Tulsi, Bernie, Buttigieg, and Biden--Post Iowa
So, after the shambles that was the Iowa caucus, it seems the first real measure of things will end up being the New Hampshire primary, which takes place on Feb. 11.
Right now, Bernie is far out in front in all NH polls over the past few days--sometimes by as much as 12 points.
Biden, who was in second place until yesterday in NH polls, now seems to have fallen to tied for second or even third place as Buttigieg surges since Iowa. It is clear now to me that Buttigieg is the chosen one for the establishment.
Tulsi continues to campaign in NH to build up her base there. She has been polling in the 5%-8% range in most polls from that state over the past couple of weeks. Here's hoping that people become disgusted with Buttigieg's Iowa manipulations and encourage support of ethical candidates like Tulsi.
Tulsi somehow had the vast intelligence to not campaign in Iowa, and now she looks the better for it. She had nothing to do with that shitshow. That Shadow mobile phone application was also supposed to be used in Nevada, but the Nevada democratic party has now abandoned it (thankfully). Tulsi didn't campaign much there, either.
With Biden's really poor showing in Iowa, his probably 3rd or 4th-place finish in NH, and probable loss in Nevada--with Buttigieg overtaking him in the first two states--it's unclear now what will happen in South Carolina and other southern states where Biden was polling at the top.
Bernie has been surging a bit in SC, the last poll there coming within 5 points of Biden (Biden 25% to Sanders 20%). Sanders is consistently a second place to Biden in southern states. With Buttigieg's rise to the top of the establishment ticket--and in southern states that obviously do not like Buttigieg--will this dynamic allow Bernie to become the leader in some of the southern states? I think it is possible.
The SC primary will be key here. Sanders has been on the rise there, and if Buttigieg completely overshadows Biden in the first few contests, will Biden lose SC to Bernie as establishment votes somewhat shift from Biden to Buttigieg?
We will see . . .