Tulsi Likely to Pick Up More Delegates (My Estimation)
Should Tulsi remain in the presidential race, I'm fairly certain that she will be picking up additional delegates from at least 3 other locales: Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, and Hawaii.
Tulsi was expected to gain zero delegates from American Samoa, yet she garnered 30% of the vote there, and 2 of the 6 pledged delegates, against a Bloomberg media onslaught. This totally defied any predictions--FiveThirtyEight had two delegates going to Bernie, and two to Biden, with the other two being undetermined (but where Tulsi was listed with 0 delegates in the "Other" category).
I can very easily see those 3 other locales trending the same way--perhaps even dramatically so.
Northern Mariana Islands also has 6 pledged delegates and is fairly close to American Samoa. Without Bloomberg's ad buys, if Tulsi spends any amount of time campaigning there (like she did in American Samoa--remotely), she could win 2 or even all 6 of the delegates there. This primary happens on March 14.
Hawaii would be next on April 4. With 24 pledged delegates at stake, and high popularity in her home state, she might not outright win it, but I'd be shocked if she didn't get 15% of the vote there. Biden will be campaigning for Louisiana and possibly Wyoming leading up to that day, and I doubt he will spend much time in Alaska or Hawaii, which are more Sanders states. That might leave Hawaii to Sanders and Tulsi. I can foresee Tulsi taking anywhere from 4 to 10 delegates from that state.
Guam, which votes on May 2, is in a similar situation as American Samoa and Northern Mariana Islands. It has 7 delegates at stake, but as a fellow Pacific Islander and with no Bloomberg ad buys, Tulsi may end up with anywhere from 2 to 7 delegates there.
From these locations alone, Tulsi--provided she remains as a candidate through the entire thing--may end up with anywhere from 10 to 25 delegates heading into the convention. I have zero doubt that she would ask all of these to switch to Bernie at the convention itself.
It would be interesting.