caucus99percent

free-range politics, organic community

Happy Friday everyone. I hope everybody is doing well. Post any photos, memes, or music you like.

Nothing much new or exciting going on here. We had a week of sunshine and temps in the upper 60's. There was rain forecast for this weekend but since it's a holiday weekend somebody rescheduled it for Tuesday. That was nice of them.

The Royal Terns are in town spending their time hanging out at La Jolla Cove.

The Olduvai Theory was proposed originally in 1989 by Richard C. Duncan and was originally called The pulse-transient theory of industrial civilization. In 1996 Duncan published a paper The Olduvai theory: falling towards a post-industrial stone-age era and the theory was subsequently renamed The Olduvai Theory. Olduvai Gorge is considered the cradle of mankind because of the oldest human skeletal remains being discovered there, although that is controversial.

The Olduvai Theory is based primarily on peak oil theory and postulates that mankind progressed outward and upwards from its birthplace in the Olduvai Gorge and reached the apex of civilization brought on by cheap energy, and with the advent of collapse brought on by peak oil, will be on the march back to the metaphorical Gorge and the hunter-gatherer way of life.

The Olduvai Theory of Industrial Civilization

1. Pre-Industrial Phase [c. 3,000,000 BC to 1765]

• A = Tool making begins (c. 3,000,000 BC)
• B = Fire use begins (c. 1,000,000 BC)
• C = Neolithic Agricultural Revolution (c. 8,000 BC)
• D = Watt's steam engine, 1765

Interval D-E is a transition period.

2. Industrial Phase [1930 to 2025, estimated]

• E = Industrial Civilization is defined to begin in 1930 when the leading-edge value of energy-use per person reached 37% of its peak value.
• F = Peak of Industrial Civilization, c. 1978: confirmed by historic data published by BP, IEA, USCB, UN, etc.
• G = World average energy-use per person continues to fall, 1996
• H = Industrial Civilization is defined to end when energy-use per person shrinks to 37% of its peak value, forecast to occur by 2025. Life-expectancy (X) is estimated to be less than 100 years.

Interval H-I is a transition period.

3. Post-Industrial Phase [c. 2100 and beyond]

• J, K, and L = Recurring future attempts at industrialization fail.

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Even after the primaries are over, the actual nomination will probably be up for grabs.
Although Biden still has his hat in the ring, it is not likely he will run in November.
His cognitive decline has become a worldwide spectacle that cannot be combed over.
Which leaves Harris, the current VP to fill in. But her poll numbers are terrible and she has not generated any street creds in her three years in the VP seat. I don't think she has even broken a tie in the Senate.

Get to the Root!

The goal of functional doctors is to find the root cause of peoples' health problems. It's too bad that no functional practitioners can deal with the root cause of the US national illness(es). At this point the system seems so corrupt, dysfunctional, and war hungry that it can't be salvaged...I wish we could wipe the slate clean and start over. None the less I think we're in for major changes due to our declining economy and loss of prestige and respect among most of the world.