Today's Lesson in Financial Thievery: Manufactured Credit Events
Full frontal hypocrisy. Soros runs to the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) because someone is "playing games" with a CDS (credit default swap) - as if CDSs aren't already playing games with honest financial activities.
“Manufactured credit events may constitute market manipulation and may severely damage the integrity of the CDS markets, including markets for CDS index products, and the financial industry’s use of CDS valuations to assess the health of CDS reference entities.”
“The CDS market functions based on the premise that firms referenced in CDS contracts seek to avoid defaults, and as a result, the instruments are priced based on the financial health of the reference entity,” the CFTC said.
“However, recent arrangements appear to involve intentional, or ‘manufactured,’ credit events that could call that premise into question.”
- CFTC statement
Here that is in English:
The (CTFC) statement comes in the wake of a controversial arrangement in which homebuilder Hovnanian plans an intentional default next month in exchange for a low-cost loan.
The loan was provided by GSO, the credit arm of Blackstone.
The default stands to deliver a handsome payout to GSO, which is a buyer of credit default swaps contracts on Hovnanian.
Hedge fund Solus (owned by George Soros), which sits on the opposite side of the CDS trade, has sued for damages, alleging the deal amounts to fraud and arguing that it perverts the functioning of the CDS market.
But, just in case you think you understand leveraged finance and derivatives, the effect of the CTFC statement is to drive down the cost of these very CDSs.
The cost of protecting against US housebuilder Hovnanian defaulting on its debt using credit default swaps plummeted on Wednesday after the main US derivatives regulator said it might take action against an unusual type of trade that would trigger payout on the derivatives.Hovnanian is expected to miss a payment on some of its bonds on May 1, likely triggering its CDS, as part of a controversial deal with Blackstone-owned hedge fund GSO. GSO agreed to refinance the housebuilder’s debt at a favourable rate provided the homebuilder miss the debt payment as the hedge fund seeks to make a windfall profit on CDS contracts that it owns.
But the cost of the CDS tied to the company dropped from 36 per cent to 31 per cent on Wednesday, according to data from Markit, after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission made its announcement on Tuesday evening. That equates to a cost of $3.1m to protect $10m of debt, and implies investors are now pricing in a lower likelihood that Hovnanian will default on its debt.
Cost of protecting against Hovnanian default falls after CFTC announcement
The stated rational for the fall may or may not be true. What is clearly true is that the CDS scam is being cranked up a notch; and George Soros "is not pleased" to be out-snookered on his own pool table.
The next time some Libertarian asshole (LA) starts wingeing about government interference in the "free" market by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, you can point him at this little kerfuffle, which has attracted quite a bit of attention from the financial press.
According to the LAs, the market should police itself. Yeah, right. Look at the sharks players in this fight. Blackstone - EVIL. Soros - EVIL. CFTC - an agency that Congress and Bill Clinton told not to regulate CDSs in 1998. The honest regulator, Brooksley Born, resigned after the law allowing CDSs was signed. AFAIAC, they can all go fuck themselves.
Hovanian - I lived in NJ for a while, so I know the story. Hovnanian was a very successful home builder that had a solid reputation for producing good quality, affordable houses. But, sometime in the mid-90s, their quality went to shit. An entire subdivision was declared uninhabitable. Substandard materials and construction caused houses to tilt, floors to collapse under the weight of furniture. Hovnanian's reputation went into the toilet; but they survived on account of the great housing bubble. I left NJ decades ago, so I don't know exactly why they are going to default; but it is certainly on their arc of corporate failure. So, even the focal point of the entire CDS fight has a shady reputation.
Of course, unless they follow the financial press (or see the story on Zero Hedge, which is pretty much the LA's Readers' Digest of the financial press), the hard pressed proles (who are criticized for using the CFPB CFTC) have no clue the thievery that occurs daily in the financial stratosphere. All they see are the vapor contrails of the dogfight up there, like this set of headlines.
Comments
LOLLL!! This is getting SO good! It's just...
capital!
Bad pun. No donut. :-)
Although it looks like this fight is among the superrich assholes, I'm sure that the proles will wind up paying somehow for whichever side loses this exercise in fraud.
I mean, you (GSO) place a bet (CDS) on player A (Hovnanian). Then you make a deal with player A: throw the game, and I will make it worth your while. This whole tactic is as bad as Pete Rose throwing games and making a bundle betting against his own team.
If it were ballplayers instead of billionaires, these guys would be banned from the industry for life.
That's alright.
I'll keep the hole.
These fuckers are going to crash the entire economy again.
Obama's re-regulation was a sham. The bankers got richer & nobody got jail-time. What lesson do you think they learned?
A hyper-inflated stock market, bigger-than-ever-Big Banks, more funky credit swaps,commodity speculations,etc...
Trump doesn't have a clue. Congress bought by big contributors. We are headed for a bigger shit-storm than 2007 and it will affect us all.
chuck utzman
TULSI 2020
"Buy on the drop" and ETFs mean zero true market info
(That is, there is no real "price discovery", which is the constantly stated purpose of markets.) Nobody buys and holds, based on fundamentals. No one does analysis. ETFs (exchange traded funds) are driving analysts out of the market. It is all just becoming one giant bolus of notional money running this way and that driven by bullshit comments by self-interested brokers.
And the money is increasingly concentrated into FAANG and a handful of other super-overpriced tech comnpanies. The fact that Facebook was very profitable, even after the Cambridge Analytica scandal, demonstrates that their sad social media lives mean more to the proles than any semblance of honesty or privacy.
AFAIC, the stock market has nothing to do with the economy - until it blows up and we all wind up bankrupt. The financial industry passed the financial event horizon decades ago. It vacuums money out of the real economy and hands it to the banksters or to techno-libertarians like Zuckerberg or Bezos, who are gleefully creating the digital panopticon.
When the stock market crashes the next time, it will take social security with it - because austerity. When people have their pitiful savings stolen and their pathetic retirement funds disappeared, the rage will be off the charts. That's when the digital panopticon will come into play. They are practicing right now with censorship, so that when the riots start, they can control the information flow and blame the usual suspects - i.e., anyone but the financial crooks.
thanks for the lesson - complicated financial
transaction appear to be set up to simply confuse most of us, so the master players have a better opportunity at fleecing the masses.
Still yourself, deep water can absorb many disturbances with minimal reaction.
--When the opening appears release yourself.
As I said to strollingone
Like you, I suspect that the big boys never lose; I suspect the "loser" will get their money back from the suckers somehow. As you say "complicated financial transaction" = three card monte.
Just another hand being played in the game . . .
It all freaks me out, and I am amazed how many folks are completely oblivious to it.
They feel so secure with their financial portfolios, carefully planned, fully confident in their ride through old age.
Marilyn
"Make dirt, not war." eyo
Financial portfolios - LOL
Money buys a lot of denial; until the money vanishes. Balanced portfolios are like a cardboard house in the hurricane that is coming.
My pathetic "portfolio" is all in cash, because I know that come the next crash, just like the last three crashes, I will be the 'dumb money". Except that, unlike previous crashes, the next crash is going to break the system. The super rich have already diversified themselves across continents. They have such obscene amounts of money that they can lose 90% of it and still be filthy rich. (If Bezos lost 90%, he would still have $13B.)
The next crash is going to start the cull, the vicious fight for scraps among the billions of victims of the financial looting of the last four decades. Of course, Trump is there to be the scapegoat for something that was architected decades ago.
I'm in cash by default, because I think most asset classes are completely overpriced: stocks at ridiculous P/E. Real estate prices to the moon, when the next generation can't afford a starter house. Commodities - puhleeze, a speculator's paradise. So, come the crash, those assets can only devalue.
The problem is, I'm only in US cash, because the govt has all kinds of restrictions on holding foreign currencies. So, I have, unfortunately, placed a bet that when the crash happens, there will be deflation in the US, rather than inflation. That is, when stock values crash, wealth will evaporate. That means that anyone with cash is in a good position.
Of course, there could just as easily be a post-crash inflation scenario, based on all the QE.
But, I'm just too anti-financial capitalism to try to game the system any farther than trying to stay out of it. I expect to get screwed.
I believe that my husband's boy toys
are a better investment than CDs. He can sell or trade them easily.
Marilyn
"Make dirt, not war." eyo