"Live to fight another day"
This is the advice which social media say the U.S. Government is today giving to the Zelensky regime in Kiev. It follows by a day or two the public release by German intelligence operatives of their own assessment of the latest course of the war, saying that the stubborn resistance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to advancing Russian ground units in Artyomovsk (Bakhmut), just as the defense of Soledar (lost to the Russians a week ago) was and is a death trap set by the Russians for the Ukrainians. As the U.S. overlords understand today, continued losses of Ukrainian forces in these hopeless PR stunts are compromising any chances of their making a spring counteroffensive when the advanced military gear now being shipped to them arrives and is put into the field.
What conclusion can we reach from “withdraw from Artyomovsk”? Very simply that the notion of 1:1 death and ingured rates that the Anglosaxon news disseminators have been shouting for weeks to slant the news towards some “stalemate” between the opposing sides is pure nonsense. It would be safer to follow the figures put out by the Russian military, which indicate a 10:1 imbalance in casualties on the Ukrainian side.
Meanwhile, the big news in the past 24 hours was the meeting of the Ukraine Contact Group in the German army base at Ramstein. This was most notable for the failure of the defense ministers of the 50 participating countries to reach any agreement over delivery of tanks to the Ukrainians. Tanks are allegedly needed to support Ukraine’s spring counter offensive, with the objective not merely to push back the Russians to the line of demarcation in Donbas prior to the start of the Special Military Operation, but even to recapture the Crimea.
The central issue at Ramstein was German Chancellor Scholz’s refusal to send in German Leopard heavy tanks or to allow the many NATO countries where Leopards are held in the inventory to send any of their tanks to Kiev. Scholz is said to insist the Americans first ship their own Abrams tanks to Kiev before Germany will lift a finger. And why is he being so stubborn in resisting all the jackal states in NATO on this very issue? Western reports say he is fearful of leading the pack on delivery of tanks and incurring special Russian wrath.
Let us decode this message: the German chancellor is not some indecisive imbecile, as our newspapers hint. No, he is a cunning fox who is unwilling to allow Washington to send him and Europe to hell in what could easily become a Russia-NATO hot war if the Russian red lines forbidding heavy armaments deliveries are crossed.
So all the Ukrainians will get by way of new weapon systems as per the decisions announced yesterday in Ramstein are token deliveries of armored personnel carriers and armored machine gun and cannon vehicles that one might just call light tanks. That and a lot more howitzers of every variety coming from several different NATO countries.
But in terms of the big picture, what difference would tanks make? The vision of big tank warfare across the Ukrainian steppes that underlies the Washington war scenario is fallacious. As I have pointed out repeatedly, despite the lies and PR blasts from Washington and London, the war is being fought according to the Russian scheme, not the U.S. scheme.
We have heard how poorly the Russians coordinate air and ground. We have heard how they just cannot put together any good shock and awe. But this is beside the point. The Russians are waging an artillery war for good reasons: they have the world’s largest manufacturing industry of cannon, multi-rocket field launchers and munitions and they are waging a war of attrition on the ground which can only favor their armies.
If the slaughter of Ukrainians continues at its present rate, if the United States and its allies cannot ramp up munitions production, if the destruction of the Ukrainian energy infrastructure continues, if the logistics for conveying Western military supplies to the front are further impaired, then the Russians will find themselves against a disarmed Ukrainian army some time in the early spring, and they may get the capitulation they seek without shock and awe heroics.
I think this is a good plan. No more throwing Ukraine troops at Russia just to get killed and hopefully there will be a sane response to end this war and no more lives are wasted. Biden’s handlers who are actually running the Biden administration thought that Russia would fight like America did in the Iraq war with lots of shock and awe and senseless destruction of infrastructure and innocent civilian lives. Russia has said from the get go that people in Ukraine are not their enemy and more like their brothers.
And as for why this is taking Russia so long is two fold. One reason is because Ukraine had 8 years to build up defenses and second is because Russia values its soldier’s lives.
Here is some video of the defenses Russia is facing.
Recently captured Uke fortifications around Avdiivka. Can see why this is taking time… pic.twitter.com/D8J5bheqBQ
— The Human Fund pct (@TheHumanFund5) January 20, 2023
Also if you missed it here is Big Serge on what is happening in the Donbas. Lots of people are posting his essay including b from MoA which gives it high praise.
One thing to keep in mind is what will happen if it looks like Russia is going to meet their objectives. Already there is talk of helping Ukraine retake Crimea. Will that mean that NATO will send its own troops to help Ukraine? Right now there are 100,000 American troops in Europe and lots of military equipment is being sent there including more nuclear weapons. NATO recently held a nuclear war game close to Russia. Maybe the Biden classified documents scandal will see him stepping down and someone more sane will become president.
Everything you said since WW2 became a joke when you invaded Yugoslavia you dope! Then you added on with the invasion of Iraq and your shock and awe! If Putin needs to be charged for war crimes then so does Clinton, Bush, Obama, Trump and Biden and probably every US president that supported the Monroe doctrine.
Theseare getting really desperate. pic.twitter.com/8SXVC9pM1n
— Blackrussian (@Blackrussiantv) January 21, 2023
Every congress member who supports this war should have to send their family to Ukraine if Biden puts boots on the ground!
The US empire is telling Moscow "I'm the craziest motherfucker around, I'll keep ramping up the brinkmanship looking you right in the eye and daring you to use nukes," while telling the rest of the world "I am the voice of sanity that you should all look to for leadership."
— Caitlin Johnstone (@caitoz) January 21, 2023