Unbelievably, Corbyn could actually win this

Just to give you an idea of how things have changed, here's an example of some headlines.

April 19: Jeremy Corbyn 'likely to stay on' even if Labour suffers crushing election defeat
April 24: Is it too late to replace Jeremy Corbyn as Labour leader before the general election?
May 7: Stephen Hawking says Jeremy Corbyn ‘a disaster for Labour’ and should step down

And these AREN'T the right-wing tabloids that hate Labour.
The more recent headlines look like this.

May 26: The signs are there – is Jeremy Corbyn going to win?
May 31: Will Jeremy Corbyn become Prime Minister after the 2017 general election?
June 1: General election poll: Jeremy Corbyn surges ahead of Theresa May in London

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To say the turnaround was unlikely is an understatement.
This was not just epic in size, but was epic in speed too.

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So what happened?
Two things happened.
Number One: The Tories ran a candidate so bland and uninspiring that she can only described as a robotic Hillary Clinton.

Call it the quantity theory of personality. The less warmth and spontaneity the Supreme Leader reveals she has, the more engaging Jeremy Corbyn becomes...
All seemed to be there for one thing and one thing only – to catch a glimpse of Jeremy. The anti-personality personality. Corbyn has always claimed that his political career has never been about him, but when you’re up against a black hole in the form of the Maybot, then it’s hard not to be a personality. Just being able to stand up, look vaguely human and talk in sentences that mean something is all it takes.

May is an absolutely pathetic candidate.
Looking back at it now, it makes you wonder how Theresa May was crushing Corbyn in the polls in the first place. The blame for that lies in Britain's biased news media.

Since Jeremy Corbyn was elected leader of the Labour Party almost two years ago, the best efforts of the Daily Mail, the Sun and the Daily Telegraph have been focused on painting him as a threat – a threat to the UK’s economy, its security and its cultural homogeneity. He was the big bad terrorist-sympathising wolf at the door (if also somehow a bungling incompetent), and only the iron resolve of Theresa May could keep him out. That message was played so consistently that it seemingly managed to penetrate the minds of a UK public that most of the time pays little attention to politics.
The thing is that during the campaign, a sizeable chunk of the population starts paying a bit more attention to the party leaders on TV. And on our screens in recent weeks Corbyn has looked more like a slightly bedraggled, if much-loved, family pooch than an apex predator.
This couldn’t have been clearer on Tuesday evening, when Corbyn turned up on The One Show’s sofa. As with a similar appearance by May and her husband, Philip, the softball questions barely touched on policy or politics. But where the Prime Minister and her husband looked like they were trying desperately to appear normal, Corbyn looked like he actually was, and he seemed to be enjoying himself.

It's as if Corbyn was expected to wear a suicide vest and eat live puppies on stage.
Once the campaign started and people began paying attention, and Corbyn's strategy of relying on TV appearances rather than print media, the public realized that they've been lied to. Once you stop trusting sources that's been lying, anything is possible.

Then came yesterday's debate.
Tories had a choice to make.
They could a) send May in there and risk having her turn off voters even more, or b) refuse to attend the debates and look weak and scared.
Which did they chose?
They took Door Number Three: they sent a surrogate instead, thus looking weak and scared while at the same time creating an inviting target for all the other candidates.

Theresa May’s absence left so many open flanks for her opponents to attack – and Corbyn was left free to move the fame on to his own vision for the country

I don't know how they could have made this a bigger disaster.

Then to follow this up, Corbyn managed to get the only American politician that is popular in Europe to campaign for him - Bernie.
How will Bernie be received? Check out this reception today.

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detroitmechworks's picture

a prime minister.

Elections in the UK are different from the US. They're voting for the Parties, and it's expected that the Queen will appoint Corbyn as PM if Labour wins a majority of the House of Commons.

Although the Queen stays out of political interference for the most part, she CAN potentially dismiss the PM. (It happened in Australia in 1975...) Sometimes I think it would be really nice to have a Monarch failsafe to rely on when we get a complete charlie foxtrot like the last election...

Of course, this is all secondhand knowledge from an Anglophile still trying to get a handle on the Commonwealth's political structure.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

lotlizard's picture

@detroitmechworks  

The British-American coup that ended Australian independence

In 1975 prime minister Gough Whitlam […] dared to try to assert his country’s autonomy. The CIA and MI6 made sure he paid the price

So yes, if we had the same setup as Australia, the Queen could indeed dismiss Trump. Alas, if history is a guide, Her Majesty would almost certainly be doing so as a cat’s paw of the CIA, as a means to reverse the election result and install Clinton.

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detroitmechworks's picture

@lotlizard Much as I would love a good "Do-over" button, all the ones that have been set up in the past are to preserve the status quo, not shut down stupidity.

Of course, the stuff that went on in this country reek of that same "Royal" privilege, just without any veneer of legality.

If they just declared themselves kings, we could just declare them BAD kings and drag out Madame Guillotine.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

@lotlizard @lotlizard

By being the face of everything that is wrong with the world today. Hillary would have been much better at hiding the faces behind a curtain.

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Beware the bullshit factories.

@detroitmechworks

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"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich."--Napoleon

detroitmechworks's picture

@dkmich that one hurt like hell, but was well deserved and a a great riposte...

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

@dkmich

I call them other names. Diablo

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karl pearson's picture

Bernie Sanders will be more than a footnote in history. I see him as a political John the Baptist. Hopefully, the Brits will associate May with Trump and reject this brand. Trump's disastrous visit to Europe probably didn't help May either.

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JekyllnHyde's picture

@karl pearson

[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VWN9_gk0ghU width:650 height:550]

Bernie Sanders is 'very impressed' by Jeremy Corbyn

Former US presidential candidate Bernie Sanders has said he is "very impressed" by Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour leader's willingness to talk about class issues.

The Vermont senator said there was "a real similarity" between himself and Mr Corbyn because of the way they had both tried to take on the establishment in their respective countries...

Match-up polling during the US primaries show Mr Sanders comfortably beating Donald Trump, though the pair never faced off at an election.

Mr Sanders' brother, Larry Sanders, is a candidate for the Green Party of England and Wales and the party's health spokesperson.

Watch the full speech below (Sanders' comments on Corbyn begin from 55:40)

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A riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@karl pearson May isn't Trump, she's Hill. Down to the logos and colors.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

lotlizard's picture

The same people who are anti-Corbyn were strongly against Brexit and for remaining in the E.U. — namely, neoliberal politicians across the spectrum, including many sitting MPs in Corbyn’s own Labour party.

Brexit’s win proved a populist cause — one championing the interests of the forgotten, much-maligned deplorables ordinary small-town folk left behind by globalization — could win.

Expansive government benefit programs also become more imaginable with Brexit. Why? As unsavory as it sounds, in the back of people’s minds is the thought that generous government programs are an immigration magnet. Brexit offers some assurance that appropriate barriers can be erected to prevent public coffers from being bled dry by “them.”

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@lotlizard
are an immigration magnet. How could they not be? Numerous YouTube videos of the situation at the Calais border crossing bear clear testimony to it.

Yet British and European politicians fail to recognize what's staring them straight in the face: The direct correlation between NATO's military involvement in MENA, and the overwhelming flood of refugees that have resulted from it. You can't have a liberal, humanistic domestic policy, and an aggressive, militaristic foreign policy at the same time.

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native

lotlizard's picture

@native  

You can't have a liberal, humanistic domestic policy, and an aggressive, militaristic foreign policy at the same time.

“Invade the world, invite the world” is actually an apt summary of a bundle of policies that sane people should mock.

With so many self-styled progressives off pursuing multiple delusional tangents and simply not making sense, I find myself having to grudgingly concede a point to Alt-Right arguments way too often these days.

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LeChienHarry's picture

@lotlizard

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You may choose to look the other way, but you can never say again you did not know. ~ William Wiberforce

If you can donate, please! POP Money is available for bank-to-bank transfers. Email JtC to make a monthly donation.

Steven D's picture

@native but you will fail at both.

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"You can't just leave those who created the problem in charge of the solution."---Tyree Scott

@lotlizard
The neoliberal Blairites used his lukewarm opposition to Brexit to launch their soft-coup against Corbyn.

Now it turns out that not only was Corbyn not the disaster for Labour the Blairites said he was, but because he didn't take a hardline position against Brexit means there is a whole section of UK society willing to vote for him that wouldn't have voted for a Blairite.

The biggest losers in this election could be the neoliberals.

Brexit

For the Liberal Democrats this was meant to be the comeback election. The party of the 48 percent of Remain voters who would flock to its leader Tim Farron to stop Brexit in a second referendum. Polls, however, suggest a return to the big time is further away than ever.

“The whole thing about having a second referendum is just not working for the Lib Dems at all,” one Labour candidate fearful of not regaining his seat a month ago but now “feeling good,” told POLITICO.

“They are having an absolute shocker. People just don’t want to rerun the whole thing. They think that decision was taken a year ago and want to talk about other things — schools, hospitals and all of that.”

Corbyn’s decision to order Labour MPs to vote for the triggering of Article 50 left the party free to focus on other issues during this election campaign instead of refighting the referendum campaign like the Lib Dems, the Labour candidate said. “In hindsight, it would’ve been disastrous for us. You have to hand that to Corbyn,” said the fierce critic.

Clive Lewis, who resigned from the shadow cabinet over Labour’s position on Brexit, and has openly supported the idea of a second referendum, said Brexit rarely came up on the doorstep in his Remain-voting constituency. “They [the Liberal Democrats] bet their house on a Brexit election and it didn’t materialize.”

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Not Henry Kissinger's picture

@gjohnsit

Not too hard. Not too soft. Corbyn has found just the right policy, picking up support from constituencies as diverse as Remain to UKIP (while Lib Dems and UKIP implode) in the process.

Meanwhile, May's ham fisted negotiations with Brussels ($100 Billion exit fee?) have rightly eroded confidence in her ability to navigate these very delicate shoals. Time for a mutiny and a new captain.

BTW: Just gotta say you've been doing a fantastic job covering the UK election and the surrounding issues. Thanks! Clapping

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The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@gjohnsit Good. May it be so.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

He seems to have become an icon of sorts, and for good reason. Now if we could just get a comparable crowd of Americans to cheer for Jeremy Corbyn, we might be getting somewhere. Maybe a trans-Atlantic alliance that doesn't include oligarchs?

However, for every headline that ends in a question mark, I've noticed that the answer is almost always, No.

No matter, Jeremy and Bernie are both very much in the game now. And it's about time!

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native

@native
Selection_003_9.png

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It won't play. What do I need to do?

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

@on the cusp

If yes, it should work. What doesn't work anymore is the image loader. JtC explained to me it is so full that its only function is that of archive.

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"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich."--Napoleon

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@dkmich I can still upload images...I've often wondered if there is a way to delete them once uploaded? I would be happy to delete some.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

Mark from Queens's picture

This one is from the Brighton Festival in England. Pity the beginning is cut off so we can't hear the rapturous applause he most definitely received, which is clear in the above video in Germany.

This Guardian piece had some news about the massive grassroots support Corbyn has, and how Bernie campaigners are helping them.

Sanders’ volunteers are also helping Momentum, the grassroots organisation that grew out of Corbyn’s two leadership contests. One of the first of them to arrive, Erika Uyterhoeven, flew in from Boston on Friday and spent the day helping with training, before heading out on Saturday to canvass in a north London marginal seat.

As one of the national organising directors for Sanders, Uyterhoeven, 30, was responsible for bringing in volunteers to help in the battleground states for the Democratic nomination. “When I started on the Bernie campaign, we were more than 20 points down nationally and we walked away with the largest margin of victory for the first primary in the nation [New Hampshire],” she said.

Momentum has 23,000 paid-up members and more than 100,000 online supporters, according to the organisation. Uyterhoeven said throwing its volunteers into the 100 constituencies that would decide the election could make a difference.

The organisation will use an app that enables campaigners to make calls from home rather than attend phone-banks. Uyterhoeven, however, said text messages were a more effective campaigning tool than phone calls or emails because surveys showed a higher proportion of texts were read.

The US Bernie Sanders campaigners lending Jeremy Corbyn a hand

Momentum, the leftwing pressure group, uses these offices as its headquarters, and this was the third in a series of training events it has held to coach Labour members on how to canvass voters.

The sessions are held with the help of organisers from the Bernie Sanders campaign in the US, who are providing assistance in the form of lessons and the introduction of new digital tools.

Parkin encouraged campaigners to mention their own personal story about what drew them to Labour. “Everyone’s got a personal story. We’ve all got ways of how these policies affect us … if you change two people’s minds, you’ve tripled your voting power. You can’t change everybody’s mind either, but you can plant a seed.”

Almost 190,000 people signed up as Labour members before and immediately after Corbyn’s first leadership bid, and the party membership currently stands at approximately 528,000.

Momentum alone has nearly 24,000 members and 200,000 supporters. Were all of them to get out and canvass voters, Labour could win the election, the group maintains.

Uyterhoeven agrees. Corbyn’s campaign, like Sanders’s, is a people-powered one, she said, and there is a lot more interest than the traditional system can handle.

“Every training we’ve held, over 100 people have showed up. When we launched the carpool website [trialled in the Stoke byelection], we had 20,000 unique visitors within 18 hours. Imagine trying to talk to all these people without the tools in place.”

Peer-to-peer texting, for example, was crucial in building the Sanders movement, and while email blasts from Momentum are opened by about 20–40% of those who receive them, peer-to-peer texting has nearly a 100% open rate and a reply rate of approximately 40%.

"There’s a slogan – ‘You can’t buy Bernie.’ He’s never been swayed by money or political influence. Corbyn is the same" says Bernie organizer, Erika Uyterhoeven.

Labour party’s future lies with Momentum, says Noam Chomsky

So many similarities between these genuine, self-effacing, honest self-proclaimed socialists.

I haven't been following this race as closely as I should, just checked around now for this stuff. But Corbyn to me has been one of the few, real bright spots internationally to get behind.

I really hope he pulls it out. Hard to see him not, with all the grassroots support knocking on doors, getting their friends out to vote, etc. Same kind of grassroots, door-knocking energy won Ireland's same-sex marriage campaign.

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"If I should ever die, God forbid, let this be my epitaph:

THE ONLY PROOF HE NEEDED
FOR THE EXISTENCE OF GOD
WAS MUSIC"

- Kurt Vonnegut

@Mark from Queens France
Melenchon surged, but too late in the election cycle to win.

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@Mark from Queens I find this encouraging because it shows how many people are ready for the correct shift in policy--and politics.

I find it discouraging because, inevitably, it's all centered on an individual politician. We all use politicians as shorthand for the policies we want. It's a bad habit, because, as Bernie has shown, an individual can be managed and controlled.

A free Bernie doing this would be great. Tom Perez Unity Tour Bernie who talks about how the Russia narrative is unquestionably true--not so great.

I'll take it, for the reason I said above, but it has the same problem his campaign did. I'm glad people support those ideas--using Bernie the person as shorthand for those ideas is an Achilles heel.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

I am pulling for Corbyn--lot good that will do. But also shaking my head at what the democratic party and media did to cheat and destroy Bernie's candidacy.

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Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@gjohnsit @MrWebster I'm sure May is using the same consulting firms. Look at her.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

ggersh's picture

of all races,sexes and age.

Here's hoping JC wins, the world needs a glimmer of hope.

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I never knew that the term "Never Again" only pertained to
those born Jewish

"Antisemite used to be someone who didn't like Jews
now it's someone who Jews don't like"

Heard from Margaret Kimberley

@ggersh hope_0.jpg

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May's, "What's the use of having a nuclear deterrent if you don't use it?" has anything to do with it? (Yes, she actually said it, in Questions)

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On to Biden since 1973

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@doh1304 Just like Hillary, though apparently this was A-OK to most voters over here. At least most people seemed far less shocked by it than I was:

(start at 4:31. If you haven't seen this, you really should click through. This is what would have made me reject Hillary Clinton even if I had been 100% for her up till this speech:)

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

@Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal
a toned down version. In an interview a few days before she didn't mention that wossie "diplomacy" stuff, she promised a military response. (right after she said that nuclear weapons "weren't off the table" against Iran)
I guess that some focus group thought that WW3 sounded a little too strong.

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On to Biden since 1973

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@doh1304 If she meant what she said at the American Legion, she was basically saying that espionage by another superpower could be met with a military, even a nuclear, response against that superpower.

If we had run the Cold War by those rules, none of us would be here having this conversation--including her.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

Cant Stop the Macedonian Signal's picture

@doh1304 Apparently May doesn't know what the word "deterrent" means.

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"More for Gore or the son of a drug lord--None of the above, fuck it, cut the cord."
--Zack de la Rocha

"I tell you I'll have nothing to do with the place...The roof of that hall is made of bones."
-- Fiver

Azazello's picture

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

ZimInSeattle's picture

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"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." - JFK | "The more I see of the moneyed peoples, the more I understand the guillotine." - G. B. Shaw Bernie/Tulsi 2020

Strife Delivery's picture

Robotic Hillary Clinton? Isn't that redundant?

Also, they sent a surrogate to the debate? Wow, that is horrendously weak.

Imagine if Clinton had sent in a surrogate instead. I've never heard of a candidate sending in a surrogate to do a debate for you. Not only is it weak, but it makes you afraid and potentially snobbish/arrogant (I don't have to do these type of lowly events).

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thanatokephaloides's picture

@Strife Delivery

Robotic Hillary Clinton? Isn't that redundant?

Theresa May is redundant.

Also, they sent a surrogate to the debate? Wow, that is horrendously weak.

Yes, it is! Wink

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

link

While Corbyn's argument that the rival party's program favors the wealthy is not new, it is bolstered by a fresh report showing that the Conservatives, as The Independent put it, "raised more than 10 times as much money from large donors in the most recent week of the general election campaign." ...
Corbyn's opponents attempted to explain this applause away by arguing that the audience was disproportionately "left-wing," but Labour's rapid climb in the polls indicates that the growing enthusiasm for Corbyn is no facade. As the Evening Standard reported on Thursday, "more voters in [London] say they think Labour's leader would make a better Prime Minister than Mrs May."

The Standard continued:

Asked who would make the best Prime Minister, 37 per cent picked Mr Corbyn and 34 per cent Mrs May. A survey taken just after the manifesto launched last month had Mrs May ahead by 38 to 32.

Such surveys indicate a "remarkable change in fortunes for the Tories, which had a 24-point lead over Labour when the snap general election was called in April," The Independent further noted.
In the view of the Corbyn team, the turnaround is a direct consequence of Labour's political agenda, which was highlighted by its recently released "For the Many, Not the Few" manifesto.

alternet

Yet Corbyn has also taken a step further than others in his party have dared, pledging to do what to many progressives remains a shibboleth: oppose war and imperialism and limit the violent blowback they have caused back home.

The liberal political establishment in the U.S. and across Western Europe has uncritically supported wars from Iraq, to Libya, to the push for regime change in Syria, often in the name of humanitarianism and “civilian protection.”

While many progressives have portrayed the so-called War on Terror as an unfortunate but necessary evil, Corbyn has made a crucial break with the norms of the political establishment, condemning the imperial wars the West has waged and emphasizing that this military intervention has only fueled the violent extremism the British government claims to be combating.

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The way he endorsed Macron. I suspect not.

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Beware the bullshit factories.

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