The ongoing housing crisis just keeps getting worse

In December 2013, Shaun Donovan, U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, gave this warning:

"We are in the midst of the worst rental affordability crisis that this country has known."

Few paid attention to the warning, and of those who did, even fewer would have guessed that the crisis had only just started.

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Today's financial news was a double punch-in-the-gut for the working class of America.

The U.S. homeownership rate was 63.4 percent in the second quarter, down from 63.7 percent in the previous three months, the Census Bureau reported Tuesday. It was lowest reading since 1967.
...
The rental vacancy rate fell to 6.8 percent from 7.1 percent in the first quarter and 7.5 percent a year earlier. It was the lowest rate since the 1980s, according to the report. The median asking rent was a record $803 a month.

To put it simply, marginal homeowners continue to be pushed out of their homes and into the rental market where they will be forced to pay ever higher rental prices.
The thing that is unsaid in this article is that the housing bust that start in 2006 is ongoing and continues to get worse even though the news media stopped talking about it years ago.
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To make matters worse, rents rose last year at their fastest rate since 2008 and are "set to accelerate" at "the fastest rate...since the 1980s.".
To sum this up, the "worst rental affordability crisis that this country has known" in 2013 has gotten much worse the last two years and looks to get worse at an accelerated rate in the near future, and no one seems to care.
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Well, almost no one cares. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio recently took the unprecedented step of freezing rents for a year. The fact that total homelessness jumped by 29 percent in New York might have had something to do with the decision.
People are fleeing these expensive city and those that stay live differently.

And as Americans leave, people from abroad move in to these bustling cities to fill the vacant low-skilled jobs. They are able to do so by living in what Stoll calls "creative housing arrangements" in which they pack six to eight individuals, or two to four families, into one apartment or home. It's an arrangement that most Americans just aren't willing to pursue, and even many immigrants decide it's not for them as time goes by, he said.

Nearly 21 million rental household, or about half of all rental households, spent 30% or more of their income on rent in 2013.
11 million households spent at least half of their income on rent and utilities, up 37 percent from 2003.
These cities aren't always very expensive cities. Miami and New Orleans rank near the top in percentage of income going to rent simply because wages are so low.

However, the story doesn't end there because of one hidden item in the article.

Home values have jumped 34 percent since reaching a bottom in early 2012, making purchases more expensive for entry-level buyers.

Home prices are increasing at 13 times the rate of wages. The Housing Affordability Index dropped 12% in just the first five months of 2015.
Fewer people owning homes should mean less pressure on prices to move up, but that's not what's happening. For that reason we need to look deeper into this story.
How is it possible that the price of a commodity (i.e. housing) can increase so much faster than the ability of people to afford it?

Enter the investor.

In many markets, the housing recovery has "largely been driven over the last two years by buyers who are not as constrained by incomes -- namely the institutional investors coming in and buying up properties as rentals, and international buyers coming in and buying, often with cash," Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac and author of the report, said in an interview.

In other words, inequality is driving this trend. The wealthy see housing as an investment, while the working class see it as a necessity. Blackstone alone owns 150,000 homes that it bought in order to rent to working people. Most of those homes were foreclosures, which Blackstone then rents to people who were often previously foreclosed on. Wealthy foreigners are also buying up tens of billions of dollars worth of houses every year.
It's not a coincidence. Housing is one of the most heavily, taxpayer subsidized sectors of the economy. The public benefits fall disproportionately upon the wealthy, while the poorest are left out almost entirely.
The rational decision would be to stop publicly subsidizing an asset class with disproportionately high prices that is causing general suffering amongst the working class. But politics dictate that this won't happen.

Much of the drop in homeownership can be attributed to the lack of good jobs for Millenials, which has led to a drop in household formations among the young.

According to the work of the individuals at NDR, it appears household formations from the millennials is about 3 million formations behind previous generations’ rate-of-structure.

High home prices are making it impossible for the young generation to buy even starter homes. First-time homebuyers only accounted for 26% of home sales in January. The percentage in a normal market is around 40% according to the NAR.

The Landlord's Game

When it comes to housing, we've been trained to think of it illogically. We cheer every uptick in home prices without ever thinking about the consequences. We think of home prices like we do stock prices, when we should think of housing prices like food prices - something we can't do without.
No one cheers when food prices go up, except for the farmer. So no one should be cheering when the price of housing goes up except for the landlord. The problem is that we all started thinking of ourselves as landlords. The housing bust should have shown us otherwise.

English economist David Boyle may have predicted this about England, but the same economic forces exist in America.

Rising property prices will kill off the middle classes within 30 years and create a vast ‘impoverished’ proletariat, a government adviser has warned.
It would leave Britain with a ‘tiny elite and a huge sprawling proletariat’ who have no chance of ‘clawing their way out of a hand-to-mouth existence’, he said.
He said the traditional middle classes would need three or four jobs just to be able to pay soaring rents.

It turns out that this is happening not just in Britain, but in America, and not in the future, but right now.
To put this into perspective, let's examine the minimum-wage worker and how market-rate rents work.

In Maryland, a minimum wage earner would have to work 135 hours per week to afford a two-bedroom apartment, the equivalent of more than three full-time jobs.

In case that wasn't clear, three full-time jobs means 24-hour a day workdays. As you might imagine, the rent affordability crisis one of the elements leading to ever increasing homelessness.
Instead of renting becoming a stepping stone to home ownership, it has now become a barrier.

Consider the game Monopoly. Everyone has played it.
You go around and around until one person has all the property and money. It's a simple enough game to understand.

Did you ever wonder who created the game? The game was created by Elizabeth Magie. At the time it was called the Landlord's Game.
Magie designed the game to be a "practical demonstration of the present system of land grabbing with all its usual outcomes and consequences"

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joe shikspack's picture

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mimi's picture

of their living condition to not be able to afford rent or house.

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snoopydawg's picture

Those assholes don't care about anything or anyone else but to make as much money as they can. The 70 year old lady is so rich, yet she thinks buying trailer parks 'addicting '.
I feel it's ok to call her a bitch.
It never ends, does it?

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Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.

gulfgal98's picture

of everything is a huge problem. The investment class is squeezing every last drop of blood out of what is left of the middle and lower classes.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

Martha Pearce-Smith's picture

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Please help the Resilience Resource Library grow by adding your links.

First Nations News

Martha Pearce-Smith's picture

Co-housing my be the future for a lot of seniors, like me.

Seniors Reinvent Aging Through Cohousing & Senior Villages

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Please help the Resilience Resource Library grow by adding your links.

First Nations News

snoopydawg's picture

There is one in slc, Utah and 2 more being considered. I couldn't find much info on how to apply. The one that's completed only has 26 units. I bet the waiting list is long.

The class war is going full boar. Soon, we'll be back to living life like before the Great Depression.
Those assholes won't be happy until they have all of us living in squalor.
And the greatest president ever is selling out what's left of America with the tpp.

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Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.

Unabashed Liberal's picture

on this topic after the financial crisis--on C-Span, NPR, PBS, etc. I've got bookmarks on this topic, on my oldest laptop, which I can't access until I load Linux on it. I've never seen this particular piece, however, so I appreciate the link/info.

Anyhoo, it's a great idea for some people. The only thing that bugs me, is that it may be 'forced upon' many seniors due to financial considerations. And the fact is, some folks are better suited to communal living, than others.

Bottom line, the US and Canada both need a public housing policy that makes this type of housing readily available, but not a necessity.

OTOH, some widowed folks, especially, might really enjoy this arrangement.

Mollie

"The best and most beautiful things in the world cannot be seen or even touched. They must be felt with the heart."--Helen Keller


Visit Us At Caucus99Percent.Com

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Everyone thinks they have the best dog, and none of them are wrong.

shaharazade's picture

I'm a so called 'home owner' who bought a old beautiful 1914 urban decrepit house in 1992 for 74,000$ and put both sweat and money over decades into making it habitable,restored, and liveable . Were now hanging on while the investors, developers, realtors, and crooked bent city/state pols (Dems) once again circle the waters of needed affordable and liveable decent housing. The Zombies from the housing crash of 2008 are back and loaded for bear here in Portland OR. We have a lot of equity as we 'invested' all our money when we had it, in 2007 into paying down our mortgage and rehabilitating our money pit of a house. Now it's a 'desirable' gentrified neighborhood and I get weekly mailers and fake hand written mailers from developers and realtors telling me I should to sell it to a nice couple who want to live in the neighborhood. Yeah right

We do not however have enough equity to sell it and buy anything we could afford in Portland as our income has never recovered due to the economy from hell. The prices for houses on our block are in the 700,000 range and are daily skyrocketing. Our severely diminished income since 2008 alone would disqualify us from getting a new mortgage loan with payments we can't afford even if we manage to double our income. We are considering selling and renting but I ran the numbers and there is no way I'm paying 2,500 to 5000 for a cheesy apartment that's my worst nightmare. We work from home and will never 'retire' as were part of the gig economy. So fuck it I'm staying and fighting these rat bastards.

So who are these people that can afford to demolish liveable affordable neighborhoods and pay unaffordable amounts of rent or mortgages for a reproduction of suburban with a touch of 'Dwell' living that is being plunked down in our neighborhoods Where do they work that makes this affordable? And lastly why in the fuck do they think that living in a overpriced slum of the future bedsit is something worth tearing up a liveable city for? Of course affordable housing is needed but why oh why gentrify and hipster yuppify a city under the name of affordable housing?

The latest meme where hearing from the housing troika here in Portland is all this is green because all the climate change refuges from elsewhere (CA) are coming to Portland and they need 'affordable' housing. Tell me how does does any displaced climate refugee come up with the obscene going rates for housing here in urban Portland? Affordable housing is a right and decent housing is not warehousing the old, the young or any of us. Housing is not is investment it's a home a place to live that's not a hell hole.

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