild Mr. Pliant was a being wild and dangerous. A congressional investigation of Watergate was put off for several months to deprive McGovern's candidacy of its benefits. As an indiscreet Chicago ward heeler predicted in the fall of 1972, McGovern is "gonna lose because we're gonna make sure he's gonna lose"...So deftly did party leaders "cut the top of the ticket" that while Richard Nixon won in a "landslide," the Democrats gained two Senate seats.

Could McGovern have won if he'd been fully supported by the status quo powers with the Democratic party? Impossible to say. But they didn't want to take any chances: they preferred to make sure he lost the election, because his winning it would have meant newcomers would dilute their power within the party. That's the Iron Law of Institutions in action.

The democratic party as a progressive New Deal institution was mortally wounded in 1972. Not unexpected that later much of this base that destroyed McGovern then voted for Reagan--known as (edited) the "Reagan Democrats".

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GreatLakeSailor's picture

@MrWebster
Same shit.

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Compensated Spokes Model for Big Poor.

@MrWebster then. He said when they handed out the candidate cards showing the endorsed candidates, which did NOT include President, that they were to say they were endorsing ONLY these candidates and they didn't care who the voter voted for President. Pretty clear that they opposed the Democratic candidate.

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I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

@The Voice In the Wilderness A few years after I started voting, I worked in a democratic machine town for one faction of the machine. I was basically a foot soldier doing all sorts of jobs inside and outside the polling area. One time stood outside and handed the "official card" of candidates for at least the faction I worked for to people entering the polling place. Pretty telling of the democratic organization to leave out McGovern.

I remember reading about some of the shit McGovern got. One was that he was one of thee most pro-union democrats. And the major unions back stabbed him.

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divineorder's picture

@Hillbilly Dem

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A truth of the nuclear age/climate change: we can no longer have endless war and survive on this planet. Oh sh*t.

thanatokephaloides's picture

@Hillbilly Dem

When Charles "Chucky" "Chuck-Chuck" "Chuckles" Schumer said that Hillary will pick up 2 moderate Philly Repub votes for every steelworker's vote she loses in Pittsburgh, he was simply parroting the "conventional wisdom" that is actually believed at the DNC. They still think that if they just lean a little further to the right, they'll pick off enough Rethugs to win.

While Harry Truman's truism keeps on keepin' on: given a choice between a pseudo-GOPper running as a "Democrat" and a genuine GOPper running as such, Americans will always choose the latter! From Theodore Roosevelt to Donald Trump, Truman's truism has held fast every time. It's why Perpetual Goldwater Girl Hillary Clinton wasn't elected in 2016.

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

@Hillbilly Dem

the nation to be neocon because that enriches them. The McGovern thing is a story they tell Democratic voters, many of whom sadly believe it. When I first broached Sanders to a friend during the primary, she replied, "I love Bernie Sanders. I just don't want another McGovern in the general election." She had never heard of the Democratic Leadership Council.

I sent her some links and managed to persuade her not only to vote for Sanders in the primary but to work for him. But....the rest is history. One of the links I sent her: https://www.democraticunderground.com/12778825

Both the thread starter and the replies are good, I think.

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Democrats since the loss of the election are re-playing Clinton's tactics and methods (RussiaRusiaRussia). Obama, stay with the cool rich people with Perez. Like with the convention platform committee, stack the unit commission so the Clinton wing wins everything due to their numerical advantage (forget about superdelegates going away). The rejection of single payer and Medicare-for-all. Clinton's communication director saying the protests are definitely not about $15/hr min. wage (hear that SEIU which continues to worship at the altar of Hillary). The STD looks to be permanent.

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divineorder's picture

@MrWebster a little while. Addicted to the big money and the limelight, planning to meet with Merkel.

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A truth of the nuclear age/climate change: we can no longer have endless war and survive on this planet. Oh sh*t.

@divineorder

Annenberg and the "Constitutional law" lecturer who signed the bill de-funding ACORN that almost landed in the Supreme Court of the United States. The same ACORN that he worked with to help get himself elected.

Please.

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@divineorder When he met with Putin? Isn't Obama pusuing foreign policy in violation of that law?

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I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

divineorder's picture

@The Voice In the Wilderness

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/328220-obama-to-join-ge...

Former President Obama will join German Chancellor Angela Merkel for a forum in Berlin next month in his first appearance alongside a foreign leader since leaving office in January.

The discussion, titled "Being Involved in Democracy: Taking on Responsibility Locally and Globally," is in honor of the 500th anniversary of the Protestant Reformation, which began in Germany in 1517. Obama was invited to Germany for the anniversary last May. The Obama Foundation is co-sponsoring the discussion.

"President Barack Obama’s attending the Kirchentag in Berlin, which will ring in the Reformation Summer, underlines the international character of our 500th anniversary celebrations," Bishop Heinrich Bedford-Strohm, the Evangelical Church in Germany Council chair, said in a statement.

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A truth of the nuclear age/climate change: we can no longer have endless war and survive on this planet. Oh sh*t.

Mark from Queens's picture

@divineorder

Especially after having seen the influence-peddling and money-laundering operations of the last Democratic president's actions out of office.

What exactly is, or more to the point I guess, who exactly are the Obama Foundation folks, in terms of funding and their "board"? Think this is the first I'm seeing that name in print.

And, one is also forced to wonder, how much will the Obamas take in, since the Clintons used their position to boondoggle tens of millions? What a disgrace. Compare the Clintons to the Carters, if you really want to get angry.

Sadly, serving the people while in Office or Congress has become only, don't disrupt the status quo and you'll be able to cash in big-time when you come greased back through the Revolving Door as a lobbyist or "consultant".

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"If I should ever die, God forbid, let this be my epitaph:

THE ONLY PROOF HE NEEDED
FOR THE EXISTENCE OF GOD
WAS MUSIC"

- Kurt Vonnegut

Creosote.'s picture

@divineorder @divineorder
You don't even have to be elected. Just wear a suit and follow the script. You already know the door they slide the talking points under, and this time there's no term limit.

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I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver