MMT and Debt Jubilees versus Bitcoins and the "Cashless Economy"

I just read two longish articles that everyone needs to add to their reference library: one by Michael Hudson that puts his Debt Jubilee work into today's context; and an amazing summary of how Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) actually explains today's economy, while neoclassical economics is utter bullshit that keeps the parasitic financial capitalists in charge.

Michael Hudson, Could/Should Jubilee Debt Cancellations be Reintroduced Today?

Behind the Money Curtain: A Left Take on Taxes, Spending and Modern Monetary Theory

However, the OP is not about these two articles.The two articles are already excellent summaries - very accessible, very detailed, and very compelling. Instead, I want to mention what came up for me after reading these articles.

What concerns me is that, just as MMT is making intellectual headway as an explanation of why there is no inflation and why budget deficits are unrelated to tax policy (MMT also points to Debt forgiveness and taxing the rich as solutions to inequality), Bitcoin is being positioned by TPTB to replace the increasingly discredited[NOTE] neoclassical synthesis. Bitcoin is an electronic version of the gold standard: a commodity in limited supply, a commodity whose mining has nothing to do with national economies (but only to do with where you can find cheap electricity), a commodity whose mining is a growing environmental problem. Bitcoin is the same old wolf in electronic sheep's clothing.

Isn't it funny that this publicity and mania arises at just the moment when even Joe Sixpack is waking up to the fact that ten years of quantitiative easing by Central Banks around the world has blown the biggest bubble in history? - a bubble that can't be gently unwound because everyone is "buying the dip" with free money from the Central Banks and massive leverage from Wall St.

As everyone realizes that the value of money has been deliberately destroyed, TPTB start this bandwagon for electronic currency - whose main purpose is to hijack what little real value remains in money and channel it straight to the crooks who already stole most of the real value in our economy - because they're the ones who own most of the Bitcoins. The ownership statistics on Bitcoin (Are you in the Bitcoin 1% ? A New Model of the Distribution of Bitcoin Wealth) show a power law distribution. The same kind of 1% owns 95% distribution that is found for other kinds of wealth in the real world. The greedsters aren't satisfied with the looting they've already done; they want to own all the money, privately (a cashless society). They want everyone else to be peasants possessing only electronic money that can be devauled at will by the 1%.

It seems that the only part of the MMT critique that the greedsters buy is that many Western nation-state's money (but not the Ruble or the Yuan) has been grossly devalued (allegedly only by governments - pay no attention to the revolving door between Wall St. and the Treasury Department); and we need to fix that. Without mentioning MMT or its solutions, TPTB are pushing an electronic version of the failed gold standard onto the public. They are making e-currency sound like a get rich quick scheme - all the easier to get the suckers to go along with the privatized "cashless economy".

I despair of explaining the complexity of this maneuver to people who are struggling to keep their heads above water. They don't have time to appreciate the details of the hypocrisy of corporatized governments. Governments who do nothing while crooks like Goldman Sachs and monopolisitic vultures like Amazon are working to set up exchanges to trade in these untaxable e-currencies. Governments who do nothing as the credit card banks arrange to make "the little people's" cash totally confiscatable and available for haircuts at any time. Don't hear much about the outright theft that happened in India. Nothing to see there. Move along.

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As an elderly little guy who has stayed out of the Wall St. casino since the 2001 bubble (and missed some fantastic bubble profits after 2008), I just don't see how to put my assets beyond the reach of the vampire squid that has distorted every revenue producing asset that ordinary people hold. I'm just sort of resigned to getting destroyed the next time the wheels come off the Wall St. drag racer. This OP is more to ask: does anyone else think e-currency is the way TPTB plan to dump all of the losses of the next crash onto the peasants?

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NOTE: As long as I'm giving out economics references, there is an amazing paper by Bank of Sweden (not Nobel) prize in Economics winner, Paul Romer, called The Trouble with Macroeconomics. The paper discusses some very sophisticated economic theory. I admit I don't understand it, but that's because the whole DSGE theory that Romer destroys is utter bullshit. Romer sends up this model, which is at the heart of modern neoclassical economics, using terms like "phlogiston", "caloric", and "aether" to describe this theory and to mark the similarities between it and the notorious mistakes in classical physics. It is a joy to watch a Nobelist piss all over the last twenty years of "economic" theory.

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Pricknick's picture

think of Ecoin.
AI will supply the Mr. Robot.
In the end we'll just bow before another false idol.

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

arendt's picture

@Pricknick

But, about the fifth episode, the entire episode could have been or could not have been a dream or hallucination or dream within a hallucination. My plot stack overflowed, and I gave up. The writers had created a situation where they could make anything happen. So, I stopped watching.

I gather from the Google that some episodes dealt in e-currency wars. Thanks for the pointer. I will read the plot summaries - that is, if they make anymore sense than the one for episode five.

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snoopydawg's picture

I'd think that people would be wary of it, but it's just the opposite. "I can use my iPhone to pay for everything? Cool, that means I don't have to carry cash around."

I gave up on Mr. Robot around the same time and I've heard that it's a great show. I'm going to take another look at it.

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Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.

arendt's picture

@snoopydawg

The government does not have to do this; the credit card companies (i.e., the banksters) are already leaning on various sectors to get rid of cash. Why would any merchant would put up with the 3% rakeoff the CC companies get? Because the CC companies have written clauses into their contracts that say "no discounts for cash allowed". Also, the merchants get a complete record of their customers' buying habits.

There was an article a few weeks ago by former World Bank staffer, Peter Koenig, at the Saker (can't find the link) Runaway Train Towards Full Digitization of Money and Labor describing how it was getting hard to find stores ATMs in Switzerland in certain categories who would take who would dispense cash. That is, the banks themselves are smothering cash.

To speak to your question, the CC companies are simultaneously removing cash and touting e-money, but at a slow pace so as not to spook the sheeple. Just like the phone companies removed pay phones and touted cell phones; just like the banks removed tellers and touted ATMs. The bottom line of all three scams is control of money (or communication), hydraulic despotism.

I don't think they will try the India gambit where you have the government declare money to be worthless overnight - Americans hate the government too much and would revolt against it. No, here they will keep the suckers focused on the Kardashians or the massacre of the day while they slowly twist merchants into not accepting cash until they reach a tipping point.

That's why I do my everyday shopping with cash, pay my monthly bills by check, and refuse to use any automated checkout monstrosities. Unfortunately, after years of seeing them empty, I see more people using these job destroying droids. Its examples like that that convince me the sheeple will slowly be conned into chains, and they will gladly pay a premium for celebrity-endorsed, designer chains.

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(I think it was a newspaper article, so beware inaccuracy) that people who pay with credit cards spend 1/3rd more (not per item, in total)than people who pay in cash.
Imagine the implications.

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On to Biden since 1973

arendt's picture

@doh1304

With CCs, you can shop til you drop. With cash, you realize how much you are spending.

Looking back, future historians will categorize cheap credit for everyday purchases with opium as addictions that destroyed civilizations.

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Wink's picture

of Bunnynomics, aka MMT, by Arliss Bunny nearby as a reference.
I've not only read her book, but have met her in person as we worked a Netroots Nation (NN16) together.
The book is written as if it were a part of a 9th grade curriculum, so even morons like me can understand it, and I recommend it as a sort of intro to MMT even if you are smarter than the average bear. The book reads in about 90 minutes, and after the second time thru you will be smarter than most of the friggin' geniuses on Wall Street and the Halls of Academia.
Get your copy for about $5. Some of the best $5 you'll ever spend.

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the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.

arendt's picture

@Wink

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Wink's picture

would have heard of
@arendt
the book except a regular listener
to our morning show told us to interview her about her book. Arliss became a regular weekly call in guest who we eventually helped get started with her own podcast. It's a pretty good book for those wishing to at least have a clue about Modern Monetary Theory, so when that phrase is tossed around one can say, "I know a little about that." Likely way more than the average bear once they read it a couple times.

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the little things you can do are more valuable than the giant things you can't! - @thanatokephaloides. On Twitter @wink1radio. (-2.1) All about building progressive media.

Song of the lark's picture

to create for them to have any lasting real value. Besides nation states and central banks will shut them down when the start to take up too much space in the transactional grift of modern predatory capitalism. Nations may allow their own sate sanctioned block chain e currencies. Or perhaps a cyber based on a global SDR, (Petrodollar , petro yuan, Swiss franc, sterling , yen, and euro) could come into being. As far as energy is concerned there is no difference in a transaction in dollar or yuan.
There seems to be an energy problem with Bitcoin. In the era of thermodynamic collapse it will eventually become untenable. Block chain currencies are just a new technology replacing an old one with not any added value. They are in fact a faster way to destroy the natural world. Mother natural will take her revenge shortly, on the nitwit techno Utopians. Less than ten years.

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arendt's picture

@Song of the lark

Nations may allow their own sate sanctioned block chain e currencies. Or perhaps a cyber based on a global SDR, (Petrodollar , petro yuan, Swiss franc, sterling , yen, and euro) could come into being.

The techno-libertarian crowd is not synonymous with the banking crowd just yet. While banks have been greatly aided by computers in their looting [NOTE], they still want to be in control. The banks have had Washington wired up for a century; Google and Facebook are just learning the ropes. OTOH, Jeff Bezos (the scariest and most dangerous person alive) is talking about backing e-currency. Could an SDR based on Amazon's near monopoly control of retail be the vehicle for destroying cash?

NOTE: In the 1980s, after the computer companies buying their own product in order to design the next gen of computers, Wall St. was the largest customer for the new computer workstations.

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Arrow's picture

That's it JtC! Change the name of the site to 'Caucus99Percent Blockchain' and people will be running to subscribe.

Nice essay btw!

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I want a Pony!

ggersh's picture

woken to this, especially the 10% that are
the gatekeepers for the 0.01%, but ya it's definitely
a bubble that can't be unwound. People don't realize
a crash up is as effective as a crash down.

Isn't it funny that this publicity and mania arises at just the moment when even Joe Sixpack is waking up to the fact that ten years of quantitiative easing by Central Banks around the world has blown the biggest bubble in history? - a bubble that can't be gently unwound because everyone is "buying the dip" with free money from the Central Banks and massive leverage from Wall St.

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I never knew that the term "Never Again" only pertained to
those born Jewish

"Antisemite used to be someone who didn't like Jews
now it's someone who Jews don't like"

Heard from Margaret Kimberley

Song of the lark's picture

Cyber currencies are attractive because they move up and down, mostly up lately. Although I thought I saw that there is a growing short position in Bitcoin. This is a good thing for two reasons it makes Bitcoin more anti- fragile ( good for stability of Bitcoin) and it allows money fiends to play both sides. Up and down.
I can imagine for example a cyber currency based on say an extremely popular movie series (Harry Potter) for instance. The anticipation of the next episode and the febrile imagination of everyone from young people to money fiends would catapult it upward. Like the old fashion movie serials you would have to cliff hang it and keep it going. Heh! Potter coin coming right up.

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Hawkfish's picture

@Song of the lark

Against his future releases. Art imitating life or something.

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We can’t save the world by playing by the rules, because the rules have to be changed.
- Greta Thunberg

Pluto's Republic's picture

....once you get over the shock.

In the past two weeks there have been a couple of discussions here about Michael Hudson and about using MMT as a lens for viewing macroeconomic systems. He's a wonderful economist, despite the astonishing fact that he was trained inside the US. (I assume that the University of Chicago provided the fiber that allowed him to transcend the barren soullessness of the ethics-free Ivy League influence.) As an aside, there seems to be a buzz in certain corridors of publishing where there is amusing speculation about why Michael Hudson has the shittiest book jackets of any pop economist currently in print. The CT falls along the predictable political divide, but publishing doesn't have a history of such going's on. But I digress.

When QE came along I was apoplectic, but it was hard to raise a popular alarm because QE was too "esoteric." In other words, the economic familiarity among the people was too thin support any flashy logic showing QE for what it was. While many understand the economics of a fiat currency, the real action comes when QE is pushed into a global reserve currency, like the US Dollar. The turbocharged privilege of the US really lit up. The cavalier aggressiveness of QE was violently breathtaking, as the US began exporting its excess inflation to every smaller nation we traded with, and they all had to suck it up and stagnate. This story was never told with the cynical delivery it needed to stick. But it didn't really matter, because those who were captured by their 401Ks were all in on equities, so they were riding a sure thing to the top. That what QE guaranteed to do.

If you weren't in the market, you went into debt. You were holding the bag. Some time back, I calculated that between 1999 and 2015, the annual personal income in the US went from $5 trillion to $15 trillion. It tripled. So I ask people, "Did your income triple over that fifteen year period?" If everyone's income had tripled, the US would have the same type of economic expansion we had from 1940 to 1980. That's when earnings all went up about the same percentage across all brackets. That's how the New Deal regulations were designed to work. So, if your income didn't triple between 1999 and 2015 — and if no one you know experienced a 300 percent increase — then who got all that excess income, and was it taxed as income? That is, did Federal government revenues triple between 1999 and 2015? They should of. Deep thoughts....

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On to cryptocurrencies, I have a different take on it. However, my knowledge is shallow here, and I am probably very influenced by what I've read. Arendt, you ask:

….TPTB start this bandwagon for electronic currency - whose main purpose is to hijack what little real value remains in money and channel it straight to the crooks who already stole most of the real value in our economy - because they're the ones who own most of the Bitcoins.

Does anyone else think e-currency is the way TPTB plan to dump all of the losses of the next crash onto the peasants?

I don't think that's what's going on. I see them doing what they can to block the most important applications of crypto-currencies. The strange old-fashioned regulations thrown at this new money in the US is driving ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) out of the US, and that is driving out innovation and growth. Here's why and how: The US clearly has a poverty-stricken Federal government that must snatch food out of people's mouths and deny them health care in order to pay for their bullets and murder weapons. That means it is not a government that can fund big ideas and global aspirations. Crypto ICOs were poised to boost venture capitalism and to expand funding to innovators. But they found themselves blocked by strange new rules that don't really apply. So, the Crypto economy has wasted no time in jumping to smarter nations that can feel the pulse of the future, where they can operate with fewer inappropriate regulations. The Crypto ICOs have gone to Japan, China, Russia, Eastern Europe, Israel, South America, and the Middle East to bloom and to open innovation markets. Additionally, the public in those places can move in or out of the crypto currencies all day long at ATMs — a process that is draconian and punitive in the US. That's because the US banksters and their paid regulators do not want currency competition in the US. They certainly don't want to do any extra work that might entail. In their view, it's unfair competition that BitCoin isn't a unit of debt, like "normal official" money is.

The push for a cashless economy would turn the US into a gulag of black money. Just like US sanctions, this type of imperial money manipulation always cuts the US off at the knees with unintended consequences. This doesn't mean they won't find some way of making it happen. But using Bitcoin or real cryptos to get there is unlikely. Block chain currencies confer too much power on ordinary people, elevating them to the level of "sovereign." I think the banksters will go with credit cards or something similar, giving them complete control as well as a transaction record for their dossiers.

I know currencies fairly well, but I am a low-info commenter on crypto-currencies. I'm winging it with what logic I can see.

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____________________

The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato
Pluto's Republic's picture

....TPTB are pushing an electronic version of the failed gold standard onto the public.

For as long as I can remember, I have heard about this "failed gold standard." Sometimes I've been told, "You can't eat gold." I don't know what these things mean. Does the term "failed gold standard" come from an official government narrative? Or does it come from a timely political narrative? The only economic narrative I can find refers to a time when Richard nixon began recklessly manipulating the price of gold and then deliberately broke the Bretton Woods agreement. Typical economic narratives read like this:

...Richard Nixon abandoned the Gold Standard in 1971. From that year forward, the world's currencies were all floating, with no one currency having a fixed value -- a circumstance that led to the establishment of foreign exchange markets: the forex.

Did Bretton Woods Succeed in Achieving its Goals?

In one obvious way, it ultimately did not: since the abandonment of the gold standard, all world currencies float against one another -- a situation inherently less stable than the preeminence of the U.S. Dollar from 1944 until 1971.

Aside from the abandonment of the establishment of the Bretton Woods-initiated gold standard, there is no clear answer to the question.

Both the World Bank and the IMF exist today -- itself a remarkable achievement in a volatile world -- but they are widely criticized....

The economic world is constantly evolving and adapting along with the geopolitics situation. The reserve currency, however, is traditionally backed by something beyond military invasions and doomsday devices. In recent years, it was backed by oil (priced in US Dollars), but it could be backed by any commodity of established value.

The reality is, the system is currently being reset back to the gold standard. Oil will be priced in both Gold and Chinese Yuan, and the world seems to be fine with that. Enthusiastic, even. I think the "failed gold standard" was fake news and US propaganda push on the American people by the Nixon regime. That toxic spill should have been mopped up a long time ago.

@Pluto's Republic

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____________________

The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato
arendt's picture

@Pluto's Republic

The amount of gold mined simply cannot keep up with the growth in the economy. When the money supply grows more slowly than the economy, the money appreciates in value. That is, there is deflation. I'm pretty sure that this was what was going on in the US when William Jennings Bryant gave his "you will not crucify us on a cross of gold" speech in 1896. It was a fight about "bi-metallism", that is the farmers who were being screwed by deflation wanted silver coinage in addition to gold.

Deflation causes rational people to sit on their money because its appreciating. Eventually such behavior shuts down economic growth.

The problem with physical stores of value is that their rate of production is simply uncorrelated with the economy. That creates volatility, which is the friend of speculators.

A classic example of this problem was the "price revolution" (i.e., inflation) in 16th century Europe. Many argue that the influx of gold from Spain's colonies in the New World caused the price rise. That is, the supply of gold got way ahead of the growth in the economy; so the result was inflation. (Admittedly, this interpretation is argued against by anti-monetarist economists.)

The bottom line for me is that:
1) the store of value needs to reflect the entire economy, not the cost of creating the store itself.
2) the store needs to be under democratic control, so that responsible deficit spending can occur.

Gold, and Bitcoins, fail on both counts. I'm with the MMT people, although getting control of the government back from the banksters is a real "belling the cat" problem.

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Pluto's Republic's picture

@arendt

I'm familiar with the doctrine but it is a word salad to me. I don't see the scenario actualized in this universe.

The value of of gold floats relative to the size of the global economy. It's value is fixed daily. Gold doesn't need to balloon in volume. It can be infinitely subdivided. It's purchasing power is elastic. Every gold atom is measured and accounted for daily and it does grow physically year over year.

I've never seen gold fail, unless it was manipulated through corruption to favor one currency over all the rest. And it only fails for the miscreant that does the crime, which is the way it should work.

Perhaps some day my mind will improve to the point that I too will be able to see gold fail. I hate to be the only one who has never witnessed such a thing and cannot conceive of it in my imagination.

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____________________

The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato
arendt's picture

@Pluto's Republic

I have gone around the block with gold bugs before. One might as well argue with a Jehovah's Witness.

I'm not going to discuss this topic any further with you.

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@Pluto's Republic
interestingly , i had an argument with a bitcoink a few weeks ago, in which he offered almost the identical argument that you have: bitcoins are infinitesimally subdivisible, so it doesn't matter that there's an effectively fixed supply, we'll just use smaller and smaller bitcoin bits for each transaction.

the difficulty is exactly as arendt has expressed it. first, if you are continually subdividing your gold into smaller units, so as to make smaller amounts of gold buy greater amounts of stuff, holders of gold are strongly motivated to hold on to that gold. second, as with all forms of wealth, most of the gold will be in the hands of not many people (and it will be always growing more egregiously concentrated). as the prices fall, those people will be able to buy more and more of the real-valued stuff -- like houses and factories -- with their hoarded gold. meanwhile, the average folk, being debtors, will find it ever more difficult to meet their debt obligations, as falling prices and falling wages will mean less and less cold hard cash is coming in.

bitcoin and gold do, in fact, function almost equivalently as bases of currency. and indeed, if you wanted to you could create a cryptocurrency that was based, not on energy pointlessly expended performing nonsense calculations, but on gold -- i.e., energy pointlessly expended (with phenomenal collateral pollution, btw) extracting a metal from ore, so that the metal can be formed into blocks and hidden away in vaults where it will never be used by anyone.

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The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.

arendt's picture

@Pluto's Republic

so I don't want the rest of this to come off as just saying no. We agree that cashless is bad. We agree that QE sucks. Here's where we don't agree:

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That means it is not a government that can fund big ideas and global aspirations. Crypto ICOs were poised to boost venture capitalism and to expand funding to innovators.

The Crypto ICOs have gone to Japan, China,... to bloom and to open innovation markets.

This sounds like techno-libertarian boilerplate. "Innovators" is one of those inverted Marxism terms, like entrepreneurs. "Innovation markets" is more newspeak. These days the innovation is parting the sucker from his money with flimflams like putting blockchain in your company name or flogging your busted, worthless tech toys at CES. I'm with David Graeber (They Promised Us Flying Cars) when he says that the truly useful new technology has been all about surveillance and control.[NOTE]

Can you give me some concrete examples of innovations that changed something besides money flows? Is Amazon's surveillence store an innovation we really want?

Contrary to your emphasis on "innovation", many of our problems can be solved without utopian innovation. They just require that we enforce the laws and give people incentives to behave constructively. We need to tax the rich. We need to make college tuition affordable again. We need to encourage smaller families. We need to prevent Big Oil from trashing Alternative Energy. We need to get rid of neoliberal austerity. All those things require political power, not innovation. MMT is more likely to rescue us than innovation.

NOTE: except for medical science, where funding of the War on Cancer has really meant funding for basic research in genetics. There have been some real innovations in genetics and in medicine. Too bad those innovations are being rolled out at multi-$100k per year prices that no one can afford. Too bad the Intelligence Community (and the health insurance industry) is salivating at the prospect of DNA databases on everyone.

Innovation run by sociopaths only helps the sociopaths.

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Pluto's Republic's picture

@arendt

...meaning of words? It is truly evil the way they have been flipped into their own opposites. We can just barely communicate, but when we are successful, we repel as many as we attract for zero gain.

No, the innovations refer to specific new companies developing technologies, often with a social good at its core, and the coins issued are like shares that can be spent or held. The coins are backed by equity in the companies. In this case, they are dealing directly with investors. There are many avenues for appreciation of the investment. The companies cut out the VC funders and the Investment bankers, and they are small-investor friendly. Overall, more people are have access and a stake in the future.

The question was about TPTB using cryptos to end cash, and I was merely pointing out that it's not a good mechanism for the kind of control they would need.

Here's the buzz:

Why ICOs have the potential to change our very future — and how we can protect them

The concept of ‘crowdfunding’ innovative products is not new, yet they have largely been constrained to the creation of consumer products and media on platforms like Kickstarter or Indiegogo.
ICOs open up a brave new world of funding opportunities for startups that would be considered too risky; their idea too far reaching; too fundamentally opposed to the status quo for mainstream funding opportunities.

Before you dismiss the concept entirely — ask yourself, would we have Tesla and SpaceX had Elon Musk not had access to significant personal wealth? The ideas were not seen as feasible by traditional venture capitalists; at least not until Elon proved otherwise.

How many other ideas like this are out there, waiting to change the world, yet are denied any hope of development by the mainstream funding opportunities available today?

ICOs offer the potential for rapid investor liquidity and spread the risk over a much larger pool of individuals — no single fund or entity needs to take the plunge alone. This allows for the funding of ideas that may have unlikely odds of succeeding but have the potential to fundamentally change our daily reality.

The best and brightest will have access to capital to pursue ambitious goals that traditional venture capitalists do not fund because they do not see a quick route to exit on the horizon.

I want to be part of a future where access to capital is no longer a barrier to progress.

https://medium.crypto20.com/why-icos-have-the-potential-to-change-our-ve...

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For quite some time, venture capital has been the tried and true method to success for household names such as Apple, Intel, Uber, and AirBnB. However, despite these recent blockbuster successes, the entrepreneurial community is looking for ways to improve on an extremely risky system that’s existed since the Internet 1.0 and rarely rewards the majority of investors with a solid return on investment. Venture capital and angel investing is centralized. Only a few experienced and well-connected elites, such as AngelList, have any chance at a good ROI. Innovative ideas are routinely stifled due to lack of funding, experience, and expertise….

http://strategiccoin.com/accelerated-funding-blockchain-comes-ico-stage/

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But, assuming regulators find ways to encourage ICOs rather than completely killing the market, ICOs may offer a rich opportunity for startups with limited means, particularly those with a social purpose bent, which may not offer huge returns. Everyday investors are currently limited in their impact options, having to make do with screened mutual funds and robo-advisers (which put your money into public companies) or equity crowdfunding and community notes.

“With ICOs, you open up the whole world. Anyone can be an investor and judge you on the services you deliver to the public,” says Demetrios Zamboglou, chief business development officer with Lykke, a Swiss cryptocurrency exchange that helps companies with ICOs. “In a way, the technology acts as a venture capitalist–as a gateway to the public. And it’s probably very alarming to the VCs.” ICOs, in other words, allow companies to avoid paying fees to investment banks to organize conventional public offerings and leave out VCs from the process of connecting entrepreneurs with people who can fund their businesses, as well as being open to investors with smaller amounts of cash to offer.

https://www.fastcompany.com/40456378/can-initial-coin-offerings-give-new...

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There are already examples of cyber-currencies and ICOs for social-purpose type businesses. SolarCoin rewards people for installing solar panels. Tree Coin, which is planning an ICO for September, gathers resources to planting trees in the developing world (as one way to fight climate change) and rewards local people for maintaining those trees.

Civic, a digital identity startup, raised $33 million in June with a token sale that was sold out in days (the company claims it could have raised $100 million with a longer sale). CEO Vinny Lingham is skeptical that early-stage startups that don’t involve the blockchain can do something similar, as ICOs require in-depth knowledge of cryptocurrencies and a decent website. Token sales–which allow buyers to buy into products and services– are easier to organize than coin offerings (which offer ownership and profits), he says.

The growth of blockchain-based financing raises the possibility that investing in startups may become easier, and more democratic, in the future. Though ICOs are somewhat geeky and hard to understand at the moment, they’re likely to become less impenetrable going forward, just as the internet itself went mainstream. Moreover, projects like Impak Coin take the burden away from startups to do fundraising themselves, like Kickstarter and others, have done for crowdfunding.

https://www.fastcompany.com/40456378/can-initial-coin-offerings-give-new...

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For blockchain startups, ICOs are a win-win — they allow startups to raise funds without having equity stakeholders breathing down their necks on spending, prioritizing financial returns over the general good of the product or service itself. And there are many in the blockchain community who feel that ICOs are a long-awaited solution for non-profit foundations that want to build open-source software to raise capital. Non-profits usually hold about 10-20% of the total cryptocurrency they issue; as Ethereum did in their ICO in 2014, with 20% going to the development fund and the remaining going to the Ethereum Foundation. This is so they have a vested interest in building more value, as well as having reserves for growth in the future. (As of March 2017, the market capitalization of the ether token was more than $4 billion.)

https://hbr.org/2017/03/what-initial-coin-offerings-are-and-why-vc-firms...

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Startup Investment is Now Publicly Accessible For All

With more startups turning to ICOs for early stage funding, opportunities for the average person to invest and support a entrepreneurial revolution are greater than ever.

ICO relies on online crowdfunding to raise capital and can be sought by any startup in any stage, widening the pool of potential investors. In building such a large group of investors, startups are fueled by a community that believes in the company’s mission and are personally invested in promoting the growth and success of all it does.

Venture capitalist, Taizo Son believes “[ICOs are] very good because they democratize venture financing for not only professionals like venture capitalists, but also individuals can participate in exciting projects from start-ups to support.”
Coins can be offered to traditional VCs and advisors at lower prices in exchange for their sage advice and support.

https://tangelo.co/insights/blog/blockchain-and-ICOs-are-shaking-up-earl...

It's probably just as well that they are leaving the US. They don't want to be caught in a potential downturn as the Petrodollar is phased out.

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The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato
arendt's picture

@Pluto's Republic @Pluto's Republic

You gave me more verbiage about what a great thing innovation is:

No, the innovations refer to specific new companies developing technologies, often with a social good at its core, and the coins issued are like shares that can be spent or held. The coins are backed by equity in the companies. In this case, they are dealing directly with investors.

I keep asking, what exactly is this so-called "social good". I'm not hearing a concrete answer. Below, I go through your quotes, and turn up very little that isn't either mere verbiage or more cheerleading for what wonders ICOs will produce.

I asked for concrete facts. You didn't supply them.

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Comments on quotes, numbered in order found in your post:

1. You say that ICOs might help Elon Musk. But, he is already well beyond startup stage. And, Musk did it the old fashioned way, with his own money from PayPal, with a lot of slick PR, and with loads of government subsidies.

2. The quote says:

venture capital has been the tried and true method to success for household names such as Apple, Intel, Uber, and AirBnB. However, despite these recent blockbuster successes,

A side point about the POV of this article: Uber and AirBnB are about turning workers into sharecroppers while demolishing regulation of potentially dangerous situations. They are only successes for the sociopaths (can you say Travis Kalineck?) who run them, and their greedhead investors. If ICOs are about producing more of these monsters, I am definitely not in favor of it.

Venture capital and angel investing is centralized. Only a few experienced and well-connected elites, such as AngelList, have any chance at a good ROI. Innovative ideas are routinely stifled due to lack of funding, experience, and expertise….

Once again, we are offered nothing more than the verbiage of "innovative ideas".

3. The article says:

ICOs may offer a rich opportunity for startups with limited means, particularly those with a social purpose bent, which may not offer huge returns. Everyday investors are currently limited in their impact options, having to make do with screened mutual funds and robo-advisers (which put your money into public companies) or equity crowdfunding and community notes.

Again, "a social purpose bent". Nothing concrete.

4. Finally, something concrete:

SolarCoin rewards people for installing solar panels. Tree Coin, which is planning an ICO for September, gathers resources to planting trees in the developing world (as one way to fight climate change) and rewards local people for maintaining those trees...
Civic, a digital identity startup...

I've followed the SolarCoin folks. So far they haven't gotten out of their neighborhood in Hipster Brooklyn. They are often trotted out as a poster child. I'm not impressed. Tree coin: is this a charity to subsidize the developing world or do "investors" make money? How is this supposed to work? As for Civic, what is a "digital identity startup" and what is the business model?

Bottom line: one real company, SolarCoin. The rest is hype and futureware.

5. The article says:

a long-awaited solution for non-profit foundations that want to build open-source software to raise capital. Non-profits usually hold about 10-20% of the total cryptocurrency they issue; as Ethereum did in their ICO in 2014,

So, its a "solution". How innovative. Did you notice that Ehtereum has gotten caught up in the Tulipmania - to the point where I haven't heard that it has done anything not involved with the ICO world.

6. The article says:

With more startups turning to ICOs for early stage funding, opportunities for the average person to invest and support a entrepreneurial revolution are greater than ever...startups are fueled by a community that believes in the company’s mission and are personally invested in promoting the growth and success of all it does.

More advertising hype: "an entrepreneurial revolution". Note the word "entrepreneur", banal libertarian agitprop, which I predicted would come up in my first response.

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Tony Wikrent's picture

@Pluto's Republic
My brother, who has traded stocks for years, wanted to play with cryptocurrencies (ccs), and asked me to investigate. Here's what I've learned so far.

They're simply computer programs creating "money" out of nothing, which is the way money has always been created. They are a wet dream for libertarians, and I expect that libertarians' blind ideological faith will support ccs far beyond the point a normal financial bubble would burst.

Anyone with programming skills can create ccs. I read a couple weeks ago there are now over 800. Bitcoin is the first, and the largest (both by units issued and by market value). CT is that the program was actually developed and launched by the NSA. Given its behavior and effects so far, I rather doubt it. A number of big banksters like Dimon of Chase Morgan have made noises of great dislike, but a lesser known cc that the big banks, the Bank of England, and some other establishment institutions are working on is Ripple. Ripple is being developed to replace the international interbank system; the motive is for the banks to save money by cutting out the middlemen.

The holdings of ccs is reportedly more concentrated than global wealth. Also, hackers have already stolen an estimated 14 percent of all ccs. So, my view is that ccs are entirely monopolized by people with very advanced computer programming skills. The NSA CT makes sense in this context.

Basically, a cc is a computer program that must be installed on a number of independent computers, exactly the same way TCP/IP and other "protocols" (computer programs) that enable computers to communicate with and understand each other, must be installed an all independent computers that want to use them. In the case of ccs, the computer program includes very advanced cryptographic capabilities to code and decode all transactions in a particular cc. Once some set number of independent computers solve the cryptographic coding and agree, then the transaction is entered in the "blockchain" of the network of independent computers that have the cc program installed. This process of coding and decoding transactions, then storing them, is called "mining." Nobody gets paid for "mining" in anything other than the cc they are mining, and willing to make their computer a part of the network, or "blockchain." In the case of Bitcoin, the cryptographic problem to be solved is programmed to become more and more difficult as more and more Bitcoins are "mined" and issued by the software.

CCs are stored in "wallets" which is merely the word used to denote the software you must install on your computer or cellphone to conduct a cc transaction. The wallet stores your user codename, which is some godawful complex aggregation of two dozen or more random letters, numbers, and characters. Wallets are so insecure, that holders of ccs are advised to transfer their ccs from their wallets to "cold storage" which is the term used to denote a computer or other device that also has the wallet software on it, but which is never, ever connected to the internet.

Actually buying ccs is incredibly frustrating, as the exchanges are often overwhelmed with transactions, and just plain crash. Many of the exchanges are mere one person operations, and since there is no regulatory authority or professional accreditation, lots of these people appear to have gotten in way over their heads in regards to programming skills and ability. But anyone with enough money can but a computer, install the software, and try to do some "mining."

The cryptography is very advanced and very complex and takes an incredible amount of computing. This is the reason ccs are rapidly becoming notorious for the amount of energy they consume. Do not expect this environmental concern to register with the programmers and miners, since most of them are libertarians, and pretty hardcore libertarians at that. These are the types of people who worship Ayn Rand and go to rallies protesting Obamacare with signs proclaiming "selfishness is a virtue." Allow me to mount by soapbox here. This belief system is a frontal attack on the republican ideology on which the USA was first founded, and the popularity of this belief system is a fair measure of how corrupted the citizenry of the republic have become. Nobody apparently understood the danger this ideology represented, including, I think it is important to note, those parts of the left that had come believe the USA was not at all revolutionary, just more rich old white guys telling other rich old white guys to fuck off. This misinterpretation is now showing itself to be fatal, as the left has utterly failed to understand and withstand the ideological warfare of which libertarianism is just one part.

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- Tony Wikrent
Nation Builder Books(nbbooks)
Mebane, NC 27302
2nbbooks@gmail.com

Pluto's Republic's picture

@Tony Wikrent

...that helps snap the picture into place. As I have disclosed, I'm a low-info commenter in the crypto space. My thing is regular currencies. The libertarian angle really gives it contour and explains some of the unusual passions surrounding it. I regard crypto-currencies as a discrete spending tool rather than an investment. The first time I saw it in action was during the Greek crisis a couple of years ago. Greece had a BitCoin "infrastructure" and Greeks of all ages were using it for every little thing. They weren't fazed that the ATMs were down. I remember thinking, "So that's what you do when the IMF is stalking you."

Thanks, too, for the technical and industry insights. Colorful and useful stuff. Now I'm trying to unpack this one:

This belief system is a frontal attack on the republican ideology on which the USA was first founded, and the popularity of this belief system is a fair measure of how corrupted the citizenry of the republic have become.

And this one:

Nobody apparently understood the danger this ideology represented.... This misinterpretation is now showing itself to be fatal, as the left has utterly failed to understand and withstand the ideological warfare of which libertarianism is just one part.

I must have the dumb today. Interesting things are sailing right over my head,

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The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato

@Pluto's Republic

seems to me that this is about public perceptual distortion via propaganda presented as legitimate political belief systems.

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Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.

A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.

Pluto's Republic's picture

@Ellen North

.... of the Libertarian ideologues

This belief system is a frontal attack on the republican ideology
This belief system's popularity shows how corrupt citizen are.
Nobody understands how dangerous these ideologues are to the nation.
Parts of the Left mistakenly believe the US is no longer revolutionary.
That part of the Left failed to withstand the ideological attack it just suffered.
That mistake could prove to be fatal.

He refers to a certain part of the Left. The Democrats aren't the Left. (Definitely have the dumb. Hope it's temporary.)

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____________________

The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato

Will read them later but one thing I am certain of. We were sold a bill of goods in our econ courses and in the popular press. One problem is that in the main stream media, economics both macro and micro get explained through the use of simple stories and homilies. The most simple being those ones about animals like the squirrel saved his nuts, while the bird immediately ate his, etc etc. At least for me, economics became an exercise not in "objective analysis" but an expression of class and social morality and consciousness. For example, the argument against raising the min. wage was essentially that giving more money to the working poor undermines local economies, for which no proof exists. But the unsaid converse is the giving money to the elites improves economies--give the rich money and they will create jobs, and give money to the working classes and a burger goes up to $20.

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arendt's picture

@MrWebster

"The problem is that the poor have too much money and the rich don't have enough."

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a lot more lately. What I have saved is really numbers in a computer. The PTB can "take" that whenever they want. Or the grid goes down due to some nuclear or whatever stupidity and then what? Count on the banks to allow access to our money? A friend of mine, who's not very political but watches enough TV news to see things, talks about burying money in her backyard. We laugh about it, joking away on how her kids would find it all after she's dead, yada, yada. But the fact that she seriously considers something like that makes me think about it. People are waking up in some sense, everyone is worried most of the time. Our owners like it that way. But we are right to worry.

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Only a fool lets someone else tell him who his enemy is. Assata Shakur