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Something to keep in mind… The Department of Defense uses 4,600,000,000 US gallons of fuel annually (2007). Carbon dioxide emissions are between 18.4 and 21.10 pounds per gallon of fuel depending on the type of fuel. The total US Military carbon emissions are ~828 billion pounds per year.
‘We’d take out Russia’s nukes,’ US NATO envoy says So... you billionaires who are planning to escape from the hordes to New Zealand, you can run but you can't hide, because...
'Small' Nuclear War Could Trigger Catastrophic Cooling
Live Science March 26, 2014
"Most people would be surprised to know that even a very small regional nuclear war on the other side of the planet could disrupt global climate for at least a decade and wipe out the ozone layer for a decade," study lead author Michael Mills, an atmospheric scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, told Live Science.
The researchers predicted the resulting firestorms would kick up about 5.5 million tons (5 million metric tons) of black carbon high into the atmosphere. This ash would absorb incoming solar heat, cooling the surface below.
…
The models also suggest colder temperatures would reduce global rainfall and other forms of precipitation by up to about 10 percent. This would likely trigger widespread fires in regions such as the Amazon, and it would pump even more smoke into the atmosphere.
And we have plenty of nukes to disrupt the global climate with...
Image credit: Arms Control Association
HOT AIR NEWS ROUNDUP
Trump Administration Climate Change Report
Trump admin forced to approve climate change report, confirming it’s man-made
RT November 4, 2018
The White House Office of Science and Technology Policy signed off on the final release of the Climate Science Special Report, which is mandated by law. Under the Global Change Research Act, which was signed by former President George H.W. Bush, Congress is required to release a report every four years.
And there is this...
Trump Administration to Polluters: Earth Is Doomed, So Go Hog Wild
Vanity Fair September 28, 2018
Trump has claimed that global warming is a hoax created by China to hurt the United States. For another, over the course of the last 20 months, the government has:
• Pulled out of the Paris Climate accord;
• Planned to make it “significantly easier for energy companies to release methane into the atmosphere”;
• Unveiled a proposal to let coal-burning plants regulate themselves that would kill 1,400 Americans a year;
• Signaled that it wants to make asbestos great again; and
• Moved to gut Obama’s fuel emissions rules.But, as it turns out, it’s not that the administration is unaware of how bad things are. According to a new report from The Washington Post, it’s that it just doesn’t give a s--t:
However, the folks that wrote the report are in good company. A British investment firm wants clients to factor climate change into investment decisions...
Global Investment Firm Warns 7.8 C (~14F) Degrees of Global Warming Is Possible
Motherboard August 9, 2017
A leading British global investment firm has a warning for its clients: If we keep consuming oil and gas at current rates, our planet is on course to experience a rise in global average temperatures of nearly 8℃ (14℉) by the end of the century. This would make Earth basically uninhabitable for humans.
…
Even if existing carbon reduction pledges, for instance, are implemented, the dashboard says this would still lead to a 2.8℃ warmer world by 2100—which is already well over the 2℃ limit that many scientists deem as acceptable to avoid the worst effects of climate change.
I’ve mentioned this report before but it fits well here…
BP and Shell Planning for Catastrophic 5°C global Warming [by 2050] Despite Publicly Backing Paris Climate Agreement
Oil Industry News November 1, 2017
The level is more than double the upper limit committed to by most countries in the world under the Paris Climate Agreement, which both companies publicly support.
General Climate Change News
This is a short video of researchers on the Greenland Ice Sheet…
The Melting of the Greenland Ice, Seen Up Very Close
State of the Planet October 1, 2018
Glaciologist Marco Tedesco and a few colleagues walked here [Greenland Ice Sheet] this July to study how warming climate is fueling the accelerating decline of the Greenland sheet–the second-largest ice mass on earth. Specifically, he was investigating cryoconites–curious little cylindrical melt holes filled with microorganisms and dust. Often no bigger than a fist, they are part of a much larger natural system that may be magnifying the human forces tearing at the ice.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MakHMmYNFZ4&feature=youtu.be&t=11]
I found this article to be fascinating…
Which cities will sink into the sea first? Maybe not the ones you expect
The Guardian October 1, 2018
Since the crust is floating on the fluid mantle, if you increase its weight by, for instance, building up kilometres of ice on top of it, then it sinks further into the mantle.
…
If the whole ice sheet covering Antarctica melts, the release of its weight will destress the rocks below, which, because they float on the mantle, will bob up. This is called post-glacial rebound. The position with Greenland is similar: the crust below it is being weighed down by the 3 million trillion litres of water held in the ice sheet, and if that ice sheet all melts then parts of the North American tectonic landmass will rise up.
Next-Generation Smart Devices Will Use Owner as Energy Source
Green Optimist October 1, 2018
The next-generation mobile and portable electronic devices will use their owners as an energy resource using Triboelectric Nanogenerators (TENGs). Along with human movements, TENGs can capture energy from common energy sources such as wind, wave, and machine vibration.
World's First Hydrogen-Powered Train Launches In Germany
Green Matters September 29, 2018
Coradia iLint passenger train can travel up to 600 miles on a single tank of oxygen and can travel up to roughly 86 mph. Though that might not seem that fast, the goal of the hydrogen-powered train isn't about speed, but about making a common mode of transportation better for the planet and the people that use it.
“This zero-emission train emits low levels of noise , with exhaust being only steam and condensed water,”...
An appreciation of the persistently grim tweets from the Norway Ice Service
Mashable September 30, 2018
Monday through Friday of each week, the Norwegian Ice Service, a government agency within the Norwegian Meteorological Institute, tweets out rather dismal news about the state of the thawing Arctic.
But these tweets aren't intended to be grim. They're simply an objective account of the modern Arctic reality. Each morning, the agency puts the current sea ice cover over a large swath of ocean between Norway and the North Pole into an emotionless, historical perspective.
...
For perspective, 1 square kilometer is about the same total area as 187 football fields. So the ice cover on August 23, 2018 was 19.6 million football fields below the historical average.
Scientists Warned Of Rising Seas In North Carolina. Now The State Is Dealing With A Disaster.
Buzz Feed News September 26, 2018
In a report published Monday, scientists at the First Street Foundation, a nonprofit sea level research and communications group, found that since 1970 sea levels off the coast of the Carolinas rose 6 inches, causing storm surge from Florence to "significantly affect" more than 11,000 additional homes when it slammed into the region nearly two weeks ago.
...
In 2010, scientists from the North Carolina Resources Commission published a report estimating that sea levels along the coast would rise 39 inches over the next century due to climate change, potentially putting 2,000 square miles of the coast underwater.
An Unforeseen Climate Beast Awakens!
Counterpunch September 26, 2018 h/t wendy davis
The Totten Glacier in East Antarctica is destabilizing. It alone carries enough ice melt (16 feet) to flood NYC and Tokyo, forget Miami, it’s already a goner. Totten is less than 10% of the mass of East Antarctica. Still, Totten brings more potential sea level rise than all of West Antarctica, where major destabilization of glaciers continues ongoing with gusto.
…
Totten lost 18B tons of ice every single year from 2002-2016, a clear signal that risk of inordinate sea level rise is now officially “on the move.”
From the original study mentioned in the article above...
Mass Loss of Totten and Moscow University Glaciers, East Antarctica, Using Regionally Optimized GRACE Mascons
AGU 100 September 25,2018
Totten and Moscow University glaciers in East Antarctica drain a marine‐based sector that holds an ice volume equivalent to several meters of global sea level rise. Recent observations of warm water intrusion on the continental shelf suggest that the glaciers may be changing in response to ocean warming.
Climate Adaption
Sunk Costs: Airports Taking Action Against Rising Seas, Storms as Climate Changes
Climate Change News October 3, 2018
Global airport operators, faced with rising sea levels and more powerful storms as the climate changes, are starting to invest in measures including higher runways, seawalls, and better drainage systems to future-proof immovable assets.
New Climate Debate: How to Adapt to the End of the World
Bloomberg September 26, 2018
In the language of climate change, “adaptation” refers to ways to blunt the immediate effects of extreme weather, such as building seawalls, conserving drinking water, updating building codes, and helping more people get disaster insurance. The costs are enormous: The U.S. government is considering a 5-mile, $20 billion seawall to protect New York City against storm surges, while Louisiana wants to spend $50 billion to save parts of its shoreline from sinking. Poorer countries could require $500 billion a year to adapt, according to the United Nations.
But some researchers are going further, calling for what some call the “deep adaptation agenda.” ...building water and communications systems that won’t fail if the power grid collapses and searching for ways to safeguard the food supply by protecting pollinating insects.
Hurricane Florence and the health effects of climate change
Harvard Law October 2, 2018
First, the relationship between climate change and public health is a tangible one. Rising global temperatures could cause public health crises or negative health outcomes in a range of other domains.
...
Water. ...Mosquito and tick-borne illness. ...Air pollution. ...Heat waves. ...Food insecurity.
...
Second, current public health and environmental legislation is not prepared to handle these effects.
...
Third—and relatedly—the public health effects of climate change may be an important hook to revise current environmental standards or introduce climate change legislation. Updating our existing environmental laws to meet changing conditions due to global warming could be an important incremental step in addressing the health effects of the rising temperatures.
Wildlife & the Environment
Leaked document shows [the English] government is planning to miss key wildlife target
Unearthed September 30, 2018
The government has quietly abandoned efforts to meet a longstanding target to improve England’s most important wildlife sites, according to a leaked document seen by Unearthed.
The document also warns that Natural England, the government’s nature regulator, is too stretched to prevent “further human-induced extinctions of known threatened species”.
Ancient mice discovered by climate cavers
Phys Org September 24 2018
The fossils of two extinct mice species have been discovered in caves in tropical Queensland by University of Queensland scientists tracking environment changes. …
"Our findings show that the caves around Mount Etna had gone through a period of local extinction of rainforests, which were replaced by dry to arid habitats less than 280,000 years ago,"
Mysterious ringing noise coming from coral reefs identified as algae producing noisy gas bubbles
Independent October 3, 2018
Scientists have identified the source of a mysterious ringing sound coming from coral reefs: algae producing noisy gas bubbles.
...
This meant that researchers could in the future use sound recordings from coral reefs in other locations as a “rapid and inexpensive alternative to visual methods for estimating algal abundance”, which is one of the strongest indicators of stress on coral reefs.
Global Warming Is Destabilizing Mountain Slopes, Creating Landslide Risks
Inside Climate News September 26, 2018
It's not just the atmosphere and the oceans that are heating up. An ever-denser blanket of greenhouse gases is also sending warmer air and water deeper into the planet's rocky bones.
In the mountains of Switzerland, scientists have measured startling temperature increases, with jumps of as much as half a degree Celsius in just a decade 20 feet deep into the rocks. On Svalbard, an Arctic island north of Norway, similar warming has been measured more than 100 feet deep in the permafrost.
…
Basically, global warming is dissolving the glue that holds mountains together, and that could result in unexpected hazards for mountain communities.
Recent Climate Change Studies
Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release
Nature Geoscience September 17, 2108
Here we investigate how emission budgets are impacted by the inclusion of CO2 and CH4 emissions caused by permafrost thaw, a non-linear and tipping process of the Earth system.
…
We conclude that the world is closer to exceeding the budget for the long-term target of the Paris Climate Agreement than previously thought.
Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks
Nature Geoscience July 2018
Global methane emissions from natural wetlands and carbon release from permafrost thaw have a positive feedback on climate, yet are not represented in most state-of-the-art climate models. Furthermore, a fraction of the thawed permafrost carbon is released as methane, enhancing the combined feedback strength.
…
We conclude that natural feedback processes from wetlands and permafrost must be considered in assessments of transient emission pathways to limit global warming.
How Earth sheds heat into space
MIT News September 24, 2018
He [EAPS postdoc Daniel Koll] explains that, while water vapor does absorb heat, or infrared radiation, it doesn’t absorb it indiscriminately, but at wavelengths that are incredibly specific, so much so that the team had to split the infrared spectrum into 350,000 wavelengths just to see exactly which wavelengths were absorbed by water vapor.
In the end, the researchers observed that as the Earth’s surface temperature gets hotter, it essentially wants to shed more heat into space. But at the same time, water vapor builds up, and acts to absorb and trap heat at certain wavelengths, creating a greenhouse effect that prevents a fraction of heat from escaping.
High CO2 levels cause plants to thicken their leaves, which could worsen climate change effects, researchers say
UW News October 1, 2018
Plant scientists have observed that when levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere rise, most plants do something unusual: They thicken their leaves.
...
But the consequences of this physiological response go far beyond heftier leaves on many plants. Two University of Washington scientists have discovered that plants with thicker leaves may exacerbate the effects of climate change because they would be less efficient in sequestering atmospheric carbon, a fact that climate change models to date have not taken into account.
This study shows the melting of a Russian ice cap speeding up from 2 inches per day to 82 feet per day. The researchers looked at the Vavilov Ice Cap in the Russian High Arctic, which covers nearly 300,000 square miles. They pieced "together the ice cap's deterioration by spying on the advancing ice with remote sensing technology from a constellation of satellites"...
Unprecedented ice loss in Russian ice cap
Science Daily September 19, 2018
Many scientists have assumed that polar ice caps that sit above sea level will only respond slowly to a warming climate -- but the authors of this study urge that this assumption be questioned. The rapid collapse of the Vavilov Ice Cap has significant ramifications for glaciers in other polar regions, especially those fringing Antarctica and Greenland.
Jim Hansen talks about his 2016 climate study…
Hell Will Break Loose – Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms
September 17, 2016
[video: https://youtu.be/KLk8Uy2-Lsk]
Global Warnings
QMS: Time to disconnect greed from the welfare of earth, if survival means anything. I like trees.
Paul Beckwith: "I declare a global climate change emergency to claw back up the rock face to attempt to regain system stability, or face an untenable calamity of biblical proportions."
Kevin Hester: "There is no past analogue for the rapidity of what we are baring witness to. There has been a flood of articles ... 2C is no longer attainable and that we are heading for dangerous climate change"
Guy McPherson: "The recent and near-future rises in temperature are occurring and will occur at least an order of magnitude faster than the worst of all prior Mass Extinctions. Habitat for human animals is disappearing throughout the world, and abrupt climate change has barely begun."
me… We need to turn on a dime at mach nine!
Enjoy!
Comments
JackPine Radicals will switch to new site software in a few days
Unfortunately, once the old site goes offline, all previous content will vanish and links to any of it will, I assume, become invalid.
All users will need to register anew and start over with a blank slate.
At least, that’s what I gather from the following announcement:
https://jackpineradicals.com/boards/topic/wait-till-you-see-jpr-v-3-0/
Timing of the switchover goes hand-in-hand with a change of ownership.
https://jackpineradicals.com/boards/topic/its-been-a-helluva-run/
Good morning lotlizard...
Trump goes off the deep end about K. Very excellent.
They kept his tiny twitty hands tied up but they forgot to keep his big mouth shut. Imho, this is very good news.
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I guess that’s one thing in George W. Bush’s and Laura’s favor
Even though George W. Bush was a product of the same booze-drenched prep-school and Ivy League milieu as Kavanaugh, Laura forced him to face up to and deal with his alcoholism. And — as he tells it, through the grace of the Lord Jesus Christ — apparently he did.
Trump, on the other hand, doesn’t drink at all — because, they say, of the tragic trajectory of his late brother Fred.
okay, I just read that the K nomination
was planned. Nominate a white guy about 50 and then have him attacked for being a sexual predator.
Then point out how sorry you feel for him and all the other #metoo victims, so that all the middle-aged white guys will rally and come out to vote in the upcoming election.
There you are. Oh, and all the congress critters then can come out a say how awful tinyhands is for saying such deplorable stuff. Bad cop, good cop.
That's what think tanks are for.
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Every show has a staff of writers, and Washington D.C. is
the “greatest show on earth.”
Thanks magiamma, very good summary
We are indeed in a load of shit right now. I have been predicting 4.6 C by 2050 and over 9 C by the end of the century. There are so many reinforcing feedback mechanisms in play that we cannot expect to stop this crisis. The other important mechanism is that the Earth is not in heat energy equilibrium as we sit here, so the only direction is up.
Look at it from this perspective. The Holocene era is the only known period that the planet could support large civilizations. It was an unusual period, about 11,600 years, in that global temperatures stayed within a +- 1 C band, for the most part. This certainly hints at the fact that the climate has state. During the Holocene CO2 was 270 ppm. Looking at a much larger period previously for many millions of years, CO2 level has been between 170 to 270 ppm. It's currently at 410 ppm and continuously rising. Steady state we absolutely need to get it down to 270 ppm, not 350 ppm as some people have claimed. But, we have lost a massive amount of ice and converted a massive amount of sequestered carbon to free CO2, and warmed and acidified the oceans. In order to restore the steady state of the Holocene epoch we will need to either get CO2 down to some 250 ppm for many decades or resort to geo-engineering to reduce insolation. I think that steady state lower average global temperatures to rebuild the ice structures is much safer.
Here is what needs to be done:
1) Development and deployment of CO2 capture and storage technology is the number one priority of the world. Stop every other expensive projects, especially military spending.
2) Replacement of all CO2 emitting energy technologies with zero emissions technologies. That's solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal and, I hate to even say it, but nuclear. Yes it's too late to ignore the potential of nuclear. We need a huge amount of base power to run our civilization and to power CO2 capture machines.
I also would also say that we need to move upland. That's right it's too late to save the coastal regions, it make more sense to move upland and build new cities and infrastructures.
I think that we will come to this realization, but probably too late.
Capitalism has always been the rule of the people by the oligarchs. You only have two choices, eliminate them or restrict their power.
thank you so much tw...
You are certainly in good company with your predictions. The thing is, sometimes the simplest analogies blow my mind. The heat is going to go up. Lovelock said this thing in his book about how when the ice cubes in a glass of water melt the water temp goes up rapidly... show stopper. The analogy just stopped my breath for a moment.
We need to move cities up. I think about where that would be probably too much. And think about it when I am not thinking about it. Bc it is really a priority. 8 billions people.
And just stop carbon emissions now. All of 'em. Or capture the carbon as you say. Non trivial. But not so fast that there is global dimming. Another mind bender.
Yes, I actually agree with you about nuclear. There is really no other short term solution. Lovelock has a lot to say about that in the book I just finished. There is some interesting work going on now with molten salt fission. Gates, bill, that Gates had a project with the Chinese iirc with that kind of fission. And where do the reactors go to be safe from flooding, er sea rise, and earthquakes. Right?
This...
Thanks for all your comments. So much food for thought.
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A cubic mile of oil
Is about what we consume a year. I just ran into a blog with that title, and he points out that 80% of our energy consumption is non-grid.
To generate that 80% from non-carbon sources is hard enough (even if we drastically reduce lifestyles and take advantage of the greater efficiency of non-Carnot engines). But to power the extraction of the 180ppm we already dumped into the atmosphere on top of that in the time frame required borders on Herculean.
Military spending is something we can no longer afford. Not to mention greed in general.
We can’t save the world by playing by the rules, because the rules have to be changed.
- Greta Thunberg
hi hawkfish
Thanks for that link. He has done a great job of explaining nuclear energy...
This site was helpful also. They have a good list of pros and cons of the different types of nuclear energy.
from A cubic Mile of Oil...
edit to add chart
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Good morning everyone...
Gotta run... the needle is threaded... talk among yourselves
(edited to put reply to lotlizard in correct place)
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Some silver linings in the dark clouds gathering
Thanks magi --
Hydrogen trains in Germany
Triboelectric Nanogenerators
Bioelectric, wind and solar in Cuba
$5.00 solar water heater from junk refrigerator -- yeah!
And now, for your listening enjoyment...
question everything
mornin' qms...
Thanks for the music! Sleeping in the open, yes!
A solar hot water heater. Cool.
What is the stuff in Cuba you mentioned? No surprise though bc they have had to be ahead of the curve due to sanctions... and having to grow food on every block in every available square inch for a long time now and in a whole lot of other ways.
Have a good one...
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Good morning, magi, thank you.
Have a great and free one.
hi smiley...
beautiful song. Thanks for stopping by. Have an awesome day yourself. Fly free...
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And still we underestimate...
in part because of your quote...
Global methane emissions from natural wetlands and carbon release from permafrost thaw have a positive feedback on climate, yet are not represented in most state-of-the-art climate models. Furthermore, a fraction of the thawed permafrost carbon is released as methane, enhancing the combined feedback strength.
And in part because science operates by looking at one factor at a time rather than at the whole system.
Best enjoy what we have while we have it!
Thanks for your update.
“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”
howdy lookout...
The not-looking-at-how-all-the-feedback-loops affect each other seems to be a theme now. So many studies are saying that. Domino effect... each one quickens the next one, quickens the next one...
So, as you say, be here now, and love the one your with. Thanks for stopping by. Have a lovely day.
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Thanks for the report . . .
Ah . . . it speaks for itself.
JtC's cool OT on Tuesday has me thinking more about low technology. Interesting article at resilience.org https://www.resilience.org/stories/2018-09-27/how-to-build-a-low-tech-we...
When the kids and I went to garage sales last weekend, I bought a couple of low tech coffee pots . . . one drip and one percolator.
Conversations about outhouses were interesting. I had an aunt and uncle who had one (I think) into the 80s. Modern day low tech is the composting toilet scenario. Cheap, easy, not stinky if managed correctly, and goes into a compost pile for later. And not creepy. Some campgrounds still have creepy outhouses. Always afraid of dropping something into the hole!
Experiencing a bit of gardening burnout at the moment. And except for weeds, the garden looks the best it has looked all year. Note to self: "Don't plant corn, peppers, tomatoes, green beans, eggplant and many others in the Spring!"
Have a great day all!!!
Marilyn
"Make dirt, not war." eyo
good morning mhagle...
Thanks for the link.
Who knew that "the Internet already uses three times more energy than all wind-and-solar power sources worldwide, can provide." hmmmm... There is a lot of great info in that article. Images take up a lot of bandwidth, so they chose to use lower resolution images. Always a good idea. But the best part is this - No Third-Party Tracking, No Advertising Services, No Cookies.
Composting toilets are great. I wonder if there is a way to implement them on a city wide basis. Have you any idea?
Have a good one...
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Definitely interested in the low tech website
And it is my understanding that they are their own hosting service run by solar. Just rechecked the info . . . yes, they are. I am extremely interested in hosting my own website. And I like their technique to make their graphics thin, yet still look cool. Really, all of their info seems to be timely.
Composting toilets. There are fancy electric ones. The basic kind is simple. It is initially what I had in my shipping container turned music studio/school room/sewing room. It consisted of a potty chair I inherited from a deceased relative, a five-gallon bucket, and a tub of sawdust (soil works too). Originally, it worked great because it was properly managed. Then the teenagers took over. OMG. Not properly managed then! Horrible. Quite thankful when my husband offered to install a flush toilet. There was already a sink. But . . . eventually, I plan to revisit the concept in another work area.
Marilyn
"Make dirt, not war." eyo
Worldwide US military base footprint is huge
and international pressure is building again to reverse the trend.
Beginning of the Global Unity Statement by Global Campaign Against US/NATO Military Bases.
edit - links updated
Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.
hi studentofearth...
Thanks for the info on the Dublin International Conference Against US/NATO Military Bases.
It would be a miracle if there was a way to reduce the proliferation of military bases and all that goes along with them. They are part of TPTB's global domination program.
The first link does not work btw. But the second one works.
The United States maintains 95% of all foreign military bases in the world. Seriously, wtf. And how might this affect carbon proliferation. Arms proliferation equals carbon proliferation.
Thanks for stopping by. Have a good one...
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Hola, magiamma. Thanks for the OT and have a great one.
Back home to the mountain of mail and chores at last. Now it begins.
That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --
back atcha el...
Welcome home, amigo. pase un buen día
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Thanks magiamma
I found this information shocking …
Good for the plants. Too bad we are not as adaptable.
hi janis...
It is shocking. Some part of me still wants to deny it - the reality of it is not quite syncing up or sinking in. Even though the evidence is irrefutable life carries on as per usual with small noticeable changes. And even the not so small changes do not seem earth transforming. I get it but I don't get it at the same time.
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Thanks for always paying witness
and informing us.