So I wrote a diary responding to the 'Why Hillary is Winning' stuff.

Here it is for those of you who won't see it over there.

If you really want to understand why Clinton may very well not win

Pretty much everyone agrees that she had every single advantage a candidate could wish for going into this campaign. Yet, here we are in April and she doesn’t have it locked. In fact, the momentum is going against her. Why is that? Why?