How much trouble are the Democrats in?
With the governor of West Virginia switching back to being a Republican, this is what the political map of the United States looks like.
By tomorrow, 164 million Americans will live in the 26 states that are wholly controlled by Republicans, 109 million will live in states where power is shared between the parties, and only 50 million will live in the six states controlled by the Democrats.
Take one look at this map and just try to rationalize that this is all about Trump. More than 50% of Americans live in states in which Republicans control every level of government.
Anyone talking Russia,Russia,Russia is divorced from reality.
Even the Dems in Congress are beginning to wake up to this fact.
Nancy Pelosi might actually be in trouble.
In a survey of 20 Democratic House candidates, only one – a former Senate staffer from Orange County, California – would state support for the congresswoman staying on as leader of the House Democratic Caucus. Of the rest, 18 declined to say if Pelosi should keep her job, while one, a political newcomer from a culturally conservative Ohio district, said he would vote for someone other than Pelosi.
Democrats have a strong lead in a generic ballot, but the Dems appear hopeless at winning back the white working class.
Despite the Trump turmoil in Washington, Republicans held a 10-point lead on the generic ballot (43-33 percent) among these blue-collar voters. Democrats hold a whopping 61 percent disapproval rating among these voters, with only 32 percent approving. Even Trump’s job-approval rating is a respectable 52 percent with the demographic in these swing districts.
If you want to see how it's properly done, look across The Pond where Jeremy Corbyn and Labour continues to win local elections and gain popularity.
Comments
All part of the plan?
Drive the majority to the Repukes, get a Constitutional Convention from all that domination, and then implement the Koch's final plan of neo-feudalism for the rest of us. Brilliant!
Only a fool lets someone else tell him who his enemy is. Assata Shakur
Serfs Up! Red Tide Coming In.
The real SparkyGump has passed. It was an honor being your human.
For years, many on the left have been talking about
amending the Constitution, but not very realistically or systematically, I fear. They spoke as though the only amendments that could possibly result from a Constitutional convention would be the ones most of the left might love, like electing Presidents by only the popular vote; modifying or even eliminating the Second Amendment; getting money out of politics (good luck wording that one!); and, more recently, overruling Citizens United (which would only get us back to 2008 anyway).
Now that a Constitutional convention is beginning to seem like it could be a reality, even imminent, more of the left is getting just how bad the result of a constitutional convention might be.
@HenryAWallace Pandora, whatever you
@chuckvw
Especially now that Hope has had the air let out of it previously and is flaccidly lying at the bottom periodically emitting farting noises...
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
Koch-clintons stuck together at the hip
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/carbonatedtv/hillary-rejects-koch-support_...
I never knew that the term "Never Again" only pertained to
those born Jewish
"Antisemite used to be someone who didn't like Jews
now it's someone who Jews don't like"
Heard from Margaret Kimberley
@ggersh
Yeah, so anyone voting to be fucked over by the Clintons is also fucked over by every donor they've ever had, spreading moral deficiency as a virulent social disease.
Edited to remove an extra 'y', probably an unconscious slip made out of wonder that anyone would have voted for Her.
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
Yep. And this is why Schumer told Hillary to blame
herself, not the Party. While he is partially on the mark, he also does not want us to notice that the electoral map is mostly red.
Hillary did win all the blue states that would go Democratic if the Democratic nominee were a box of rocks and then some. (Okay, I admit it: a box of rocks is less dangerous and less deplorable than Hillary and therefore not the best allusion.) Her problem: blue states (and then some) are not enough to win the electoral vote.
On the other side, Obama faced the same problem in 2008 and nailed it, even carrying Indiana. He looked as though he might even win Alaska, too, until McCain picked Palin. But, as 2008 and 2016 both showed, Hillary is no Obama. (In 2008, Obama did enjoy a perfect storm for a Democratic victory, but his personal appeal was great as well.)
We all know about the House and Senate; and the map in your essay shows the story on the state level. The electoral college map of 2016, adjusted for population (whatever that means) is here.
Of course, Democrats will continue to say this tells them they have to go further right. Same thing they've been saying since the Johnson era. No, scratch that. How could a poster named HenryAWallace forget? They've been saying they can't go too far left since at least FDR.
Here's the big question in my mind
Obama fooled me... at least in 2008. I was all behind some hope & change. Needless to day, my hopes were dashed and change didn't happen. So now I'm a lot more critical of any Democrat promising me hope & change. They would not be able to put up another photogenic, smooth talker and fool me. They already played that card and it worked for them -- once.
The question in my mind is whether they'll be able to do it again with the rest of the voters. My fear is all they need to do is dredge up another smooth liar and the voters will swarm back to Democrats in same pillar-to-post dance they've been doing for generations.
A lot of wanderers in the U.S. political desert recognize that all the duopoly has to offer is a choice of mirages. Come, let us trudge towards empty expanse of sand #1, littered with the bleached bones of Deaniacs and Hope and Changers.
-- lotlizard
Sure. Democrats can put up someone who fools people; so
can Republicans. So can Greens. Someone who runs indie can fool us, too. And no matter who gets elected, we must also contend with the Deep State. For example, I've been hearing how Trump, an elected office, had the temerity to speak to Putin without anyone from State or a National Security advisor present. Trump didn't even get advice from people who would tell him "If Putin says X, you reply with Y."
I'm beginning to think the POTUS, whom we elect, is nothing but window dressing. All those billions and all those months spent on Presidential campaigns--and the one who gets elected is expected to take direction from bureaucrats anyway. What a freaking joke this country seems like some times.
Fixed it for you:
@HenryAWallace
Are all those billions, mostly spent in corporate media, to keep the corporations happily in propaganda mode between elections? And those 'bureaucrats' seem to be now not only representing corporate and billionaire self-interests but now far more often are representing themselves directly in government as corporate and billionaire self-interests.
This monster asylum has rather obviously ceased any pretense of being a legitimate Constitutional government of, by and for the people, not that there seems to have been that much before... now that's incremental change the frogs had barely noticed up until now!
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
Gen X is now a political force
too bad they are useless
@gjohnsit That's what you think, is
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
I'm Gen X
so yes, I dissing on my generation.
@gjohnsit I respectfully
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
They're saying Gen X and Millennials, two generations,
obviously, outnumber Boomers, one generation. So, I think Boomers are still a force, much as everyone is eager for the damned leftist hippies to go to that big be-in in the sky. Additionally, I believe older people are THE most reliable group of voters. Don't count out Boomers yet!
Boomers & older.
Two generations -- Baby Boomers and WW2 generation.
Not many of those left.
If you were 20 in 1945, you are 92 now--and they drafted people as old as 35, I think . And that was not a huge demographic to begin with, especially after the war casualties. It's mostly the Boomers still voting.
Generations...
By WW2 generation, I mean those born between 1925 and 1945. They grew up or came of age during WW2 and about 30 million of them are still alive and many are still voting.
Ah. Being unfamiliar with the term "World War II
Generation," I assumed you meant people old enough to have fought in World War II. Boomers, about whom I'd posted = one generation. Boomers, Silent Generation and Greatest Generation = three generations. Presumably, not many people older than the Greatest Generation can vote at this point.
In any event, the vote of Boomers still matters, despite thinning of their numbers.
Some were old enough.
Those born in 1925 and later likely made up 75% of enlistments from 1943 to 1945. Also, the draft age was lowered to 18 in November 1942, so conscriptees got younger, too.
My Dad was born in March 1927 and his high school class was allowed to graduate early so they could enlist. He served in Germany, although the fighting was over by the time he finished boot camp and got there.
Awww. That's a great anecdote. I'm glad
the fighting was over by the time he got there. He got the early graduation, which may have made local history, the pride of having enlisted, the trip--and, best of all, got to come home safe and sound without having witnessed too many horrors.
edg--Thanks for the 'generations' graphic--nice reference! EOM
Mollie
Everyone thinks they have the best dog, and none of them are wrong.
@edg Those are Silent
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
God bless our purple
umbrellas and fiddy cent hats.
the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.
As Tiny Tim observed, God bless us, everyone."
But, I am not familiar with your references.
LZ
A little hint...
Opening lyrics to Zeppelin
tune, "Livin Lovin Maid."
"With a purple umbrella and a 50 cent hat" Just a song from the hippie era. I'm a big John Bonham (drums) fan, but the other guys could play. One of the best bands ever. Bonham still worshipped today by some of the best drummers.
I always thought the lyric was, "with a purple umbrella and a fifth at hand" until about 10 years ago.
the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.
They were indeed a great band. Thanks!
@HenryAWallace Boomers voted Trump in
Boomers, along with older Gen-Xers like myself, voted Hillary in the primaries.
Boomers gave Romney a slight edge over Obama in 2012.
Can't find data right now on how Boomers specifically voted in 2008.
In 2004, Boomers were evenly divided between John Kerry and George W. Bush--assuming you believe those numbers.
In 2000, Boomers were evenly divided between Gore and W--again, assuming you believe those numbers.
In other words, most Boomers aren't hippies. As far as I can tell, most of you weren't hippies even in the greatest heyday of the hippies.
Most boomers are also not leftists.
Sadly the Boomers who ended up prevailing were the ones like Dick Cheney. Which is one reason that our Boomer presidents are George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
My boomer parents weren't hippies
@Deja Did she want Jerry
I wish we could have had President Frank Church. Not that I have too many objections to Jimmy Carter: his El Salvador policy, his beginning the deregulation of business, his letting the Shah come here (on the advice of Kissinger) and his breaking up asylums and turning them into halfway houses, and, well, nothing, which I believe is one of the great undiscussed sources of the abrupt spike in homelessness in the 1980s--those are the things I don't like about him. There are many things I do like, especially his preference for peace over war and his wish to get off the petroleum economy. Also his emphasis on human rights, but I sure wish he had been more consistent about that.
He was also the last kind president we had--the last one that you could imagine driving a neighbor to the hospital or even lending them a cup of sugar. (At first we thought Bill was like that, but we were oh so wrong).
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
She voted for Ford
I agree with you about his policies. However, I think he's trying to burn karmic ribbons with his Habitat for Humanity and actually, physically laboring on site.
I learned, just last week, about his deregulation of the airline industry. Being a kid at the time, I didn't know about any of that stuff. Now look at the state of the industry today. Squeezing people in like sardines, over booking, extra charges for every single thing, beating the shit out of people, either forcing them off or holding them prisoner on the tarmac for hours without a/c, and that's not even the half of it. Sigh . . .
@Deja Well, what I
He was wrong about deregulation. As far as the two foreign policy fuckups he did, I know that he did them under pressure/influence--he started off with the opposite policy in El Salvador and then caved to pressure. That doesn't make him admirable, but does show that he had the right ideas. As for the Shah, I can't understand why anybody after Nixon would ever have listened to Kissinger.
But I actually like Carter.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
What's that saying?
Once you hit 30 and get a real (middle class sustaining) job, you put your purple umbrella away and opt for a gray suit. I didn't get my first real job until a week before I hit 30. What a birthday present! But, i hung onto (and still have) my purple umbrella. Was never one for suits and don't own one.
But, yeah, most Boomers got themselves a real job and a suit. I never could figure out how that switched ones political leanings. When I got drafted into the Army it was still the "Hippie Era" (even though most of us Boomers weren't). When I got out two years later the whole world had changed. Gone were bell bottoms and tie dye, in were khakis and aligator logo polos. And just like that the '60s were gone, the '70s arrived. [sigh] The '70s sucked.
the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.
the '70s
Not all of it. Generally, non-debt vectors were still available for fresh high-school grads to adult-wage jobs. Consumer electronics were still repairable with reasonable skill and without advanced chemistry and quantum mechanics.
And much flatly awesome music, too!
On the other hand, there were some things about the '70s which really did suck big green weenies. The deprecation of the Hippie movement was the onset of the neoconservative disease which now threatens to kill us all......
"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar
"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides
@thanatokephaloides I remember the
Too much cocaine around back then, and things were going badly economically, but the culture was still alive.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
Me too. But we were just wee kids in the 70's...
Very fond of that period too. The music to me, along with the 60's, still reigns supreme.
And Wink, speaking of being such a huge Zeppelin fan (as I am one also, and a pretty obsessed to boot) - they were the 70's.
At the moment I'm relishing every page of this oral history book by Barney Hoskyns. The book is definitely deepening my understanding of them personally, and the interplay among them and culturally within their time period. There's some passages with recollection of Plant's hippie-ness, akin to what you're saying about the loss of the 60's hope and spirit. Check this out, from Henry Smith, a Zeppelin roadie:
and another, from an artist who worked on their album covers:
The "happy warrior" Danny Goldberg called him.
"The Led Zeppelin knocks off the Beatles"
"If I should ever die, God forbid, let this be my epitaph:
THE ONLY PROOF HE NEEDED
FOR THE EXISTENCE OF GOD
WAS MUSIC"
- Kurt Vonnegut
Thanks, CStMS. So much in your post.
I won't attempt to unpack everything, but:
1.
My post did not say otherwise. My comment: "So, I think Boomers are still a force {at the polls, despite waning numbers as they pass away}, much as everyone is eager for the damned leftist hippies to go to that big be-in in the sky." The two points of my comment were that (a) the vote of Boomers still matters; and (b) as an aside, centrists and rightists are eager for hippies, who have been a thorn in their sides, to be gone. My point was not that all or most Boomers were or are hippies or leftists.
However, supposedly, many people get more conservative as they age. (My personal theory is different: I think people grok at some point how government spends their money and therefore simply vote for the party that pledges not to raise their taxes.)
2.
I don't know why you assume I am I Boomer or a hippie. I've never claimed to be either.
3. Basically, people who do go to the polls these days--and many don't--vote along party lines, unless there is a perfect storm kind of election, as occurred in 2008. It may nonetheless be worthwhile to slice and dice voter demographics finely beyond that--and pandering politicians certainly want that info. However, I think we have to be very careful about which forest level conclusions we draw from the tree, even leaf, level slicing and dicing of voter demographics. That is especially true of a one of a kind (so far) election like the primary of 2016 and the general of 2016.
I can think of many reasons a flower child, female or male, who was liberal when bras were being burned and remained so, might vote for the first female to be nominated for the Presidency. There was also the hype about Sanders being a whites only candidate. If a hippie from the Civil Rights sit in era bought that hype, that would have been the kiss of death.
On the other hand, we've never had a Presidential nominee for Commander in Chief under active FBI investigation re: classified info. Or perhaps never a candidate so disliked by so many voters in his or her own party. Moreover, we can probably all agree that Trump was also a unique candidate for one of the two largest parties--and voters were, I think, fed up and disillusioned to more than a usual degree. And, a good number of supporters of Sanders, who I assume were to Hillary's left, voted for Trump. So, what, if anything does that say about hippies or liberals or anything we can generalize about? Trump was a sui generis (so far) candidate, as were Hillary and Sanders. And I believe the electorate was also sui generis.
And, as you kept referencing, all the above assumes we are fed accurate info, which itself is a pretty big assumption, IMO. Both of our largest political parties and msm have invested a lot of money and effort into drumming into our heads that the majority of the country is not even slightly liberal and therefore most Americans don't want policies that are even slightly liberal; liberal candidates can't win elections, so the parties, especially the Democratic Party, just have to run more and more rightists; most etc. So, the numbers are suspect, but the interpretations of the numbers, being far more subjective, is even more suspect.
@HenryAWallace Before I get to
Also, one of my bad habits is to vent my frustration with an inaccurate idea at a person who just reminded me of it, but isn't responsible for it. So, apologies for that too.
Now, back to reading the rest of your comment...
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
Not a problem.
I could be a Boomer. I could be 100. Or I could be 40 or 16. My official positions on personal info and message boards are:
(1) It's irrelevant. The contents of a post are either right or wrong. Telling me you're a professional in the field or whatever doesn't change that. I wish I had a dime for every time someone who had no idea of my age to begin with tried to shut me up by saying they knew better than I because they had lived through the event or era being discussed. Talk about logical fallacy! As if everyone on the planet at that time had the identical view of the event in question!
(2) In my experience, posting personal info is almost always a mistake. If nothing else, someone likely will use it to insult you when they disagree with you or you with them. It happened even on this relatively collegial board. Even funnier--it wasn't even my personal info that got thrown in my face, but info another poster had posted about her own career!
(3) Regardless of what the truth IRL may be, on a message board, I am officially (and perennially) 22, very healthy, wealthy and wise and drop dead gorgeous. Because why not? It's not even lying since I say up front that it's, um, "fake news."
@HenryAWallace Ahead of time, let
I agree with you on your personal theory about why people oppose taxes. When government is as obviously and disgustingly corrupt as it is, AND is operating pretty much constantly against your best interests, why would you want to give your money to it? It's untrustworthy. I'm a big government gal myself (as long as we have to exist in a non-anarchist framework), and at this point, the only reason I'm paying my taxes is that I would be jailed and my family economically ruined if I stopped. If I were willing to take that hit, I'd stop paying taxes in a hot second.
However, I think we have to be very careful about which forest level conclusions we draw from the tree, even leaf, level slicing and dicing of voter demographics. That is especially true of a one of a kind (so far) election like the primary of 2016 and the general of 2016.
Fair point, but I was looking at a trajectory. And when I went further back, I discovered that in 1992, Boomers actually went for George H.W. Bush. Not that voting for Bill Clinton was a great thing, but choosing Bush after twelve years of Reagan/Bush is pretty conservative. You're right that how generations vote for the President shouldn't be taken alone, and also, obviously, people can change over time. A true analysis of these matters would have to be done scientifically, as in an actual social scientist doing a study, or maybe more than one.
So I'm not doing a full analysis, because I'm not a social scientist and I don't have the resources to do a study---if I only did! There are countless studies I wish I could do, to reach actual conclusions based on reason.
I'm taking these data points as indicators. I'm aware they don't constitute scientific proof of the nature of the Boomer generation. I'm trying to trouble an entrenched narrative with data that doesn't fit into it, and these data don't. I'm pushing back against a reductive and oversimplified narrative of last fifty or sixty years of history. There's a tendency, not in you but pretty prevalent, which puts all the lefty and counterculture things from the 60s into the "Baby Boom generation (aka those crazy kids)" basket and ignores all data that contradicts that reduction. So everybody who was of that generation who wasn't a lefty or a hippie gets ignored, and--and this one really irritates me--the heroes of that generation are talked of as if they were members of that generation when they weren't. JFK isn't discussed as a member of the Greatest Generation. It took me decades to find out he was a WWII hero. Robert Kennedy isn't discussed as a member of the Silent Generation. MLK isn't discussed as a member of the Silent Generation. Rosa Parks was Greatest Generation. Even John Lewis is a member of the Silent Generation, not the Boomers. Hell, even Timothy Leary was Greatest Generation.
The reason this is important to me is that seeing these data changes our view of history which has all been funneled through the "those lefty counterculture kids in the 60s rose up against their stodgy conservative WWII Archie Bunker parents" narrative, and over time has been cooked down into stereotypes of the various generations:
WWII generation: Conservative and racist, but also war heroes who fought Hitler.
Boomers: Lefty hippies, turned into liberal hippies in the 80s when everything left of liberal was erased
GenXers: Selfish little shits. Some like Reagan, some just like money.
Millenials: Idiot children who think it's the sixties and whose blundering will ruin everything if they don't listen to their elders.
Underneath all this is the notion that what drives history is the essential character of both individuals and generations. People, both individually and en masse, decide to be Good or Bad, to embrace certain ideas or others, and that's what makes history go the way it does. Consequences leap out of the essential characters of both individuals and groups (and I know those two things don't always work the same way, but this narrative treats them as basically the same: generations are discussed as if each generation was one big superperson with an Identity, just as races and genders are, and to a lesser extent, city people vs country people.) What's left out is considerations of power, most considerations of money, and what I might call groups of affiliation rather than demographic groups. In fact, a lot of what I would call history gets left out.
You're not doing this, and you have every reason to be irritated at me for having this spew out because you briefly mentioned Boomers and hippies in the same sentence. But this is what was seething beneath my comment. The assumptions that are frequently made, perhaps even generally made, about the generations, their identities, and their relationship to one another and to history, drive me freaking crazy.
I can think of many reasons a flower child, female or male, who was liberal when bras were being burned and remained so, might vote for the first female to be nominated for the Presidency. There was also the hype about Sanders being a whites only candidate. If a hippie from the Civil Rights sit in era bought that hype, that would have been the kiss of death.
Yes, but that flower child also protested against war. If you went back to the 60s in a time machine, and confronted the flower child with a choice between a rampant sexist and a warmongerer who appeared avid to start World War III, wouldn't that flower child reject both, and, well, drop out? Isn't that why hippies dropped out--because the entire system was corrupt? They're lucky enough to have survived long enough that the majority of America now agrees with them, and would like to drop out, if there were anywhere to drop out to. And now they are apparently loathe to accept that agreement--either that, or the Boomers on Hillary's side were never hippies to begin with. I suspect it's a little from column A and a little from column B. For instance my mom, who was a hippie, supports Hillary, but so did Dick Cheney.
As for Sanders, yes, there was hype about him being a racist. There was also a picture of him being dragged off with a black woman because he protested segregation in Chicago. There was also hard evidence that he was the only white politician to show up in 2004 when the CBC gathered to discuss voter suppression of Blacks in Ohio. Whereas Hillary Clinton worked on Goldwater's campaign and is now being touted as a Civil Rights champion, despite the fact that she had a young Black civil rights protester taken out of her fundraiser by security so she could get back to talking to her rich white donors. The only reason that the "Sanders is a racist" thing stuck is that a bunch of famous Black people refused to support him, and, thus, there must be something racist about him--which is why I get upset about the idea of reading history through the lens of stereotyped notions of the characters of individuals and groups. If a bunch of prominent Black people occupy the airwaves and don't support you, then you must be racist, because
Group A: Black people=good people who fight racism
Group B: White people=bad racist people who hurt everyone not white
Group C: Hillary Clinton and her white supporters=white people who might as well be Black because they feel sorry for Group A and excoriate Group B (any times they might have hurt group A or worked with Group B are wiped off the slate)
Of course, the unacknowledged elephant in the room of my discussion here is the abandonment of reason, logic, standards of evidence, standards of proof--and their replacement with stereotypes, team allegiances, and ill-defined moral appeals which, upon examination, don't even manage to support the morality they advocate. At least the Religious Right actually believed the (IMO pretty crappy) morality they advocated.
So, the numbers are suspect, but the interpretations of the numbers, being far more subjective, is even more suspect.
I think that the numbers since the 2000 election fraud and the 2001 takeover of our country by the security state might be lies. Election fraud and propaganda have become more and more dominant forces in this country in the 21st century. But I don't believe that all numbers ever posted in our history have necessarily always been propaganda. That's why I went back in time, to see if I could see a trajectory. (In response to your response, heh, I went back even further and discovered that Boomers, in the 80s, supported Reagan, Reagan, and Bush). There's reason to believe that numbers since 2000 could be suspect, which is why I put a caveat there--however, there's also reason to believe that, even up till last year's election, the propagandists didn't have complete control over those numbers and those who discover and present them to the public, namely that they had to cancel exit polls last year, instead of having the exit polls obediently report exactly what they wanted.
As for my interpretations being even more suspect, my hypothesis was not all Boomers are/were hippies or leftists, and that there's a significant minority, at least, of the Boomer generation that is as far from being hippies or leftists as you can get. Not surprising, when you consider how large the generation is, and it seems to me that it was a fairly evident fact even back in the sixties. One estimate, from a social scientist working in the sixties, was that hippies constituted fewer than a half a million people in a generation of 34 million people. Of course, that doesn't include all leftists, but the existence of groups like Young Americans for Freedom suggests that the Boomers were not monolithically left-wing any more than they were all hippies. And of course, we all know that there were Boomers who chose to cut their professional teeth in the administrations of Richard Nixon. Many of them turned up later in the administrations of George W. Bush. To me, that hypothesis doesn't seem suspect so much as so obvious it shouldn't even need to be mentioned.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
I was *not* irritated at you!
I had come to the board feeling uncharacteristically pessimistic about politics and political posters in general. I probably just should have taken a break from posting anything but maybe purely social stuff on open threads. Having an over-developed sense of duty, plus a soupçon of OCD, I nonetheless unwisely began that session by replying to those who had posted to me. I mentioned my mood in the first paragraph of this reply: https://caucus99percent.com/comment/285265#comment-285265 I apologize for not having forewarned you, too. In any case, whatever you irritation you may have picked up on was not directed toward you or any individual.
As my prior reply to you said, I didn't claim all Boomers were hippies, only that the rightist establishment will be happy to be shut of the hippies of the Boomer generation. I've seen a lot of hippie bashing on Democratic political message boards, all part of relentless punching left by Dembots. Ditto generational warfare against Boomers, which I see as both created and stoked by those who want to do away with OASDI, also part of the austerity contingent's punching left--and part of their "divide and rule" tactics. (I know those are not your motives.) BTW, Boomers are also often described as selfish because they allegedly polluted the planet, did not rise up against Reagan, inflicted Bush and Bubba on the world and are forcing everyone who will never benefit from Social Security to contribute to Boomers' Medicare and fat, lazy retirement.
Because of the narratives being pushed against Boomers in general and hippie Boomers in particular, I may have been skeptical when I saw the statistic in gjohnsit's post about the votes of Gen X and Gen M mattering more than the votes of Boomers, especially when the percentage was so slim. (Boomers and older, as edg correctly pointed out, but Boomers likely make up the biggest part of the "Boomers and older" demographic.) At the same time, I've seen you post often about belonging to Gen X and gjohnsit's post called that generation (also his), useless. So, you may have been reacting to that, though that bit had nothing to do with anything I posted.
As far as Sanders appealing to hippies: Of course, Sanders appealed to many hippies, but not necessarily because he is a "peacenik," or an advocate for the rights of women and minorities. IIRC, Sanders voted for bombing poor people in Afghanistan, as retaliation for what Ben Laden, a bunch of other well-funded Saudis and one Egyptian did. Supposedly, that was justified because "Afghanistan" had "harbored" Ben Laden, but bullshit. Afghani peasants hadn't harbored him or refused to hand him over to us--as if farmers could; and we didn't bomb Pakistan, where he was actually "harbored."(Because I am a pacifist, I am not particularly picky about which wars I deem horrific, senseless and also counter-productive to US national security.)
As far as that picture of Sanders being chained to black women: In general, I think those of us who are looking at political news and message boards almost daily can tend to assume that most American voters are far better informed than they are. I can almost guarantee that far fewer hippies heard of Killer Mike, even today, than heard of Gloria Steinem, Madeleine Albright, Krugman, etc., almost every local, state and national Democratic officeholder in the country who endorsed Hillary and trashed Sanders and the alleged "Bernie bros."
Those hippie voters who did see the pic of Sanders chained to black women may probably also saw or heard the bots' uni-narrative about Sanders, which was spread widely on boards, twitter, facebook, MSNBC and everywhere else: "Sure, he may have done some stuff for African Americans when he was a college kid (if that was even really him). "But then, he moved to Vermont, wrote creepy stuff about women fantasizing (positively) about being raped and totally forgot about black people for the rest of his entire life. Oh, and, btw, his only supporters are white people, and mostly racist, sexist white males at that. #Berniesoblack." Could that riff been convincing to a feminist, equal rights activist from the Sixties? Especially with pics of the mostly white audiences at Sanders' rallies? Possibly. Anyway, my only original point was that the Boomer voting demographic cannot be dismissed.
More importantly (from my POV) is whether I hurt your feelings. I did not post (or mean to imply) that your interpretations of numbers are suspect, or any more or less suspect than mine. I said and meant only that we have to be careful of the interpretations of political data that appear in the msm and elsewhere, especially the ones that I see as pointing rightward (much like Hillary's
corporatecampaign logo). My secondary point was that while numbers are objective many interpretations of the meaning of numbers are subjective. We all need to be careful not to get locked into any particular interpretations or conclusions (even our own). I did not try to push any interpretation on you, only to point out the existence of possibilities other than the ones you mentioned.In general, it does not matter to me whether posters agree with me or disagree. It matters to me that I get to say most of what I want and that discussion is civil and issue-besed and seems sincere. Those basic criteria have been met by every post of yours that I've ever seen. As a big bonus, you're posts are also always thoughtful, informative, intelligent, etc. FWIW, you're among my personal favorite posters.
With that, I think I've said as much as I have in me to say about this. In fact, parts of this post may be repeating what I said in my prior reply to you. If so, I apologize.
@HenryAWallace I'm not
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
I am trying to unpack so much of this
Back then in my twenties, I was totally and completely apolitical. It was through my job working in local government, that I became more politically aware and voted Democrat even though I held no strong ideology. I just believed in fairness and the Democrats appeared to represent fairness back then.
Unlike the stereotypes often portrayed here and elsewhere on line, as I have gotten older, I have moved further and further left. I am much farther left than I was even ten years ago.
What I really dislike seeing is my entire generation as being portrayed the villains in our society. Yes, the majority of people of all generations become more politically conservative as they grow older, but not all of us. When I participated in Occupy Tallahassee, some of the strongest supporters of the local Occupy movement were those of us over 60. When I joined our local Peace vigil, I was the youngest member by at least ten years and I was in my early 60's at the time.
Because the Boomer generation was so large, it is easy to paint us all with a broad brush and wish for our demise. But I am a firm believer that we need to continue to find common ground, even with those whose politics are to the right of our own and that include the Boomer gneration.
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
When I went to my
first march for Bernie (in Syracuse) I expected to see a bunch of gray haired Boomers, old hippies. I was surprised to see half the crowd (of about 200) was under 35! Wow, I said to an aging Boomer (like myself), there are kids here! There is hope! Indeed there was and I hope it continues. Our "secretary" /"treasurer" of our local "Syracuse 4 Bernie" group is a very young barely 20-something single mother who lugs her little one to meetings. I'm impressed, and let her know it. "I'm not the only one," she says. So, yeah, there is hope.
the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.
As you probably know, the real dividing line between
the respective demographics of Hillary and Bernie was not race, gender, religion or anything but age, with older voters skewing for Hillary.
in my Occupy experience
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
I appreciate your sharing your experience.
I have not been becoming more conservative over time, either, though some do. In fact, I'm about ready to go full anarchist. (I'm not about to bomb anything, though.)
I trust that you replied to me with your personal experience because it is relevant to the discussion that CStMS and I have been having and not because you misread my post to mean that I am eager for the demise of anyone, much less of an entire generation. If not, please read the portion of my two replies to CStMS that explain the meaning of my comment on the graph gjohnsit posted.
And, since I skipped down the thread a bit, I agree with you that native's post was very well put, though I disagree with you that native put anything better than you did. You always put things very well indeed, wording softly while posting big stuff. On this thread, you and native made valuable, though different kinds of contributions, one personal and one general, both enlightening and, as always, both very well put.
It was an emotional response
While I do not see ageist comments here very much, I have become very defensive at any type of conversation that is skewed toward dividing us by demographics. And yes, I am very well aware that my leftism is contrary to a large percentage in my own age group. And I will admit, I have started thinking that anarchism may be the only answer left to us.
I do believe, as a result of my Peace vigil experience, that there are many folks out there who can be reached in common ground. It takes just one or two points of common ground to establish a dialogue. In our fight for the 99%, we need keep a dialogue open and find all the allies we can. And we may surprised to find them in places we have not looked. IMHO, this was Bernie's great gift. He was able to bridge the ideology gap by finding those aspects of common ground that spanned over a wide range of people.
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
As both my replies to CStMS state, I defend Boomers and those
replies state why I do that. Bottom line: I am especially opposed to Boomer bashing because I believe that it has been driven by anti-left and anti-Social Security agenda. And when I posted that "everybody" will be glad when they're gone, I meant the right and center right establishment and PTB whose agenda that is, the Clintons and Pete Petersons of the world.
Appealing to everyone except the very rich is not as difficult as the right and center right have made it seem. For one thing, the New Deal is a model. For another thing, most humans need, want and deserve pretty much the same things. https://caucus99percent.com/comment/285042#comment-285042
Bernie was born in 1941. He knows the stories told by his parents and their generation about the Depression and the New Deal and Second Bill of Rights very well. And he was old enough to vote by 1962.
He witnessed the Great Society legislation. He brought those things back to those who knew about them as he did and he introduced them to people who may not have been aware of them in the same way that Bernie and his generation (and older) is aware of them. He let them know what government should and can do, if only it would stop spending insanely on imperialism and spying unconstitutionally on its own citizenry, er, I mean "defense." In fact, one of the speeches he gave at one of the colleges (forgot which) name checked FDR and FDR's statements.
@gulfgal98 Just to clarify-
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
I think gulfgal was reacting to the post of mine upthread that
said everybody wanted the damned hippies to go to that big be in in the sky.
@HenryAWallace Oh, good!
I cried all afternoon when David Bowie died.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
To me, the popular idea of classifying
a person's political leanings according to which "generation" they supposedly belong to, is ridiculous. During the course of any given time-span there have been radicals, conservatives, conformists, opportunists, visionaries, warhawks and peaceniks, all mixed together in the same kind of jumbled mass as we see today. A person's age has virtually nothing to do with his or her political orientation, as far as I can see.
The "revolutionary" esprit de corps that permeated pop culture for several years (roughly 1965-75) ended up being far more about fashion than about politics, despite the best efforts of its originators... who were not in fact, necessarily or even usually very youthful. "The hippies", however one defines that vague and ill-defined category, were never able to break free from the same economic and societal constraints that had defined and limited their elders. After a while most of them gave up even trying. Or else they retreated into various isolate, quasi-spiritual, self-help, or survivalist communities.
Nonetheless, the ideas that gave birth to "the sixties" live on, primarily because they are not temporally bound. They have little to do with this generation or that generation, but are rather soul-food for all the generations.
native
You said it better
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
Brilliant. Thanks, native.
@gjohnsit
And that doesn't count the people deprived of their vote, I'll bet...
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
Which generation are the Raygoon (Reagan)
YUPPIES? Thanks! Rec'd!!
Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.
Tail of Boomers I think
@Deja Gen X=1965-1980
I was born in 1968. In 1986 I was old enough to vote, but didn't because 18 years old with no awareness of midterm elections. I voted in 1988.
People born in 1965 and 1966 would have been old enough to vote for Reagan. That's two years out of fifteen.
Gen X did not elect Reagan. In fact, most of Gen X did not elect George Herbert Walker Bush. Those able to vote in the 1988 election were: 1965-1970. Five years out of the fifteen-year generation.
Or, in other words, 1/3 of us were able to vote in 1988.
The first time a majority of Gen Xers could vote was in 1992. You can blame us for Bill Clinton, but not for Reagan or George H.W. Bush. Those gentlemen were put into power by the Greatest Generation, the Silent Generation, and the Boomers.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
@orlbucfan See my reply to deja.
Gen X should not be held responsible for either Reagan or Bush.
We can reasonably be blamed for Bill Clinton.
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
Blame
When I look at our political situation today, the people and the voters cannot be blamed for the mess we are facing. Obama conned us and the most recent choices we were faced with were evil of one stripe versus evil of another stripe.
I personally despise the idea that people get the government they deserve when the entire system is and has been rigged against us for a long time.
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
Isn't there an adage that "all politics are local"?
It seems $Hillary and her benefactors forgot that and continue to deny it.
The real SparkyGump has passed. It was an honor being your human.
It takes a village idiot...
...to lost twice, once to Obama and the second time to Trump
It takes a lot for anyone to lose to Trump.
However, very smart people have lost Presidential runs twice or more, even as Democratic Party nominees, but certainly as nominees of smaller parties.
One-fifth of Trump's base could be Bernie fans
link
So 56% of Republicans cannot be reached.
20% are Fox News watching morons, easily duped into voting against their own best interests.
That Sanders' base expressed "pro white leanings" is
evil bs propagated by Clinton and the DNC early on in the primary. If anyone expressed pro white leanings, it was Ms. Clinton herself, when, in 2008, she declared her constituency to be "hard-working white people."
Despite the efforts of Clinton and all her contacts in media and all the bots who polluted social media with false claims about Bernie and white males, the biggest dividing line between Hillary's voters and Bernie's voters was not race or gender, but age, with younger voters favoring Bernie.
@gjohnsit
They included a couple of important facts not often mentioned in the (disinforming) corporate media, which leapt out at me:
Not that we don't know this; it's just so good to see such as this included.
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
the faster the pelosi / schumer sell outs are
flushed into the sewage tank of history, the better.
can you consider yourself "logical" if you have any expectations that lying sell out scum will change, especially when they've been lying sell out scum for decades ??
rmm
But then I sigh; and, with a piece of scripture,
Tell them that God bids us do good for evil:
And thus I clothe my naked villany
With old odd ends stolen out of holy writ;
Schumer and Pelosi *and the Clintons*
are not the problem, though the Clintons are certainly among the causes. Knock them all out and others will replace them. The problem is corporatism. That no one in power really wants to change that is evident from so many things, including making sure Hillary won the primary even though the head to head polls showed Sanders had a better chance of winning the general; election of Clintonite Perez; talk of better "messaging," rather than of changing positions; running more Blue Dogs, etc.
Democrats would love for us to believe it's about Pelosi or any handful of individuals they'd be willing to torpedo. They are not willing to torpedo corporatism and its $$, though.
Same with Trump
Idolizing a politician is like believing the stripper really likes you.
I can't help but look at the newer
It is Corporatism, the ethic that says profit is the only thing that matters and hell with the real world consequences. "Better to ask forgiveness than permission" is one I've heard out of many a corporate stooge. They make me far angrier than any Tea Bag loon ever did.
Only a fool lets someone else tell him who his enemy is. Assata Shakur
Old money vs new money
New rich don't get it. Too many I've seen literally don't see the world outside their gated communities. I've had some jaw dropping conversations along the lines of George HW Bush trying to price groceries, except these are much younger people. If they recognize a division at all, I've seen an attitude that they think they can just keep squeezing blood from this turnip and it will never run dry.
Idolizing a politician is like believing the stripper really likes you.
Here's a Jeremy Corbyn advert.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptC-0_gObNM width:500 height:300]
We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.
Genius Corbyn ad.
Really cuts through all that Worship the Rich as our betters and meritocracy bullshit that every culture is infected by.
"If I should ever die, God forbid, let this be my epitaph:
THE ONLY PROOF HE NEEDED
FOR THE EXISTENCE OF GOD
WAS MUSIC"
- Kurt Vonnegut
betters
Ancient days ago (1987 - 1990) I was a participant in the FidoNet HOLYSMOKE Echo. (Unfettered religious debate!) Some of the beLIEvers over there told me to listen to my "betters". I responded to that by saying: "I have no 'betters'!"
Predictably, they had a serious cow!
"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar
"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides
FidoNet.
Brings back memories. I don't even know if I could "get on" these days if I had to use FidoNet. I used DialUp back in the day to connect via FidoNet to a couple in Cicero, NY (Syracuse suburb) who ran a hub of sorts out of their home. Was so cool to get that "connected" acknowlegement. Ah, the days before CompuServe, AOL.
the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.
@Mark from Queens
Is every culture infected with that now? I hates globe-spanning propaganda even more than the local variety...
I had noticed that Israel and America had identical Monsanto/Bivings-style trolls which don't go over so well in Canada, but it's essentially the same types of pathologically greedy billionaires and corporate interests corrupting, or attempting to corrupt/overthrow governments everywhere.
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
Good ad!
They're right -- I just don't get it!
"Stand Up! Keep Fighting!" - Paul Wellstone
Well *done*!!!
"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha
"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver
I suspect that we aren't looking at it right.
I remember (not well enough) a couple of books from the early 70s, something like "What Conservatives Really Mean" a follow-up to "What Communists Really Mean". (I cannot find either book, implying that I'm getting the titles wrong) In any event what it said was that in the 68 and 72 elections the 18- 21 vote , historically assumed to be extreme left, was actually won by George Wallace. The "youth vote" was actually a plurality right wing (actually New Deal racist) with a large minority of leftists obscuring that fact. (eventually Reagan Democrats)
I see a similar misrepresentation of that today. Our political divides are not along a traditional political "spectrum" but along a different spectrum, based on honesty and trust, acceptance of the traditional parties and labels.
For an educated guess: the Millenials are Berniecrats, essentially New Dealers without the racism, but given only neolibs to vote for a significant minority are willing to vote for a non traditional conservative, provided he is (or appears to be) not from the "establishment", even if he is a racist liar. (that's how toxic the "New Democrats" are, that is why a Clinton - or Cory Booker or Kamala Harris or even Gavin Newsome - will never be president) Similarly, they will overwhelmingly vote for a Berniecrat in say 2020 or even the 2018 midterms, but there will be enough over 35 voters who will only vote for a "Democrat" to sabotage the election until 2024 or (God Help Us!!!) 2028. Provided that there is a "Democratic Party" to vote for.
This is the mathematical problem - Berniecrats will lose a 3 way race 45 -35 - 20 as long as there is a separate mainstream Democrat in the race to act as spoiler, essentially the Wilson, TR, Taft race, which gave us an era of massive corruption, oppressive, violent bigotry, and eventually the Great Depression. We must prevent the Democrats from running a spoiler candidate in 2020, either by making them endorse the Berniecrat, or run no candidate at all (cease to exist)
On to Biden since 1973
Despite Trump being a total f-up around 50% [voters] have more
faith in him than Democrats.
Hilarious when you think about it.
Ironic, perhaps, given Democrats and establishment media
have been going at Trump 24/7/365-66, since he got nominated, for everything from misspeaking to high treason but not funny. Hillary is as bold a liar as he is. Sniper fire in airports, rejected from the Marines for being too old and too female, etc. Eventually, She did learn to confine most of her stories to things no living person could either confirm or deny.
For exsmple, very shortly after people mocked the crap out of her for saying she could relate to poor people because she and Bill were dead broke when he left the White House, we started seeing a poignant ad about how Hillary understood poverty because a teacher had to bring Hillary's mom lunch when Ms. Rodham was a young kid.
When the ad was airing, of course, Hillary's mom was gone and her mom's teacher--unnamed, btw-- was long gone. AFAIK, Hillary had never told the story publicly before--and it's such a touching tale--a politician's dream story, unless someone proves it to be grade A horse manure.
Sure, the story could have been true, but the timing of its first airing to the public was sure incredibly convenient. And youtube is chock full of videos showing Hillary telling lie after lie, including, yes, about her "damn emails."
Why We Need Bluedog Democrats
Bring back Steny Hoyer and these voters will return to the Democratic party:
"They'll say we're disturbing the peace, but there is no peace. What really bothers them is that we are disturbing the war." Howard Zinn