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Open Thread - 03-20-2026 - Tangled Web of Life

The contrast could not be greater. This evening listening to the steady croak of frogs. The first calf of the season should arrive this week. Canadian geese have been flying in pairs looking for nesting spots. Periodic Osprey calls pierce the air. Daffodils and first wave of fruit trees in bloom.

The economic changes caused by US actions are just starting to show. My heart is heavy with sadness on the loss of life, destruction of communities throughout Western Asia and anticipated changes throughout the world.

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The war plans being used were developed before drones were a big deal.

Cheap Iranian drones destroying billions: The Radical Asymmetry of Modern Warfare (5.53 min)

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Victor Gao rejects the concept we are experiencing a conflict between Western Rule of Law vs BRICS path to multipolarity. He elevates the attack on Iran to a war against mankind. It is a thought provoking interview regarding how he frames the problem US and Israeli leadership inflicted upon the world.

Victor Gao: "You DARE to invade Iran. Be prepared for the CONSEQUENCES." | Ep. 15 March 17, 2026 (1:14:09 min)

Bio
Victor Gao- China’s Unofficial Voice to the World? Joel Wong July 2, 2025

Victor Gao is one of the most prominent Chinese voices in global media, often seen defending China’s policies and presenting Beijing’s worldview to international audiences. While not an official government spokesman, Gao plays a key unofficial role in shaping global perceptions of China—thanks to his unique blend of insider experience, academic rigor, and cultural fluency.

Born in 1962 in Suzhou, Gao first gained prominence as the English interpreter for Deng Xiaoping during China’s reform era in the 1980s. He later earned degrees from Beijing Foreign Studies University and Yale University, including a Juris Doctor from Yale Law School, and became a licensed attorney in New York. He has worked in diplomacy, law, finance, and academia, and now serves as Vice President of the Center for China and Globalization (CCG), a Beijing think tank.

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Comprehensive article.
Iran’s nuclear materials and equipment by no means ‘obliterated’ Asia Time March 19, 2026

he Trump administration’s demand, just two days before the attacks began, that Iran export its enriched uranium stocks represented a tacit acknowledgment that Iran’s government still had control of this material or could get access to it.

So, as airstrikes on Iran continue, an unclear fate faces several elements of Iran’s nuclear program, including:

  • its stock of enriched uranium;
  • its centrifuges for enriching more uranium, and parts for more centrifuges;
  • any equipment it may have for turning enriched uranium into metal, shaping it into nuclear weapons components and taking other weapons-assembly steps;
  • the documents and expertise from its past nuclear weapons program; and
  • its as-yet-intact nuclear facilities that are deep underground.

...
With just 100 centrifuges, Iran could further enrich the 60% enriched material to be 90% or more U-235 in a few weeks. That is the concentration needed for the nuclear weapon design that Iran was working on in the secret nuclear weapons program it largely stopped in late 2003.

Even without further enrichment, the 60% enriched material could be used in a bomb, either exploding with less power or using more material and explosives.

Beyond Iran using this material itself, there are other concerns. Nobody knows who might get it if Iran’s government collapses.

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China offers Taiwan energy security if it gives up sovereignty Taiwan News March 19, 2026

China’s Taiwan Affairs Office Spokesperson Chen Binhua told reporters in Beijing that closer integration with China could help address Taiwan’s energy challenges, particularly its reliance on liquefied natural gas and oil imports from the Middle East, per Reuters.

The war in Iran has disrupted shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. Taiwan sources roughly one-third of its LNG from Qatar, though authorities say alternative supplies have been secured for the next two months.
...
Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council pushed back against the claim, with Deputy Minister Shen Yu-chung (沈有忠) describing such efforts as part of Beijing’s cognitive warfare strategy aimed at undermining public confidence in Taiwan’s government.

The island has been thinking about its energy sovereignty. This report was published last summer.

Resilience or Reliance? Taiwan’s Struggle for Energy Security Taiwan Center for Security Studies July 16, 2025

Dubbed “Silicon Island,” Taiwan and its 23.4 million citizens have carved out a place on the global stage as a vibrant democracy and a powerhouse in semiconductor manufacturing, with chips alone making up around 15% of its GDP. But this economic strength masks a critical vulnerability: Taiwan, with its high population density, limited natural resources, and isolated position in the geopolitical landscape, imports over 90% of its energy. As an island with strained ties to Beijing and very little official participation in international energy frameworks, Taiwan’s dependence on foreign fuel makes it particularly exposed to supply shocks.
...
At the beginning of this year, the Taiwan Center for Security Studies hosted the 2025 Regional Security Tabletop Exercise (TTX), where a blockade scenario following Donald Trump’s election and the worsening of US-China tensions was simulated. In this exercise, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA), under the pretense of maritime inspections, targeted coal transports and LNG vessels to erode societal resilience and public morale, plunging Taiwan into a state of intense energy vulnerability. We found that Taiwan’s power grid would likely be the first to suffer due to geographical constraints, its current one-way power system, and dependence on imported fossil fuels. Even during peacetime, Taiwan faces disruptions in its supply chains due to typhoons and other natural events.

To address these risks, shifting toward bidirectional energy transfer could improve grid resilience by balancing supply during periods of high demand. Diversifying energy sources and investing in short-term measures such as LNG storage are also critical. Finally, decentralizing energy production and reducing reliance on the main grid through microgrids will be essential to strengthen Taiwan’s energy security.

Short-term solutions include improving energy storage, diversifying energy sources, and investing in LNG storage, though LNG is not a permanent fix. Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) present a flexible nuclear option but face regulatory challenges. Microgrids and decentralized systems can reduce grid dependency, but strong government support is needed.

________

A couple of articles I found interesting this week.

China grows military-grade rubber in Gobi Desert as war reshapes supply chains Interesting Engineering Jan 31, 2026

Far from China’s traditional tropical plantations, researchers have turned to the Gobi Desert as a testing ground for a new kind of strategic crop: high-value rubber-producing trees.

The effort reflects Beijing’s push to reduce its exposure to fragile overseas supply chains, as China remains the world’s largest consumer and importer of natural rubber, driven largely by its vast automotive and industrial sectors.
...
Turning a medicinal tree into a reliable desert crop required more than just planting it in the sand. The first major hurdle was genetics and to solve it, the research team built a dedicated breeding base in Lueyang county in Shaanxi, where Northwest A&F University is based.
...
In November, Zhu announced a breakthrough: a “rubber priority” extraction process published in ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering. The method combines low-melting-point, eco-friendly solvents with biological treatment for initial gum separation, followed by targeted steps to isolate the rubber. The result is a faster, greener process that significantly lowers energy and solvent consumption while delivering high yields and exceptional purity, making large-scale Duzhong rubber production more practical and sustainable.

Sheepdogs reveal a better way to guide robot swarms Techxplore March 18, 2026

Researchers at the Georgia Institute of Technology studied how handler–dog teams manage these unpredictable flocks in sheepdog trials and found principles that extend beyond livestock herding.

In a study published in Science Advances as the cover feature, the researchers applied those insights to computer simulations showing how similar strategies could improve the control of robot swarms, autonomous vehicles, AI agents, and other networked systems where many machines must coordinate their actions despite uncertain conditions.
...
"That's the counterintuitive part. When only one person has the right information, averaging can wash out the signal. But if you follow one person at a time, and keep switching who that is, the right information can spread through the crowd," Bhamla said.

Building on that idea, the researchers tested a strategy inspired by the switching behavior they observed in sheep. In the simulations, each robot paid attention to just one source at a time (either a guiding signal or a neighboring robot) and switched that source from one step to the next.
...
The researchers call their approach the Indecisive Swarm Algorithm. The name reflects a counterintuitive insight: allowing influence to shift among individuals over time can make groups easier to guide when conditions are uncertain.

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Then there is this convoluted mess beginning in the 1970's

The Hidden Epstein-Iran Connection Nobody's Talking About (31:30 min) March 18, 2026

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Comments

QMS's picture

.
There is way too much destruction in pursuit of 'energy dominance' by the US
and lust for land by IS. Greed seems to be the theme with these actors.
Unfortunately Iran is paying the price to check this aggression.

I like the idea of science learning from the behavior of sheepdogs.
Perhaps they could apply the lessons to social institutions as well.

Thanks for sharing your insights to this open thread and many others.

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6 users have voted.

Zionism is a social disease

QMS's picture

.
Trump compares first strikes on Iran to Japan's attack on Pearl Harbor.
Not sure he impressed Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi much
with his mental acuity. How to insult and be dumb about it at once.
Our leader!

and this from Caitlin -

The Warmongers Will Never Admit They Were Wrong And Will Never Learn From Their Mistakes

We need drastic revolutionary change, and we need it now!

~

https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/the-warmongers-will-never-admit-they?utm...

~

The opinions posted here do not reflect any policies of this site's administration.

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Zionism is a social disease

studentofearth's picture

@QMS during the Prime Minister's visit was a mocking insult.

Laughter in DC, Anger in Tokyo: How Trump’s Pearl Harbor Gaffe Ruined Takaichi’s US Visit ShanghaiEye 03-20-2029

Some opinions I read prior to her re-election were hopeful her feelings on Japanese nationalism would lead to reducing US presence. Time will tell.

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Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.

enhydra lutris's picture

Pleas tell me that we aren't starting another cycle of Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon Jeffrey Epstein, I don't think I have the patience for it.

It will be at least in the nineties today and our local hardware store's grden department will be getting in a shipment of tomato starts today so I'm gonna have to ge outside and prep the pre-selected planting bed for same early this morning, like rsn.

We've been cat sitting since the tenth and the owners should be here to retrieve their furball today or tomorrow and we need to strt packing for an up and coming trip to Cambria so what do I find on my calendar for today but Lab Work. I guess that will be happening Monday, 'cause I'm not running ut there today or tomorrow.

Fun Headline in today's Asia Times'

Iran and the Immanent Threat Mythology

(heh) subheaded: Washington’s threat industrial complex has spent decades warning Iran is days from hitting US — and the threat never arrives
How can "Threat Industrial Complex" not become the byword for the two-thousands? It is indeed the perfect summation of all things DC. It also appears that the magic health elixir that Chuck Norris has been promoting might not be all that special after all, because he just died.

That's as far as I got with the news today so far and it's time to get outside so

be well and have a good one

edit (2x), misc typoe bacon strikethrough

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

studentofearth's picture

@enhydra lutris but I will keep bring new information I find to my writings. I was a young adult at the time period being discussed in this interview heavily influenced by public education and mainstream media. Find it interesting to see some of the undercurrents shaping society the past 50 years.

From the video auto-translate

He was he was clearly a very talented guy when it comes to financing black operations black ops and we'll we'll we'll talk about this but let's go

back 1979 and the Islamic Republic take over Iran. The sha is ousted and and goes away and suddenly there's these students uh who are taking over the taking the country back and it's about to become an Islamic republic. Ayatali is uh brought back I think he was in France.
...
is also another important year because there's going to be an election in the following year. 1980 is going to be an a the US presidential election year which means 1979 is important for a couple of different people who are preparing for that. One of them is Ronald Reagan who is of course uh the the lead candidate for becoming president of the United States and does become president of the United States in December 20 uh um 1980. The other person who really wanted to become president during this period was a man called George HW Bush. Don't know if you know him. He was at the time the CI head of the CIA.
...
Stanley Pottinger had to persuade the CIA to do a iran contra. That's how important Stanley Pottinger. Rember this is Epstein's victim's lawyer. Epstein's victim's lawyer. This is the guy who goes on to represent Epstein's victims. And he is persuading the CIA to communicate with the Iranians through his guys. ...

Enjoy the trip to Cambria. Never made the turn off highway 101 to visit that section of the California coast

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Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.

enhydra lutris's picture

@studentofearth

be generating headlines even though the seemingly relatively direct connections are being more of less ignored. Sort of what is this sekret connection in terms of how remote the alleged connection is. It's sort of (my POV) we're dealing with a class of people who wll work for or with antbody, at anything so lont as they see potential personal benefit and hence are centainly all sufficiently interconnected that one can say there is a "connection" between any two, and especially between the legal beagles representing or advising any two. I'm just wondering if we are there yet. You know Sergei Lavrov -> Putin -> Hillary -> Epstein -> Prince Andrew -> Maggie Thatcher -> Idi Amin type of thing.

be well and have a good one

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

with sycophants.

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QMS's picture

@humphrey
.
and by association the trumpet dildos
screwing the people of west Asia.

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Zionism is a social disease

Pluto's Republic's picture

@humphrey

Not because of her take on Israel, but because she is on a refreshing truth-telling mission.

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7 users have voted.

squirm during this brief explosive video.

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QMS's picture

@humphrey
.
this is dastardly
to the nth degree.

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Zionism is a social disease

Pluto's Republic's picture

.

....while Cuba is being turned into a mini Gaza — a people trapped and set-up to starve in the dark. (because they are c ommunists, whatever that means.) This week, both China and Mexico were in Cuba helping to rescue people. The only two countries with true humanitarian decency.

Americans are just getting more inane and clueless. Complaining about Trump, now, is not a sign of intelligence.

I thought I could ride out the general dumb, but I can't be this close to it.

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by the nose.

The rest of the tweet:

appears to have been lifted almost verbatim from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

Side-by-side comparison shows the same historical events, in the same order, with nearly identical framing reworded just enougH.

WHAT IS FDD?
Founded in April 2001 as "EMET" (Hebrew for "truth," Its original IRS filing stated its mission was to "enhance Israel's image in North America." After 9/11 it rebranded and broadened its stated mission to counterterrorism.

It is funded by some of the most prominent pro-Israel billionaires in America: Bernard Marcus (Home Depot co-founder), Sheldon Adelson (casino billionaire), Paul Singer (hedge fund billionaire), the Bronfman family (whiskey heirs), Michael Steinhardt, Lynn Schusterman, and Leonard Abramson. All are prominent pro-Israel donors. In 2011 alone it received over $20 million. The UAE also wired $2.5 million through a cutout in 2018.

It has testified before Congress 17 times against the Iran nuclear deal. It has spent decades pushing for confrontational US policy toward Iran.

The United States went to war against Iran. The justification was written by an Israeli intelligence cutout. And the White House put it on official letterhead.

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studentofearth's picture

@humphrey Thank you for providing this information.

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Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.

Pluto's Republic's picture

.
.... of a fatal back-stabbing. Actually, it's one false-flag-betrayal after another — since the 1960s. (It's delusional to think an election can fix this.) Especially since the modern economy of the US is built from the profits of those betrayals.

The risk is now much greater. Voting will not reform what's wrong with the Neocon government. Key parts of the Federal government are privatized — or are compromised and dysfunctional. You will now need to make choices, and those choices could affect your fate for the long term.

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studentofearth's picture

@humphrey I used to point out the potential failures as a general method to assist others. Now I just praise the planners "that is nice" and monitor for the eventual failure. The lack of insightful expertise can be quit disruptive in the longterm.

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5 users have voted.

Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.

up
3 users have voted.

We are on the cusp of being completely overtaken with fake info and propaganda. Thanks for finding some remaining trustworthy news sources.
We hear virtually no news about the Gazan genocide, or the attempt to starve all Cubans to death, or the number of lost American military personnel in the Gulf states. Do the Maduros have lawyers? Do they have a court date yet?
Oh, well, it appears your weather is breaking good, hoping the calf birthing is trouble free. Enjoy your spring flowers and foliage, family and friends.
Great OT, friend!

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981