Quick Update: Tulsi Polls--Nope--Added New Donor Count

UPDATE: Tulsi's new unique donor count is at 157,045, again with an internal goal of reachin 160,000 by this upcoming Sunday.

If by chance she does get the required 4 qualifying polls by Aug. 28, you can bet the unique donor count for any debates after October will be a lot higher. This is why they continue to pursue increasing this number.

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Today's Monmouth Iowa poll has Tulsi at--1%.

Monmouth Iowa Poll

So, that's the second qualifying poll since the second debate, and again Tulsi's numbers were not good enough.

Other non-qualifying polls came out today that were not so impressive from California (Tulsi 1%), Pennsylvania (Tulsi 1%), and North Carolina (Tulsi 0%).

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Shahryar's picture

who is this Tom Steyer and how is he at 3%?

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@Shahryar @Shahryar

is a retired billionaire who has made Green causes his crusade. At one point a few years ago, I think he pledged $150 million to promote Green causes (over an unspecified amount of time).

But . . . (isn't there always a but?!?) . . . he only seems to spend his money on *political campaigns*. In other words, he doesn't donate his cash to things that will actually lower our carbon footprint. He spends it on *politicians* who say they will attempt to do something Green.

Seems stupid to me, personally. If he really wanted to help, bypass the bureaucracy and just help directly with the problem, y'know?!?

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Alligator Ed's picture

@apenultimate

Seems stupid to me, personally. If he really wanted to help, bypass the bureaucracy and just help directly with the problem, y'know?!?

One thing may recent political activation (not to be confused with activism--been there, done that) has taught me that when money can flow through a bureaucracy, the output will be a factor of ten less than what input was.

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skod's picture

62% over age 50, MoE of damned near 5%.

Seems legit. That is clearly representative of the crowd at the Starbucks located inside the bathroom of the Starbucks located inside the local Walmart. No smiley.

Faugh.

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Shahryar's picture

@skod

400 people. 4 is 1%. So what's the cutoff now? 3%? Then a candidate would need 12 to reach 3$. Actually, rounded, 11. This was I think 401 so 10, which would be 2.5%, rounded to 3, would be 2.4something, rounding to 2.

Ok, so need 11. 1% could be anywhere from 3 to 6 in this poll. But with a 5% MOE 1% could be 6%. 3 people could be 24 people. It's really insane for the DNC to accept a poll with only 400 respondents. If they're going to be all stickler for going by polls then they should only accept polls with 1000 or more. That would still have a MOE over 3% but it's certainly better than this.

The margin of error means another group of the same size, made up of the same demographic groups, could have results that differ by that MOE.

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Alligator Ed's picture

@Shahryar I tried to follow the calculations in your first paragraph with great difficulty until I caught on.

Sigh. I bow to a master

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gulfgal98's picture

@skod The DNC has stated which polls will be partner polls which are the polls that count toward a candidate making the next round of debates. The number of unique donors is the secondary qualifier with several of the people in the last debate failing to meet the unique donor criteria by a long shot, but were still allowed to participate.

The unique donor criteria for the next round of debates is 130,000. Tulsi Gabbard exceeded that number within four days after the last debate, gaining 40,000 new unique donors in four days. But the DNC says that a poll based upon a sample of only 400 people carries far more weight than nearly 160,000 unique donors!

This is analogous to the weight that super delegates carry relative to actual voters, and it is exactly how the DNC is rigging the system.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

snoopydawg's picture

Especially if you don't want a repeat of the last debate. People were hoping that Tulsi would go after Warren at the next one. The DNC can't have their hopes being picked on. I don't trust them especially since they keep rigging it for ByeDone. How was he so far ahead in the polls before he even declared?

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Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.