It's not a controversial statement to say that in an election year where the public overwhelmingly believes the country is on the wrong path, and the government is corrupt, it's a risky strategy to nominate a candidate under criminal investigation by the FBI for ‘wrongdoing’.
I'm sure I'm not the only one to have noticed this.

But there is another potential risk that has been largely overlooked.

"I’ll defend President Obama’s accomplishments and build upon them."
- HillaryClinton.com

Hillary has essentially declared herself the defender of Obama's legacy.
That'll play well with fellow Democrats, where Obama is popular, but its a much more risky strategy with Independents, who don't particularly like the president. Hillary was already despised by independents, so it appears she has given up on gaining their favor.
This looks especially dangerous when you factor in Hillary's failure to energize the Democratic base to turnout and vote in the primaries.

Some people may not be so enchanted with Obama's record

In 2008, during the deepest recession in 75 years, 13.2% of Americans lived below the government’s official poverty line. The Great Recession officially ended in June 2009, but in 2014, after five years of economic expansion, 14.8% of Americans were still in poverty.

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The hidden danger of running on Obama's record is what happens if the economy turns down between now and November?
Promising "more of the same" won't go over well with voters. Not. At. All.
Most Americans are one paycheck away from the street.

Is this a hypothetical question? You tell me.
On January 13, President Obama described the economy as "strong" and "durable".
Two weeks later CNN described the economy from the Q4 GDP report as "grinds to a near halt".
Consider manufacturing.

A key report on U.S. manufacturing in January showed the sector contracted for the fourth straight month but the pace of deterioration stabilized.

Fortunately, since our manufacturing sector has been gutted over the past generation, we are a service economy. Which makes this report alarming.

We just got the clearest sign yet that something is wrong with the US economy.
Markit Economics' monthly flash services purchasing manager's index, a preliminary reading on the sector, fell into contraction for the first time in over two years.
...
Wednesday's data shows "a significant risk of the US economy falling into contraction in the first quarter," according to Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit.
According to Markit's release, business activity was slammed by scarce new-work opportunities, as clients lacked confidence in the economic outlook, and snowy weather on the East Coast.
Markit noted that service providers had the weakest business outlook in nearly six years.
"Slumping business confidence and an increased downturn in order book backlogs suggest there's worse to come," Williamson wrote.

Bloomberg on corporate earnings

While bulls cling to predictions that profit growth will resume for Standard & Poor’s 500 Index companies in 2016, analysts just reduced income estimates for the first quarter at a rate that more than doubled the average pace of deterioration in the last five years. Forecasts plunged by 9.6 percentage points in the last three months, with profits now seen dropping the most since the global financial crisis, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Growing skepticism among analysts is another example of an economic truth, that once corporate income starts to fall across industries, it’s rarely temporary. Most of the downward revisions in projections came in January and February -- a clue as to why equities staged their worst selloff to start a year since 2009 and almost $3 trillion was wiped from share prices at the worst point.

Corporate America is not healthy. And if it isn't healthy it won't hire people.

A Moody’s Investors Service tally of the least-creditworthy companies rose by 10 to 274 this month, pushing it nearer to April 2009’s record 291. The list comprises companies rated at least six notches into junk territory with a negative outlook–which suggests a further downgrade could come soon.

What does this have to do with the chances of recession? Everything.

Since corporate profits turned negative in mid-2015, Wall Street has pondered whether it's just a passing phase or a signal of something worse. History strongly suggests the latter.
Recessions have followed consecutive quarters of earnings declines 81 percent of the time, according to an analysis from JPMorgan Chase strategists, who said they combed through 115 years of records for their findings.
The news gets worse: Of the remaining 19 percent of the time, recession was only avoided through either monetary or fiscal stimulus. With the Federal Reserve holding limited easing options and a deeply dysfunctional Washington thwarting a fiscal boost, the prospects for help are not good.

Reuters on global shipping

Dry bulk shipper Golden Ocean Group CEO, Herman Billung, to an industry conference on Thursday:

* "In the coming months there will be a lot of bankruptcies, counterparty risk will be on everybody's lips.

* "The market has never been this bad before in modern history. We haven't seen a market this bad since the Viking age. This is not sustainable for anybody and will lead to dramatic changes.

Junk bonds are signaling a warning

The junk-bond market is indicating a 44 percent chance of a recession in the U.S. within one year, according to Martin Fridson, a money manager at Lehmann, Livian, Fridson Advisors LLC.
“I am not an economic forecaster -- this is what the market is saying," said Fridson, who started his career as a corporate-debt trader in 1976. "There are lots and lots of caveats, but if you accept all of the assumptions, it’s a pretty startling comment."

In energy producing states the energy bust means recession.

As economists size up the chances of the first nationwide slump since 2009, pockets of the country are already contracting. Four states -- Alaska, North Dakota, West Virginia and Wyoming -- are in a recession, and three others are at risk of prolonged declines, according to indexes of state economic performance tracked by Moody’s Analytics...
Louisiana, New Mexico and Oklahoma are all at risk of recession, according to Moody’s. Wyoming and North Dakota’s economies have declined for at least the past 10 months, according to the Philadelphia Fed.

In Silicon Valley, venture capital funding is drying up while the Tech IPO bubble has completely burst.

The Tech Bubble has been compared to the Titanic right after hitting the iceberg, but before the ship began sinking.

There is one other bubble in the economy that doesn't get noticed as much, but it most resembles the subprime bubble of 2008 - subprime auto loans.

“What is happening in this space today reminds me of what happened in mortgage-backed securities in the run-up to the crisis,” U.S. Comptroller of the Currency Thomas Curry warned in October about the auto loan bubble.
And his warning is now becoming reality.

Of course the stock market is still roaring. So how's that working out?

The companies losing money on these bets are down a collective $126 billion over the past three years, a decline of 15 percent.
Many corporations would have been better off investing that cash in an index fund instead of their own stock. The overall market rose 39 percent over the same period.

We may barely escape a recession, or we may not.
But Hillary made a political decision that could gain her the nomination, while badly wounding her chances in the general election.