Early December Primary Status
At this snapshot in time, below are the likely winners (should polls be believed) of early primaries and caucuses (note, many candidates might take delegates from each of these states, but below is listing who will win the *most* delegates). I'm cutting it off at Super Tuesday.
Bernie Sanders: New Hampshire, Vermont, California (3 states)
Pete Buttigieg: Iowa (1 state)
Joe Biden: South Carolina, Nevada, Texas (probably most of the other southern states, which include Alabama, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Virginia, although no polls have been taken there) (8 states)
Elizabeth Warren: Massachusetts (1 state)
Sanders *could* surprise in Nevada (he polls a strong second to Biden there), Warren *could* take California away from Sanders (she's polling a strong second there), Buttigieg *could* take New Hampshire from Sanders as well.
There's still about a couple months to go before Iowa, so there is time for these things to change. But as of now, that's how things are starting to shape up.
So, what will be the national reaction if after SuperTuesday, Biden has 8, Bernie has 3, and Buttigieg and Warren each have 1 state? (I mean, besides general malaise and despair?)