New Hampshire Bump

Well now that a full slate of new National polling data has been released, let's take a look at how the field has changed:



Let's start with Economist/YouGov (Margin - Bernie's raw % ):

1/19-1/21 - Biden +7 - 18
2/9-2/11 - Sanders +4 - 22
2/16-2/18 - Sanders +6 - 24

Overall - Sanders up 6%

Morning Consult

1/20-1/26 - Biden +6 - 23
1/27-2/2 - Biden +4 - 24
2/4-2/9 - Sanders +3 - 25
2/12-2/17 - Sanders +8 - 28

Overall - Sanders up 5%

NBC News / Wall St. Journal

1/26-1/29 - Sanders +1 - 27
2/14-2/17 - Sanders +12 - 27

Overall - Unchanged

1/21-1/23 - Biden +3 - 27
2/16-2/18 - Sanders +7 - 29

Overall - Sanders up 2%

1/16-1/20 - Biden + 7 - 23
2/6-2/9 - Sanders + 10 - 26

Overall - Sanders up 3%

ABC/Washington Post
1/20-1/23 - Biden +12 - 22
2/14-2/17 - Sanders +16 - 32

Overall - Sanders up 10%

Average Overall - Sanders up 4.3%

Other recent National Trackers:
SurveyUSA - Sanders + 11 - 29
NPR/PBS/Marist - Sanders + 12 - 31
Quinnipiac - Sanders + 8 - 25

Here's What NBC has to say about all this:
Bernie Sander's Isn't the Front Runner

18 users have voted.


Such a pity! LOL

10 users have voted.

That is why people like him.

17 users have voted.

They also published
The Unity Candidate is Bernie

4 users have voted.

Regular Democrats Just Aren’t Worried About Bernie

Something about broken clocks...
Blind Squirrels...

3 users have voted.

@konondrum to realize that Peter Beinart, is one blind squirrel indeed.

Impeachment Hurt Somebody. It Wasn’t Trump.

The title may well be correct, but the contortions needed to get there...

2 users have voted.
Pluto's Republic's picture

...arguing that Bernie isn't the front runner, was actually arguing that the Progressive Dems weren't the frontrunners in the Democratic Party split.

In Iowa and New Hampshire, the moderate share of the vote beat out Sanders’ and Warren’s. Iowa gave 54 percent of its votes to Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Biden, versus 44 percent to Sanders and Warren. New Hampshire then built on the trend: 53 percent went to the big three moderates, versus 35 percent to the progressives — and even adding all of the 10 percent that went to other candidates wouldn’t flip the balance.

After two elections in two tiny states, the conclusions are rushed into print. That's understandable since the beginning, where there is very little data, is the only time when these conclusions might read as credible. This attack, which is aimed direct at Bernie Sanders, is obviously the voice the oligarchs funding the Democratic WAR Party, while they are asset-stripping the nation as quickly as they can.

The argument that the vote counts in this small sample represent a disagreement over "far left" policy is the view of an amateur, who thinks his readers are as dumb as he is. Voters are choosing candidates for many different reasons and are having a hard time making up their minds, They are selecting largely for electability, likability, and Democratic Values. Policy-hate has not been the driving force here, and people are note voting Against in primaries, they are voting For. There is no 'real' policy change coming out of the Moderates to vote for or against — they offer only tweaks to more-of-the-same policies.

"No change" is always the popular choice with the over 50 demographic. It doesn't matter what the change is, they fear it will somehow hurt them as they grow older and more confused. The more confused, the more they vote. In this sense, the Left has been a great foil for Democratic Party campaign strategies.

Incorporating the Left into the Democratic Party — the voice of the young, the workers, the middle class, the shepherds of the abused and disenfranchised, the teachers, the thoughtful and self-aware, the shepherds of the earth itself — was a brilliant move. The Party could dilute and mute pleas for fairness and justice coming from the Left, and bind their aspirations for a better society into the straight-jacket of the Duopoly.

In the 21st Century, imprisoning the Left inside the Democratic Party allows the oligarchs to use the Left as controlled opposition, while their activism can be poisoned and sabotaged from the inside, and their plans, strategies, and outside supporters could be leaked to third-party operatives. All the while, it is smooth sailing for the mediocre moderates and corrupt tools that the Big Donors are buying to represent their special interests in Washington.

The far-left competitors have built a brand around issues that scare many voters — a recent Hill/Harris poll found that only 13 percent of Americans support banning private insurance, for instance. And a recent Gallup Poll found that socialists were the only group (as opposed to all types of religions and ethnicities) that majorities of Americans said they wouldn’t feel comfortable voting for.

Yeah, that "recent" Gallup was conducted in 2015, before Bernie began educating the American people about their options and possibilities. I notice, however, that the amateur writer carefully stepped over the more recent Gallup poll conducted in 2018, which tells us:

For the first time in Gallup's measurement over the past decade, Democrats have a more positive image of socialism than they do of capitalism. Attitudes toward socialism among Democrats have not changed materially since 2010, with 57% today having a positive view. The major change among Democrats has been a less upbeat attitude toward capitalism, dropping to 47% positive this year -- lower than in any of the three previous measures. Republicans remain much more positive about capitalism than about socialism, with little sustained change in their views of either since 2010.

And, of course, we are not trying to win the Republican vote. We are reaching out to the vast population of Americans who have had nothing to vote for, for the past 50 years. They have come out before for Bernie, and they will come out again.

The Oligarchs know this as well as I do. If that happens, it's the final act for them.

The article limps to a close with this lame thesis:

The revolution may rev up hard-core Democratic activists, but its support of policies that voters reject points toward electoral disaster.

The only disaster is one in electoral logic, for them.

7 users have voted.

Human salvation lies in the hands of the creatively maladjusted.

— Martin Luther King