Welcome to Saturday's Potluck - Jan 13, 2024

“Learn the rules like a pro, so you can break them like an artist.”
Pablo Picasso

Still working on better understanding the events of the early 1960's and the successful push towards world peace.

Nuclear Test Ban Treaty John F Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum.

Success in Moscow

President Kennedy selected Averell Harriman, an experienced diplomat known and respected by Khrushchev, to resume negotiations in Moscow. An agreement to limit the scope of the test ban paved the way for a treaty. By excluding underground tests from the pact, negotiators eliminated the need for the on-site inspections that worried the Kremlin.

On July 25, 1963, after only 12 days of negotiations, the two nations agreed to ban testing in the atmosphere, in space, and underwater. The next day, in a television address announcing the agreement, Kennedy claimed that a limited test ban" is safer by far for the United States than an unlimited nuclear arms race."

The Treaty

The Limited Nuclear Test Ban treaty was signed in Moscow on August 5, 1963, by US Secretary Dean Rusk, Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko, and British Foreign Secretary Lord Home—one day short of the 18th anniversary of the dropping of an atomic bomb on Hiroshima.

Over the next two months, President Kennedy convinced a fearful public and a divided Senate to support the treaty. The Senate approved the treaty on September 23, 1963, by an 80-19 margin. Kennedy signed the ratified treaty on October 7, 1963.

Then other forces started gaining momentum.

JFK murder plots planned in Chicago before Dallas assassination abc 7 Chicago Nov 5, 2013

The Omen in Chicago: the I-Team has discovered not just one, but two plots to cut down JFK in Chicago in early November, 1963, and an intriguing backstory of bungling by the government agencies protecting him.

President John F. Kennedy was never supposed to make it to Texas, never supposed to take this ride, and never supposed to die in Dallas.
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Records reveal one Chicago plot had been developed by radical Cuban exile Homer Echevarria, a known smuggler of automatic weapons and machine guns.
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The Cubans disappeared, just as a second Chicago plot surfaced.

At this intersection, a right wing radical under surveillance for publicly threatening Kennedy was arrested. Ex-marine Thomas Vallee had high powered rifles and ammo in his car trunk and was en route to a job that would give him direct aim at JFK'S motorcade as it exited the expressway.

An hour later, the White House scrubbed JFK'S trip.

The scheduled Dallas trip was not interrupted.

Kennedy was warned repeatedly in the days before Dallas about going into its hostile political environment. His friend Larry Newman said later, they tried to talk him out of it right until the last minute. But he just said, "If this is the way life is, if this is the way it's going to end, this is the way it 's going to end."
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The extent to which our national security state was systematically marshaled for the assassination of President John F. Kennedy remains incomprehensible to us. When we live in a system, we absorb and think in a system. We lack the independence needed to judge the system around us. Yet the evidence we have seen points toward our national security state, the systemic bubble in which we all live, as the source of Kennedy’s murder and immediate cover-up.

JFK and the Unspeakable by James W Douglas 2008 (pg 368-370)

A good recap of the book

Shortly after the assassination US culture experienced dramatic changes.

How America Changed the Beatles US News Jan 14, 2014

Many see the Beatles as the light at the end of a dark tunnel in American history – they arrived here months after the November 1963 assassination of President John F. Kennedy, the Cuban Missile Crisis and global tensions over the Berlin Wall – but their American debut was actually interrupted by JFK's death, which happened on the same day as the release of their second U.K. album, "With The Beatles." American television networks had planned to broadcast the news of the record release on their evening programs, only to postpone the segments in favor of the marathon coverage that followed Kennedy's assassination.

"For Americans at that point in time there was one crisis after another," Thompson says. "This is the era of kids routinely doing drills about how to survive a nuclear blast." But those same kids, members of the Baby Boom generation, were coming into their teenage years just as the Beatles looked to conquer their ears – and their wallets.

Also working to the Beatles' advantage was the rise of television, with the crises of 1963 cementing its place in American households. "Television becomes the place where everybody turns to see what is going on. It is the oracle in the living room," Thompson says.

The Beatles' Feb. 9, 1964, performance on "The Ed Sullivan Show" set TV records. An estimated 73 million Americans tuned in to their premiere performance, which played in 45 percent of homes with televisions in America at the time.

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The Austin Saga continues

Retired weapons inspector Ritter had a unique criticism of the situation and its seriousness. The problem is not limited to Austin, but includes all those responsible for using the concept of Mutual Destruction to prevent nuclear conflict.

Scott Ritter: Ukraine/Israel Views from MOSCOW. (49:34 min starts at 32:42 watch through 36:08)

One of the arguments Israel used to justify the bombing of hospitals was Hamas using them to perpetuate hostilities. The logic could be continued to implicate Defense Secretary Austin and the mainstream media confirming US hospitals such as Walter Reed are involved in military planning and initiating attacks on third parties. This may make US hospitals legitimate military targets.

Austin ordered strikes from hospital where he continues to get prostate cancer care, Pentagon says The Associated Press Jan 12, 2024

From his hospital room, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin first orchestrated and then watched in real time as the U.S. retaliatory attack on Yemen-based Houthi militants unfolded Thursday night.

Austin’s hospital-room leadership was the latest in a series of actions the defense chief has carried out from Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, where he has been recovering from complications due to treatments for prostate cancer.

At the moment I am ignoring the higher risk a geriatric person has of impaired cognitive function as an adverse reaction of drug therapy or a symptom of urinary tract infections.

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Pepe Escobar article this week.

Year of the Dragon: Silk Roads, BRICS Roads, Sino-Roads Strategic Culture Foundation Jan 12, 2024

As we enter incandescent 2024, four major trends will define the progress of interconnected Eurasia.

1.Financial/trade integration will be the norm. Russia and Iran already integrated their financial message transfer systems, bypassing SWIFT and trading in rials and rubles. Russia-China already settle their accounts in rubles and yuan, coupling immense Chinese industrial capacity with immense Russian resources.

2.The economic integration of the post-Soviet space, tilting towards Eurasia, will predominantly flow not so much via the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU) but interlinked with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).

3.There will be no significant pro-Western inroads in the Heartland: the Central Asian “stans” will be progressively integrated into a single Eurasia economy organized via the SCO.

4.The clash will become even more acute, pitting the Hegemon and its satellites (Europe and Japan/South Korea/Australia) against Eurasia integration, represented by the three top BRICS (Russia, China, Iran) plus the DPRK and the Arab world incorporated to BRICS 10.
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How did China get here? It’s quite enlightening today to revisit a 1996 tome by Maurice Mesner: The Deng Xiaoping Era: An Inquiry into the Fate of Chinese Socialism, 1978-1994.
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Blame it on Mao: he transformed China “from one of the world’s most backward agrarian countries into the sixth-largest industrial power by the mid-1970s.” On most key social and demographic indicators, China compared favorably not only with India and Pakistan in South Asia but also with “’middle-income’ countries whose per capita GNP was five times that of China.”

All these breakthroughs laid down the path for Deng: “The higher yields obtained on individual family farms during the early Deng era would not have been possible had it not been for the vast irrigation and flood-control projects – dams, irrigation works, and river dikes – constructed by collectivized peasants in the 1950s and 1960s.”
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As the Xi era definitely tackles – and tries to solve – the drama, what makes it even more complicated is the constant interference of the notorious “structural contradictions” between China and the Hegemon.

China-bashing is the number one politically correct game across the Beltway – and that’s bound to go out of control in 2024.

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Taiwan pole stations have closed.

Taiwan Election 2024

Lai Ching-te Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) candidate is leading early vote counts. (same party as current President)

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Last week we discussed the government funding secured by Microchip Technology to increase chip production, 72 million from federal CHIPS Act and 11 million from the state of Oregon. The cycle from accepting free money to expand a business,then saying the market is not healthy usually takes awhile longer than a week.

Computer chip maker announces furloughs at Oregon factory days after landing $72 million from feds The Oregonian Jan 11, 2024

Microchip Technology plans to furlough employees at its Gresham factory for two weeks in March, and possibly again in June, amid an unexpectedly steep drop-off in sales.
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“During times of business uncertainty, we sometimes ask our team to collectively participate in shared sacrifices such as short-term shutdowns so that we can remain fully staffed and avoid layoffs,” Microchip CEO Ganesh Moorthy said in a statement to The Oregonian/OregonLive.
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The Arizona company warned investors Monday that its customers cut their orders or shut down their own factories at the end of last year, delaying shipments into 2024 and reducing Microchip’s quarterly revenue. It said sales in the last three months of the year were down 22% from the prior quarter.

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A few thoughts on technology and its environmental impact.

AI poses a threat to our planet, but not the one you might think Russia Times Jan 6, 2024

Even as humanity eagerly embraces artificial intelligence despite misgivings on the academic and security fronts, AI’s hunger for energy and its carbon footprint are causing increasing concern. AI is often compared with fossil fuel. Oil, once mined and refined, is a lucrative commodity; and like oil, AI has a large environmental impact that has surprised many.

An article in the MIT Technology Review says the life cycle for training common large AI models has a significant environmental impact, reporting that “the entire process can emit more than 626,000 pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent—nearly five times the lifetime emissions of the average American car (and that includes the manufacture of the car itself).”

A research article by Alex de Vries of the VU Amsterdam School of Business and Economics also raises concerns over the electricity consumption of accelerated development in computation, and the potential environmental impact of AI and data centers. “In recent years, data centers electricity consumption has accounted for a relatively stable 1% of global electricity use, excluding cryptocurrency mining,” de Vries says.
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The MIT study has estimated that cloud computing has a larger carbon footprint than the entire airline industry. Furthermore, one data center may require the same amount of electricity needed to power around 50,000 homes.

Electricity is required to run high performance chips and cooling systems, as processors heat up while analyzing enormous amounts of data and producing accurate responses.

Oregon data centers fend off climate change, tax reform proposals The Oregonian June 27, 2023

Oregon data center operators were among the big winners in this year’s legislative session having dodged proposals to restrict their climate emissions and rein in their ballooning tax breaks.

Data centers are among the state’s biggest energy consumers and largest tax break recipients, collecting incentives worth more than $180 million last year. Amazon secured new property tax breaks worth $1 billion from tiny Morrow County last month.
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Amazon fought hard against House Bill 2816, spending more than $93,000 on lobbyists in the first three months of the year – among the biggest tabs by any company during that period. The company faulted the bill for imposing clean-energy mandates without providing any incentives to connect renewable energy projects to the regional electrical grid.

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What is on your mind today?

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studentofearth's picture

American citizen Gonzalo Lira dies from neglect in Ukrainian prison The Grayzone Jan 12, 2023

Emails reviewed by The Grayzone show that after learning of his son’s illness, the senior Lira urged the embassy to intervene on January 3. In a message to US officials, he noted that Ukrainian authorities appeared to make an effort to conceal information about Lira Jr.’s health from his family and legal representatives.
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“I cannot accept the way my son has died. He was tortured, extorted, incommunicado for 8 months and 11 days and the US Embassy did nothing to help my son,” Lira Sr. stated in an email announcing the news.

“The responsibility of this tragedy is [with] the dictator Zelensky with the concurrence of a senile American President, Joe Biden,” he wrote, adding: “My pain is unbearable. The world must know what is going on in Ukraine with that inhuman dictator Zelensky.”

As the world’s attention shifts from the Western proxy war in Ukraine, Lira Sr. joins the hundreds of thousands of fathers now grieving the deaths of their sons. Unlike most of them, his son did not die on a battlefield, but in prison for condemning the war that doomed so many to an ignominious fate.

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Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.

-
Good morning good people.
Found Pepe Escobar's article interesting.
The confluence of economic factors seems to favor
a meaningful development of the Eurasian bloc.
BRICS +, SCO, EAEU and other factors align integration
without Western interference. With Russia at the head of
this years BRICS consortium and their strengthening ties
with China, the western hegemony will be further sidelined.
~

YearOfTheDragon.jpg

~
Thank you for assembling this Potluck. Velly intelestink!

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Lookout's picture

A chilly one at 30F here. Trade day was a bust, but did see one of my buddies. Recycled and groceried while in town. Snow Monday night and Tuesday AM...we'll see.

Looking forward to the ICJ ruling...I think.

Pepe, as usual, is probably correct in his 2024 predictions. Had not heard of the Chicago attempts on JFK. Thanks for the spectrum of links you provided today....and of course the OT!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout

It seems that Netenyahoo has decided that it is a "heads he wins tails Hamas looses situation".

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2024/01/13/Netanyahu-says...

Israel will not be deterred by the International Court of Justice from pursuing its Gaza war until total victory, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Saturday, after South Africa lodged a lawsuit alleging genocide against the Palestinians.

“No one will stop us - not The Hague, not the Axis of Evil, no one,” Netanyahu said in a televised address.

Netanyahu also said that a decision had yet to be made about a potential military takeover of the “Philadelphi Corridor” along the Gaza Strip’s border with Egypt.

Telling reporters that sealing off the zone to isolate Hamas was an aim of the Gaza war, Netanyahu said “there are a number of options,” including moving forces into Philadelphi. “We have looked into these and have yet to make a decision,” he said.

Seeing that I and likely most of you was unaware of “Philadelphi Corridor” I did some research and found this.

It is difficult to describe in few words but information can be found at this link.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philadelphi_Route

The Philadelphi Route, also called Philadelphi Corridor, is a narrow strip of land, 14 km (8.699 miles) in length, situated along the entirety of the border between Gaza Strip and Egypt.

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with Iran.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-67967233

President Biden says the US has delivered a "private message" to Iran about the Houthis in Yemen after the US carried out a second strike on the group.

"We delivered it privately and we're confident we're well-prepared," he said without giving further details.

The US said its latest strike was a "follow-on action" targeting radar.

Iran denies involvement in attacks by the Houthis in the Red Sea.

However Tehran is suspected of supplying the Houthis with weapons, and the US says Iranian intelligence is critical to enabling them to target ships.

Joint UK-US airstrikes targeted nearly 30 Houthi positions in the early hours of Friday with the support of Western allies including Australia and Canada.

A day later, the US Central Command said it carried out its latest strike on a Houthi radar site in Yemen using Tomahawk land attack cruise missiles.

A Houthi spokesman told Reuters the strikes had no significant impact on the group's ability to affect shipping.

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enhydra lutris's picture

at farmers' market today, but most of the vendors were there all the same. There weren't too many customers, but that may have been a timing thing too. No Jalopeños or other chilis, but a nearby supermarket had all types in good supply, all imported from Mexico. I guess the local season is officially over.

Israel has been above the law since 1947, and in some respects well before that. I don't expect any real changes so long as they have US backing.

Year of the Dragon, 1940 and every 12 years thereafter, but starting in February. Good luck for Monkeys, Roosters and Pigs, less so, but still ok for oxes, rabbits. goats and dogs, arf, arf. Should be good for Wales and the Welsh but bad for Brits with their thing for St. George. The Dragon, generally, is power, nobleness, honor, luck, and success. The US, of course, has military power, but not necessarily economic, ethical or social power, lacks nobility and honor and is at least a carrier of bad luck, if not directly unlucky itself. Success? Only for a few. Dragon should not effect federal, for almost all politicians are bought and beholden and hence not possibly archetypal.

be well and have a good one

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

soryang's picture

Taiwan Election Live Results

Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party becomes the next president, defeating his opponents Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang and Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People’s Party. The victory represents an unprecedented democratic milestone: the first time a political party in Taiwan has won a third straight presidential election. However, the DPP lost its majority in the legislature, and no one party will have enough votes to rule by itself.

No party has secured a majority in the legislature. The previous main party, DPP, lost 10 seats, the KMT gained 14 seats and the TPP gained three seats.

Over the prior eight years, the DPP’s control of both the executive and legislative branches of government gave the party greater ability to pass bills and effect meaningful change.

There is a map showing the distribution of votes by party.

Thanks SOE for the potluck. James Douglas book on the JFK assassination is one of the best, if not the best. The far right in South Korea or the so called "new right" which is running the Yoon administration is obsessed with their Joe McCarthy like, anti-communist agenda.

I'm getting a lesson on the Yoon Seok-yeol deutgul butae (윤석열 댓글부대 comment/chat room corps) from Voice of Seoul News. Apparently Kim Jin-seong, the person who stabbed Lee Jae-myung in the neck, posted there. Not that often over a period of years (25X). The rhetoric sounds just like his justification document, that is the small part from which the police released an except. It's over the top anti-communism. Anyone who opposes the right, must be a communist, blah, blah, and that's why we've got to get rid of (fill in the blank), etc. Now it's anyone who opposes Yoon, including judges apparently, as Lee is still not in jail.

It's quite amazing how the regular media is overlooking the considerable evidence that police are deliberately limiting the scope of investigation, "it was an individual crime, etc." They are not considering or following up on leads which suggest a plot to kill Lee which appears to have involved considerable planning and some outside support. The whole controlling the media message is so elaborate I won't go into it here, because there is already enough to write a book on this particular episode.

It's said that a so called Joint Counter-terrorism Center, under the office of the Prime Minister Han Duk-su is directing the actions of the police, which are either grossly incompetent or outright suppression of evidence. Someone is apparently feeding the story lines to media traditional and social to minimize the crime and distract from its political significance. Also to minimize the dissemination of facts surrounding the assailant and the crime to minimize it's import.

I'm relying on independent media in South Korea, who post news and commentary videos on youtube. It looks like the regular media, including Hankyoreh, which is center left, won't touch this. I'm also relying on my own legal/forensic training from years ago to weigh what I hear. It just doesn't seem as if the police or anyone else is serious about the investigation. That's a best case interpretation. It appears to be more of a state conspiracy or one of the cynical schemes of power struggles in the old dynasties, depicted in the better South Korean historical dramas.

I heard one former police officer who later became a member of legislature, who was prosecuted on some bogus political charge, directed by Yoon during the Moon administration. On OhMyTV News, he described Yoon as vicious prosecutor, who even now as president, if you oppose his views, will investigate, indict, and prosecute without any reservations. It doesn't matter whether you were guilty or not, he would make you guilty. Even if one isn't ultimately sentenced and imprisoned, or one's family members aren't imprisoned or sanctioned in other unfair ways, the legal and emotional costs are so great, some commit suicide. Lee has been (so far) successfully opposing Yoon, so he needed to be killed. That's the working hypothesis. Lee has shown unbelievable courage, as anyone who understands how things work in South Korea, knows. He appears to be eager to return to the struggle. The stakes are extremely high. The assassination attempt was in Busan Jan 2. The shock waves continue.

Come back to Busan Port by the great Jo Yong-pil

lyrics translation

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語必忠信 行必正直

@soryang @soryang historical significance of that song, but it is clear that immense audience did! What a fan base!
US elections do not make a difference, but here's hoping that somewhere in the world, they do.
You have a great weekend, soryang, and a day of observance and reflection on MLK Day on Monday.
We should all do that, friend. Everywhere in the world.

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

soryang's picture

@on the cusp @on the cusp ...in South Korea. The Moon administration made a difference in South Korean foreign policy. As far as domestic policy goes, it was a disappointment to some, but even there at least it was somewhat competent as opposed to the previous Park Geun-hye administration. She was a kind of nostalgia vote for the conservatives who love the old dictators, particularly her father, the dictator Park Chung-hee. The elections that make a difference however are sometimes preceded by massive demonstrations and strikes and other public resistance.

If Lee stays alive and become president, ordinary people would have significantly better lives in South Korea. They would also have a more balanced, independent and safer foreign policy than Yoon's, who really is just a pro-neocon clown subservient to the US and Japan at Korean expense. His rivals in his own party complained Lee was not a politician but a celebrity and their party shouldn't be changed into a "fan club." This is just jealousy. Lee is the real McCoy when it comes to serving the people. Some of DINOs left the democratic party when the assassination attempt wasn't successful.

Lee worked his way up from being dirt poor and handicapped. I think he entered law school without having finished high school formally because he had to work to support his family. As a lawyer he did labor rights and human rights. I feel the same way about him as I do about MLK. All the recitals in the media about him being controversial and a criminal and all that, frankly is bs. He's only controversial with the corrupt elites who can't stand him. They'll do anything to get rid of him. That's the problem.

As far as the historical significance of the song, it's not clear to me which if any specific event, the song relates to. Most likely, would be the colonial relationship with Japan, where people left to go there voluntarily or not from Busan to work in Japan. Sometimes it was just economic circumstances, as in Pacinko, the book and netflix drama; sometimes it was for forced labor in Japan or Sakhalin, or forced military conscription in the Japanese Imperial Army mostly to fight in China or work in Japanese factories. Many did not come back. It could perhaps be understood as a reference to soldiers going to Vietnam to fight. Being vague on that point of reference helps millions of Koreans relate to the song. This is my historical interpretation fwiw. I know also from recent reading that many Koreans who were in the merchant trading business made connections to Japan and China for centuries from Pusan. I'm sure many didn't come back. I visited Busan three times when I was stationed in Seoul. Very beautiful area there next to the sea.

Hope you have a great holiday as well OTC.

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語必忠信 行必正直