The Weekly Watch

Summer of Living Dangerously

Open Thread Image.jpg

I had a friend tell me they've not worried about nuclear war since they were a kid, but today he has the same fear of his youth mainly for his grandchildren. The world seems to be on the edge of nuclear conflict, driven largely by the aggression of both the US and Israel. I don't think I've ever seen a more incompetent, dysfunctional, and dangerous US administration in my life time.
It is not just a hot war which threatens the US, but an economic collapse stemming from international dedollarization due to the endless economic sanctions we levy against any and all countries which don't follow US diktats. Mix in an insane election between tweedle dumb and tweedle dumber, and you can understand my view of a dangerous summer ahead.

maxresdefault-3453231262.jpg

We're in a web of conflicts all influencing one another. The Gaza Genocide and probable Hezbollah invasion is bound to create both chaos and arms shortages. The Houthis continue to sink and damage ships as the US/UK navy is helpless. Ukraine is hemorrhaging men and weapons while refusing offers of peace. The western colonial powers are being out smarted and cornered ... that makes them dangerous.

Doug Macgregor does a good job weaving the conflicts together.

Col. Douglas Macgregor : IDF vs. Netanyahu plus many Ukraine insights. (32 min)

Let's begin with the Ukraine Proxy War
Will Ukraine survive until the November election? I don't see how with a death rate of close to 2000 Ukrainians/ day. Putin claimed this week that Ukraine is throwing it's soldiers away in an attempt for some sort of victory before the NATO summit this summer.

Vladimir Putin:
...The Kiev regime is reluctant to relinquish power or hold proper elections in accordance with the Ukrainian Constitution. This means that they will delay a ceasefire indefinitely. They have a vested interest in the Russian forces remaining in those territories because they are not interested in holding elections. That is the bottom line.
...
the Constitutional Court issued a decision in 2015 stating explicitly that the presidential term shall not exceed five years. So what are we talking about? The West simply does not want to replace him today because apparently, it is not the right time. I have already said this, and I believe that it should be obvious to everyone. He will be blamed for all unpopular decisions, including the reduction in the draft age, and he will be replaced later on. I believe that this will happen somewhere in the first half of 2025.
...
As for the Kharkov theatre, ...we know that the Americans and Europeans are mainly behind this. They are pushing the Ukrainians to drive our units to the state border at any cost – again, I want to emphasize this, to do whatever it takes – and they plan to present this as a major success in 2024 ahead of the planned NATO summit and later the elections in the United States.
...
I did say that we had no intention to advance to Kharkov and so on, but it is still a tactical theatre, and the enemy will try to present it as a strategic success – if they succeed. Let’s see what they will actually do. But this has already entailed heavy losses. I think that, most likely, the situation will develop in the same vein.

In 1 Day, Ukraine Loses Nearly 2,000 Soldiers, Says Russia; Putin's Army Unleashes 'Flamethrower'

Moscow asserted that Ukraine suffered 1,700 military casualties in a single day. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Zelensky countered, stating that Kyiv's forces were successfully pushing Russian troops out of Kharkiv.

Zelensky is trying to hang on to his illegitimate presidency.

DogsOfWar.jpg

It’s the end of the world as we know it Scott Ritter

The American-NATO rush toward nuclear war with Russia...
Putin took time from his visit to Uzbekistan to reply, warning that NATO members in Europe were playing with fire by proposing to let Ukraine use Western weapons to strike deep inside Russia. Putin said Ukrainian strikes on Russia with long-range weapons would need Western satellite, intelligence and military assistance, thus making any Western help in this regard a direct participant in the conflict. “Constant escalation can lead to serious consequences,” Putin said. “If these serious consequences occur in Europe, how will the United States behave, bearing in mind our parity in the field of strategic weapons? It’s hard to say,” Putin said, answering his own question. “Do they want a global conflict?”
...
In an interview to the British Telegraph newspaper given at NATO’s headquarters building in Brussels, Belgium, Stoltenberg said that NATO members were consulting about deploying more nuclear weapons, taking them out of storage and placing them on standby in the face of a growing threat from Russia and China. “I won’t go into operational details about how many nuclear warheads should be operational and which should be stored, but we need to consult on these issues,” Stoltenberg said.
...Stoltenberg’s statements... points to a dangerous shift in focus within both NATO and the US away from the concept of nuclear weapons representing a force of deterrence, and instead increasingly being seen in the West as a usable weapon of war.
...
The proactive utility of nuclear weapons form the standpoint of US nuclear doctrine, as expressed in the US Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) of 2010, where the US, while continuing to commit not to “use, or threaten to use, nuclear weapons against [NPT-compliant] non-nuclear-weapon states,” declared that “there remains a narrow range of contingencies in which US nuclear weapons may still play a role in deterring a conventional or [chemical and biological weapons] attack.”
...
Accusing the West of “lowering the threshold” for the use of nuclear weapons against Russia, Putin declared that Russia must now reconsider its own nuclear posture considering NATO’s apparent willingness to make operational tactical nuclear weapons—a clear reference to Jens Stoltenberg’s June 16 comments.
...
The United States and Russia are drifting closer and closer to all-out nuclear war. It is high time that the people who would pay the ultimate price for such folly decide, to borrow from the poetry of Dylan Thomas, if they want to go “gently into the night” of nuclear Armageddon, or instead “rage, rage against the dying of the light” by demanding better policy from their respective governments.
As for me, I choose rage.

Again the West is desperate and might use a first strike mini-nuke, as Ray McGovern often says.

Pepe Escobar on Putin Crushing NATO's Strategy

(42 min)
Here's a shorter (32 min) interview with the Judge if you don't have 42 minutes.
Pepe Escobar : World Reactions to Putin Peace Plan
Topics:
**The specifics of Putin's Peace Plan
**How different countries are responding to the plan
**The implications for global power dynamics
**Pepe Escobar's expert analysis on the situation
**Potential outcomes and future scenarios

Putin’s peace initiative is Russia’s fourth proposal on Ukraine, says top diplomat
"Had the agreement on the political settlement not been disrupted in February 2014, Ukraine would have now been within the 1991 boundaries that "it dreams so sweetly now," Lavrov said.
Ukraine itself "destroyed its territorial integrity with the hands of those who came to power through a bloody state coup and began to impose Russophobic and Neo-Nazi rules," Russia’s top diplomat stressed."

Another take on the Peace Plan and North Korean visit.
Dr. Gilbert Doctorow : Putin’s Peace Plan Panned
Both Gilbert and Scott Ritter see Putin's visit to NK as pivotal.

The Duran weigh in on the NK topic too.
Putin in North Korea & Vietnam, driving collective west crazy (20 min)

The BRICS multipolar world order is a welcome alternative to the mayhem of the Western-dominated system.

The principles of fairness and cooperation are laudable and necessary to implement.
Ahead of his trip to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Putin outlined the integrated vision thus: “We are also ready for close cooperation to make international relations more democratic and stable… To do this, we will develop alternative mechanisms of trade and mutual settlements that are not controlled by the West, and jointly resist illegitimate unilateral restrictions. And at the same time – to build an architecture of equal and indivisible security in Eurasia.”
...
U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration has ramped up aggression in the Asia-Pacific against China and North Korea with impunity. Under his watch, the US has increasingly moved nuclear forces into the region to intimidate not only Beijing and Pyongyang but also Moscow. The Biden administration has been assiduous in forming hostile military formations in the region with its NATO partners, including Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea.
...
The BRICS multipolar world order is a welcome alternative to the mayhem of the Western-dominated system. The principles of fairness and cooperation are laudable and necessary to implement. But such principles must be reinforced with military defense and security for all. This is far from the one-sided “defense and security” of the United States and its NATO partners, which in reality is an Orwellian cover for aggression.
The defense commitments given by Russia to the DPRK this week can be seen as long overdue. One may wonder how the U.S. and its allies got away with threatening the people of North Korea for so long and denying Pyongyang the sovereign right to self-defense. Admittedly, Russia did previously support UN sanctions on North Korea over its missile program. That’s over.

G7 is about to Commit Suicide as NATO Desperately Denies Losing the War | Alex Krainer

(42 min)

The Duran also discussed the topic as well
G7 and the decline of empire (20 min)

G7Italy.jpg

Suicide might be a good idea for these G7 leaders.

VOICES: 'Washington elite are detached from reality, harming G7 bloc'' - German scholar (6 min)
In view of the discussions of the G7 on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Stephan Ossenkopp, researcher at the Schiller Institute in Germany, said in an interview with Dragon TV’s Chen Bin, that without the participation of China and Russia the ‘Ukraine Peace Summit’ would be a failure.


Trump made an appearance on Sacks' podcast on Thursday
, covering a wide range of topics from taxes and tariffs to energy to artificial intelligence to foreign policy decisions to Ukraine to China to Covid to immigration and many other issues the Biden administration seems to be failing on.
(@ 20:22) foreign policy: ukraine/russia

According to the former president, one of the key issues was the rhetoric coming out of the White House.
“Biden was saying all of the wrong things. And one of the wrong things he was saying [was] ‘no, Ukraine will go into NATO’,” Trump said.
Sacks pointed out that in January 2022 or thereabouts, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken told Moscow that Ukraine would join NATO and that Washington thought it was OK to put nuclear weapons there. “So no wonder the Russians hit the roof,” he noted.
“Well, let’s say you were running Russia. You wouldn’t be too happy,” Trump replied. “And that’s always been off the table. It’s always been understood that that was a no-no,” he added, addressing Kiev’s potential NATO membership.
Floating the idea of Ukraine in NATO was “very provocative,” Trump said. “And now it’s even more provocative. I hear routinely they’re now talking about Ukraine entering NATO. And now I hear France wants to go in and fight. Well, I wish them a lot of luck!”

Not only is Trump declaring the obvious, so is Farage in the UK. Maybe the media will follow suit...but probably not.

Farage in the UK also said Russia was provoked.
UK's Nigel Farage says the West provoked Putin's invasion of Ukraine
...he posted on social media that the move was a "consequence of EU and NATO expansion". He said he had been predicting a war in Ukraine as early as 2014.
"It was obvious to me that the ever-eastward expansion of NATO and the European Union was giving this man a reason to his Russian people to say, 'They're coming for us again' and to go to war," Farage said
...Farage later posted on Twitter/X: "Putin was wrong to invade a sovereign nation, and the EU was wrong to expand eastward. The sooner we realise this, the closer we will be to ending the war and delivering peace."

SW Asia

Col. Lawrence Wilkerson : Turkey to Leave NATO and Join BRICS+

He also covers lots of ground in this volatile world. (24 min)

Powerful speech by Chris in the UK

Chris Hedges: Nero's Guests (22 min)

INTERVIEW:The IDF isn’t the mythical army it pretends to be, says Chris Hedges

The IDF is known as the ‘Diaper Army’ (no explanation needed). It would be suicidal for them if, as seems likely, they invade Lebanon (14 min)

Will the BRICS play a role? Pepe thinks they will.
Will the BRICS Shockingly Defeat Israel's Strategy? | Pepe Escobar (19 min)

The BRICS weigh in on Palestine

The gravity around the newly-enlarged BRICS constellation is drawing in Arab, Muslim, and Global South adherents to the influential group's message on international law, Palestine, and halting forever wars.
Bahrain – and the Arab League – recognize that the Russian position centers around what Putin had previously defined as the “UN formula”: an independent Palestinian state with its capital in East Jerusalem.
That happens to be the position of the BRICS-10 nations and virtually the whole Global Majority. Crucially, it is also the common position of China and the Arab world, reaffirmed in Beijing only one week after the Russia-Bahrain meeting.
The problem is how to implement the “formula” when the US hegemon, Israel's unconditional ally, has a virtual stranglehold on the United Nations.

There are many moving parts, and the probable invasion of Lebanon will be disastrous.

Moving towards Lebanon offensive (14 min)
The Duran explores the likelihood.

‘No place’ is safe if Israel starts war – Hezbollah

Hezbollah is prepared for a full-scale conflict with Israel, the Shia militia’s head Hassan Nasrallah has said. He also warned Cyprus that it could be targeted if it hosts Israeli forces.
...
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced on Tuesday that it had finalized “operational plans for an offensive in Lebanon.”
Responding to US calls for restraint, Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz said his country was “very close to the moment when we will decide to change the rules of the game against Hezbollah and Lebanon.” adding that “in a total war, Hezbollah will be destroyed and Lebanon will be hit hard.”
Israel’s last major confrontation with Hezbollah was in 2006, when a ground offensive into southern Lebanon resulted in high casualties and no military gains.

This is a powder keg ready to go off.

Hizbullah Ready To Defeat Israel
Hizbullah, with its number of forces exceeding 100,000 men, is well prepared for a fight. South Lebanon is criss-crossed with well prepared fighting positions and tunnels. More than 150,000 missiles, many of them long range, are ready to be launched against military and economic targets in Israel. The 2006 invasion of south Lebanon ended in an utter defeat for the Israeli army. There is no reason to believe that a renewed fight would have a different outcome.

The Zionist control the US. Glenn Greenwald uses Rep Bowman as an example...
AIPAC's Singular Ability to Remove Members of Congress (30 min)
They are spending millions in a primary race against Bowman, not because he doesn't support Israel, but because he is occasionally critical of the state.

Phil Giraldi : Israel’s Control Over America (24 min)
Phil also discusses Israel's out sized influence on the US political system

Curious how we consider our overlord, Israel, as an ally. The government is bought and paid for by the Zionists, and as Phil describes, the Zionists also control the MSM shaping public opinion.
I'm shocked at the number of people who think of Palestinians as terrorists, but not the Israelis.

BibiNeedy.jpg

Bib is due to address Congress in July. He's basically campaigning for Trump, and did not receive an invite to the White house during the trip.

There is an axis of resistance with actors like Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Hamas. However there is also an axis of assistance as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan have created a land bridge from the Gulf to Israel to bring in the goods the Houthis shut down in the Red Sea.
Lowkey explains. (25 min)
Rapper and journalist Lowkey (https://x.com/Lowkey0nline) came on the show to discuss Israel's disastrous situation on the battlefield as the IDF finds itself beleagured in the Gaza strip and surrounded by regional forces whose capabilities match or outmatch Israel's.

The sanctions war, de-dollarization, and economic collapse...
As we discussed last week, the new sanctions against Russia are really aimed at China.
The Duran agrees...US sanctions China via Russia (25 min)

Is the Reign of the Dollar Coming to an End?

Though the Dollar-Wall Street regime remains significantly powerful, de-dollarisation and possibilities of a shifting global order are being driven by US economic weakness, the aggressive use of illegal sanctions by the US and its Global North allies, and the growing political and economic strength of the Global South through platforms such as BRICS.
This arrangement to recycle oil profits into the US economy and the Western banking world is known as the petrodollar system.
This non-exclusive arrangement between the two countries never required the Saudis to limit their oil sales to dollars or to recycle their oil profits exclusively in US Treasury Bills (of which it holds a considerable $135.9 billion) and Western banks. Indeed, the Saudis are free to sell oil in multiple currencies, such as the Euro, and participate in digital currency platforms such as mBridge, a trial initiative of the Bank of International Settlements and the central banks of China, Thailand, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
Nonetheless, the rumour that this decades-long petrodollar agreement had come to an end reflects the widespread expectation that a seismic shift in the financial system will overturn the rule of the Dollar-Wall Street regime. It was a false rumour, but it carried within it a truth about the possibilities of a post-dollar or de-dollarised world.
...
Three factors are driving de-dollarisation: the US economy’s lack of strength and potential that began with the Third Great Depression in 2008; the aggressive use of illegal sanctions – especially financial sanctions – by the United States and its Global North allies against one quarter of the countries in the world; and the development and strengthening of relations between countries of the Global South, especially through platforms such as BRICS

The stealing of Russian funds makes other countries wary of investing in the US as well.

Hundreds More Banks Risk Failing This Summer: Nothing Was Fixed Warns Top Economist
(25 min)
"At this point, we have a banking system that is sick. I mean, it's just crippled,” says Peter St. Onge, a former MBA professor and Ph.D. economist. In an exclusive interview with Daniela Cambone, St. Onge delivers a stark warning about the fragility of the US banking system, revealing the alarming dependence on the Treasury and Federal Reserve for financial survival. Without their support, he asserts, "the entire US banking system for sure would be bankrupt."
St. Onge also criticizes politicians for being woefully out of touch with the real issues facing ordinary Americans. "They don't even appear to be paying attention to what the people want. They're going after farmers for cow farts when the issue is that the median voter can't afford to go to McDonald's. I mean, they're just almost comically out of touch," he remarks.

The War on Us, the people...

GovFreedom.jpg

Common Sense And Memes Are Viruses To The New World Order (Lynn)

When it was revealed that U.S. Senate ratification was required for the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Pandemic “Treaty”, it was, instead, transitioned into an “agreement”. Except that strategy went down in flames, too, at the WHO’s 77th World Health Assembly. In response, Team Biden, China, and other unelected WHO totalitarians stealthily passed new International Health Regulations (IHR) behind closed doors. This was done on June 1, 2024 in Geneva, Switzerland. The Ethiopian Communist, and WHO Director, Tedros Ghebreyesus, violated the IHR’s Article 55.2 eligibility requirements and with less than the required quorum of member states voting. This power grab was completely illegal and unlawfully elevated the WHO “from a global advisory-only body to an international enforcer of its mandates.” So we all better get the word out, before it’s too late. Especially now that it’s another election year so flu season is almost here.

TPTB want to control the people and will go to great lengths to do so. It is the same lust which drives the US goal of hegemony.

Then there's the migration issue, future military conscription, and endless war driving our economy toward recession or depression. However, it will take many years to unwind the USD from the global economy and trade. The BRICS+ meeting next month may provide more clues to future trading system for that bloc.

SnowdenBetray.jpg

Will calmer heads prevail and keep the US or Israel from dropping nuclear weapons? Only time will tell. I wish I could say, "There's no way we would start a nuclear conflict", but I lack the confidence to do so. The incompetence of western leaders is deep and broad, and there is no telling the lengths they will go to to maintain their sense of control. Sadly, I think it is a summer of living dangerously. Perhaps the world will be a bit safer after the November elections, but again we'll have to wait and see.
Please chime in with your stories, insights, and thoughts below...
Here's hoping your personal world is filled with friends, family, nature, and peace. Treasure everyday...it could be the last. Peace out.

Share
up
16 users have voted.

Comments

.
.
Dangerous times indeed for the proles. The ruling class appear to be enshrouded
in their oblivious security apparatus. That could change. Not sure if they believe in
their collective hubris. It may come as a surprise when faced with reality.

Thanks for the gathering articles. Lots to peruse.

Cheers!

up
7 users have voted.
Lookout's picture

@QMS

...and relaxing.

How Civilizations Die, According to Arnold Toynbee (5 min)
Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder,” according to 20th-century historian Arnold Toynbee. He claimed every culture collapses internally due to a divergence in values between the ruling class and the common people…

Sounds about right.

Hope all the boats are afloat! Thanks for coming by and reading.

up
8 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

snoopydawg's picture

.

Wouldn’t it be sad if every heavy armed cop who donned his equipment to go violently crack peacefully protesters heads found out that cops in other states did the same to their kids? What goes through their Neanderthal brains to treat fellow citizens like they do? 65 people were hospitalized after cops beat the crap out them at UCLA.

https://inthesetimes.com/article/campus-protest-gaza-indiana-university-...

IMG_6436.jpeg
up
7 users have voted.

Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.

Voting is like driving with a toy steering wheel.

Lookout's picture

@snoopydawg

Bibi told them to crack down on the protesters, and the police abuse started that week. The TikTok ban passed both houses in a matter of days on Zionist orders. The mask is off and all who look can see our country doesn't care about its own citizens.

Thanks for the link!

up
7 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

enhydra lutris's picture

Great title, but I think we're stuck in "interesting times". I have no faith, nor even a suspicion, that things will get safer or better in any identifiable way to any measurable extent once the election is over. It seems that they have put this farce on autopilot until the next crash or war, whichever comes first.

be well and have a good one

up
7 users have voted.

That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Lookout's picture

@enhydra lutris

...especially in the west. Perhaps things will improve for the BRICS+ nations? We can hope.

Take care and enjoy the time we have!

up
6 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

and the rest of the world knows it. The threat of nuclear war is about the only sabre left to rattle for the US. The US, even with a united West behind them would have their hands full with a full on conventional war with Russia, let alone all of the other conflicts around the globe (the mid-east, Taiwan, North Korea, etc.).

Interest on the national debt has overtaken military spending for the annual budget. To make that clear, it's just the interest paid on the national debt that has superseded the military budget. Let that sink in. Unsustainable debt is the ruin of empires.

The BRICS coalition is playing it smart in waiting out the paper tiger rather than taking the bait and pushing it into a corner. Let's not forget the cause of the collapse of the USSR. They know our current debt trajectory can't be sustained.

My hope is that all this talk about using nuclear weapons is just that, bluster, to bring Russia to the bargaining table in hopes of a suitable negotiation for NATO. I also hold out hope that no one is insane enough to actually start a nuclear conflagration, they all have families too.

up
7 users have voted.
Lookout's picture

@JtC

My hope is that all this talk about using nuclear weapons is just that, bluster, to bring Russia to the bargaining table in hopes of a suitable negotiation for NATO. I also hold out hope that no one is insane enough to actually start a nuclear conflagration, they all have families too.

Why isn't there an anti nuclear war movement? I don't think the average Jane or John ever even think of the possibility.

Our area would probably be targeted because of all the Nuclear power plants on the Tenn. R., but must admit I don't focus on the possibility. Still keeping my focus on the place and holding out in the holler.

Nice to "see" you this morning!

up
8 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

enhydra lutris's picture

@JtC @Lookout

a)

Stoltenberg said that NATO members were consulting about deploying more nuclear weapons, taking them out of storage and placing them on standby in the face of a growing threat from Russia and China. “I won’t go into operational details about how many nuclear warheads should be operational and which should be stored, but we need to consult on these issues,” Stoltenberg said.

b)

The proactive utility of nuclear weapons form the standpoint of US nuclear doctrine, as expressed in the US Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) of 2010, where the US, while continuing to commit not to “use, or threaten to use, nuclear weapons against [NPT-compliant] non-nuclear-weapon states,” declared that “there remains a narrow range of contingencies in which US nuclear weapons may still play a role in deterring a conventional or [chemical and biological weapons] attack.”

The US is not itself and pretty much never has been NPT compliant - it's a sham. Those NATO states with nukes? Where'd they get them. Excepting France, from USA, in violation of the NPT on it's part and their part.

be well and have a good one

up
8 users have voted.

That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Lookout's picture

@enhydra lutris

just wait for WEF stooge Rutte...he'll be even worse.
My buddy says, "you think you can't trade down, but then they do."

NATO will fold before the EU, I think.

up
7 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@JtC

no one is insane enough to actually start a nuclear conflagration

From the time nuclear weapons were deployed for “national defense” there have been several examples of near launch of nuclear misses, on the part of both Russians and Americans. Inevitably these narrowly avoided launches occurred when tensions were high. In one instance the US was about to launch on Russia due to a “computer error in data entry” in the computer which mistook the Moon for an incoming missile. During the Cuban Missile Crisis a deeply submerged Russian submarine, out of contact with its command structure, the Captain ordered a nuclear weapon loaded and planned to launch immediately on surfacing, believing the lost communications to be the result of an ongoing hot war.

In both of these instances “no one WAS insane enough to actually start a nuclear conflagration”, and it very nearly DID start a full nuclear exchange, MAD be damned.

up
6 users have voted.

“What the herd hates most is the one who thinks differently; it is not so much the opinion itself, but the audacity of wanting to think for themselves, something that they do not know how to do.”
-Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

usefewersyllables's picture

the use of nuclear weapons is now inevitable. The only question is whether Israel will use them first, presumably on Hezbollah after the next missile storm; or North Korea, on South Korea or Japan. Or perhaps some random bug/miscommunication results in their accidental use by any of the powers. It doesn’t matter, really- as soon as one gets used, they will all get used. Use ‘em or lose them.

This will result in only Russia and China still “existing”. There will be some survivors here in the US, but they will be too busy shooting each other to matter much. I can only hope that the Russians and Chinese realize that they won’t be rid of us unless they also destroy Israel: the Israelis have made it clear that they will happily kill any and everyone in the name of their precious Gawd-given chosen-people lebensraum. We might take note of that as well, if we weren’t so dead-set on committing suicide…

The USS Eisenhower battle group is currently slinking out of the Red Sea, after perhaps taking damage from Houthi attacks- if so, we’ll never hear about it. They are rotating the USS Roosevelt group in to be the next targets, and I’m quite certain that the “special weapons” will be routinely loaded onto their air wing. And all it will take is one accident to detonate one on the flight deck, or in the maintenance areas, to start the show. The record of broken arrows and bent spears on our carriers is impressive- we have been incredibly lucky to make it this far.

So, I’m pretty resigned to the white flash. At this point, I’d just as soon they get it over with, already.

It didn’t have to be this way- but this is the course Our Betters have chosen.

up
8 users have voted.

Twice bitten, permanently shy.

Lookout's picture

@usefewersyllables

the stupidity of TPTB is infinite. I don't put anything past them.

up
6 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

are told by their Zionist overlords.

up
7 users have voted.
Lookout's picture

@humphrey
...to bomb the airport.
Thanks for the X post

up
7 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

up
8 users have voted.
Lookout's picture

@humphrey

Now who are the terrorists?

up
8 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

mhagle's picture

I don't always say it, but always appreciate your blog. Thanks!

up
4 users have voted.

Marilyn

"Make dirt, not war." eyo

Lookout's picture

@mhagle

Thanks for reading!

up
5 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

of a private back channel connection between Kruchev and JFK, both of whom recognized the risk of the hair trigger of their respective military leaders and believed that a level of mutual trust and regular contact with each other was crucial.

Today, we very likely do nor enjoy such a relationship between our (in Biden’s condition, titular) heads of State. Neither Biden nor Trump offer any reasonable expectation of establishing such civil and respectful relationships with Russia. Consequently, today’s risk of sudden, and catastrophic, escalation of hostilities is front and center.

RFK jr. is currently the ONLY potentially viable presidential candidate who has a firm commitment to deescalation of current hostilities. Of course both Red and Blue teams and their respective deep pocket PAC’s, are working overtime to keep RFK jr. out of the public eye and off the debate stage.

My wife and I have been working to get RFK jr. on the ballot, and the debate stage. Call me a Don Quixote fool, but please at least consider visiting KENNEDY24.COM for more information about his positions, the progress on 50 state ballot access, news, events and opportunities to volunteer.

If we’re on our way to “hell in a hand basket” I’m sure going to do my best to put a good man into a position to work for peace and sanity for us all…..before it really is too late.

EOM.

up
6 users have voted.

“What the herd hates most is the one who thinks differently; it is not so much the opinion itself, but the audacity of wanting to think for themselves, something that they do not know how to do.”
-Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

Lookout's picture

@ovals49

I'm unsure if RFK will be on Alabama's ballot...it only takes 5000 signatures, so I bet he will be.

Be well!

up
5 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout
New York had recently doubled its previous number of required ballot access. The campaign has submitted half again the increased number, has digitally scanned the petition papers prior to submitting for verification. California, Texas, Michigan and many other states have more than enough submitted and awaiting final verification. Our ballot access signature effort here in MA concluded this past week. The goal is all fifty states, but it’s the electoral vote total is ultimately decisive.

I’m not fully up to date on other states, having been tunnel vision on Massachusetts for the past several weeks. Kennedy24.com will likely have more detailed info on the national ballot effort.

Ballot access is step one, but getting a wider awareness of his candidacy on legacy media outlets is a steep hill to climb. It’s more word of mouth and “social media outlets” that aren’t censoring his material and interviews that are getting wider attention. Fingers crossed!

up
3 users have voted.

“What the herd hates most is the one who thinks differently; it is not so much the opinion itself, but the audacity of wanting to think for themselves, something that they do not know how to do.”
-Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

The rest of the tweet:

Both will burn in hell; hopefully, not just in the sacral flames, but even before that, in the earthly fire.

What happened is not military actions but a sneaky and vile terrorist attack against our people; moreover, it occurred on an Orthodox holiday, just like the massacre that extremists had carried out in Dagestan. Which is why now we do not differentiate between any of them, whether it is the American authorities, bandera regime or insane fanatics.

My deepest condolences go to the families of the deceased. I wish the wounded the soonest recovery.”

up
9 users have voted.
Lookout's picture

@humphrey

There's also violence in Dagestan...
Gunmen in Russia’s Dagestan attack churches, synagogue and police post
George Galloway commented today that the terrorists are probably operating on US orders.

Thanks for the X posts!

up
9 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout

The rest of the tweet:

Only the last nonhumans, who must be destroyed on the spot, can do this. I am confident that the Dagestani security forces will find every culprit and force the terrorists to suffer the deserved punishment.”

He also noted that he is ready to provide any assistance in finding and capturing criminals.

up
7 users have voted.
Lookout's picture

@humphrey

Thanks for the confirmation!

up
6 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

It is hot here, no surprise.
I got in some reading this morning, will get in some watching this evening.
Seems to me the most dangerous trigger for a world war is in Israel, not Kiev.
Europe does not want a war with Russia. The Arab world, although reluctant to come together for Hamas, seems more apt to come to the assistance of Hezbollah and Iran, which of course, brings in Russia, China, and likely Turkey.
Zionists are more likely to destroy the world than Neo-Nazis.
Nazis aren't arresting our student protesters, destroying careers for "wrong think", causing Americans to be afraid to state an opinion on a genocide being shown on video for someone's viewing pleasure.
I keep thinking you can't top yourself, and then you post a WW like this, and you just did.
I think your first video with Col. McGregor really lays the tracks to global conflict.
We may as well get ready for it as best we can.
Live each day to the fullest.
Thanks, as always, my friend.

up
5 users have voted.

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

Lookout's picture

@on the cusp

...and your work week doesn't look too crazy.

I agree, Israel is more dangerous than Ukraine. Be interesting to see how Bibi's address to congress goes next month.

The question of the Trump-Biden debate is: Can Joe make it through without a major gaffe?
Personally, I doubt it.

I appreciate your kind words. Thanks for coming by and reading!

up
7 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

@Lookout in many years, but this one has my curiosity over the top!
The weekend was just wonderful. I know yours had that element of final farewell for a bil, but we all go away, and we all hope a friend or loved one sings us along on the trip. You did your part, someone will step up for you when the time comes.

up
4 users have voted.

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

Lookout's picture

This fellow is quite the artist. Best Hurdy Gurdy playing I've heard.

Reverse Dance. Medieval Dance. Hurdy-Gurdy Solo
Andrey Vinogradov - composition, hurdy-gurdy, arrangement

A string instrument that was set up primarily for the purpose of making drones was the hurdy-gurdy; at least, that is the modern name for it. In the Middle Ages, it was known in Latin as the organistrum and the symphonia, and in French as the vielle à roue (the vielle with the wheel).
The hurdy-gurdy’s sound was produced when a rosined wooden wheel, turned by a crank, set a number of strings in continuous droning vibration; one of these was also a melody string which could play tunes by being stopped by keys along its length.
The hurdy-gurdy made its first appearance in the 10th century, at the same time as the regular vielle, but as a large and unwieldy, two-person instrument. In the 13th century, it was reduced in size and seems thereafter to have become increasingly popular.

Sleep well!

up
6 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Pluto's Republic's picture

.

....I thought of you, a former science teacher, when I saw the article, below:


Teenager stuns China after beating AI in math contest


.
The underdog win by the 17-year-old fashion design student spawned ardent fans in China, with some visting her parents’ home bearing gifts....

June 22, 2024

HONG KONG — A teenager in China performed so well in a math contest, she defeated artificial intelligence — as well as students from prestigious universities including MIT, Stanford and Princeton.

The outpouring of support and shock for the 17-year-old fashion design student was fueled by her humble academic background. Vocational schools in China are not known for academic rigor, and of the thousands of participants, Jiang Ping was the only one who came from a vocational school, state media reported.

Jiang finished 12th in the latest qualifying round of the Alibaba Global Math Competition, a well-known, highly competitive math contest, and secured her slot among the 801 global finalists for the final eight-hour test on Saturday.

The qualifying round ended last Saturday, lasting 48 hours, and was conducted online with multiple-choice and essay-length questions.

No AI teams qualified for the finals, the organizers said in a post on Chinese social media platform Weixin.

Jiang’s underdog win has spawned ardent supporters. A hashtag about her had gathered 17 million views as of Saturday. “In a life not defined by others, anyone can be a dark horse,” read the hashtag in Chinese.

The contest includes questions on applied mathematics, probability and algebra.

Jiang, a fashion design student from the Jiangsu province in eastern China, and her performance had impressed multiple Chinese universities, which took to social media to congratulate her.

“Kudos to Jiang Ping! Anyone who has a dream is amazing!” Zhejiang University, a prestigious school in eastern China, wrote in a post on Weibo.

The final results will be announced in August and the winners will be awarded up to $30,000 in prize money.

Working on advanced math “brings out my desire to explore,” she said in an interview posted by the organizers that gathered more than 4 million views, with most viewers expressing their amazement with the results and questioning if it was real.

“People who can perceive beauty in mathematics and physics are generally at the next level,” wrote one user. “We must protect and nurture them.”

As a sign of Jiang’s ascendant star, fans have gone so far as to visit her parents’ home in a village in Jiangsu, bearing gifts of alcohol and money to show their support. Hometown shopping malls hung pictures of her on their walls.

Jiang also defeated her own teacher, Wang Runqiu, who ranked 125th in the contest.

State media People’s Daily reported Wang had encouraged her to join the competition and was quoted as saying, “I want to help young people as much as possible, and let them know they can have a different future.”

Math was her “hobby,” Jiang said in the interview with the organizers, adding that she didn’t think she deserved to even join the competition. She now plans to study at a good university, she said.

“If studying fashion design is my plan A, then exploring the world of math is my plan B,” she said. “I hope my plan B can be seen.”

Even though she scored high enough marks on a high school entrance examination, the Communist Party secretary for her current vocational school told state media that she went there because her older sister and good friends were also students at the school.

The competition started in 2018 and is open to all math enthusiasts, regardless of their background, and this year was the first time AI teams were allowed to participate.

“No matter what the future holds, this interest will continue,” Jiang said.

Mithil Aggarwal
Mithil Aggarwal is a Hong Kong-based reporter/producer for NBC News.
Peter Guo
Peter Guo is a fellow on NBC’s Asia Desk, based in Hong Kong.

.

CONTEXT: For thousands of years, the Chinese have run their nation by administering yearly intelligence tests. The yearly exams (and other intellectual contests) continue to this day to be a huge part of Chinese culture. Parents encourage their children to work hard in school to prepare for the final National Exam, which they can take after graduating high school. Test takers who score high, are highly valued by society. They can follow their dreams, attend the best colleges, and fast track advanced degrees. They can find challenging government or private sector jobs. Or they can pursue their own projects and passions.

.

The Chinese people vote in numerous elections, and build their own national government network from the ground-up. They vote directly for representatives at every level — neighborhood, district, town , city, county, province, and regional operations. Most members of the national government, including Xi Jinping, have climbed this ladder of representation to get to the national level. Some are invited to join based on lifetime expertise in certain fields of endeavor. Like all parliaments, top leadership is chosen by the parliament. Chinese leadership is built on a meritocracy rather than ideology and political marketing.

up
8 users have voted.
Populations don’t like wars. They have to be lied into it.
That means we can be “truthed” into peace. — Julian Assange

@Pluto's Republic Thanks for that, Pluto!

up
2 users have voted.

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

Lookout's picture

@Pluto's Republic

My Auburn buddy, a math professor, is a combinatorics expert. He sees everything as packing problems. He claims just going to the grocery store, he can't quit looking at the way things are placed on shelves.

I guess we all bear our own burdens. Thanks for the math whiz story!

up
5 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

usefewersyllables's picture

my wife and I went to Denver Pridefest on Saturday, to meet and hang out with a bunch of our alt friends. It was an interesting day, in many ways. We are having August weather already, so the temps were in the mid 90s, and it was insanely hot- I have no idea how many furries ended up getting transported for heatstroke. And after we’d been there for an hour or so, I realized that I wasn’t engaging with our friends. No, I was only looking up at the windows of the hotels and apartments looming over Civic Center Park, wondering where the wannabe Las Vegas shooter was waiting for the crowd to max out, so as to earn the maximum right-wing redneck points among his (or her- inclusivity, doncha know) friends by blowing away as many of Those People as possible- using the only truly Inalienable Right that we still have, apparently. Couldn’t shake it: that is who we are as a nation. Our right to kill each other without limit shall not be abridged, right? Right. Right.

We left. That is all.

up
4 users have voted.

Twice bitten, permanently shy.

Lookout's picture

@usefewersyllables

Too many people for my taste. Be careful out there!

up
4 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

soryang's picture

...of far east news. Following up on the Russia North Korea relationship, A DC think tank C4ADS allegedly has evidence that in return for North Korean artillery support, the Russians delivered "2 sets" of S-400 or S-500 (batteries?) at the end of Sept 2023. This report was from conservative broadcaster Channel A News which reports on military matters quite often. I used to watch them every day for this reason, but moved on mostly to the independent media.

In any case, in the Channel A broadcast, they appeared to refer to these systems using the nomenclature for THAAD, a US system, whose deployment was arrested at one battery in South Korea, after the impeachment of Park Geun-hye and election of Moon Jae-in. Park and the US obviously intended more. The Moon administration stopped any further deployment. Back then, China had immediately objected and put a lot of informal sanctions on South Korean products and retailers inside China. Lotte had large losses and pulled out of China completely. The US objected to the South Korean THAAD freeze at one deployed battery but Moon Jae-in held firm, and worked things out with China as best he could.

I'm somewhat bothered that the Russian air defense batteries were referred to in this manner possibly raising this old issue. Who knows if S-400s or 500s really exist in North Korea? They are formidable defensive systems. Putting them in a THAAD context leads me to suspect that this might be a prelude to a US sales pitch for more THAAD in South Korea, which would be extremely detrimental to relations with China. THAAD really isn't all that useful against NK missiles. Anyway, this is all speculative, I find it an odd report, possibly significant in more than one way if true.

Another missile type report from another source, coincidentally, addressed increased Patriot Missile transfers to Ukraine. The production at home in the US isn't enough so foreign customers, like Korea, and Poland were given notice that their promised deliveries would be late as their missile shipments would be diverted to Ukraine.

I liked this editorial in Hankyoreh-

It’s time for us all to rethink our approach to North Korea

The new comprehensive strategic partnership pact that North Korea and Russia signed on Wednesday is a throwback to the Cold War, effectively restoring a military alliance between Pyongyang and Moscow. North Korea, armed with nuclear weapons, is pushing for comprehensive cooperation with the military superpower of Russia. This is effectively the coup de grace for the international community’s approach to North Korea of utilizing UN Security Council sanctions as leverage to push for denuclearization.

The Korean Peninsula has officially been thrust back into a global power struggle in the new Cold War structure, with Russia and North Korea on one side and South Korea, the US and Japan on the other. This is a painful strategic failure for South Korea, which managed to secure a diplomatic win in the early 1990s with Roh Tae-woo’s Nordpolitik.

.

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol has been ignoring North Korea’s and Russia’s warning signals for the past two years by fully devoting himself to bolstering the trilateral alliance between South Korea, the US and Japan. The result has been a breakdown of South Korea-Russia relations and inter-Korean relations, leading us to today’s dilemma.

It’s time for Yoon to reflect on the effectiveness of his reckless “values diplomacy” campaign, and prepare for a long-term battle. He needs to find a way to coexist peacefully with North Korea and Russia.

I'm not sure how much longer Yoon will be around. If there's a serious rift within "his" party the PPP, a special investigation could lead to his impeachment. It strikes me as funny when people give him advice, he doesn't seem to be a listener.

I'm impressed by this news analysis too-

N. Korea’s new pact with Russia is ‘mirror image’ of Yoon’s alliance with US

Two buffers in the provision about mutual defense obligations and language about a “channel of bilateral negotiations” mark a departure from previous treaties between the two sides

In other words, there's wiggle room in the agreement, particularly the "military alliance" type provisions. It's worth reading.

I absorbed quite a bit of the material you've posted here as well Lookout. Thanks for keeping us informed!

up
7 users have voted.

語必忠信 行必正直

Lookout's picture

@soryang

...is that the new NK-Russian agreement simply re-instates the one with the USSR.

Ritter and others claim Russia has also provided hypersonic missiles to NK (not their best, but one notch under). Too bad Bolton talked Trump out of his peace deal with NK. He has done such damage over the years.

Thanks so much for the Asian news.

up
5 users have voted.

“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

soryang's picture

@Lookout

...it's very unlikely that Russia had provided North Korea with any hypersonic missiles. There is a Rand study on the North Korean "hypersonic missile" test at the time, which was mostly unsuccessful.

I don't consider Scott an authority on the subject of Korea or Northeast Asian geopolitics. In terms of his geopolitical analysis, he's overestimating Russia's position in the Far East in comparison to China's. That doesn't mean Russia's role isn't important or that this agreement isn't important, he's just exaggerating the impact. It's only natural, Russia really his specialty.

I know Scott has qualifications as a weapons inspector, but I haven't seen any other source claim that Russia already gave hypersonic missiles to North Korea, nor have I seen any evidence of it. But I don't have access to classified sources. I think Rand does. If the North already had Russian hypersonic technology, at that point, I think Bruce Bennet from Rand would have reported it. In any case, analysis of North Korean and Northeast Asian issues requires years of study. Scott takes a relatively short term view. China's security interests in Korea go back more than a thousand years.

Nevertheless any expert can miscalculate or make an error, especially when it comes to North Korea, everything is just an estimate.

I liked these two 38north studies from the Stimson center-

Takeaways From the Kim-Putin Summit

I prefer analyst's who focus on Asian analysis every day.

This editorial from Hankyoreh this morning is typical regarding the Russian transmission of high tech weapons technology to North Korea as a prospective issue, rather than something already accomplished.

Seoul failed to use diplomacy with Moscow — now it’s resorting to threats

Namely, if you do this, we are going to do X. The fact that South Korea has already provided artillery shells indirectly to the US to support the war effort in Ukraine is conveniently ignored in these discussions.

fwiw

up
3 users have voted.

語必忠信 行必正直