Alpha's Super Tuesday #3 Results Live Blog.

Hi guys, it's me again.

I will be dropping the results of the various states returns in here and just hanging out chatting as the results come in from today's Primary.

Drop in and join me if you are bored, we usually have a good time. Smile

Hope to see you in less than an hour!

GO BERNIE!!!! Lets see some UPSETS!!!!

A

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supenau's picture

The western portion, Crestview, Pensacola,Baker,etc...

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gulfgal98's picture

The time zone line is weird. It runs along the Apalachicola River but jogs way westward right before it hits the coast so that Apalachicola and several small communities to its west are still in the Eastern zone. The only large city in the Central zone is Pensacola. Smaller cities include Ft. Walton (Eglin AFB) and Panama City.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

supenau's picture

Hurlburt and Eglin plus P'cola...let's hope the military dems go for Bernie

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

I wonder if military is gonna split btw Bernie and Trump? Or if Trump's crazy is a bridge too far for them?

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

Smile

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

orlbucfan's picture

Florida panhandle is CST. I have a best friend who voted in NC, and she said it will be awhile before they call the state. So, who knows?

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

WoodsDweller's picture

my favorite version of this song. (If this slows down the thread load, let me know and I'll delete it).

[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmNBCyV4OOo]

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

Bisbonian's picture

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"I’m a human being, first and foremost, and as such I’m for whoever and whatever benefits humanity as a whole.” —Malcolm X

Borkrom's picture

I am not sure how this works, but just a suggestion can we move this thread to the Front page? Please!

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hester's picture

fp.

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Don't believe everything you think.

yes, front paged and stickied so it stays up top until it's over.

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Borkrom's picture

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Nate Silver on FiveThirtyEight:

The [demographic] numbers in Ohio jump out, since they suggest — in contrast to the polls — a very close race between Sanders and Clinton. After accounting for the uncertainty in the forecasts, the demographic model gives Sanders a 42 percent chance of winning Ohio, much better than the 3 percent chance that our “polls-only” forecast gives to him.

The news isn’t as good for Sanders in Missouri. There, the demographic model concludes that polls showing the race to be essentially tied are slightly too generous to Sanders; it forecasts Clinton to win by 9 percentage points.

In Illinois, the polls have been all over the place, with recent surveys showing everything from a 42-point lead for Clinton to a 2-point lead for Sanders. Our weighted polling average has Clinton up by 7 points there, and the demographic model is largely in agreement, forecasting a 9-point win for Clinton.

Finally, both polls and demographics imply that Clinton is likely to win by blowout margins in North Carolina and Florida. If Sanders were to win or come close in one of those states, it would be an even bigger upset than Michigan and would suggest that something fundamental had changed in the Democratic race.

I don't read Nate Silver all the time, so I don't know if he takes momentum into account. Hillary starts off everywhere with support based on name recognition - very few voters have never heard of her, obviously. Once the Bernie campaign gets his message out, the polls move his way. Close to Election Day, his excellent TV ads kick in. Tentative Hillary supporters switch over. Volunteers remind Bernie supporters to cast their votes. Polls are at best a snapshot - they don't always capture the accelerating erosion of Hillary's initial advantage.

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"We've done the impossible, and that makes us mighty."

WoodsDweller's picture

would suggest that something fundamental had changed in the Democratic race

My pearls! I must clutch them!

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

on politics. On sports, well, that's a different thing.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

MSNBC called Ohio for Hillary with 12 percent of the returns. Maybe they relied on exit polls.

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"We've done the impossible, and that makes us mighty."

WoodsDweller's picture

Linky

... annnnd they're live!

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

Alphalop's picture

No other info as of yet other than hazmat teams have been dispatched.

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Alphalop's picture

Maybe it was just his "Devils Dandruff" supply?

"I don't know what that powder is! It was in... Umm.... That envelope over there! Yeah... That's the ticket..." Wink

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

gulfgal98's picture

for his empty suit? Rubio was the establishment's chosen puppet. Unfortunately for him, he could not remember his lines. Blum 3

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

this thread will be front paged and stickied to stay at the top of the pages until it's over.

Good luck!!

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Alphalop's picture

We are Front Pagers!!!

I actually feel kinda privileged.. Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

gulfgal98's picture

What are you cooking for us tonight? Biggrin

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

pfiore8's picture

hubby does. but i love to eat.

i make a good roasted chicken, great veggie sandwiches . . . oops, i think The Young Turks are on... will be back

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“There are moments which are not calculable, and cannot be assessed in words; they live on in the solution of memory… ”
― Lawrence Durrell, "Justine"

hester's picture

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Don't believe everything you think.

538 live blog link

Here’s how the night should unfold: We’ll start getting exit poll data from all five states voting today — Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio — at 5 p.m. EDT. Then we’ll spend 2.5 hours both discussing what that data looks like and telling you to mostly ignore it.

At 7:30 p.m. EDT, polls close in Ohio and North Carolina, followed by Florida, Illinois and Missouri 30 minutes later (some polls in Florida close at 7 p.m., but 8 p.m. is the earliest networks will call the state).

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"We've done the impossible, and that makes us mighty."

from casting my vote here in Illinois. Go Bernie!

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hester's picture

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Don't believe everything you think.

Alphalop's picture

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Alphalop's picture

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

I added an "Add New Comment" editor at the bottom of the page, like it's done for DK5. So now you have a "Add New Comment" link at the top of the page and an "Add New Comment" editor at the bottom. That should make it much more convenient in long threads like this one.

Take note to still reply to specific comments by using the "Reply" link. The "Add New Comment" editor at the bottom is for adding a comment to the essay.

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GreyWolf's picture

thanks

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Alphalop's picture

It's so intuitive I didn't even realize I used it till after I used it and saw your post. Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Alphalop's picture

She is right at the same level as Hillary as far as voices I hear that make me cringe.

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

orlbucfan's picture

YUCKOLA!!!!!

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

gulfgal98's picture

You are the awesomest wizard of the blogs. Good

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

Alphalop's picture

(Even if it isn't the one I want from the Guardian yet...)

TYT and Guardian Feeds open? Check...

Excitement Level? Excessive.

Wierdness factor? Low. Corrective measures required. Initiate bong loading procedure and fill glass with Ice Cold Stella...

Helllllll Yeaaaaaaa.... I mean Check... Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

GreyWolf's picture

"Initiate bong loading procedure and fill glass"

Myself, pipe & rum & coke, but still very simpatico

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JayRaye's picture

I'm super busy tonight but will check in from time to time.

thx for the tyt link, fun to hang out with those guys.

Go Bernie. Go Bernie!!!

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Never be deceived that the rich will allow you to vote away their wealth.-Lucy Parsons

Alphalop's picture

and win some primaries!!!!

I am hoping Bernie continues to upset the Pundits and the Clintonites at the GOS. Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Borkrom's picture

I can not focus and think straight, so nervous about waiting- can not stand it. I need it now! Famous quote from a movie- anyone?

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WoodsDweller's picture

before we hear any results.

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

smiley7's picture

thanks alphalop for hosting.
Go Bernie; lets rock and roll!

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Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Alphalop's picture

Chris Matthews was downright sycophantic in his treatment of Hillary.

It was pretty gross.

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

gulfgal98's picture

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

Alphalop's picture

start to come in here is the Politico live link

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

CS in AZ's picture

I am still stuck at work today, two more hours to go, just waiting for the results later tonight and keeping fingers crossed. It's not over, whatever happens, the fight goes on. Bernie is here in AZ again today, not ignoring us or writing us off! Gotta love that! I'm so happy to have this group to hang out with while we wait. Smile

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Borkrom's picture

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Alphalop's picture

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Borkrom's picture

It is the old school in me. Thanks for acknowledging it.

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detroitmechworks's picture

I WANT IT ALL!

[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfLD-7bCtME]

And I want it now.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

Alphalop's picture

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

CS in AZ's picture

Wonder where they got that clip of Bernie? Too funny.

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Alphalop's picture

I am waaay to easily amused... Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

gulfgal98's picture

It is so funny! Blum 3

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

orlbucfan's picture

BARF!!

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

Alphalop's picture

for the protests at his rallies and she said, "Well of course he is gonna blame it on a Jew, He's Hitler!" LoL!

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

WoodsDweller's picture

Because Trump is starting to pivot to Bernie as his real opponent. Or at least hedging his bets.

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

Alphalop's picture

He knows he has TONS of ammo he can fire at Hillary.

There is literally NOTHING he can throw at Bernie that will stick and anything he tries will just make him look like a bigger asshole and galvanize Bernies supporters to work even harder to get out the vote.

I have said it since before either candidate declared that the ONLY way the Democrats can lose in 2016 is if we nominate Hillary Clinton.

Man did I have no clue how hard the DNC was gonna work to prove me right...

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

detroitmechworks's picture

Of certain guys I've played tabletop wargames with.

They set up their force to project MAXIMUM firepower in one direction, and do not move the entire game, save for a small group dedicated to taking whatever the objective is. They expect you to do the exact same thing, and leave the entire game up to a roll of the dice. Since they get to roll MORE, they figure they'll always win.

I guess it should be no surprise that i tend to win against that. I play with Heavy Cavalry/maneuver.

You'd be shocked at how many times I'm accused of cheating by these players, not realizing that they are the reason they keep losing.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

Alphalop's picture

Anyone that doesn't know the power of a mobile flanking anvil has never studied war. And war has a lot of similarities to politics.

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

pfiore8's picture

David Shuster ‎@DavidShuster
Shock Illinois exit poll:
Hispanics voting 65-35 @BernieSanders over @hillaryclinton.
If that holds, Clinton will lose IL. #DemPrimary
9:53 PM - 15 Mar 2016

1,021 1,021 Retweets 1,032 1,032 likes

be still my racing heart!!!!!!!!!!!

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“There are moments which are not calculable, and cannot be assessed in words; they live on in the solution of memory… ”
― Lawrence Durrell, "Justine"

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Alphalop's picture

were telling them over and over that they were switching from Hillary to Bernie.

To paraphrase myself from a comment on the GOS several weeks ago, "I think as more POC's get to know Bernie, the more they will trust him and Hillary's vaunted firewall will turn out to be nothing more than Flash paper once it is exposed to The Bern!" Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Gerrit's picture

I'm from the seventies Smile

BTW, Cenk says the TYT (Youtube) election coverage begins at 6:45 pm.

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Alphalop's picture

Or even if the Recent Comments tab on the side could "Float" on the side so it was always on the screen and just have it auto update would be good too...

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

browser doesn't work?

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Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

pfiore8's picture

On his site he's got a VOTE TRACKER:

Welcome to VoteTracker, the official Bernie 2016 app to track turnout on election day. Thank you for help.
Please use VoteTracker to report your community’s turnout at the polls today.
If you want to find your polling location, go to vote.berniesanders.com.
For issues at the polls, email help@berniesanders.com with details.
To get started, select your state:

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“There are moments which are not calculable, and cannot be assessed in words; they live on in the solution of memory… ”
― Lawrence Durrell, "Justine"

Alphalop's picture

Jump on over if you want to watch Mini-Bernie color in the map as he kicks Hillary square in the Vote! Wink

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Alphalop's picture

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

GreyWolf's picture

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pfiore8's picture

i am jabbing the enter to refresh CNN and dKos and here and so i think it's time to take a break.

make me happy when i come back, okay guys??? tell me something good

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“There are moments which are not calculable, and cannot be assessed in words; they live on in the solution of memory… ”
― Lawrence Durrell, "Justine"

gulfgal98's picture

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

WoodsDweller's picture

now starting if you aren't already watching.

https://www.tytnetwork.com/live/

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"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Borkrom's picture

I do not have too much hope for Florida, the only thing is that I hope for is it not immediately called.

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On TYT Cenk calmly intones... "Do not freak out / we are totally going to freak out."

Less than 10 minutes until the polls close in Florida.

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"We've done the impossible, and that makes us mighty."

Gerrit's picture

A map from 538:

koeze-oh-results-dem08.png

I'm interested to later compare this 08 map with this primary election.

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Granma's picture

That makes a difference for Bernie.

Also think we need new thread when results start coming in, please. And thank you for doing this, Alphalop.

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Borkrom's picture

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Alphalop's picture

So I don't want to abandon it. Smile

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"I used to vote Republican & Democrat, I also used to shit my pants. Eventually I got smart enough to stop doing both things." -Me

Borkrom's picture

Need to do some work, so keeping positive thoughts for everyone!

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moneysmith's picture

Any idea why Bernie couldn't get traction there? I find it very odd but don't know much about the state.

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Hell is empty and all the devils are here. William Shakespeare

gulfgal98's picture

A goodly number of Dems in Florida are conservative. I vote here.

Seriously I have no idea why people in Florida vote the way they do.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

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