The email said, "Go buy as much food as you can store. Buy some virus masks at the drug store. Lock your doors and don't leave your house again."
I had spoken to my friend Paul a couple of days ago and I mentioned the coronavirus epidemic. He seemed pretty sanguine about it, confident it would be brought under control. But that was two days ago, and there was only one reported infection in Seattle. As of tonight, however, there are five confirmed coronavirus cases in five large cities from Phoenix to New York. However, it wasn't any of this that had rattled Paul, who by-the-way, happens to be a public health physician.
I remember Paul once remarked, during the Ebola crisis, that "Viruses have learned to get around using modern aviation. Air travel is already factored in modern epidemiology." Later, I checked on that: It seems that up until one hundred years ago, plagues traveled at a rate of just 20 miles per day. The Plague was still coming for you, but it might take some time for it to arrive."
As if on cue, one of those flying germ-sacks landed and ejected a coughing passenger from the plane, today. It later turned out that the passenger actually did have the Chinese coronavirus. Another passenger filmed it with his cell phone.
.
After some email back-and-forth, I found out what had rattled my friend: It was apparent to all observers that the virus was likely airborne and it was being spread well before any symptoms appeared in the host. So, families, school children, militaries, and all sorts of normal social and business settings became the most vulnerable and dangerous places to be.
The damned virus is going to pick us off one-by-one, unless we can hide from it. One optimistic thought: Maybe it will infect the Swamp first. This would be one way to get rid of the neocon psychopaths and shut down their suicide mission. At last... a silver lining! In the meantime, I'm heading out to see if there are any virus masks still on the shelf somewhere.
Comments
I understand a person 90 miles away
has it, and is in quarantine.
I fly to Sicily in March. I will be in 3 airports twice, 1 airport 4 times. 3 flights going, 3 flights returning. If this virus is spreading, I will use my "cancel for any reason" insurance, and just stay home.
MOA is advising to look closely at statistics and ratings, and not be in a panic.
However, even he admits that those numbers are from early data.
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981
Lock the barn door
the horses have already escaped.
A Chinese nurse said that 90,000 people have been infected and medical supplies are running out. There is a tweet in the article if you're interested.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists.
~Hannah Arendt
Any epidemiologists reading this ?
I don't know what an R0 value is, or a virality coefficient, but this guy is alarmed.
We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.
Ro Chart
to put things in perspective. (Courtesy of MoA)
“ …and when we destroy nature, we diminish our capacity to sense the divine,and understand who God is, and what our own potential is and duties are as human beings.- RFK jr. 8/26/2024
Watched "Contagion" last night
Which did a good job of explaining R0 at one point, so thanks for the 3.8 value. The mortality appears to be about 0.5% right now, and even those are almost exclusively elderly men with compromised respiratory systems, so it isn't clear to me what the mortality for healthy people is.
We can’t save the world by playing by the rules, because the rules have to be changed.
- Greta Thunberg
Real time updates on global contagion
can be found here.
Current data from ground zero is worrisome. Fatality percentage now over 5%:
Hubei (Mainland China)
Confirmed: 1,423; Deaths: 76
“ …and when we destroy nature, we diminish our capacity to sense the divine,and understand who God is, and what our own potential is and duties are as human beings.- RFK jr. 8/26/2024
Ro is the number who are infected by the carrier
The Texas quarantine person
is in Bryan College Station. Home of Texas A&M University.
It may actually be less that 90 miles from me.
The scariest part is the 2000 people the Brits are trying to locate, people who flew to London from Wuhan as their origin for departure.
I am sure lots of folks on this site know how huge and crowded and busy Heathrow is, and how comparatively small England is, and that city is an international travel and business hub.
Just from people passing through Heathrow, this virus could spread the world over.
I don't think it will take long to see it's spread.
I do think it will take a long time to resolve the problem.
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981
Would be useful to know
Just how this virus kills, and who is most vulnerable.
As for where it came from, zoo-otic transmission, is possible, but:
Wuhan biohazard lab
Stolen from Canada and possibly weaponized?
Well
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981
Speaking of things to grab
before they disappear...
Picking up some star anise (Illicium verum) might not be a bad idea, maybe some oregano oil as well.
Still have star anise from the SARS scare, wonder if it's still any good?
Star anise
Take care, y'all.
Thanks for the info about Star Anise.
Sounds like it could live up to it's name.
I love a hint of that flavour in many different kinds of dishes.
i''d grab colloidal silver
and grapefruit seed extract, as well, but then...i'm not traveling.
Look at that Ebola statistic in ovals49 post!
I guess because the Chinese travel a lot more broadly than sub-Saharan Africans do, we have more reason for concern. Why don't we ever learn how to do things better for the good of all of us?
ps. If there are no masks left on the shelves, I suggest you use a silk scarf. Who knows, it might even be more effective. It certainly would be more comfortable ; ).
Thanks for the suggestion.
Thing is, it should be worn in the airport, airport restaurants, the plane, and so on.
I am much less concerned with plane that I am about airport.
Irony: my best silk scarves were purchased in a silk factory in China.
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981
Don't you have a weekend market
in the neighbourhood that tie-dies silk (from somewhere else) ; ).
They are from a trip years ago.
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981
Use them well n/t
may be there is a good unintentional side effect
people won't fly that much anymore and that can only be a good thing for the environment.
Next headline I expect to be that the coronavirus has spread to the White House.
Corona? Isn't that a beer?
Cheers!
That virus definitely has an effect on my brain.
Move on, nothing to see here.
https://www.euronews.com/live
The symptoms are just like a common cold.
In fact, coronaviruses have been around for decades and most people have contracted them without knowing it. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/about/index.html So it is nothing like the ebola virus, which is a hideous disease. But this particular strain can take out weakened, elderly, very young, and immunocompromised individuals. So use caution. Somewhere tonight I saw a medical professional saying that the virus is so small that most face masks can't protect from it. They recommended washing your hands a lot, refrain from touching your mouth, nose or eyes without first washing your hands, using your own pen to sign for purchases, and using sanitizing hand wipes as well as wiping objects that you handle in public places.
Lurking in the wings is Hillary, like some terrifying bat hanging by her feet in a cavern below the DNC. A bat with theropod instincts. -- Fred Reed https://tinyurl.com/vgvuhcl
i'd almost quipped: fear not; bill gates is on the case!
but FWIW, and i hope you can read the whole stream, if not: click this tweet to stand alone:
and from jacob levich:
As expected, retail giant Amazon is out of face masks
...that is, they are out of the kind that stops viruses. Unless you can wait a month and order them from China, of all places.
Thanks for the Twitter links. Very informative. At this point, I am looking at data that the US and UK failed to pass along to their people. That seems like the best source of meaningful clues.
I saw a reference in your data to the Coronavirus hospital complex that China says they can build in six days. I love stuff like this from China. Like how their first practical use for 3-D printers was to print houses. Took about 24 hours to build/print a home. They can think with elaborate complexity, which is why I rely on the Chinese to solve climate change (as does much of the world). Anyway, China finished the first building of the new hospital in 16 hours:
Maybe it's just a coincidence, but this outbreak caught my eye because I happened to be looking into a series of biological catastrophes that had hit China last year. Remember, when the pigs all died? Well, that was just one of several killer mutations that were released in China 2019. All have a targeted economic impact on China. I'm assuming this highly improbable cluster of biological weirdness is part of our weaponized "trade war" with China. Alarming articles have been circulating from DC's evil think tanks about China's mastery in the sciences; China's "great leap forward" has created an infantile capitalist dilemma in the West.
Right now the Chinese, and most of the world, are racing to find some sort of defense against the Coronavirus.
Already a privatized investment opportunity
Even basic information about the virus is already behind paywalls.
ARTICLE PURCHASE
This article may not be distributed to non-subscribers
DISTRIBUTION AND WEBSITE POSTING $995.00 USD
INDIVIDUAL USE $175.00 USD
Capitalism and the tenets of the Hippocratic Oath are fundamentally at cross purposes in our world. Unnaturally virulent pathogens suddenly appear.....hideously expensive treatments create remarkable investment opportunities....the rich survive and prosper....and the excess population is reduced.
Happenstance or plan? Looking up from the bottom, it appears to be the former. Looking down from the top, the view is altogether different.
“ …and when we destroy nature, we diminish our capacity to sense the divine,and understand who God is, and what our own potential is and duties are as human beings.- RFK jr. 8/26/2024
That's a perspective you want to hang on top
It's going to yield important information, although there are too many moving parts to grasp the whole thing. I really don't see it as someone's master plan. There's hardly any original action in the world these days. Everyone is caught in a constant state of re-action now.
To your point about exploiting the events for cash, that happens. You know what the ancient Chinese said about those times when you look up and find yourself surrounded by danger and chaos? They say a time of great danger is a time of great opportunity and luck for those who keep their wits about them.
it's hard to know which parts
of your free ranging comment to respond to, given that i)the bias against china; ii) not enough information on coronoavirus, and iii) the vast speculation on what the various inoculations may be, what efficacy, and what dangers.
as a side note, this ain't my issue, especially as i'm watching for the white house to release the official version of the I/P 'deal of the century' today.
yesterday i'd read 'Rising concerns over spread of the Wuhan coronavirus', Benjamin Mateus, 27 January 2020 and you can read the tenor of his coverage, not that i know where he'd gotten all his information, of course.
but he does seem pissed at the chinese government, but a few squibs:
now from commenter Maxwell below his piece mirrors Politiké's above:
wish i had time to bring excerpts from my march 2018 of jacob levitch's ‘The Real Agenda of the Gates Foundation’, but i'd at least refer you to:
III.Gates and Big Pharma
It's not just your supernatural skills in pulling
...together rapidly a provocative backstory on just about any controversy. What's spooky is that the examples you casually pluck from the billowing cloud of emerging data and use to make your point, invariably become the main triggers that disrupt the official narratives. Some people have a 'nose' for the news. You have a heat-seeking missile.
I've been following the news as reported by China and neighboring countries, and monitoring China's communications with the CDC and WHO. I've never seen undistorted news about China produced by the US media, except in scientific publications, so I've learned to skip the 'round eye' feeds on things Chinese. So, we start with different assumptions that produce different realities. But your link to Benjamin Mateus at WSWS helped me recalibrate a bit. Here's an example. Mateus begins:
This is what China "hopes" to accomplish, but I don't believe this strategy is in place yet. It is an aspiration, the fulfillment of which happens to be 'best practice' in a nation at this stage of a potential pandemic. Both both WHO and the CDC are praising China for attempting the ideal because successes in early containment controls in China will save lIves in the US and Europe, according to the infection models. China's neighbors, too, have also expressed appreciation for the sacrifice. China is further praised for facing the challenge while so many Chinese are mobilized for vacations. The last thing China's government wants to do is to aggravate the people, which is the First Principle of government policy. It's late afternoon in China as I write this. I saw last night that millions of young Chinese in the domestic guard and medical corp were deployed to China's busiest travel hubs and portals to aid in containment and provide health checks to travelers. Maybe by tonight there will be meaningful progress.
That is not how most Westerners, who read that statement, above, will interpret it. Americans have been programmed to respond to these facts — not with appreciation and admiration for the sacrifices that the Chinese will make on their behalf — but with hatred and rage toward the Chinese Government. Thus, they will reinforce their willingness to go to war with China, and to crush China's economy in order to force them into the familiar horrors of regime change.
.
That's not what the citizen movies show that I saw posted earlier.
LOL.
.
That's a preposterous statement. Because an 88 year old man died of pneumonia Shanghai ... international concerns have been sparked? I wonder what drives such verbal desperation?
.
Is this a communist alert that needs an American intervention?
::
Actually, I'm sensitive to subversive innuendo toward the Chinese. As a lifelong sinophile, I've observed it for many years. The fact is, the WSWS article was very good on the state of health care, globally. The author identifies a few surprising trends and rightly warns that the world's public health care systems that currently work well for the people are at risk of becoming inaccessible for many. Parts of government-funded health care systems, around the world, are being privatized by neoliberals and sold off to predatory capitalists seeking unlimited profits. Who exactly is going to stockpile medical supplies for the people, after the government no longer protects the health and education of its citizens? I'll chalk those results up to the Great Depopulation.
If you want to see this in action, try to buy a face mask that blocks viruses. Right now. Go to google and give it your best shot. The only protective mask I could for sale in the United States tonight is selling for $47,000 on Amazon.
This is what we have become.
oh, tiddley-pom;
I'd just come back to grab my response to you and PM it along to you. I got on a new prowl for a probably subversive diary and have done run myself outta time for now. but along the way I'd found an old diary from 2012 that ended with this lobo song, near and dear to my heart. until tomorrow, then.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVbUD7kO4Ho]
come to think of it, this one might be more on point for your diary, though:
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cjq4y9EFLMA]
my apologies;
i don't seem to be able to get my head back into all this. but i do thank you for your longer thoughts, although i will say that you and CB are definitely sinophiles, and both of you believe that China will solve the climate crisis.
on the other hand, i believe it's far past time to reverse it. and yes, i've seen the many heady titles about 'climate change fatalism'. ; )