Ukraine is about to lose this war
The West media has been trying to sell us that Ukraine will win their war with Russia from the very start, yet a plurality of Americans no longer believe it.
This week's was the first survey since we began asking who is winning the war — about a month after it began — in which more Americans say that Russia is winning (25%) than say Ukraine is (19%). In recent weeks the share who say neither side is winning also has increased, to 38%.
A growing share (29%) also say that Russia will be the eventual winner of the conflict, rather than Ukraine (26%). About as many say they’re not sure who will win (30%).
Vadym Skibitsky, the deputy head of Ukrainian military intelligence, has admitted that Ukraine is losing the war because of Russia's overwhelming advantage in artillery. Russia is using this advantage to grind down Ukrainian forces.
But their already-compromised supply lines are becoming more tenuous, and the sheer magnitude of Russian firepower is grinding down defensive positions.The reverses suffered in the past few days, after weeks of determined resistance, probably mark the most difficult week for the Ukrainian military since the surrender of the last defenders in Mariupol.
Ukraine is losing 200 soldiers killed every day, according to a senior Ukrainian presidential aide. Plus another 500 are wounded.
In addition, Ukraine is losing $5 to $6 Billion every month. To put that into perspective, Ukraine's GDP is $155 Billion. The National Bank of Ukraine predicts that the GDP will shrink by more than a third.
To offset that, the American taxpayer is going to simply give Ukraine $7.5 Billion. That was very generous of you.
The total amount of aid supplied to Ukraine by international partners since Russia's "invasion" is $30 billion. $10 Billion is in grants, the other $20 Billion in loans.
Ukraine can't maintain losses of this magnitude, militarily or economically, for much longer. Plus, because this is clearly a proxy war, the U.S. and Britain will lose when Ukraine loses.
But, as reflected in the palpable disappointment of the Ukrainians, the EU’s key leaders were clearly signaling the limits of their own support.This new European stance now places the Biden administration on the horns of a possibly insoluble dilemma, as David Goldman reported in a recent Asia Times article. With the war having reached a critical stage and the world economy reeling from supply shocks in energy and food previously supplied by Russia and Ukraine, Goldman asserts that America’s boasts of “driving Putin from power, destroying Russia’s capacity to make war, and halving the size of Russia’s economy look ridiculous in retrospect.”
...Russia has made strategic territorial gains, so such an outcome would be disastrous for Ukraine — and humiliating for the United States.

Comments
End the war. Sue for peace
Figure out, Ukrainians, who your enemies really were, and do not repeat the mistake.
Ukraine is SO last week.
The next proxy has already volunteered: Lithuania https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/lithuania-says-sanctions-goods-kali...!
For those of you checking your maps right now, Kaliningrad is Russian territory separated from the mainland by Belorussia & Lithuania, similar to how Alaska is separated from the lower 48. It’s like if Canada cut off land and air routes from Washington state to Alaska. Sea routes are available, but why would the guy in the middle suddenly become such an a$$hole? Oh yeah, because our favorite Uncle told him to.
That’s power: when you can just point to a whole country and tell them to commit suicide, and they do it! Even after watching the whole Ukraine thing go down!
Here’s the bonus part: Lithuania is NATO. So if anybody hits Lithuania, Article 5 kicks in and all of NATO gets to go to war. Whee!
“We may not be able to change the system, but we can make the system irrelevant in our lives and in the lives of those around us.”—John Beckett
No sacrifice of vassal states is too great
when it comes to
keepingtrying to keep a failing Empire alive. The EU has already been thrown under the bus by obediently toeing the Russian sanctions and seem to be facing a very cold and hungry winter.Treating its ‘friends’ so poorly, it makes me wonder if the US wouldn’t also offer up its own population in defense of it’s hubristic claim to global preeminence and a unipolar world economy.
Something's got to give.
“We have a very small window in which we need to make a fundamental shift away from capitalism.” Kshama Sawant
Are Washington's wars meant to be won?
I thought they were merely meant to be prolonged, so that Congress could maximize the amount of money it prints and hands to rich people. Wasn't that, for instance, the point of staying in Afghanistan for as long as the US did?
"The future is inside us/ It's not somewhere else." -- Radiohead
It’s difficult not to believe what you state
about Washington's wars. It’s very challenging to know that the US government/military is totally de-sensitised to killing and humiliation; and that financial benefit to the few matter more than the life of so many, worldwide.
Well the purpose of the Federal government now
https://taibbi.substack.com/p/blue-and-red-do-have-something-in?r=22681&s=r
"The future is inside us/ It's not somewhere else." -- Radiohead
"The business of America
is business". Well, wholesale death is our last remaining export, so there you go.
Peace is not profitable. Therefore, there will be no peace.
Twice bitten, permanently shy.
Think about the outcome before you start
Ukraine is a NATO trained and armed nation. When Russia wins this Special Military Operation some conclusions are not very positive for the US/EU.
- Russia militarily beat NATO in a European ground war. This outcome should have been obvious. No amount of training and arming could bring Ukraine up to the level of Russia. This clearly had to be a result of dismissing Russia by virtue of Rusophobia. In any land war near Russia it is now likely that NATO could not prevail. NATO membership for the Baltic states decreases their security
- Both Ukraine and the US and NATO have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that they are collectively agreement incapable. Poroshenko just admitted publicly that Ukraine never intended to implement the Minsk Accords. The West never intended to force Ukraine to adhere to the Accords. This makes a negotiated settlement extremely unlikely and guarantees the virtual end of Ukraine as a Western asset.
- Russia has come to the conclusion that their move towards the West in the 1990s was a mistake. They are now fully behind creating an non-Western world with China, India, and all of the Global South. This will be a huge blow to US economic and military hegemony and the US dollar.
-
Capitalism has always been the rule of the people by the oligarchs. You only have two choices, eliminate them or restrict their power.
Boy, won’t they be surprised when Texas secedes and pivots to
become an innovation hub for Latin America!
And then Alaska secedes and begins working with Russia and China, and engineers from all three countries build a system of tunnels and bridges across the Bering Strait, as part of the Belt and Road Initiative!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bering_Strait_crossing
Which subset of Americans, realizing the present setup is failing, will be the first to ditch the war-and-empire-chained status quo and embrace a new, more harmonious way forward for the planet based on sovereignty and mutual respect?
It's a longstanding Myth that Texas can secede from the Union
If there were any doubt remaining after this matter, the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia set it to rest when he asked by a screenwriter in 2006 whether there was a legal basis for secession. In his response, he wrote: “The answer is clear,” Scalia wrote. “If there was any constitutional issue resolved by the Civil War, it is that there is no right to secede. (Hence, in the Pledge of Allegiance, ‘one Nation, indivisible.’)”
https://www.texastribune.org/2021/01/29/texas-secession/
OTOH, “Screw the rules, try and stop us” *is* the American way
since 1776.
“When in the course of human events…” … an existing system of government so obviously no longer observes or feels itself in any way bound by its own supposed principles and rules, people have the God-given right to separate from such an unresponsive and arbitrary ruling elite and system — that’s stipulated right in the Declaration of Independence.
Since when have Americans ever let change be held back by conventions, even if everyone might previously have thought they were agreed-upon settled truths?
Wasn’t Oklahoma supposed to be Indian Territory in perpetuity?
Or, more recently, didn’t most people think they knew what “man” or “woman” meant, reaching back in time to, well, to Adam and Eve? Surprise! Suddenly sources (at least the yet-uncancelled, censor-approved ones) all say different now…
That “phase change” in mentality occurred practically overnight.
As the political, economic, and meteorological temperature rises, a unified striving to return sovereignty to lower, more local levels, closer to and more directly controlled by The People / the 99%, could well also set in very rapidly — as just such a phase change.
If Texas chooses the way of Catalonia, who ya gonna side with? Ordinary people, or the 1% ≈ the heirs of Franco’s fascists in “Madrid” ≈ imperial HQ in Washington DC?
Heh, with the Right
Seems more likely a runaway unaccountable Court and some crazy state legislatures could create the impetus for the blue states to begin talking about a hopeless situation requiring a parting of the ways.
As John Quincy Adams once observed
~
Philip M. Giraldi, Ph.D
councilforthenationalinterest.org
In an abstract way
...one may wonder how
All is well in the world when the US illegally invades as many as seven nations, waging a mix of wars over a twenty year period, with intense spending, endless money printing, loss of life, tens of millions of dislocated people wandering the earth, weaponizing both sides, turning cities to rubble, constant loss of life, billions of dollars worth of equipment abandoned, sanctions on any country that complains, embassies closed, diplomats expelled, treaties broken, oil stolen. assassinations, war crimes, chemical weapons attacks, drug running, arms dealing, nations destroyed, genocide, and every bit of it illegal.
During the wide spread endless US wars, not once did world's key critical supply chains break down around the world at the same time, resulting in empty shelves in the grocery store and shortages else where. During the long and pointless war on terror, Americans were never once told that they face death by starvation next year because of the war. A couple of months of US war never once resulted in sudden historic price inflation that instantly destroyed significant levels the dollar's purchasing power, both at the grocery store and the gas pump. Twenty years of massive US war spending never once caused an inflation that is so severe and unexpected that even the Federal Reserve can't figure out how to control it. Never during the corrupt US wars were people told they could be living the last days of their lives.
But four months into comparatively tiny war that the US pretends it is not fighting — Americans are told they are doomed to starvation or perhaps nuclear radiation from WWIII. It seems that the end of the world as we know it can only occur when Putin is fighting a small war with its neighbor just on the other side of a shared section of Russia's border. Doom is only predicted when Russia is fighting in a small area occupied by besieged ethnic Russians, while Russia is spending only a fraction of what the US spends on global murder and mayhem on any given day. Meanwhile, the EU chickenhawks are now certain they will be invaded by Russia because a fraction of Russia's army population is engaged in street fighting with NeoNazis in a small section of Ukraine, with virtually no support from air strikes. In the US, Americans are being cut off from medical support from pandemic infections, because the US gave its safety-net pandemic cash to Ukraine to kill Russians. Ukraine will ONLY spend OTHER PEOPLE'S money to arm its Neonazi militias to fight wars it cannot afford — wars that it could stop at any time by pledging NATO neutrality, instead of threatening to murder Russian speakers inside its borders.
Americans have so little curiosity.
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Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.
— Voltaire
This is being done by tptb on purpose w/ukraine as the excuse
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/06/two-big-errors-about-russia-by-hel...
“Those who choose the lesser evil forget very quickly that they chose evil.”
— Hannah Arendt
Is NATO direct intervention into Ukr the next step?
With the imminent defeat of the Ukr army in Donbass, it seems more likely that NATO will invade Western Ukr. Maybe move in t