Biden = Hillary 2.0?

According to one poll, Joe Biden has an almost insurmountable lead over every other Democratic challenger, of 14 points over second-place Bernie. Another poll gives him a 24 point lead.
It's possible that these polls are accurate. It's also possible that they are predictive.
But I wouldn't count on it.

The Democratic frontrunner in April 2007: Hillary Clinton. In April 2003: Joe Lieberman. In April 1991: Jesse Jackson. In April 1987: Gary Hart. In April 1983: Walter Mondale (ok, that one worked out). In April 1975: Ted Kennedy. In April 1971: Edmund Muskie.

There is no way, NO WAY, on Gawd's Green Earth that I would ever vote for Biden.
I would sooner chew my hand off. I would sooner vote for f*cking Trump. Seriously. I would vote for Trump over Biden, and I think Trump is the worst president this country has ever seen.

What presidential campaign is Biden's most like?

The establishment loves Joe Biden, but then the same people that love Biden also loved Hillary, and were confident that she could beat Trump.

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The Democratic establishment has decided that all that they need is a more likeable candidate.
Biden is more favorable with the public than Hillary right now, but then Hillary's favorability was much higher before she kicked off her campaign. When people learn about his Hillaryesque voting record his ratings will drop.

Iraq War supporter? Check. Clinton was pilloried by the left and the right alike as a wild-eyed hawk; her vote in favor of the Iraq invasion haunted both her 2008 and 2016 campaigns.
...Let’s be clear: If he runs, Biden will be the only candidate — out of up to 20 Democrats running for the nomination — to have voted for the Iraq War.

Friend of Wall Street? Check. Clinton had a Goldman Sachs problem; Biden has an MBNA problem. Headquartered in his home state of Delaware, the credit card giant MBNA was his biggest donor when he served in the Senate. In 2005, Biden threw his weight behind a bankruptcy bill, signed into law by President George W. Bush, that shamefully protected credit card companies at the expense of borrowers.

Champion of mass incarceration? Check. Clinton took flak for supporting the 1994 crime bill, which helped push up the U.S. prison population, introduced new federal death penalty crimes, and hugely exacerbated racial disparities in the criminal justice system. And Biden? Well, he wrote the damn thing!

Establishment-friendly? Check. Biden arrived in D.C. in 1973; he spent 36 years in the Senate and eight years in Obama’s cabinet.
When Trump tries to run again as an anti-establishment outsider in 2020, what will Biden’s response be?

Loser? Check. Clinton won the Democratic nomination in 2016, at the second attempt, having been defeated by Obama eight years earlier. For Biden, it would have to be third-time lucky.

And I'm going to just skip over Biden's history of mild misogyny and racism. We'll be hearing about that endlessly.

Like with Russiagate, the Democratic establishment is in deep denial.

Voters want change, and Joe Biden is most certainly not that. He’s an attempt to return the country to a pre-Trump era and pretend that 2016 never happened.

The bigger question is what would a Biden presidency look like?

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So a Biden presidency means a less-articulate Obama, a president that oversaw the nationwide destruction of the Democratic party.

Except that it's even worse than that.
Biden may be like Hillary and Obama, but who he's most similar to is the guy that Dem voters most want to defeat - President Donald Trump.

Despite the outrage directed by liberals and others at Trump’s racism, Biden is far from his polar opposite. On the contrary, he shares several of the president’s blemishes. Perhaps that’s the point — polling indicates that ousting Trump is the Democrats’ top priority, even more so than supporting a candidate who shares their values. Still, it’s ironic that, if Biden runs and his current polling lead holds, the Democrats would nominate a man who is, of all their available options, arguably the most similar to the president they’re seeking to depose.
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@gjohnsit

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"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich."--Napoleon

karl pearson's picture

@dkmich In the CNN poll, I noticed that there was no reporting of respondents less than 50 years of age, since these age groups had too few respondents to adequately represent the population. Bernie overwhelmingly captured the younger voter in 2016, who will be a larger group in 2020. Typical manipulation by CNN, Clinton News Network.

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@karl pearson @karl pearson

If look behind the headline, it shows Biden with 3 less points.

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"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich."--Napoleon

@dkmich
The voting age is 45, so they didn't need to be polled.

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Lookout's picture

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Pricknick's picture

I would sooner vote for f*cking Trump

But I guess my vote for anybody but the dim is a vote for trump again.
So glad I demexited. Never going back.

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@Pricknick
or not vote for a president at all.

But if someone was holding a gun to my head...

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@gjohnsit for Senator Wellstone. He’ll be better than whatever crook/lunatic the Parties will offer.

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Orwell: Where's the omelette?

Pricknick's picture

@gjohnsit

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@Pricknick Trump as a fuck you vote against Her but I got over that very quickly. Can't go there and will not vote Dem. Maybe Bernie, we shall see. Might be Nobody. Giant Meteor perhaps?

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Only a fool lets someone else tell him who his enemy is. Assata Shakur

Pricknick's picture

@lizzyh7

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@Pricknick Then again, I don't see a challenge working out very well.

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They say that there's a broken light for every heart on Broadway
They say that life's a game and then they take the board away
They give you masks and costumes and an outline of the story
And leave you all to improvise their vicious cabaret-- A. Moore

Pricknick's picture

@Johnny Q
you would consider voting for Cthulhu?
Hands down the strongest candidate in 2020.

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

detroitmechworks's picture

@Pricknick [video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUyIISecYCU]

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

Pricknick's picture

@detroitmechworks
there's nothing silly about our governance.
It's whack-job.

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@Pricknick If you vote for him, you get eaten first. I don't see any other candidate offering that.

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They say that there's a broken light for every heart on Broadway
They say that life's a game and then they take the board away
They give you masks and costumes and an outline of the story
And leave you all to improvise their vicious cabaret-- A. Moore

lotlizard's picture

@Johnny Q

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thanatokephaloides's picture

@lotlizard

“Yes We Cannibal” ?

Cthulhu's not human, although (s)he is a notorious humanitarian.

If you want a cannibal Administration, your ticket of choice is Packer/Donner. Smile

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

lotlizard's picture

@thanatokephaloides

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The Aspie Corner's picture

"Hello, I'm (Insert Capitalist Party USA Favorite here). And I'm running for president because we can't afford Commie Bernie's far-left ideas. Single-payer? Come on, the insurance companies are buying my next yacht, and it'll have two other yachts in it. Clean energy? Sorry kids, I gotta pay the mortgage on that 10th summer mansion in Wine Country with the car port elevator. Basic Income? You serfs toil for our amusement and our enrichment, not the other way around. You're lucky we even pay you in packing peanuts. I may not have any ideas of my own besides policies the Republicans want anyway, but hey, at least I can look good on TV and appear to be smart while not actually being smart. And I'm not Trump, so I'm your only choice. Suck on that, voters."

"I'm (Insert Capitalist Party USA Favorite here) and I approve this message."

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Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.

Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.

WaterLily's picture

@The Aspie Corner (Which, obviously, is also depressing).

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thanatokephaloides's picture

@The Aspie Corner

[video:https://youtu.be/89jVN6ILKOk]

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

Steven D's picture

@The Aspie Corner of your response because it's just too good not to.

https://twitter.com/StevenDBT/status/1123623757732556800

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"You can't just leave those who created the problem in charge of the solution."---Tyree Scott

The Aspie Corner's picture

@Steven D to do so. In any case, thanks for the shout out.

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Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.

Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.

WoodsDweller's picture

if Biden makes it to Iowa. But I've been wrong before.

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

snoopydawg's picture

@WoodsDweller

Biden wins. Bernie won more states than what was counted because of the super delegates and other shenanigans. Remember when the exit polls didn't match up with the votes so the media just quit doing exit polls.

Plus if not all the votes are counted then it's easy for Biden to win. I don't know if all the votes from California have been counted yet. And remember what happened in Florida with Canova, DWS and Snipes.

But let's blame Russia for Herheinous losing.

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A leftist is someone with morally correct politics. A liberal is someone who wants to feel morally correct w/o ever putting themselves at odds with power or costing themselves opportunities or experiencing the uncomfortable emotions that truth causes.

edg's picture

All we gotta do is out-Trump Trump!! Easy peasy!!

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Pluto's Republic's picture

@edg

I thought the window was closing on that sentiment, but it seems to be open even wider.

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IMAGINE if you woke up the day after a US Presidential Election and headlines around the the world blared, "The Majority of Americans Refused to Vote in US Presidential Election! What Does this Mean?"

@Pluto's Republic

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I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

Is going to show the many clips of Joe creeping on little girls, the Republicans would be smart to hold off pushing them until the Dem convention picks Joe.

There is no way in all the realms that he survives those clips going viral.

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Orwell: Where's the omelette?

That was the 2016 primary, they might as well have their Trump too. Biden might be Hillary without the good points (ha!) but he’s also a Trump the establishment can trust.

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Idolizing a politician is like believing the stripper really likes you.

...I think Biden LOOKS a bit feeble (even in comparison to Trump and Bernie). And, while most folks might not get that, I do believe--for these most superficial reasons, especially after grinding through another 6, 8, or 10 months--he will not make it to the White House. I don't think he'll even win the primary.

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"Freedom is something that dies unless it's used." --Hunter S. Thompson

Bollox Ref's picture

results in Biden as the answer?

Same old, same old 'Democratic' party.

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Gëzuar!!
from a reasonably stable genius.

QMS's picture

these polls also may be made up bullshit. You give two possibilities. There are more. For the sake of argument. At least.
Sheesh

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@QMS
And I decided to address the premise as fact for now (i.e. Biden is overwhelmingly loved).

When his his support falls apart, which I've always suspected it will, I'll be celebrating.

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snoopydawg's picture

Besides being responsible for Trump's presidency, Obama will also have this as his legacy.

a president that oversaw the nationwide destruction of the Democratic party.

If Obama had been even a halfway decent president I doubt that Trump would have ever gotten close to the WH. But he wasn't and since people didn't want to see the continuation of the Bush presidency get it 6-7 terms they took a chance and voted for Trump. He did say things that people wanted to hear. Hillary just called people deplorables and told us that single payer would never ever happen. And she was promising more war. Gee. What's not to like?

I can't believe how many people think that Biden would be a great president. How can they not know how bad his time in congress was for the country? "Oh, but he seems so nice. I'm going to vote for him on this alone." Pffft..

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A leftist is someone with morally correct politics. A liberal is someone who wants to feel morally correct w/o ever putting themselves at odds with power or costing themselves opportunities or experiencing the uncomfortable emotions that truth causes.

Lily O Lady's picture

@snoopydawg

was portrayed as a somewhat bumbling embarrassment. Now we are expected to forget that previous portrayal in favor of this great statesman bs. The Memory Hole is really getting a workout.

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"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"

snoopydawg's picture

@Lily O Lady

during the time he was Obama's VP. This is why people think he's just a kind and funny uncle Joe type person, but in reality he is very ruthless. People have been posting lots of old videos on him when he was in congress. His talking about busing students, the crime bill, nafta, and the bankruptcy bill just to name a few of his crappy legislation.

He has put his foot down on apologizing to Anita. On his last attempt he again refused to say that he was sorry for how he treated her during the Thomas hearings. He says that he is sorry for how she was treated by others. This time he had his wife sitting next to him. I guess that means she supports him saying....
And he never says her name. Not that I've seen anyway.

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A leftist is someone with morally correct politics. A liberal is someone who wants to feel morally correct w/o ever putting themselves at odds with power or costing themselves opportunities or experiencing the uncomfortable emotions that truth causes.

Lily O Lady's picture

@snoopydawg

directed elsewhere. I won’t forget. He lacks courage and moral fiber.

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"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"

thanatokephaloides's picture

There is no way, NO WAY, on Gawd's Green Earth that I would ever vote for Biden.
I would sooner chew my hand off. I would sooner vote for f*cking Trump. Seriously. I would vote for Trump over Biden, and I think Trump is the worst president this country has ever seen.

I'd fuck Trump if it would guarantee no "President Biden". And he's really not my type, if you know what I mean.

Wink

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

Pricknick's picture

@thanatokephaloides
Rude and Crude.
Well done!

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@thanatokephaloides
useful. "No. I don't want Trump to win. I want Joe [Hillary] to lose."

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Joe can't fill a high school gymnasium it doesn't mean that all of those people at Bernie's rallies will vote for him. Or so I was told numerous times at dempublicanunderground.com in 2016.

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Not Henry Kissinger's picture

Says a four hundred person survey of DCCC members and their parents.

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The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?

Shahryar's picture

because she was the worst the Dems could have run.

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Pricknick's picture

@Shahryar
"You aint seen nothing yet".
[video:https://youtu.be/4cia_v4vxfE]

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

Trump won because he played on the fact that the Democrat leadership is repulsive to middle America. And they are -- smarmy, elite know-it-alls. And worse, they can't relate to middle America and have nothing to offer, since they have rejected progressive politics. I can see that clearly now. The liberal MSM absolutely refused to see American politics from the viewpoint of middle America, since they themselves are elite East/West coasters. All of the Dem leaders are repulsive, Pelosi, Schumer, Biden, Clinton, Obama, etc. The MSM just doesn't see this. I predict an easy win for Trump, if the economy holds and he does not get into a shooting war by 2020. Again the friggin MSM polls will be wrong, because we have an electoral college system and polls weigh the populated coasts too much. Remember, the incumbent has a huge advantage. The Clinton trap of Russian collusion has been destroyed, although the stupid Dems believe that they can bring it back from the dead, like a zombie. The Dems can't go after policy, because their's is the same as Trump's. So, they will once again be seen as too abrasive in their attacks on Trump and he gets a free pass to demolish Biden's image, a delightful task if you think about it.

Gjohnsit's repulsion of Biden is exactly what middle America feels and exactly what real progressives feel, including myself. There is no way that the MSM can ever realize this because they are in Biden's elitist social grouping.

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Capitalism has always been the rule of the people by the oligarchs. You only have two choices, eliminate them or restrict their power.