#Tulsi 2020

Tulsi Update--Polls, Unions, and HIIT Workouts

The polls continue to roll in, and Tulsi continues to perform better than 1% in non-qualifying polls and 1% or below in all qualifying polls.

The latest bits of polling interest include a California primary poll from Emerson, where Tulsi scores 2%. Considering how large a state California is, and its new early placement in the Super Tuesday primary lineup, it's interesting to see her gaining some ground there.

Tulsi Polls at 6% in New Hampshire HarrisX Poll--In 4th Place, Ahead of Kamala Harris!!! (Update at bottom)

For all those thinking the recent Emerson poll giving Tulsi 6% in New Hampshire was a fluke, here is a second poll confirming that 6% status:

HarrisX New Hampshire Poll

What is interesting about this poll is that only Biden, Sanders, and Warren score above Tulsi. Everyone else is below her, including Harris and Buttigieg.

Second Update: DNC States Tulsi Did Not Get 3rd Qualifying Poll

Second Update:

The DNC has said they are only counting the ABC/Washington Post results for All responders, and therefore Tulsi only got 1%, and that does not count as a qualifying poll.

Very convenient for them.

Edit to add source: here


Update to the original post below:

Tulsi to Campaign until the Convention and New Polls (Non-Qualifying)

In Dover, New Hampshire yesterday, Tulsi announced she is in the competition all the way until the Democratic Convention next summer.

Tulsi in until Convention

In the Economist/YouGov national poll, Tulsi measures as the first choice for 3% of respondents (of course a non-qualifying poll, see page 126):

Tulsi Back from Guard Duty--Will Continue

Even though she will not be included in the 3rd DNC debate, upon her return from Indonesia where she was training with her Hawaii National Guard unit, Tulsi has indicated that we should not be discouraged and she has given every indication she will continue to campaign at this point:

Don't Be Discouraged!

She was in Iowa today, campaigning!

It's Official--Tulsi to be Screwed Out of 3rd Debate!!

Well, folks, Tulsi needs 2 more polls at 2% or more from "qualified" polls to be included in the September debates by August 28.

There will only be one more qualifying poll (a Monmouth national poll) before the August 28 deadline that will appear on Monday. Ergo, Tulsi will not be included in the September debates, even if she hits 2% or more in the Monmouth poll. Historically, Tulsi has done worst in Monmouth polls.

Tulsi States She Will Not Run as a Third Party Candidate

In Iowa, Tulsi evidently stated to reporters that if she is not the Democratic nominee, she will support whoever the nominee is and will NOT run under a third party.

As disappointing as this is to some, it does not really surprise me. I do wonder how long she will stay in the race, though. I think she would have a fairly good shot at winning the April 4 Hawaii primary and taking those 22 pledged delegates (out of 3,768 total).

Quick Update: Tulsi Polls--Nope--Added New Donor Count

UPDATE: Tulsi's new unique donor count is at 157,045, again with an internal goal of reachin 160,000 by this upcoming Sunday.

If by chance she does get the required 4 qualifying polls by Aug. 28, you can bet the unique donor count for any debates after October will be a lot higher. This is why they continue to pursue increasing this number.


Today's Monmouth Iowa poll has Tulsi at--1%.

Tulsi's Frustrating Polls

Tulsi's debate performance continues to make waves, and as of yesterday she had more than 153,000 unique donors, with a stated goal of reaching 160,000 by this upcoming Sunday. Her rate of gain has gone from 12,000-15,000 per day in the 3 days after the debate, to 3,000 per day a few days ago, to 2,000 per day yesterday. This is still above the 500 per day average gain she had prior to the second debate.

Update: Tulsi at 145,933 Unique Donor Mark, Polls 3% in Non-qualifying National Poll

As predicted, today Tulsi surged past the unique donor requirement of 130,000 for the 3rd and 4th (Sept. and Oct.) debates. The campaign has, for now, taken down the tracker for unique donors, but the latest update they gave puts her at 145,933 unique donors.

Since the morning of the day of her 2nd debate, she gained about 36,000 donors--in just 3 days.