Resilience: Low-Tech Weather Forecasting How-To's

Resilience1.jpg
We have the usual hi-tech weather guides. We have an electronic temperature sensor and I check the Wunderground (https://www.wunderground.com) 10-day forecast every day.
As always with hi-tech, it makes us dependent on them. We grow up "not needing" to know how to read the weather signs for ourselves. The neighbourhood squirrels are smarter than me about, well, a lot of things, weather being one of them :=)
I wanted to learn about weather myself and low-tech is the way to knowledge. More below

I figured there are three ways to learn about local weather:

  • general weather signs
  • local weather signs
  • low-tech instruments

1. Learn some general weather signs
From the Farmers Almanac:
I found an article in the FA a ways back, but I've lost the reference. Let me know whether you have similar weather folklore :=)
http://farmersalmanac.com/
http://farmersalmanac.com/almanacs/2016-canadian-almanac/
The Old Farmers Almanac https://www.almanac.com/

Dew on the grass
According to weather lore:

When the dew is on the grass

Rain will never come to pass.
When grass is dry at morning light,
Look for rain before the night.

Why?
If dew has time to form on the ground overnight, it means the night was clear without any clouds.
Clear skies allow the earth to cool, and water to condense in the form of dew (or frost at cooler times of the year).
If the night is cloudy, the clouds act as a heat barrier keeping the heat in and not allowing dew to form. This saying assumes that if the night skies are clear, the day following will also be cloud-free.

Sunrise and sunset colours
The saying is:

Red sky at morning,
sailors take warning.
Red sky at night,
sailors’ delight.

Why?
Weather systems usually move from west to east.
A reddish evening sky can be caused by sunlight shining through dry dust particles in the western sky.
This dry sky should be over your head in the morning.
If the morning is gray in the east, it means the clouds have already passed you.
Conversely, if the evening is gray, it means the clouds have not yet reached you. Rain may be on its way.

Grazing animal’s tails
According to lore:

Tails pointing west,
Weather’s at its best.
Tails pointing east,
Weather is least.

Why?
Cows and horses prefer not to have the wind blowing in their faces, so they usually stand with their backs to the wind.
Since westerly winds typically mean arriving or continuing fair weather and easterly winds usually indicate arriving or continuing unsettled weather, a tail is as good a way as any of knowing what the weather will be up to for the next few hours.

Summer fog means fair weather is on its way
Here’s the rhyme:

Summer fog for fair,
A winter fog for rain.
A fact most everywhere,
In valley or on plain.

Why?
Fog is made up of condensed water droplets, which are the result of the air being cooled to the point where it can no longer hold water vapors.
In the summer, the air can only cool enough if the night sky is clear enough that the heat can be radiated into space.
If the night is cloudy, the clouds act as a blanket to keep it in. If you see a fog during the summer, it usually means that the next day will be clear.

Jumping fish
This lore has to do with trout. The saying goes:

Trout jump high,
when a rain is nigh.

Why?
The belief behind this lore is that when air pressure lowers, gasses created by decaying plant matter, which resides on the bottom of the lake or body of water, begin to release.
This, in turn, causes the tiny microorganisms that live in these plants to be released into the water, creating a feeding frenzy among the fish.
This frenzy sometimes causes the little fish and big fish to start jumping around.

Restless birds
The saying:

If the rooster crows on going to bed,
You may rise with a watery head.

Why?
Many people believe that animals, especially birds, can sense when there’s a decrease in air pressure. People have observed that an approaching storm makes birds restless.
And when a rooster can’t rest, he tends to crow more.

Deciduous leaves turn over

Here in Colorado, when the Oak tree’s leaves fold over backwards, it always is a sign of precipitation.
The Oak is the first to drop its leaved in fall when winter truly begins, and the last to leaf out in Spring.
That’s when we plant.
The leaves of deciduous trees, like maples and poplars, do often to turn upward before heavy rain.
The leaves are actually reacting to the sudden increase in humidity that usually precedes a storm.
Leaves with soft stems can become limp in response to abrupt changes in humidity, allowing the wind to flip them over.

Ring around the moon
A ring around the moon indicates rain coming. It has worked for me for years, even when the weather report does not say rain.
The further out the ring goes, the longer the days away before the rain comes.
A real tight ring means rain in 24hrs or less.

2. Learn local weather signs
We've lived here in our village for five years now and we have a pretty good idea of where and how the weather comes from in the different seasons.
BTW, is the wind stronger lately where you live too? It seems like every day is a blustery days nowadays.
I am the laundry guy in our home. I dry the laundry on portable racks on the deck - for donkey years now.
These past coupla years, I'm having a dickens of a time with wind. I like the portable racks over a fixed line because when the weather turns bad I just carry the rack and laundry inside to dry in the living room. It's disheartening to see the laundry go flying!

I'd love to hear what some of your local weather signs are.

3. Acquire some low-tech weather gizmos
Low-tech means gadgets that don't need fkn batteries :=)

Weather station
I got ours on Kijiji and I love the thing :=)
weather station.JPG
It has a
Barometer
Thermometer
Humidex

Weathervane
I want one!
Rooster_Weather_Vane_0.jpg

Weather radio
Here's ours
Weather radio1_0.JPG
Weather radio2.JPG
Specs:

  • Eton Solar/Crank AM/FM/Weather
  • American Red Cross MICROLINKFR170 emergency preparedness weather radio
  • AM (520-1710 KHz) & FM (87-108MHz)
  • NOAA weatherband – all 7 channels
  • Built-in white LED light source
  • Powered by solar panel, dynamo crank, or DC input (mini-USB), all of which charges the internal Ni-MH battery
  • USB dump charge: instantly charges your USB device after cranking, to get power when you need it most (you need a USB cable - not included)
  • 3.5 mm headphone output

What else? Please let me know what all I've forgotten or not thought of yet.

All comments welcome.
Peace be with us, if we learn nature's weather ways,
gerrit

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Lookout's picture

...is common around here. Here's the Farmer's Almanac take:
https://www.almanac.com/sites/default/files/d6/weatherlore.pdf

Hi Gerrit. As a scientist I must admit most of the lore is fun but not very accurate. These tools (toys) are fun too.

We love our water based barometer:
Ours is like this one:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/dev/hillger/pdf/weather_glass.pdf
But you can make your own:
https://www.rmets.org/weather-and-climate/observing/make-barometer

Also, we enjoy our weather stick:
weather stick.jpg

And everyone needs an expanded scale rain gauge so you can see the accumulation from inside:
rain gauge.png

Along with a high/low Thermometer, these are our favorite weather toys.

PS Where's Martha? I've missed her essays and comments.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Gerrit's picture

links. This is how we learn stuff. w00t!

What's your advice on the weather lore? Is it completely bunk? Let me know what kind of disqualifier to put into the text! "Reader beware: the material below is junk-rated/sorta-true/...?"

Martha is working through some (unmentioned) things. She is monitoring posts though. I hope, as we all do, to see her back here soon. It is good of you to enquire about her. I also enjoy her posts and look forward to the resilient kitchen posts; I learn a lot from them.

Ty and enjoy your day, my friend,

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Lookout's picture

There's always a kernel of truth, but don't get too literal. That's my two cents.

I enjoy your posts and this series. Let me know how I can help.

all the best.

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Gerrit's picture

welcome. On any resilience topic you wish :=) Any time you wish.

A teacher, and a science teacher to boot.
Who lives in ecological harmony with nature.
Who creates music with friends.

You have so very much to offer, my friend. Please do consider writing for us. It is a lot of fun, because resilience is about practical things we can control. So there is zero drama in the comments; instead they're full of wisdom and experience and fun.

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Thanks very much for posting this.

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

Haikukitty's picture

from my grandfather. It's hanging inside right now - so the thermometer feature isn't being used, but it is weatherproof and could be on the porch.

The barometer is useful, plus its just really cool looking, I love old technology. Look at all the weird gear-like layers in there...
IMG_2335.JPG

ETA: Sorry for the sideways pic - image upload fail... Just tilt your head. Biggrin

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JayRaye's picture

Haikukitty's Barometer.png

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Never be deceived that the rich will allow you to vote away their wealth.-Lucy Parsons

Haikukitty's picture

I should not have been too lazy to fix it myself... and yet I was. Biggrin

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Gerrit's picture

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

NCTim's picture

Watch nature, it will tell you. Are the birds roosting mid-day? Storms on the way.

Nature knows, notice the precursors.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

NCTim's picture

Blue sky jet contrails are a symptom of upper atmosphere moisture. Cloudy and possibly rainy weather is moving in.

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The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -

Gerrit's picture

Blind Boys next! Enjoy your day, mate. Our best to Sweetie :=)

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.

yellopig's picture

Baja Arizona here, where the current relative humidity reading is 27% and falling. We don't do "dew" here in the summer.

When I was a kid in Columbus, Ohio, the way we predicted the weather was like this: watch the news; whatever they said the weather in St. Louis was today is the weather we will have the day after tomorrow. Smile

The weather is changing noticeably. I've lived in this corner of a mountain range for a while now, and this is what I've seen: for the first ten years, the winds came to me from the south, about 90% of the time. Over the last five years, that has changed, so that now the winds come from the north, about 60% of the time. Also, on a typical day at this point in May the temp is 98°-102°, cloudless sky, 8% humidity. Today it's mostly cloudy and 77° at noon. This is the third cloudy morning in a row, and it actually rained last week.

Last year, I got almost twice the average rainfall for my local area (27.5" vs 14" avg).

The Inuits in northern Canada have been saying the wind has gone weird for decades now, in both speed and direction. (Here's an article discussing why the Inuits' reports of changing wind patterns differ from "scientific" measurements.)

It's going to be really important to keep watch on this & compare notes.

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“We may not be able to change the system, but we can make the system irrelevant in our lives and in the lives of those around us.”—John Beckett

Gerrit's picture

and compare notes. Because the weather is weirding at a helluva rate. I think we're getting more wind and weather from the south these days, which is not normal here in SE Ontario. Yes, where the frost gently becomes softer during spring until it becomes dew :=) We have a large cedar hedge - two storeys high - on the north and west end of the property, where the weather should come from. Only the sun is supposed to come from the south - yikes.

Ty for the Inuit link; I'll go see for sure. They will know.

I also think keeping track of weather weirding and discussing it regularly would be interesting and helpful. I'm just not sure how we would do that. Any ideas? enjoy your evening, my friend,

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Resilience: practical action to improve things we can control.
3D+: developing language for postmodern spirituality.