Your question, "has the giant stirred", sure causes flashbacks among many of us in Wisconsin. It was said many times during the rallies against Walker's anti-union measure that Act 10 had "awakened the sleeping giant".

I've posted this vid before, but it seems appropriate in this thread too. It is a mash-up of clips from the Wisconsin Uprising, that in my opinion was derailed by the Dem party which was terrified of movement-building from the ground up, and derailed the movement by insisting on a high-stakes single election (the recall) in lieu of also continuing the protests and public pressure against Walker and the Rep legislature.

Did we need a recall? Absolutely. But we needed to keep up the occupation of the capitol, and continue bringing suit against Walker's Capitol Police. (You will see in the vid that the City of Madison police felt they needed to "protect and defend the citizens against Walker" and his goon squad! There's footage of the night they brought sleeping bags and stayed overnight in the capitol with the protesters to prevent the Capitol Police from clearing the building!)

People were getting tapped out financially but Debbie W-S refused to give financial support to the recall, and the lame Democratic Party of Wisconsin was afraid the Teamsters and other unions who showed up to protest were too edgy...

Hope people have time to watch. There will be some faces you may know in the footage, like Madison Mayor Paul Soglin marching with city workers against Walker, but what makes me most inspired is that the protests were started by teenages who walked out of ther East High School classes and swarmed downtown, quickly joined that aftrnoon by TAs from the university. Within days, there were 10s of thousands and over 100,000 a day within two weeks.

We are going to be having to do this soon inDC. Sure would be great if we have a president in the White House who will come out and march with us!
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rG9I-oA_Er0]

She knows that any lawsuit against a gun manufacturer to hold them liable for the use of a gun in the commission of a crime is a frivolous lawsuit.

But, hey, if she can score a few political points making an issue out of it, she'll do it anyway. No character. No integrity.

relative to whether she or Sanders stands to lose more with an extra week to campaign? The short answer I came up with is that it won't hurt Sanders any--the more time he has to reach out, the better he tends to do. But I can't decide yet if Hillary's campaign is coordinated enough to command a smear campaign narrative for that long without pissing off the wrong people. If they can't, that extra week hurts her.

I also wondered if a story to watch is the one about all the pissed-off New Yorkers who are already finding out they've been screwed out of voting already. It depends on how many of them there are, how widespread that is, and how loud the electorate will be about being disenfranchised so obviously and openly. If it gets real loud, perhaps "MSM" won't be able to bury that particular lede, and it'll hurt her in PA and CA?

have gotten so much wrong this season.

I see he's published a couple of other excellent pieces from TOP here too, but not this one (I don't think). Subir is doing some really incredible work.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/04/06/1511308/-Why-is-538-wrong-so-of...

Two things stick out:

1. There are a lot of bold cells (11 of 23 states), and fewer underlined cells (4 of 23 states).
2. All the underlined cells are in the South (Appalachia is a wash)

Hillary outperforms 538 poll averages and forecasts in the South. Bernie outperforms everywhere else (or is within MoE).

In all, 15 out of 23 states fall outside the MoE for one or both forecasts. That’s 65%. Also note the polls plus model does seem to add some value, they are less frequently outside of our 3% MoE.

So what does this mean? Here are some reasonable guesses:

Bernie gains support as we approach the primary/caucus, since polls are always a few days old they under-represent his support

• The likely voter models are wrong and Bernie is bringing in more primary voters who pollsters aren’t reaching.
• Name recognition influences poll-respondents more than it does voters.
• There are fewer primary polls, far less data, small changes in turnout can swing the result.

in these closed primaries. That's why I hope there being an extra week to campaign before NY gives the Sanders team an extra advantage somehow.

manages to blow itself up along with this campaign, the DNC and the Dem leadership on the Hill better tread VERY carefully before they try to sleaze someone else in to take Bernie's place. They'll be risking outright riotous revolt that they'll have to crush with the military, IMO. Indeed, I honestly think it would come to that, especially with all the millennials signed on for Team Sanders. They have nothing to lose at this point--no real future to speak of, in particular, if they're saddled with thousands and thousands of dollars in student loan debt and have no job prospects.

And I know more than a few fifty- and sixty-somethings that have even less to lose, because these crooked fuckers already took so much away from us. Like me, ferinstance.

Don't poke the bear, boys and girls--he gets pissy when you do that