America's hilariously, criminally incompetent Syrian strategy
Imagine if you will, the Three Stooges, armed with machine guns, spraying bullets into a packed theater because they saw a bad guy in the crowd.
That's America's foreign policy in Syria.
We've accomplished nothing but getting hundreds of thousands of people killed, while undermining our own standing in the region.
We've been messing with Syria since the CIA helped launch a coup d'etat in 1949. This includes a special forces raid in 2008, and CIA funding the opposition since 2006, and trained rebels since 2012, but I'm going to focus in our record since we began bombing Syria in 2014.
A $500m effort to train Syrian forces against the Islamic State has resulted in only a handful of fighters actively battling the jihadi army, the top military commander overseeing the war has testified.
“We’re talking four or five,” General Lloyd Austin, commander of US Central Command, told a dissatisfied Senate armed services committee on Wednesday.
The training initiative is Barack Obama’s linchpin for retaking Syrian territory from Isis. The Pentagon anticipated in late 2014 that it would have trained 5,000 anti-Isis Syrian rebels by now.
“The program is much smaller than we hoped,” conceded the Pentagon’s policy chief, Christine Wormuth, saying there were between 100 and 120 fighters currently being trained. Wormuth said they were “getting terrific training”.
Military officials will probably remain cautious about the program, given last year’s embarrassing attempt to build a Syrian force. It took months of vetting by U.S. officials to decide who to let into the program, raising howls of protest on Capitol Hill over the slow pace of building the force as ISIS gained ground throughout northern Syria. And things went only downhill from there. In July, the first group of about 50 trainees to cross back into Syria were ambushed by the al Qaeda affiliate Nusra Front. The fighters mostly scattered and the U.S. military was unable to account for their whereabouts, or their equipment.
Then in September, roughly 70 other trainees were forced to surrender most of their U.S.-supplied trucks and ammunition to Nusra once again, in return for safe passage through the group’s territory in northern Syria. By December, U.S. officials said there were fewer than 100 of the trained rebels still active inside Syria.
In Syria, militias armed by the Pentagon fight those armed by the CIA (LA Times, 2016)
Syrian militias armed by different parts of the U.S. war machine have begun to fight each other on the plains between the besieged city of Aleppo and the Turkish border, highlighting how little control U.S. intelligence officers and military planners have over the groups they have financed and trained in the bitter five-year-old civil war.
U.S. Military Battles Syrian Rebels Once Supported by CIA, Now Backed by Turkey (Newsweek, 2017)
C.I.A. Arms for Syrian Rebels Supplied Black Market, Officials Say (NY Times, 2016)
Weapons shipped into Jordan by the Central Intelligence Agency and Saudi Arabia intended for Syrian rebels have been systematically stolen by Jordanian intelligence operatives and sold to arms merchants on the black market, according to American and Jordanian officials.
Some of the stolen weapons were used in a shooting in November that killed two Americans and three others at a police training facility in Amman, F.B.I. officials believe after months of investigating the attack, according to people familiar with the investigation.
Blowback: ISIS Got A Powerful Missile The CIA Secretly Bought In Bulgaria (Buzzfeed, 2017)
A guided anti-tank missile ended up in the hands of ISIS terrorists less than two months after the US government purchased it in late 2015 — highlighting weaknesses in the oversight and regulation of America’s covert arms programs, according to information published Thursday by an arms monitoring group called Conflict Armament Research (CAR).
Though the report says the missile was purchased by the US Army using a contractor, BuzzFeed News has learned that the real customer appears to have been the CIA. It was part of the spy agency’s top secret operation to arm rebels in Syria to fight the forces of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The missile ended up in the hands of ISIS fighters in Iraq, according to the report.
US Dismisses UN Plea: Won’t Stop Bombing Civilians in Raqqa (Antiwar, 2017)
U.S. Strike on Syria Mosque Complex Was Legal, Defense Dept. Says (NY Times, 2017)
Dozens of Civilians Killed When U.S. Bombed a School And a Market in Syria (Intercept, 2017)
Russia accuses US-led coalition of 'barbaric' bombing of Syria's Raqqa (CNBC, 2017)
As criminally incompetent these articles prove our policies to be, none of them can match today's news.
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said in a speech at Stanford University on Wednesday that U.S. troops in Syria—thought to currently number around 2,000—would be remaining there indefinitely, even after all of ISIS’s territory has been retaken. What exactly those troops will be doing is unclear—other than finding themselves in the middle of a new and unpredictable phase of the Syrian conflict, where it’s getting harder to figure out just what side the United States is on, or what the sides even are.
Turkey Begins Operation Against U.S.-Backed Kurdish Militias in Syria (NT Times, 2018)
Turkish artillery fired shells into the northern Syrian region of Afrin on Friday as Turkey’s defense minister announced a military operation against American-backed Kurdish militias, despite warnings from the United States. The developments threatened to further destabilize a region fractured by seven years of war.
Now for an example of alternate reality: U.S. assessment on Russia in Syria: A 'strategic blunder' (CNN, 2015)
Because it's Russia that has made a strategic blunder in Syria, amirite?
Comments
This is what happens when entire departments are filled
with groupthink and sycophants. US foreign policy will continue to fail for as long as this is true.
"Obama promised transparency, but Assange is the one who brought it."
It's a good thing that Syrian lives don't count
Unless they are immigrants.
If they did count, then we've committed war crimes.
But are they really failing?
It appears to me that the attempt is three fold:
I'd say they are winning on the last two and the outcome remains to be seen on the first two. That's not so bad. The bankers are probably pleased with the progress.
A lot of wanderers in the U.S. political desert recognize that all the duopoly has to offer is a choice of mirages. Come, let us trudge towards empty expanse of sand #1, littered with the bleached bones of Deaniacs and Hope and Changers.
-- lotlizard
This is part of their plan
Think of it being just another for weapons deal for for the defense industry. Give weapons to one group and when they turn up in the other group purchase more to give to the first group again. Rinse and repeat ...
Profits Profits Profits
Too bad that innocent civilians get killed in the cross fire or their homes get destroyed. This is just the cost of doing business in this country.
Where is the remorse for this?
There were problems with running a campaign of Joy while committing a genocide? Who could have guessed?
Harris is unburdened of speaking going forward.
I'd add another...
wandering around today and a couple of days ago
Thanks for this post which contains a look at crazy behavior in Syria
This morning I read a long article in the New Yorker on the take down of the Mafia in Italy. I was just into the article and the thought occurred: that is how the corporations work here in the US. Apple moved $252 billion from its Irish subsidiary back into the US to save something like $50 billion in taxes. Sounds like a mafia operation supported by the government.
A couple of days ago I finished a great book
The Imagineers of War: The Untold Story of DARPA, the Pentagon Agency That Changed the World
If you want a story about early weapons research from a skunk works in the government, here it is. Right from the start, physicists are at the core of their work. Here is a video at a bookstore about this free wheeling agency that is best known for the Internet and self driving cars.
My background was in Math and I ended up in computer science teaching at Bucknell in 1973. I spent a couple of summers at NASA on a summer program for faculty started by von Braun. I was there when NASA was on the decline. But at Bell Labs starting in 1978 it was sorta like a skunk works and we were pushing the edges of technology.
This book shows how much technology has been linked to war since WWII. ARPA pursued the technology fix for warfare. There were counterinsurgency efforts, but they were drowned out by the gigantic military build up.
ARPA was one of the pioneers in drones which along with bombing has become our approach to war, even in areas like the Middle East as we see in Syria.
There has been NO LEARNING CURVE.
Pour in more and more money and make things worse.
Like participating in genocide in Syria right now.
The political and diplomatic effort has been a total failure and we continue ....
Pretraeus updated counterinsurgency from work done 40 years earlier...
In the background is The New Climate Regime, the most important political actor.
How will our children and our grandchildren look at us
The modern age pursued utopia through progress but with the earth as a stable stage, a backdrop. Under the new climate regime, politics and economics and sovereign states no longer work. This is a world wide issue.
In the meantime, the oligarchs grab anything they can and change the subject through wars and entertainers like Trump who has brought bridging contradictions to a new level - promising Utopia and going to the past at the same time. Like the fascists who bridged contradictions in an impossible strategy.
Here is a link to a book presentation on the ARPA and now DARPA book
https://www.c-span.org/video/?425602-1/sharon-weinberger-discusses-the-i...
The quotations above about the climate are from a review of Bruno Latour's book Facing Gaia
WE HAVE NEVER KNOWN MOTHER EARTH
Just think, the $Hill
would have had the place leveled and paved by now.
Innocent bystanders? "It's not how many lives we take, it's how many lives we save."
the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.
We know what those 2000 troops
are gonna do there. Bait. Sacrificial lambs. To be surrounded and captured and thereby giving legitimacy for full on invasion of Syria.
To rescue our brave soldiers.
Imperiled by a brutal Assad regime.
Neither Russia nor China is our enemy.
Neither Iran nor Venezuela are threatening America.
Cuba is a dead horse, stop beating it.
And Russia
There were problems with running a campaign of Joy while committing a genocide? Who could have guessed?
Harris is unburdened of speaking going forward.