8/30 OT: Report from Kakistan + Arithmetic

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I'm writing this from the NorCal Kakistan where we are once again without power for an indefinite time and where the CEO of the perpetrator has assured us tha this will be the new normal for the next decade. It ism't like I've never been to "third world countries", but they have never previously come to me. PG&E to serve its own needs and purposes has shut down power to large swaths of the state. They claim that this is all for our safety and our own good, but that is really all bullshit. This was not hithero normal; it only became normal once PG&E started being held responsible for the damages and harm resulting from events triggered by its most interesting repair and mintenance regime, which itself didn't use to be all that normal either.

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Not far from here one can drive down a road lined with trees and power poles where the power lined un right through the crowns and branches of trees. Naturally, any remotely serious wind presents the spectre of tree to wire interaction tht could cause tree fire or a down line triggering a grass and brush fire. Because it would cost money to periodically trim the trees, they simply shut down the ocal sub-grid whenever moderately high winds are in the offing. Once he wind stops blowing, a few scarce crews will fly over the lines in helicopters and if the entire sub-grid displays no faults, they will power it back up. Naturally, if there are problems, then re-powering the sub-grid will await the ministrations of one of the few scarce repair and maintenance crews to said defects. The theory is that this will prevent power line caused fires without impairing the ability to pay healthy executive salaries and dividends due to maintenance and grid hardening costs. They appear, however, to have started a prety good fire, the Kincaid fire, all the same.

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I'm doing this on a tablet in failing light and lack a lot of the tools I would normally use. The battery isn't all that happy either. Under good coditions, this thing can serve as it's own hotspot. You'll know how the conditions are if you see it posted. (My carrier's coverge is petty spotty)

Arithmetic is usually boring, and performed by rote, thugh there are hacks and cheats that bring it close to math. One classic involves application of the distributive law; a(b+c) = ab+ac, or, a(b-c) = ab-ac. This allows one to speed up computations such as 8x28 by reformulating them as 8(30-2) = 240-16 = 224. More trivially, the oft ignored associative law a(bc) = (ab)c is often instinctively used when one opts to first multiply the easiest pair of a triad to deal with, for example 12 times 14 times 5 would be routinely carried out as 12 times 14 = 168, times 5 = 840, but is arguably more readily performed as 14 times 5 = 70, times 12 = 840. None of these are particularly earth shaking but there is a much better method for multiplying two multi-digit numbers that the one most commonly in use.

Consider 123 times 456. In classic format, one mutiplies 6 times 3, which is 18, puts down the 8 and carries one, then six times two, plus the carried 1, is 13, with the 3 brought down and the one carried giving 6 times one, plus the carried 1 is 7, for the first row of the solution. One finds oneself carrying digits and keeping track of them both within the computation of any row of the solution as well as when totaling up the resultant columns to arrive at the complete solution. That generates unnecessary work. A better algorithm has been out there for quite a while but is pretty much not taught or explained to people. For the first row of the solution to the problem above one simply writes the answer to each pair-wise multiplication, from right to left, 18, 12, and 6. The next row, offset one column to the left is similarly simply 15, 10, and 5, again from right to left, and the last row similarly offset and from right to left is 12, 8, and 4. The carrying is reserved for adding the columns; 18 is 8 with one carried, 12 + 15 and that 1` is 28, which is 8 with 2 carried, 2 + 6 + 10 + 12 is 30, or 0 with 3 carried, 3 + 5 + 8 is 16, or 6 with one carried, and 4 = 1 is 5. The product is then 56088. once you get used to it, it is smoother and quicker.

1 2 3
4 5 6
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6 12 18
5 10 15
4 8 12
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5 6 0 8 8

Ok; the Schönhage–Strassen algorithm, got it? Fine, there's a possibly even slicker form. Add the columns above with no carries getting an intermediate line of totals, from left to right this time, 4,13,28,27,18. Now, starting on the right, keep the 8, then 1+7=8 again, 2+8=10 so keep the zero,1+2+3=6,1+4=5, and, voila' 56088. If you recall that you're working with ever increasing powers of ten it makes perfect sense in both forms.

Image is: missing

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Its an open thread so have at it. The floor is yours
.

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My presence or absence depends upon the whim of PG&E, follower by the whim of my phone+isp providers should I try to use by tablet.

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smiley7's picture

Given the circumstance, an extraordinary thank you for this morning's post. Please be safe and take cover from the fine particulate matter coming to the Bay area today, apparently. That smoke particulate is particularly damaging to the lungs.

Damn the power, it's way past time for the centrists to meet the people.

Leave the math in your skillful hands as mine atrophied long ago.

Traveling to pulmonary conference tomorrow, last minute chores today. Again, be safe and all the best.

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enhydra lutris's picture

@smiley7
good to yourself too. I've got a funny update to post down below.

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

moneysmith's picture

@smiley7 Ordinarily, air quality readings over 100 are considered "Unhealthful for Sensitive Individuals." This morning the air quality reading is 917 (!!!), which puts us in the "Hazardous" zone. I did not even know the readings went up that high. And I'm way out in the desert, two hours from LA, 8 to 10 hours from Northern California. The AQMD says our air is filled with dust from the winds. But at least we have power (so far).

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Hell is empty and all the devils are here. William Shakespeare

smiley7's picture

@moneysmith
Worked hard and successfully to get a local motoring station installed about twenty years ago, one was placed at a nearby elementary school. Damn republicans in Raleigh cut the DENAR funding for the project three years ago and the station was dismantled.

In the eighties you could not see 100 miles away from the top of Grandfather Mountain, we cleaned up the problem, coal-fired power plants, mostly, and now with Trump, we march backwards; bastards in French, the 'corporalists.'

Thanks for sharing.

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Lookout's picture

Seem like folks will move to more solar/battery systems. That would be my approach if I lived there (and could afford it). Neighborhood storage might be an option too with some of the new flow batteries.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2018/10/new-generation-flow-batteries-co...

Households like mine that are remote could use salt water batteries.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottsnowden/2019/03/29/non-toxic-salt-wate...
Some folks are building their own since Aquion never came back on line with a commercial version
https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2019/04/01/salt-water-battery/

At any rate we need to grow sustainable energy for households and communities.

All you left coasters please take care. Wishing you all the best!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

enhydra lutris's picture

@Lookout
and about neighborhood storage. I just saw a guy with a set up involving two of the Tesla wall batteries, which appear to have set him back about 17K including install and associated hardware. Major chunk of change, that. UC is suggesting/pushing neighborhood micro-grids using neighborhood storage, which I see as possibly the best solution, built around a central flow battery and with buried or otherwise seriously hardened lines( maybe fence-line super hardened ground level conduit with spurs). The problem there is, of course, neighbors. What do you do about the ones barely getting by or the cheapskate who also "don't need/trust/like" anybody else and/or anything centralized or cooperative.

Have a good one.

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

magiamma's picture

et al

Thanks for this OT under the circumstances.

I just found out that SF is with power. Go PG&E! /s. Can you imagine the chaos that would ensue if SF did not have power. Right? Folks would be *very* unhappy. Good choice. End rant.

More major wind today and tonight. Brought to you by a displaced high-pressure Arctic cell over the Rockies. Creates a major temperature differential between the mountains and the Pacific. (Notice how cold it is here all of a sudden.) Santa Anna on steroids. And more of the same up north. The weather people have coined a new term: "extreme red flag warning".

Ah well, be here now, om... have a good one...

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enhydra lutris's picture

@magiamma
Yeah, be here now, because, where else is there?
A graffito I used to sometimes scrawl on sidewalks and sometimes walls:

You are here --->(x,y,z)

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

enhydra lutris's picture

PG&E stated that it is considering some level of reimbursement for those hammered by the shut offs. No doubt by magikal coincidence, we have power here this morning, and it appears that we are off the hook for the rest of today and possibly the rest of this specific "event", all alerts and warnings as to outage duration to the contrary. Heh.

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Anja Geitz's picture

Was scheduled to turn off at 8:30am. Will be packing up my things and going to Coffee Gallery to finish my upcoming OT.

Khakistan. Good one. Does feel a bit developing world-ish around here.

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There is always Music amongst the trees in the Garden, but our hearts must be very quiet to hear it. ~ Minnie Aumonier

enhydra lutris's picture

the OT and the power situation.

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Anja Geitz's picture

@enhydra lutris

The coffee gallery is not far away, has a kind of dilapidated funky living room feel about it, is a popular hangout for writers, and serves fantastic coffee. Things could definitely be worse. Thanks EL. Glad to hear you are not in the dark.

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There is always Music amongst the trees in the Garden, but our hearts must be very quiet to hear it. ~ Minnie Aumonier

edg's picture

In the 5th paragraph, you write "6 times 8, which is 18". Admittedly, I was schooled under "old math", but I always thought it was 48.

I hope your power comes back on soon and the criminals responsible are at least publicly shamed if not charged with crimes.

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Anja Geitz's picture

@edg

And have them do the Cersei walk of shame?

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There is always Music amongst the trees in the Garden, but our hearts must be very quiet to hear it. ~ Minnie Aumonier

enhydra lutris's picture

@edg
corrected. That was supposed to be 6 x 3, the first pairwise multiplication in 123 x 456. I was, as it so happens, schooled under both, and this is, to at least some degree, neither, but pretty spiffy IMHO.

Have a good one.

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

lotlizard's picture

https://trachtenbergspeedmath.com/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trachtenberg_system

Also:
Detailed look at history and practical problems of worker-owned business co-operatives:

https://thesocialistentrepreneur.com/

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enhydra lutris's picture

@lotlizard
is probably the presentation, but it seems a bit cumbersome to me for the examples given, though it may be great for bigger ones. For example, they have this long multi-step method for multiplying 14 x 23, which is the type of thing I generally do left to right instead of vice versa, thusly: 280+42=322, which is really just the distributive law again: 14 x (20+3).

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Granma's picture

I may disappear for a while. I'm having surgery on my dominant shoulder tomorrow. I'll return when able to, at least to read.

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smiley7's picture

@Granma
and sending virtual vibes for a speedy and good rehabilitation.

Hugs,
s/7

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Granma's picture

@smiley7

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enhydra lutris's picture

@Granma

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That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Granma's picture

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edg's picture

@Granma

...for a speedy recovery. I've got shoulder trouble, too. I know how painful it can be, and how it makes doing simple things extra hard. I hope the surgery is successful and you're back in action soon.

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