News Dump Friday: Obamcare, Afghanistan, and more Edition

1.4 million about to lose Obamacare

According to an analysis by Bloomberg's Zachary Tracer, Tatiana Darie, and Katherine Doherty, roughly 1.4 million Americans will lose the coverage they have currently through the ACA, better known as Obamacare, exchanges and have to find a new plan.
Some states, such as Minnesota, Tennessee, and South Carolina have seen so many insurers leave that it has pushed the exchanges to the brink, lead to large premium increases, and have state lawmakers worried

Obamacare premium hikes

When you average all three methods together, the weighted UNSUBSIDIZED approved rate hike average for these 36 states + DC is 24%

Remember when people cared about this?

In fiscal 2016, which ended on Friday, the federal debt increased $1,422,827,047,452.46, according to data released today by the U.S. Treasury.
At the close of business on Sept. 30, 2015, the last day of fiscal 2015, the federal debt was $18,150,617,666,484.33, according to the Treasury. By the close of business on Sept. 30, 2016, the last day of fiscal 2016, it had climbed to $19,573,444,713,936.79.
According to the Census Bureau’s latest estimate, there were 118,215,000 households in the United States as of June. That means that the one-year increase in the federal debt of $1,422,827,047,452.46 in fiscal 2016 equaled about $12,036 per household.
The total federal debt of $19,573,444,713,936.79 now equals about $165,575 per household.

Total Debt 2016_0.jpg
That's an oxymoron

Despite the widening of U.S. air support, the White House believes that the war in Afghanistan is tipping in the Taliban’s favor. Speaking on the condition of anonymity to speak frankly about Afghanistan’s deteriorating security situation, a senior administration official called the situation in the country an “eroding stalemate.”

AfghanistanMap_ThreatenedCapitals_MECH.jpg
Helmand

The Taliban pressed further into the capital of Helmand province on Wednesday, officials said, firing rockets at the governor’s compound as they threatened to overrun a second major Afghan city in just over a week.
The renewed bid to capture the city, Lashkar Gah, is further stretching Afghan forces still fighting to regain full control of the northern city Kunduz and responding to Taliban offensives in several other provincial capitals.
Over the past week, Afghan forces been fighting a multipronged offensive by the Islamist militant group on the outskirts of provincial capitals including Farah in the southwest, Pul-i-Khumri in the northeast and Tarin Kot in the south, which has for weeks been in danger of collapse.

Afghan soldiers being killed faster than replaced

Outgunned and surrounded by Taliban fighters in a chronic combat zone of southern Afghanistan, the police officers and soldiers thought they had negotiated passage to safety. They had walked into a trap.
In what appears to be one of the worst massacres of Afghan forces in a protracted and forgotten war, at least 100 were killed when the Taliban fighters opened fire on them from all directions as they tried to flee through the agreed-upon retreat route, Afghan officials said Wednesday....
From March to August, about 4,500 Afghan soldiers and police were killed and more than 8,000 wounded, according to information provided by a senior Afghan official who had seen the tallies, but like others spoke on condition of anonymity to share sensitive information. In August, the police and the army sustained about 2,800 casualties, more than a third of them fatal.
Beyond that, the inability to replace the fallen has raised particular alarm among the top ranks of the Afghan government as well as its Western backers, including the United States.
For months now, the police and the army have failed to achieve recruitment goals. While the army still maintains a marginal positive balance of recruitment over losses, the police seem in trouble.
The police force’s average casualty figure has been two to four times more than the average recruitment — a deficit that could translate into a reduction of 10,000 officers a year.
In August, the police recruited 650 new officers, in the face of more than 1,300 lost to casualties, arrests or desertion.

Corruption matters

At an international aid conference last week, Afghanistan’s leaders raised $15 billion from their international backers and pledged to clamp down on graft. But corrupt officials have hollowed out the national security forces, selling weapons and even government buildings to the Taliban, and alienated local populations. One Afghan official said that Helmand residents were so angry at corruption that they were turning to the Taliban, despite memories of the extremist group’s harsh rule...
Helmand is particularly afflicted by corruption, thanks in large part to its opium fields. The majority of the world’s heroin originates in this southern province bordering Pakistan. The U.N. Office on Drugs and Crime last year valued the crop $3 billion a year, equivalent to around 20 per cent of Afghanistan’s gross domestic product. It helps fund the Taliban insurgency, and local officials and military leaders profit from the industry too. They receive bribes to turn a blind eye, and sell their military equipment to cash-rich militants.
Local officials and residents say that corruption occurs at every level in the province and everything is for sale, from government jobs, to ammunition and weapons and state-owned buildings.
Across Helmand, soldiers and police regularly change sides and give up their vehicles and weapons rather than defend themselves against attack, said Attaullah, a member of the provincial council.
“Some sell their weapons, their ammunition, even in some cases their buildings, to the insurgents,” said Attaullah, who like many Afghans has only one name.
“Sometimes they sell the soldiers, too, along with their equipment.”

Hillary had a small role in this failure

In fact, Washington has so little to show for its efforts that a group of 10 former U.S. ambassadors and military commanders in Afghanistan declared in a joint statement last month, published by the National Interest magazine on Sept. 14, that stabilizing the country and ending its continued incubation of terrorism will require at least another generation of U.S. effort...
But the Joint Chiefs of Staff concluded in a 2014 report that military and civilian leaders alike grievously underestimated the gravity and impact of Afghanistan’s corruption. More “Lessons Learned” analyses are now emerging from within the government, and the most recent one points some sharp fingers of blame at the Obama administration—including the State Department while Hillary Clinton was at the helm, and at the CIA, during the entire period of the Bush and Obama administrations.
While trying to stabilize the country, these two organizations undertook two actions that made its problems worse, the latest study says: The CIA partnered over a long period with politically connected warlords that engaged in “rampantly corrupt activities,” largely out of political expediency; meanwhile, U.S. aid organizations helped stoke the country’s historic corruption by pouring in more funds than the country could responsibly absorb, all the while measuring their achievements by how much, rather than how well, money was spent...
A comprehensive annual survey in Afghanistan by the Asia Foundation found that the number of respondents who experienced corruption at the customs office rose from roughly 40 percent in 2006 to 61 percent in 2015—even though U.S. diplomats, in a rosy 2013 cable, hailed Afghan reforms there. The average value of a bribe increased by a fifth from 2010 to 2014, and the number of respondents who said they experienced corruption in the court system rose from 42 percent to 61 percent. The public’s sense of corruption within the national police—a major recipient of Western funds—remained largely unchanged through the occupation. (Half of the respondents experienced it.)
Even after Washington finally grasped the centrality of the corruption problem in 2009 and President Obama publicly called for a crackdown on such behavior, top officials essentially blinked: A comprehensive anticorruption strategy drawn up by the embassy in Kabul and sent to Washington in 2010 never won Secretary Clinton’s (or anyone else’s official) endorsement. When a key advocate—Richard Holbrooke, a top adviser to Clinton and veteran diplomat who had seen the debilitating effects of corruption up close during a previous assignment in the Balkans—died in December 2010, no one else seized the plan and compelled its formal approval
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Russia and Syria? How well did the English do in Afghanistan? The Russians? At least we're getting plenty of opiates[snark].

I read that at the peak of WW2, the USA had almost 12 million men and women in the armed forces. Today, I think it's less than 2 million; yet one source, which has been accurate in the past, claims that there are more generals and admirals now then at the height of the WW2 effort. Can't this military brainpower figure a way to quickly and safely bring the soldiers and sailors home so that they can find civilian employment now that we have full employment?

Thanks for the selection of news.

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

we ARE getting plenty of opiates. Heroin, fentanyl which is a hundred times more potent,and some new thing that's a Thousand times more potent than fentanyl! The Taliban had reduced opium production to a shadow(chopping off hands and heads Does work) until we invaded. Since then, record crops, year after year.
No, I do NOT advocate for chopping off of said hands and heads. Just wanna be clear.

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Ya got to be a Spirit, cain't be no Ghost. . .

Explain Bldg #7. . . still waiting. . .

If you’ve ever wondered whether you would have complied in 1930’s Germany,
Now you know. . .
sign at protest march

for poor performance, of which there has been a whole lot.

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president trump will say "You're fired" to any of the gold braid wearing military worthies either. We know Clinton won't.
I guess the military is run like a corporation where when you get to a certain level, failure is impossible.

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

Bollox Ref's picture

An American general today looks like a Soviet Marshal from years ago.

I'm surprised they can put their jackets on, with the weight of all those decorations for amazing heroism and glorious victory at the front.

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Gëzuar!!
from a reasonably stable genius.

Duck belonged (as drawn and written by Carl Barks) parodied the military by having a Grand High Potentate Woodchuck leader - beribboned and bemedaled as he was - award the boys, for heroism, two quarts of medals apiece.

"Hi General. Too bad someone barfed on your jacket."

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

tapu dali's picture

which usually featured a bunch of superannuated Soviet brass brandishing their "Hero of the CCCP" gold stars.

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There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don't know we don't know.

tapu dali's picture

(I'll leave that as an example for the student) received a "Hero of Socialist Labour", which she promptly threw into the bin the day Estonia re-declared its independence.

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There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don't know we don't know.

My medical insurance increase for next year is about 24%, close to average for state. The co-op I was in went belly up in July. So even if Hillary wins, and democrats take over both houses of Congress, I have no faith anything will be done about the high deductibles or big increases in rates. The recent Wikileaks revelations pretty much show the democratic party leadership in the grip of corporations. Early Pelosi even said that Warren does not speak for the democrats. If Warren had endorsed Sanders, I believe he could have won even with DNC cheating. I forgot who made the point, but if Warren had come out for Sanders, good possibility that Bernie would be running against Trump, and of course win the White House. I admire Warren for her work and outspoken voice, but in not supporting Bernie and supporting Clinton, I have to wonder if she like Bernie has marginalized herself in some ways. My immediate reaction to her lambasting banksters was "that's nice". Again given the Wikileaks revelations, the democrat party leadership and officials corporate ass-kissers.

Just a note about the recent Wikileaks revelations--from what I can tell a number of the major news sites (as measured by Alexa) have nothing--total nada--on the leaks. The content of the leaks is mostly confined to lefty sites.

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Citizen Of Earth's picture

But did not depict any of the scandalous stuff. Instead they talked about one email where a fellow Dem proposed Hellery perform some common work for a day (ex waitress, etc) to show she is not out of touch. The message to the snoozing masses is there is nothing in the emails of consequence.

The FIX is in so bad, it is beyond absurd.

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Donnie The #ShitHole Douchebag. Fake Friend to the Working Class. Real Asshole.

dewley notid's picture

... tonight was the second or third time CBS Evening News has mentioned WikiLeaks, and used some milquetoast emails about nothing each time even when there were some "juicy" emails in that day's batch.

"Nothing to see here, move along comrades."

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Nature is my religion; the earth is my temple.

For example, on reddit about 90% of all downvoated posts are pro trump, pro stein or anti hillary.......that is all of reddit from /r/science to */r/startledcats. That can only be accomplished by organized paid downvoating.

Google news today: nothing on the front page about the email leaks. A rare look into the center of a political campaign and no one is interested? Really?

They are gaslighting a whole fucking country.

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I am sure this is not a new lesson, but it came to fruition during dem primary. The Clinton campaign was able to create a number of political fictions through digital media. Probably the biggest was 'BernieBros" and later "Bernie or Busters". By the way, BernieBros was the later version of "ObamaBros" and used the same in 2008, but to no avail. And we start reading revelations of Facebook censoring trends and Google manipulating results of searches. I imagine the budgets to replicate what David Brock did in terms of paid trolls will go through the roof in critical races. And it looks like the EU could be moving by next month to cut all TV and internet media coming from Russia.

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I only looked at online sources, but seems when leaks presented as news, the Russian canard was also brought up. The Intercept did look at serious issues regarding content, but for the most part the mass media has marginalized and trivialized the emails. Among Hillary supporters TOP and such people as Chris Hayes basically called the leaks "criminal" as the emails were stolen and Wikileaks had no right to publish them. Glenn Greenwald even felt compelled to answer in a post that the leaks were journalistically acceptable. Int he clip with the post, Hayes tries to bring up nefarious motives and at the end bizarrely does not understand why Podesta isn't off limits.

https://theintercept.com/2016/10/13/on-wikileaks-journalism-and-privacy-...

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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-14/wall-street-journal-blasts-pres...

Zerohedge quotes some of it:

"If average voters turned on the TV for five minutes this week, chances are they know that Donald Trump made lewd remarks a decade ago and now stands accused of groping women.

But even if average voters had the TV on 24/7, they still probably haven’t heard the news about Hillary Clinton: That the nation now has proof of pretty much everything she has been accused of.

It comes from hacked emails dumped by WikiLeaks, documents released under the Freedom of Information Act, and accounts from FBI insiders. The media has almost uniformly ignored the flurry of bombshells, preferring to devote its front pages to the Trump story. So let’s review what amounts to a devastating case against a Clinton presidency."

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karl pearson's picture

Examining the Federal Debt graph, one can see that the amount of debt has increased considerably since 2008-2009 since the curve begins to trend upward at a higher rate at this point. Of course, 2008 was the beginning of the Great Recession.

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tapu dali's picture

The National Debt rose by exactly

$1,422,827,047,452.46, according to data released today by the U.S. Treasury.

with an accuracy of 1 cent in over 1 trillion dollars (0.01/10E+12 = 10E-14??) Really??

That's the equivalent of measuring the distance from the earth to the sun (~ 100 million , or 10E+08 miles) to an accuracy of 10E-06 miles, or ~ 1.6 mm.

I don't know, can contemporary interferometric techniques do that? How does one define the "surface" of the sun, or that of the earth, anyway? Or is this meant to be a CM to CM distance?

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There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don't know we don't know.