Bernie's Magic Carpet Ride T-10: NY Polling Trend Lines

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We're featuring the NY polls every day until the election in 10 days on 19 April. NY has 247 delegates at stake. Plus, the little matter of momentum and narrative.

Bernie met the delegate math target in his WI win of 57% and will get another little bounce in Wyoming today. Then the magic carpet flies high as it can to get over the NY wall. Have you been noticing all the tremors beneath the other campaign and all the little cracks spreading throughout the NY wall? Cool, eh?
Below are the graphs from Huffpo. Also, Steppenwolf.

Here's Steppenwolf with my NY election prediction.

NY Race

T-10

There has been only one new public poll in NY this week, the Emerson auto-dial poll. It gave Clinton a 56-38 lead, larger than the week-long static poll aggregate of 53-43. Emerson gets a C+ rating from 538.com. I wonder which age bracket self-selects into an auto-phone dialler? Hmm :=) I bet the next poll auto-corrects this little stinker.

T-11

BTW: I wrote this on 1 April:
"The Bernie campaign turned the corner last night and the magic carpet ride is on. "All right, G! What are we smoking today?" :=) I've watched a whole lotta Bernie speeches. Last night's speech was in a whole different league. Remember the pleas for Bernie to "draw the contrasts" sharper? Heh, heh, heh, if you watched last night's speech, you woulda done the same chair dancing I did. He waited until NYC. Why? Bernie is smarter than us."
I stand by that even more today, T-11 :=)
http://caucus99percent.com/content/bernies-magic-carpet-ride-victory-beg...

National Race

The national trend lines are looking very pretty as Bernie starts to check into the passing lane.

Update: from the Department of The Dogs Bark But The Caravan Marches On
Have a look at this nonsense from Bloomberg. We're gonna keep old Helmut here and laugh at him on 19 April.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-04-06/clinton-can-t-get-...

Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at New York's Stony Brook University, said while Sanders has been “on a roll” lately, Sanders would need to buck historical trends and peel off a significant chunk of those superdelegates to have a shot at turning the contest around. He said New York is one of his last chances to make that case.
“If she lost, that would be a shock and that might really put some pressure on super-delegates,” Norpoth said of the New York primary. Given Clinton's deep political connections in New York, however, and a significant minority voting population more likely to favor Clinton, Norpoth said, Sanders is likely to find that “New York's going to be very difficult.”

Tsk, tsk, tsk, "very difficult"...bit of a faux clutch of faux pearls there, eh, Helmut?

Peace be with us, if we toughen our minds and work hard for Bernie's campaign,
gerrit

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said after the Q poll came out (54-42) that neither campaign believed that they gap was that large.

The Emerson poll is an outlier.

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Gerrit's picture

the ground are moving so fast now. Bill C set her black vote on fire yesterday with the BLM disaster. And Bernie's barnstorming across the state full-time now. W00t!

Enjoy your day my friend,

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