News Dump Wednesday: Scary Russia Edition

No one left to sanction

The U.S. put sanctions on Russia’s main arms exporter, Kremlin aides and the black leather-loving head of a motorcycle gang nicknamed “The Surgeon” after the 2014 invasion of Ukraine. Now, as Washington seeks ways to punish Moscow for its actions in Syria, it may be running out of options.
President Barack Obama’s administration says new sanctions are among its alternatives as it seeks to ease the humanitarian crisis in Syria, where Russia backs President Bashar al-Assad’s drive to recapture the city of Aleppo. But Secretary of State John Kerry won’t give any details, and European allies failed last week to consider tighter restrictions.
“While the president has full sanction authority, there’s nobody left to sanction in Russia besides the janitor in the Kremlin,” said Michael Kofman, a global fellow at the Wilson Center’s Kennan Institute in Washington. “In terms of expanding any kind of commercial or financial sanctions, we’re basically maxed out.”

Aleppo = Mosul

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov says Western outrage over a Russian bombing campaign in the Syrian city of Aleppo is hypocritical because Western governments are carrying out a similar operation in the Iraqi city of Mosul.
Lavrov said Tuesday that "the American coalition in Mosul is calling on residents to leave exactly like we did in Aleppo."

Amnesty International

Amnesty International has issued a new statement warning that the US needs to do more to prevent civilian casualties in its coalition airstrikes in both Iraq and Syria, and cautioned the US has dramatically under-reported the number of civilians killed in their air war.
The new report centered on Syria, noting that the US-led coalition had killed at least 300 civilians in Syria, and had not admitted to the vast majority of those slain. They reported the US had killed around 250 civilians just in the city of Manbij and the surrounding area.

International Law

The UN is not free in its opinion; it is playing a part in the game on the side of the US, says Willy Wimmer, former State Secretary of the German Christian Democratic Party.
Some 80 aid and humanitarian organizations, including Human Rights Watch, claim Russia - the only country operating militarily in Syria legally - is no longer "fit" to hold its position in the body

Outskirts of Mosul

- The Iraqi Army's 9th Armored Division, backed by the Nineveh Protection Units (Assyrian forces), reportedly reached Mosul's eastern outskirts today after a 10 day long battle with the Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS).
According to the Iraqi Army's media page, their forces reached the Kokjali (var. Gogjali) District in eastern Mosul after seizing several villages nearby.

Turkey may invade Iraq

Tensions between Turkey and Iraq continue to rise, and Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu announced today that his country reserves the right to invade Iraq “if there is a threat posed to Turkey,” and that this would include a substantial number of ground troops.
This has been the main source of tension in recent weeks, with Turkey insisting that they are going to send ground troops into Mosul, and Iraq insisting they are unwelcome. Shi’ite militias have even suggested they will treat Turkish troops as enemy forces in the fighting around Mosul.
Turkey is now claiming that they believe the PKK is heavily involved in the fight against ISIS, and has designs on setting up a base of operations in the Yazidi city of Sinjar, threatening the military response to prevent a PKK presence there.

Syria and Turkey clashing

Turkey said on Wednesday it will press its military offensive in Syria until Islamic State is driven from the town of al-Bab, despite a warning from forces allied to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and a helicopter attack on the rebels it backs...
As the Turkey-backed rebels push south toward al-Bab, an Islamic State-held town 35 km (22 miles) northeast of Aleppo, they face confrontation with both Kurdish and pro-Assad forces, whose frontlines lie close by.
The field commander of the forces allied to the Syrian leader - which include the Lebanese group Hezbollah, Iraqi militias and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards - warned Turkey any advance towards their positions north and east of Aleppo would be met "decisively and with force"...
The Turkish military said a helicopter "assessed to belong to regime forces" bombed the rebels it backs in a village near Akhtarin, a town 5 km (3 miles) southeast of Dabiq, late on Tuesday. Dabiq is a former Islamic State stronghold that the rebels seized from the jihadists this month.
It was the first time a direct clash between Syrian forces and the Turkey-backed rebels has been announced. Two rebels were killed and five wounded, the Turkish army said.

NeoMcCarthyism

In any case, what we are seeing today with the revival of the cold war mindset is in many ways the complete opposite of the “old” McCarthyism: the target may be the same – Russia as the bogeyman de jour – but the methods and sources of the neo-McCarthyites are quite different.
To begin with, the “old” McCarthyism was a movement generated from below, and aimed at the elites: the “new” McCarthyism is a media construct, generated from above and created by the elites.
The average American, while hardly a Putin groupie, is not lying awake at night worrying about the “Russian threat.” The fate of Ukraine, not to mention Crimea, is so far from his concerns that the distance can only be measured in light-years. And when some new scandal breaks as a result of WikiLeaks releasing the emails of Hillary Clinton’s inner circle, Joe Sixpack doesn’t think “Oh, that just proves Julian Assange is a Kremlin toady!” WikiLeaks is merely confirming what Joe already knew: that Washington is a cornucopia of corruption...
This barrage has gone into overdrive with the launching of the Clinton campaign’s effort to smear Donald Trump as a Kremlin “puppet.” You have to go all the way back to the earliest days of our Republic, when pro-British supporters of Alexander Hamilton were sliming the Jeffersonian Democrats with accusations that they were agents of the French revolutionaries, to come up with the historical equivalent of Hillary’s “you’re a puppet” charges directed at Trump. And the media, being an auxiliary of the Clinton campaign, has been filled with even more virulent screeds purporting to “prove” Trump is the Manchurian candidate.
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harrybothered's picture

Apparently, 59% of Democrats believe that Russia hacked the DNC and Podesta. Only 15% or so of Republicans do. There was no separate category for independents that I saw. I don't know how many of them (the now largest voting bloc) have drank the Democratic kool-aid. My guess is not many.

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"The presence of those seeking the truth is infinitely to be preferred to those who think they've found it."
Terry Pratchett, Monstrous Regiment

it's not many.
As for the ME, someone's gonna screw the pooch one time too often and missiles are gonna fly. And not just there, either. Sometimes I just feel sick that these assholes are gonna blow it all up just because they can and the rest of us ain't gonna know about it 'cause we be dead. Damn! I Hate waking up dead!

peace

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Ya got to be a Spirit, cain't be no Ghost. . .

Explain Bldg #7. . . still waiting. . .

If you’ve ever wondered whether you would have complied in 1930’s Germany,
Now you know. . .
sign at protest march

in Syria and iraq:

"Speaking during an opening ceremony for an educational institution in Bursa on Saturday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan compared the way that Syrians and Iraqis have been driven away from homes because of the self-proclaimed Islamic State (IS; ISIS/ISIL), to how Turkish people were once forced out from the same cities. Erdogan added that the cities of Mosul and Aleppo belong to the Turkish people." https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/erdogan-proclaims-mosul-aleppo-belo...

Col. Pat Lang comments:

If you know anything about the history of the Ottoman Empire you should not be surprised by this. These two cosmopolitan ME cities were among the most important in the empire. Baghdad was another but there was always a large Arab majority there, Mosul and Aleppo were much more diverse. It was only in the Kemalist consolidation of the Turkish Republic in the 1920s that Turkish sovereignty over these places was surrendered officially.
This statement makes clear what Erdogan's ultimate ambition is and ensures that no Iraqi government will ever acquiesce in the participation of Turkish troops in the liberation of Mosul or Kirkuk.

Only an ignorant neocon fool like Ashton Carter would think differently.

Perhaps the Clinton Administration's foreign policy team, Wolfowitz, Bolan, Petraeus, Keane et al will be able to bully the Iraqis into accepting this. I think not. pl

http://turcopolier.typepad.com/sic_semper_tyrannis/2016/10/httpswwwalmas...

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native

Russians that I have talked to in Moscow and St. Petersburg consider economic sanctions to be a hostile act, some liken it to an act of war. I really don't see how you influence another nation by bullying them. In fact you justify the military build-up in Russia during the last seven years. If Russia did not have a believable nuclear deterrent and modern conventional weapons then they would be in line for considerable military intimidation from the West, read US.

The West, and especially the US, have no world class statesmen at the helm. All we get by confrontation is escalation of tensions in an already dangerous world. This kind of action, sanctions, assumes that you have analyzed another nation's behavior and determined that it is not acceptable. This is a huge leap. Furthermore it assumes that you cannot appreciate the issues from the other nation's perspective. We may have been safer in Cold War I as both sides accepted the interests of the other.

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Capitalism has always been the rule of the people by the oligarchs. You only have two choices, eliminate them or restrict their power.

I was reading an interview with Andrew Bacevich, and he mentioned he was helping edit a book by an unknown foreign policy expert who was his opinion one of the best. This other guy according to Bacevich wrote that our foreign policy establishment has lost the ability to try to see issues, values, etc. from other nation's perspective. They have no realistic idea what drives other people as they never bothered to be emphatic toward the other side (as walk in their shoes). This is not about accepting those views, but that we should know the views from the other perspective.

Of course, our elites based their version of reality as their ideologies dictate. Which is very dangerous.

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Russia saw Kennedy's raise and raised again by putting missiles in Cuba. Then they had a direct conference and both sides backed down and removed their missiles.

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I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

TheOtherMaven's picture

The Cuban Missile Crisis was provoked - by the USA, and was defused by a mutual agreement (which, surprisingly was kept) for both sides to take their missiles home. Most of the US public never knew about the US missiles in Turkey, or that they were withdrawn.

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There is no justice. There can be no peace.

Or would she have flown into a screaming rage and raised yet again leaving us all dead today?

I sincerely doubt if the blustering Trump would have taken the risk. But the Red Queen?

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I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

Bisbonian's picture

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"I’m a human being, first and foremost, and as such I’m for whoever and whatever benefits humanity as a whole.” —Malcolm X

What the article didn't mention is the counter sanctions that Russia will impose. And the Russians seem to understand what segments of other economies to hit. It would be worth a study on how the counter agricultural sanctions have affected Russia's agricultural output, etc. Think of the sanctions as an impossibly high tariff preventing the outside products from being sold and purchased. The theory I believe is that internal markets would end up raising prices as no outside competition. But from what I have been reading, and could be propaganda, is that Russian agriculture is doing great picking up the slack for the products no longer coming from the EU.

Interesting thing on sanctioning weapon makers. Russia I believe is the 2nd largest arms seller in the world after the US. Now shutting down the competition would of course not be the primary reason of course ........(wink)

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Russia won't let any next war be fought on their territory again. They lost too many millions of civilians the last time.

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kharma's picture

just built a bomb and named it Satan II. It is so scary it could wipe out the state of Texas with three bombs. Booo

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There is nothing which I dread so much as a division of the republic into two great parties.. This...is to be dreaded as the greatest political evil under our Constitution.--John Adams