The Most Important Graph of the Day

The next time anyone says, "Oh, but the math!" Yeah, about that math...

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Thumb's picture

Okay, that was my first time posting an image - I might have gotten the size a little... big.

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"Polls don't tell us how well a candidate is doing; Polls tell us how well the media is doing." ~ Me

hester's picture

actually as I scrolled down with my heart convulsing, thinking the blue was HRC + Supers, I was elated when I got to the bottom.

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Don't believe everything you think.

jiordan's picture

I didn't have to scroll down very much to see the whole thing Smile

I like the graph as a nice visual reminder that this is far from over. Saw on Realclearpolitics that the Clinton margin is below 20 points for the first time (in NC). I've always felt like NC was in play for Bernie (just anecdotally) and that the polling doesn't show it because of independents and young voters. The closing margin means likely voters with landlines are also starting to feel the Bern, so I'm really hopeful of a Michigan-style win here.

PS: that edit option is da bomb! I've been using it all morning.

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pfiore8's picture

nah, don't worry about it. if the sudden influx of new users didn't break the blog, i'm sure this is fine.

plus, i love what it SHOUTS out

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“There are moments which are not calculable, and cannot be assessed in words; they live on in the solution of memory… ”
― Lawrence Durrell, "Justine"

thanks for the post. I resized the image for you, hope you don't mind. To see what I did click the "Edit' link and take a look at the code. If you're not happy with an image size it can be resized by using the width and height attributes.

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Thumb's picture

Thanks!!

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"Polls don't tell us how well a candidate is doing; Polls tell us how well the media is doing." ~ Me

WindDancer13's picture

I like your quote. It reflects a diary I wrote at DK. Which in turn reminds me that I need to make one last trip over there after all. After I find some friendly homes for my articles, I will need to go back and remove all the text and pictures from DK and leave a sign post for those who shared them as to where the stories are now.

Also, I and maybe others need to know if this is okay to share via Twitter, FB, etc. I think the visual would very effective.

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We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit.--Aristotle
If there is no struggle there is no progress.--Frederick Douglass

Thumb's picture

I might be wrong, but I think whoever made this image would appreciate it going viral.

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"Polls don't tell us how well a candidate is doing; Polls tell us how well the media is doing." ~ Me

kharma's picture

It's almost comical (if it weren't so dangerous) how the authoritarian herd want Sanders to just go away.

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There is nothing which I dread so much as a division of the republic into two great parties.. This...is to be dreaded as the greatest political evil under our Constitution.--John Adams

Even Hillarybots should be able to see this, but their Inevitability blindness will prevent reality from seeping in.

It's up to us to see to it that Bernie gets every possible vote in the remaining primary events.

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Vowing To Oppose Everything Trump Attempts.

pfiore8's picture

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“There are moments which are not calculable, and cannot be assessed in words; they live on in the solution of memory… ”
― Lawrence Durrell, "Justine"

stevej's picture

really drives it home.

Also from what I can gather (I haven't checked the math) he needs to average around 54% of the remaining vote to win. With Clinton friendly states now just about done that should be far from insurmountable.

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“To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize.” -Voltaire

Voltaire quote. steve. Well done.

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"The real power is in the hands of small groups of people and I don't think they have titles. -- Bob Dylan"

stevej's picture

that is for sure.

I like it because it covers everything from big scale corrupt governments to the small scale and very personal.

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“To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize.” -Voltaire

says 57.54%. A heavier lift, but not beyond the realm, particularly this year. Next Tuesday will be yuuuuuge.

I've begun to wonder about a scenario where the superdelegates flip to Bernie.

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"The real power is in the hands of small groups of people and I don't think they have titles. -- Bob Dylan"

stevej's picture

so am sure you are correct. I think that there is some variation depending upon where the votes come from geographically.

Superdelegates will not be a factor imo - they will fall in line with whoever wins the pledged count. The whole thing was a head fake by team Clinton to try to create an early impression of inevitability and momentum. Same as 2008. Interesting that the DWES and the DNC is now trying to distance itself from the whole counting superdelegate thing.

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“To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize.” -Voltaire

detroitmechworks's picture

[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8vxEimC3HME]

Not quite realizing exactly what will happen if they try to shut off Bernie's Campaign. Smile

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

GO Bernie Go!!!

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Raggedy Ann's picture

Very telling, indeed!

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"The “jumpers” reminded us that one day we will all face only one choice and that is how we will die, not how we will live." Chris Hedges on 9/11

It seems the Hillary supporters are "clinging" for dear life to the inevitability argument, because it's all they have got -- unless they she gets the nomination, and then it will be the "lesser evil" argument.

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"We've done the impossible, and that makes us mighty."

gulfgal98's picture

can tell us why she is better on policy and issues than Bernie. I actually did a call out on that fact recently over at gos and what I got was crickets. It is so delusional when we can have someone who actually will be fighting for us. Starting in the middle right and compromising right continues to shift us further right ward. The Presidential bully pulpit is the biggest reason we need to choose Bernie. If nothing else, he will shift the Overton Window back left towards we the people and it is up to us to make sure that shift stays there.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

PastorAgnostic's picture

to which I reply,

Honduras? Ukraine? Syria? Lebanon?
In fact, it seems that the policies she pushed and eventually convinced Obama have all failed.
Experience? Yeah, in making the world a less safe place.

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Hillary supporters tacitly admit that all she has going for her now is supposed "inevitability" and supposed "electability." If she gets the nomination, they will tell everyone to vote for the lesser evil. Following their game plan, we never get to talk about what kind of America we want.

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"We've done the impossible, and that makes us mighty."

A self-described woman commenter at the GOS stated that if after all HRC had been through that the commenter would be through with the Democratic Party if they didn't nominate her---then she added that she felt this way even though she was more in agreement with Sander's policies.

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lotlizard's picture

on the basis of some perceived group identity and loyalty . . .

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The Clintons made this work because people pulled the lever for D without thinking.....it is how they flipped our party from the party of FDR to the party of Reagan lite.

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moneysmith's picture

Seeing this makes me feel a LOT better about his chances. This is doable!

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Hell is empty and all the devils are here. William Shakespeare

Borkrom's picture

Thank you so much for the picture.

To me all this talk of the primary season being over is like leaving a sporting event after the first quarter, period or first portion of the game and saying one team is winning why keep watching or rooting for the other team. Guess what, it is not over until it is over! Let support, fight and be part of this historical event and so one day we can tell our children and their children (friends, etc) the story regarding one of the greatest upsets of all time.

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Shockwave's picture

We need a queen!

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The political revolution continues

detroitmechworks's picture

Seeing as a major factor this election seems to be whether or not you have a Reality show, I think that'll work out just fine.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

lotlizard's picture

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"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich."--Napoleon