Election polls are 95 percent confident but only 60 percent accurate, UC Berkeley Haas study finds
By Laura Counts, UC Berkeley Haas
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/election-polls-are-95-percen...
Ticket splitting in 2020? In 2016 I suggested that watching the Senate races would be more constructive than monitoring the Presidential polls and that ticket splitting wouldn't feature. Thus, I put FL and NC into the Trump column. NH was too close to call. The WI Senate polls totally tripped me up. And then I made the boneheaded (split-ticket) projection in PA – HRC and Toomey.
Columbia Township, Brooklyn, Michigan.
6:30 pm.
I was one of 3 (three) people at the polling place. Yeah. We're rural but not boonies.
Asked those who were there about attendance and was told it was very low.
Had the absolutely wonderful display by another attendee telling her young children who were with her.......
"We always vote republican."
Democracy at it's finest.
In a fascinating turn, just two days before the Iowa caucus, "The Gold Standard in Polling" has decided to nix their results moments before release. Ann Selzer and the Des Moines Register decided at the last minute to cancel their CNN special and toss out the results.
From The Hill:
Sequestered Arms for Ukraine bombs on the Boobtube
The Watergate hearings captured a huge TV audience — 80 percent of Americans tuned in, by some estimates. Like the Moon Landings, Watergate shaped the attitudes of Americans, young and old, for the rest of their lives. Not likely this time.
https://jackpineradicals.com/boards/topic/finally-proof-of-foreign-meddl...
The article is about Mexican influence in the 1992 election, but
the essential point: if people thought that Perot had a chance to win HE WOULD HAVE!
The majority of Americans oppose laws that would force transgender people to use bathrooms based on the gender listed on their birth certificates according to new polling from the Public Religion Research Institute.
Fifty-three percent of respondents oppose such laws, 39% favor them, and nearly 10% have no opinion.
A national survey was released today as part of the 2016 Out & Equal Workplace Survey released today for National Coming Out Day.
Has anyone else here been called or approached by pollsters who won't tell you whom they represent?
I spent some time comparing the trend line in the states since 3/15. Ther are revealing, and suggest why New York is going to get nasty.
