United States being increasingly sidelined in our own wars
America, the Indispensable Nation, is finding itself increasingly "dispensable".
This latest example is today's news from Syria.
The Syrian government and its most important ally, Russia, announced on Thursday a cease-fire agreement with Syrian rebels and with Turkey — a potential turning point in a civil war that has lasted nearly six years and claimed hundreds of thousands of lives.
It remained to be seen if the agreement would take effect or hold, and President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia twice called it “fragile.” Previous attempts to quell the fighting, brokered under the auspices of the United Nations, have failed.
But the rebels’ loss of their stronghold in eastern Aleppo this month was a major blow to their movement to oust President Bashar al-Assad, leaving them without footholds in Syria’s largest cities. That may have prodded them toward a compromise and given Russia a chance to consolidate Mr. Assad’s control through diplomacy.
Besides the fall of Aleppo, there is one other difference with this cease fire - the U.S. wasn't part of it.
The United States on Tuesday sought to downplay its absence from talks on the Syrian conflict among Russia, Iran and Turkey in Moscow, saying it was not a "snub" and did not reflect a decline of U.S. influence in the Middle East...
Dennis Ross, a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy who was an adviser on Iran and the Middle East to both Democratic and Republican administrations, said the United States had made itself "irrelevant" in Syria....
"We would obviously refute any notion that ... the fact that we weren't at this one meeting is somehow a harbinger or a litmus test for U.S. influence and leadership there or anywhere else around the world," Kirby said, adding that Washington was still engaged in the region on many other issues.
"We are not excluded, we are not being sidelined," he added.
Reality check: not being invited to peace talks in your own war (i.e. excluded) is a snub (i.e. sidelined).
Most pundits will say we were snubbed because of our half-hearted military commitment to the war in Syria didn't give us much leverage, and there is a grain of truth to that.
But the real reason we were snubbed is because Washington doesn't do diplomacy anymore.
"Diplomacy" in Washington today equal a drone strike. Or if that fails, sending in the Special Forces.
Everything is a nail to be hammered down.
Talking is a sign of weakness.
This "sign of weakness" is bleeding over to Afghanistan.
Ahmad Shekib Mostaghni, a spokesman for the Afghan Foreign Ministry, said Tuesday that his country had not been invited to a high-level Afghanistan conference in Moscow.
Representatives of Pakistan, China and Russia are meeting in Moscow to discuss the Afghan conflict but they have excluded Afghan officials from the conference.
One reason for excluding America and the Afghan government is because who is being armed by us.
So when the Afghan government last year approved Qul’s request to enrol in its anti-Taliban militia program, many local people were concerned. Hundreds protested outside the district government building. Contemporary western security reports obtained by the Guardian warned that reinforcing Qul’s militia could add to violence, crime and territorial rivalries....
In an interview, Perim Qul admitted that his chief enemy was not the Taliban, whom he was paid to fight. It was the local governing political party.
“We will fight alongside any group to get rid of the oppression of Jamiat,” he said, referring to the Tajik-majority party in the north, which he says discriminates against people of other ethnicities. “We don’t care if it’s Taliban or Isis. If anyone throws a stone at our enemy, we will fight with them.”
Comments
What will the result of this be?
I hope they don't create a Daesh rump state in Raqqa, that will continue to export terrorism.
There are actually two weapons in the US playbook, the first, as you mentioned, is a military strike of some sort, but the second is just as important, and that is paying people for their compliance. If you need a warlord to do your bidding, or to refrain from joining your enemies, just give him a pallet or two of cash.
The French and English did this with the Vikings (Danegeld) but it didn't usually turn out well.
"Obama promised transparency, but Assange is the one who brought it."
I saw this item on The Guardian or somewhere.
I had to smile. Economic summits are being held in Asia without the presence of the US.
This is how realignments are done.
And it might be how empires are terminated.
Life is strong. I'm weak, but Life is strong.
A spreadsheet might help
Ever since reading Jeremy Scahill's book Dirty Wars, I've had the sense that the U.S. has lost track of the whys, hows and whos of these invasions. Coupled with no end strategy in sight, I'm not surprised other countries are leaving the U.S. out.
For the US MIC, having no end strategy is a bonus feature
I agree
I'd go so far as to posit that the American MIC loves a disorganized clusterf*ck. The more ambiguity as to who a good guy/bad guy is, the bigger the prospective customer base.
Yeppers.....
Add in David Talbot's The Devil Chessboard and it gets
even more malevolently murkier.
I haven't had the stomach to read Kinzer's book yet, but I need to for verification of Talbot's thesis. Cuz if Talbot is right then the future options narrowly quite grimly. To the extent that Orwell becomes a utopian optimist.
Perhaps the U.S./Saudi coalition
was left out because the Nusra/ISIS coalition was left out. Nusra/ISIS are not included in the ceasefire, as Assad/Russia intend to continue to target them. The ceasefire, as I read it, is with Assad/Russia/Turkey vs FSA/aligned groups.
This may suggest or acknowledge that the U.S./Saudi coalition has armed, represented, and supported Nusra/ISIS from the beginning and appears to continue such support.
Obama's been phoning it in, on just about everything
for what....... a couple of years now?
It's been pretty obvious for a while that he really doesn't give a shit and is just counting down the days.
A rudderless, lame duck.
Thanks Obama!
(Edited for content)
And further, Obama has, for a long time, seemed baffled at the notion that The World and the plebs at home just don't understand and appreciate his awesomeness.
To quote his friend/sycophant/? Valerie Jarret (D-Loon):
Gëzuar!!
from a reasonably stable genius.
After the failure of the last Syrian truce, Obama not in charge
In the last negotiated truce, DoD and generals outright said they would not go along with the truce that Kerry had negotiated and which Obama had approved. The DoD and various generals totally subverted the truce by bombing a Syrian troop position that was immediately over-run by ISIS. Obama is no longer in charge of foreign policy. Just as a matter of practicality, both the CIA and DoD are now running the administration's foreign policy. And each has its own agenda.
It is not matter of trying to embarrass Obama. Any agreement he might make means essentially nothing and all sides know it.
The irony is that by back stabbing Obama, the Pentagon basically pushed the Russians and Assad to abandon any political reconciliation leading to the driving out of the terrorists in Aleppo.