“Learn the rules like a pro, so you can break them like an artist.”
Keeping our eyes on the bouncing ball is easier if we are aware of patterns. Relooking at similar historical events far enough in the past new documents have been released and secrecy pacts have expired. A review of Hidden History: the Secret Origins of the First World War by Gerry Docherty & Jim Macgregor’s Book shows Germany being tricked into war. Some of the same techniques are probably in play today with Russia and China.