Good news for Jeremy Corbyn might be good news for Assange
Labour could capitalise on the Brexit delay to sweep into power, with the Tories set to lose 59 seats in the event of a general election, according to Electoral Calculus research for The Sunday Telegraph.
The analysis is the latest in a clutch of surveys which point to a collapse in the Conservative vote, with two other polls this weekend putting support for the party at its lowest in at least five years.
The Electoral Calculus poll of polls carried out between 2 and 11 April indicated Labour would become the largest party in the Commons, with 296 seats against the Conservatives’ 259.
I pointed out that Assange had a slim ray of hope based on certain things lining up, and Corbyn becoming PM was the most important of those things.
The good news here is that a general election happening this year is almost baked into the cake.
The bad news is that PM May got a Brexit extension through October. Assange's extradition hearing is in June, although that could drag out if Sweden decides that they want Assange.
The extradition of Julian Assange to the US for exposing evidence of atrocities in Iraq and Afghanistan should be opposed by the British government.pic.twitter.com/CxTUrOfkHt
— Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) April 11, 2019
Even if Sweden doesn't ask for Assange, the extradition process may just give Corbyn enough time.
The UK is pursuing Assange’s extradition on behalf of the US government, but extradition cases between the two countries are complex affairs. Assuming the defendant doesn’t agree to surrender and contests the removal, there are not only multiple levels for appeals, but multiple forums, too. Defendants have spent years in custody as they fought extradition — one terrorism suspect, Babar Ahmad, who eventually pleaded guilty, was arrested in the UK in 2004 and held for eight years before he was extradited to the US in 2012.
There’s a good chance that however long it takes, Assange will remain behind bars.
It's not good that he'll spend years in prison in the UK, but that's still better than the show trial and black hole he'll face in the U.S.