News Dump Tuesday: Obamacare Troubles Edition

What happens to Obamacare when the exchanges collapse?

UnitedHealthcare, the biggest health insurer in the United States, said Tuesday that it plans to exit most of the Affordable Care Act state exchanges where it currently operates by 2017.
The health insurer had already indicated that it was dropping coverage of the plans, more commonly known as Obamacare, in Arkansas, Georgia and Michigan.
But during a conference call with analysts Tuesday, CEO Stephen Hemsley noted that "next year we will remain in only a handful of states."
Hemsley explained that UnitedHealth will leave most states by 2017 because the markets for these exchanges are relatively small and also have higher risks for the company over the short-term.
As such, he said UnitedHealth (UNH) could not serve these exchanges on an "effective and sustained basis."
It shouldn't come as a huge surprise. UnitedHealth had previously said that it lost $475 million on the ACA exchanges last year and could lose another $500 million this year.

On GOS Obamacare is a win-win. But in reality...
Obamacare "death spiral"?

Health insurance companies are amplifying their warnings about the financial sustainability of the ObamaCare marketplaces as they seek approval for premium increases next year.
Insurers say they are losing money on their ObamaCare plans at a rapid rate, and some have begun to talk about dropping out of the marketplaces altogether.
“Something has to give,” said Larry Levitt, an expert on the health law at the Kaiser Family Foundation. “Either insurers will drop out or insurers will raise premiums.”
While analysts expect the market to stabilize once premiums rise and more young, healthy people sign up, some observers have not ruled out the possibility of a collapse of the market, known in insurance parlance as a “death spiral.”
In the short term, there is a growing likelihood that insurers will push for substantial premium increases, creating a political problem for Democrats in an election year...
And a report from McKinsey & Company found that in the individual market, which includes the ObamaCare marketplaces, insurers lost money in 41 states in 2014, and were only profitable in 9 states.
“We continue to have serious concerns about the sustainability of the public exchanges,” Mark Bertolini, the CEO of Aetna, said in February.

More troops to Iraq

President Barack Obama's decision to send still more American troops to Iraq, and to put military advisers closer to the front lines against the Islamic State, fits a pattern of ever-deepening involvement in a country whose war Obama exited with supposed finality in December 2011.
From the initial contingent of 170 U.S. soldiers who entered Baghdad as advisers in June 2014, after the Islamic State overran much of northern and western Iraq and seemed poised to threaten Baghdad, the troop total jumped to 1,550 six months later. It topped 3,000 in April 2015 and then edged higher. The latest increase announced Monday by Defense Secretary Ash Carter pushes the authorized total above 4,000. More increases seem likely.

Iraq's government impass

Iraqi parliament speaker Salim al-Jabouri has suspended parliament "until further notice" after a week of political rows, brawls and attempts by rebel MPs to unseat him.
The announcement came during a Tuesday parliament session, days after rebel MPs voted to remove him and elected Adnan al-Janabi as an interim replacement, meaning there are now two claimants to the speakership.

Another recession signal

Take a peek below the headline jobs data, however, and there are signs that the labor market is losing some momentum. Temporary-help employment, which peaked prior to the last two recessions, is showing signs of topping out. And a broad labor-market index constructed by Federal Reserve economists -- and monitored by Chair Janet Yellen -- has fallen for three straight months, the first time that’s happened since 2009.
"I am a little concerned," said 75-year-old Bob Funk, chief executive officer of Express Employment Professionals, which provides temporary workers to companies. "Our industry is always on the front end of a recession," as provisional workers are the first to be let go on signs of economic weakness.
In the run-up to the 2001 recession, provisional employment peaked 11 months before the downturn began. The lag before the Great Recession of 2007 to 2009 was 16 months.

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Victory for more dead civilians

Though the Pentagon has mostly issued blanket denials whenever they’re caught killing civilians in airstrikes against ISIS targets anyhow, officials say their eagerness to escalate the air war against ISIS targets has seen the implementation of new rules allow the US to kill larger numbers of civilians per attack.
The details are still scant, with the official rules likely to remain a secret, but officials say they have implemented a “sliding scale,” based on the region being targeted and the “opportunity.” In some cases, US airstrikes will be allowed to kill 10 civilians per strike.

British parliament won't be voting on war

British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond today confirmed that the British government intends to send ground troops to Libya to join an international coalition invasion, and has no intention of asking the parliament to vote on the matter.
Parliament has been a thorn in the Cameron government’s side in previous interventions, barring them from participating in an ultimately scrapped 2013 US invasion of Syria, and seeking to limit their involvement in the subsequent US air war in Syria, though they finally authorized it in December of 2015.
This time, British officials are just going to lie outright, label all the commandos “trainers,” and insist that 1,000 combat troops aren’t a war that needs parliamentary authorization.
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Steven D's picture

is just a stupid pipe dream that is financially unsound.

Right.

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"You can't just leave those who created the problem in charge of the solution."---Tyree Scott

They'll tell you that Obamacare "may not be perfect" but it's as close to perfection that we can expect.

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thanatokephaloides's picture

Obamacare "may not be perfect" but it's as close to perfection that we can expect.

This, of course, is a Large Steaming Hot Pile Of That Which Cometh Out Of The Back Side Of The Unaltered Male Bovine.

Bad

Numerous nations, far poorer and less powerful than are we, do much better than that piece of blatant corporate capitalist welfare on a routine basis. And all nations in our own league do so as well.

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

detroitmechworks's picture

and I think you're a tad closer to the mentality.

These are the same people who "ended Welfare as we know it".

And Canada is talking about a Guaranteed Income again in some places.
Starting to feel like the Unicorn. Sitting on the pier, and cursing the fact I seem to have hit the snooze button on the day Noah said NOT to be late.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

stevej's picture

ridiculous and potentially destructive.

In other news : NY Exit Polls, Sanders rated as honest/trustworthy by 83% of Dems.
I reckon that the other 17% must all have GOS user accounts.

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“To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize.” -Voltaire

What is GOS?

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Yet another moniker for DKos, traditionally used by Kossacks themselves.

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Euterpe2

and caught on at DKOS. The powers that be don't use it there.

I miss firedoglake.

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or .. well, also called TOP and umm. TOS (which replaces great with 'The') umm.. dang I just woke up from a nap.. we have a few of these for That Other Place a bunch of us hung out at in the past.

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With their hearts they turned to each others heart for refuge
In troubled years that came before the deluge
*Jackson Browne, 1974, Before the Deluge https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SX-HFcSIoU

Great Orange Politico.

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Lookout's picture

The DailyLost. They lost me anyway!

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“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”

Bisbonian's picture

OrangeState

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"I’m a human being, first and foremost, and as such I’m for whoever and whatever benefits humanity as a whole.” —Malcolm X

meets reality

While it would be inappropriate to directly blame US Ambassador to the UN Samantha Power for the tragic death of a little boy in Cameroon today, it would also be inappropriate to exculpate the ambassador.

The US Ambassador, who is the embodiment of the “humanitarian” interventionist cult that makes up the Left Wing faction of the Church of Neoconservativism, was speeding in her heavily-armed motorcade through the Cameroonian countryside at speeds over 60 miles per hour to make it to a photo-op with a group of victims of the Islamist Boko Haram organization.

Boko Haram is a localized group that poses literally zero threat to the United States, yet the “threat” of Boko Haram is a cause greatly championed by those like Power who love war when it serves their politically correct purposes. In Boko Haram’s case, it is that they are said to make a habit of kidnapping young girls. What Ambassador Power won’t tell you when she saddles up to yet another microphone to denounce Boko Haram is that it was precisely her and Hillary’s “humanitarian” war on Libya that has given Boko Haram such a great boost. Weapons looted from Libya after the US attack made their way down to Boko Haram (and to Syria and elsewhere) where they have led to an increase in mayhem.

She does not like to talk about those consequences of interventionism.

It’s much more fun to drive like a bat out of hell to make a photo-op in the countryside so as to show the other “humanitarian” elites and interventionists how much she cares about the plight of African children. Except, of course, the poor seven year old child who in all the excitement of the visit from that great power so far away accidentally stepped out in front of Ambassador Power’s speeding motorcade and was smashed.

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WheninRome's picture

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It's not perfect, but its better than nothing crowd, but these numbers are giving me pause. If the exchanges collapse, then people don't have a public option to fall back on. Its almost like a win-win for the insurance companies.

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snoopydawg's picture

It has always been a win win for the insurance companies. Look at how much their stocks went up the day after the ACA passed.
The employer mandate has been kicked down the road how many years?
And letting Baucus who had Liz fowler from WellPoint on his staff write most of it was a tell.
Obama made deals with the insurance and pharmaceutical companies way before the bill was half way done.
And the Dems kept letting the GOP water it down so that they would vote for it, knowing damn well that they weren't going to. If they were serious about passing a decent bill, they would have taken out the crap that the GOP watered down.
And they didn't place any restrictions on the rising premiums.
We had the chance to get a decent health care bill, but millions of New Yorkers threw it away tonight.

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Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.

Pluto's Republic's picture

…. due to medical neglect. The kill rate actually hasn't fallen that significantly under the ACA, which also endorses a citizen kill rate via its policies.

The utterly quaint and completely obsolete US Constitution was written by dead guys who lived when the lifespan was 45 years. These dead guys had no freakin' idea about human rights or what the hell would be going on in the future. They thought the document would be rewritten every 20 years to pass Generational Sovereignty onto future people so they wouldn't be saddled with laws written by dead guys. They thought the People were going to keep it up to date. But, the slave owners and corporations adored it just the way it was.

As a consequence, Americans a right to health care. Every nation in the world ratified this Human Right treaty at the UN in 1948. The US has still refused to do so. All nations, even the most destitute, have established a national health care system for all the people. Not the US.

The US kill rate from medical neglect is perfectly constitutional because the antique US constitution does not confer rights that cannot be revoked. (See, Patriot Act.)

Any healthcare plan put together by any congress can be taken apart again by the next congress, since Americans don't have human rights.

By the way, the ACA is dying a slow death by parasites — the insurance companies. There is no other cause. Without the insurance companies, it would be flush with money.

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____________________

The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato
WindDancer13's picture

The insurer claims to have lost $475 million dollars (sometimes that happens when people are actually able to use what they pay for), and yet:

It helped that the company's earnings and revenue topped forecasts. UnitedHealth also boosted its financial targets for the year. [emphasis added]

So what they are saying is even though their profit exceeded their expanded forecast, even more profit would be to their liking. They have not lost any money at all, just a higher profit.

I have better idea--cut them out of the loop altogether.

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We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit.--Aristotle
If there is no struggle there is no progress.--Frederick Douglass

I have better idea--cut them out of the loop altogether.

That's what they are doing themselves.
And they aren't the first. Several states no longer have Obamacare exchanges.

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WindDancer13's picture

of passing single payer.

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We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit.--Aristotle
If there is no struggle there is no progress.--Frederick Douglass