Polls

I'm a Script Kitty: could be sung to the tune of I'm a Believer

A short time ago I saw a comment with a survey in one of the C99P article. I thought, "I should check this out."
[video::http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfuBREMXxts]
So if you are so inclined: Listen to the Monkeys, and/or read what I found out.

Bernie's Magic Carpet ride T-1: NY Polling Trendlines


Somewhere last week, I lost track of the days, but I know today is T-1 :=) HuffPo Pollster averaged polls has Clinton 55-42; a 13-point lead. In other news, I hear there's a NY bridge either for sale or crumbling under neoliberalism. Yesterday, it had Clinton 53-43; a 10-point lead. Some digging into the numbers below.

The worrying cross-tabs for Clinton against the GOP, and the landslide that might be.

am going to write more about this next week, but I think it is worth noting the national polling. Some will argue that it is irrelevant at this stage — but the leader at this point has won 9 of 11 elections since 1972.

This table compares the Obama 2008 and 2012 margins against averages from the three most recent polls: NBC/Marist, CBS and Fox.

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Bernie's Magic Carpet Ride T-6: NY Polling Trend Lines


Hello, c99 friends, just got in from the weekly trip into the city. Running behind on everything: darn good thing I got retired; now I have more time in which to run behind on all my projects :=) No time for digging today either. Grr.
Yesterday the classic catch-up "horns" were forming nicely in the respective NY trendlines, but Clinton's has flattened out today. (A new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll included has Clinton 57-40 - in line with their poll earlier and same methodology and error rate - which can be taken with the same grain or two of salt.) Below is the National Dem Race trend lines.

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