The Evening Blues - 5-25-23



eb1pt12


The day's news roundup + tonight's musical feature: Little Mike and the Tornadoes

Hey! Good Evening!

This evening's music features blues rock band Little Mike and the Tornadoes. Enjoy!

Little Mike and the Tornadoes - I got too many problems

"The devil doesn't come dressed in a red cape and pointy horns. He comes as everything you've ever wished for."

-- Tucker Max


News and Opinion

Ukrainian Spy Boss Bluntly Admits Plan to Assassinate Putin

The second in command of Ukrainian military intelligence says Kyiv’s spies are actively trying to kill Vladimir Putin—and the Russian leader is well aware of it. Vadym Skibitsky, the deputy head of Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate, made the admission in an interview with German publication Welt.

“Putin is noticing that we are getting closer and closer to him, but he is also afraid of being killed by his own people,” Skibitsky was quoted as saying, describing the assassination of Putin as a top priority. ...

He said similar plans were in the works for Wagner Group founder Yevgeny Prigozhin.

CIA ADMITS Ukraine Behind Drone Attacks On Russia

Grab your salt shaker, this is from the Guardian's propaganda catapult:

Wagner chief warns of revolution and says 20,000 fighters killed in Bakhmut

The head of the Wagner mercenary force has said that 20,000 of its fighters have been killed in the battle for the Ukrainian city of Bakhmut, and warned that Russia could face another revolution if its leadership does not improve its handling of the war.

Yevgeny Prigozhin said 20% of the 50,000 convicts Wagner had recruited, and a similar number of its regular troops, had been killed over several months in the fight for Bakhmut.

Prigozhin pointed to the social disparity underlined by the war, with the sons of the poor being sent back from the front in zinc coffins while the children of the elite “shook their arses” in the sun.

“This divide can end as in 1917 with a revolution,” he said in an interview posted on his channel on the Telegram messaging app. “First the soldiers will stand up, and after that – their loved ones will rise up. There are already tens of thousands of them – relatives of those killed. And there will probably be hundreds of thousands – we cannot avoid that.”

Prigozhin is known as “Putin’s chef” because he once provided catering services to the Russian leader, but he said that “Putin’s butcher” would be a more fitting nickname. He claimed his men now controlled all of Bakhmut – a claim disputed by the Kyiv government, which insists its forces still have a foothold in the ruined Donbas city – but he warned that Wagner would pull out at the beginning of next month.

Russia Advance Near Bakhmut, Avdeyevka, Ukr Belgorod Psyops, Zaluzhny Mystery, Russia Iran Finance

Hungary’s Orban Says Ukraine War Can Only End With Deal Between Russia and US

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said Tuesday that Ukraine is unlikely to win the war against Russia and that the only way the conflict can end is through a deal between the US and Russia.

“Looking at the reality, the figures, the surroundings, the fact that NATO is not ready to send troops, it is obvious that there is no victory for the poor Ukrainians on the battlefield. That’s my position,” Orban said at the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha, according to Al Jazeera. ...

The Hungarian government’s calls for diplomacy and a ceasefire in Ukraine have angered the US, as the White House has previously come out against a pause in fighting. The US ambassador to Hungary recently slammed Budapest’s calls for peace, calling them “cynical.”

South African Politician SPANKS U.K. Reporter About Western War Crimes

Biden Says U.S.-China Relationship Is Warming Up!

Russia and China deepen economic ties amid surge in trade since Ukraine invasion

Russia and China have agreed to deepen investment in trade services, promote agricultural exports and boost sports cooperation, as Mikhail Mishustin, Russia’s prime minister, signed a set of bilateral agreements on a visit to Beijing.

Mishustin is the highest-ranking Russian official to visit Beijing since the start of the war in Ukraine. In March, China’s leader, Xi Jinping, visited Vladimir Putin in Moscow in a show of support for his “dear friend”.

China has claimed to be a neutral mediator in the war in Ukraine, but China and Russia have pulled closer together since the start of the invasion. Mishustin’s visit, where he met Xi and the Chinese premier, Li Qiang, came after G7 leaders called on Russia and China to be more transparent about their nuclear arsenals. On Tuesday, Russia’s deputy foreign minister said the G7 statement was designed to “exert psychological and military-political pressure on Russia and China”.

Ben Bland, the director of the Asia-Pacific programme at Chatham House, said the G7 statements “underlined the deepening geopolitical divide between China and Russia on one side and the US and its allies on the other”.

On Wednesday, Mishustin told Xi that Moscow and Beijing would push back against attempts by countries to use sanctions to “impose their will”. Trade between the two countries has surged since the start of the invasion. On Tuesday, Mishustin said bilateral trade could reach $200bn this year, up from $190bn in 2022. Russian energy shipments to China are projected to rise by 40% this year, according to Interfax, a Russian news agency.

Biden trade curbs on China risk huge damage to US tech sector, says Nvidia chief

The US risks causing “enormous damage” to its tech industry if it continues restrictions on trade with China, according to the chief executive of the chipmaker Nvidia. Jensen Huang said curbs introduced by the Biden administration, which include restricting the export to China of advanced chips made with US technology, had left the business with “our hands tied behind our back”.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Huang said: “If [China] can’t buy from … the United States, they’ll just build it themselves. So the US has to be careful. China is a very important market for the technology industry.”

Nvidia said last August that US officials had told it to stop exporting two artificial intelligence chips to China, although the company later announced the development of a product that would meet US government restrictions. Nvidia’s chips are a key tool in the development of the large language models that underpin chatbots such as ChatGPT.

In October, the Biden administration published further export controls on the technology, including a measure to cut China off from certain semiconductor chips made anywhere in the world with US tools. Senior US officials said many of the rules sought to prevent foreign firms from selling advanced chips to China or supplying Chinese firms with tools to make their own advanced chips.

US lawmakers blame each other for debt ceiling standoff: ‘They are not negotiating’

Lawmakers exchanged sharp criticism about who was to blame for the protracted standoff over the debt ceiling on Wednesday. As the country nears its deadline to avoid a federal default, talks between Joe Biden and the House speaker, Kevin McCarthy, continued on Wednesday, as negotiators met again to hash out the details of a potential deal. But both parties simultaneously trade pointed remarks, underscoring that an agreement is not yet in reach.

Congresswoman Pramila Jayapal, chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, pushed back against Republicans’ insistence on spending cuts. Jayapal said she spoke Tuesday to White House officials who informed her that Republican negotiators had already rejected $3tn worth of deficit-reduction proposals, such as ending tax subsidies for large oil companies and closing the carried-interest loophole. “It is not actually about debt or deficit,” Jayapal said at a press conference Wednesday afternoon. “It is about keeping the cash flowing to the wealthiest Americans and biggest corporations.”

Accusing Biden of acquiescing to the “extreme” wing of his party, McCarthy reiterated that he would not support a “clean” bill raising the debt ceiling without cutting government spending. Rejecting the White House’s efforts to reduce the federal deficit by raising more tax revenue, McCarthy insisted that any agreement must focus on the spending side. “We have to spend less than we spent last year,” McCarthy said. “It’s not a revenue problem. It’s a spending problem.” ...

Progressive lawmakers countered that Republicans were playing politics with the future of the US economy in the hopes of weakening Biden’s prospects in the 2024 election. “They are not negotiating,” said the progressive congresswoman Ilhan Omar of Minnesota. “They are looking to waste time, play games and make sure we default because they think that somehow that is going to be a political advantage that they will have in the coming elections.”

Dark Money’s Behind The Debt Ceiling Plan To Punish The Poor

Republicans in Washington are threatening to blow up the United States’ economy unless Democrats agree to shrink the social safety net by adding work requirements to programs such as food assistance and healthcare. They are billing the effort — which would help corporations grow an exploitable workforce — as necessary to end dependency, boost the economy, and reduce the federal deficit.

In doing so, GOP lawmakers are following the agenda pushed by an obscure conservative think tank bankrolled by far-right billionaires and activists that was behind a recent slew of state bills rolling back child labor laws across the country. The effort comes several years after the GOP passed massive, deficit-busting tax cuts benefiting the wealthy and corporations — and as the party pushes to make those tax cuts permanent, at an estimated cost of $3.5 trillion.

In effect, Republicans want to force Americans in poverty to pick up the tab for the tax cuts they gave to their wealthy donors, while giving those donors more vulnerable workers to exploit.

Republicans are attempting to ram through the think tank’s agenda by refusing to raise the debt ceiling, an arbitrary limit set by Congress on how much money the federal government can borrow, unless Democrats accept sweeping spending cuts and expanded work requirements on social programs.

Dems FREAK Over Republican Progress On Debt Ceiling

Biden's Debt Ceiling Betrayal is a Democratic Party Tradition

When Joe Biden was first elected president his propagandists and their friends in corporate media told us that he was “the most progressive president since FDR” and that he would “cut child poverty in half.” Yet the temporary covid relief programs have all gone, from the Child Tax Credit, to emergency SNAP nutrition benefits, to automatic medicaid enrollment, and all with little fightback from the democrats. Now Biden is continuing the democratic presidents’ tradition of using sleight of hand to sell out the millions of people who have already lost what little help they had. The republican bogeymen and women have returned just when Biden needed them to make the case for his plan to further eviscerate the social safety net and continue the race to the bottom which results in precarity for the people.

Democrats lost control of the House of Representatives in the mid-term elections in 2022 and now they get to do their worst. They point at their fake enemies, the republicans, and whine that they are being forced to do things they claim they want to avoid. The routine is pretty stale but it worked for Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, and Joe Biden isn’t straying from the tried and true theatrical plot.

As always, republicans threaten to shut down the government if the debt limit isn’t raised. Biden, begins like his democratic predecessors did, saying that a shutdown would be terrible and would destroy the economy. He calls names like “extreme MAGA” and says that his alleged opponents are all very bad and awful people. After that act in the drama was over, Biden then announced his willingness to cut $1 trillion from the federal budget. What is being cut? Not money for Ukraine, which is getting an additional $375 million in military aid. The republicans insist on stealing from the people, the poorest people, and after pretending to be outraged Biden is going along. He said that he would accept republican demands that medicaid and SNAP benefit recipients be required to work at least 20 hours per week. According to the Congressional Budget Office some 600,000 people would lose health coverage and 275,000 people would lose SNAP benefits every month if these rules go into effect.

The game hasn’t changed much since the Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich agreements of 1995, or Barack Obama’s attempt at a “grand bargain” with republicans in 2011. Dissent within republican ranks saved cuts to entitlement programs and Congressional Black Caucus leader Emmanuel Cleaver dubbed the proposals as a “sugar coated satan sandwich” and later added, “This debt deal is antithetical to everything the great religions of the world teach, which is take care of the poor, aged, vulnerable.” Now the highest ranking member of the CBC, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, says that democrats are willing to freeze spending, which would actually cut $1 trillion from the budget over a ten-year period. His justification is all too familiar, “We're willing to discuss freezing spending at current levels. That's an inherently reasonable position many in our party might even be uncomfortable with, but President Biden recognizes we're in a divided government situation.” ...

The CBC has certainly devolved over time, but Biden’s willingness to cut deals goes back decades. When Clinton was caving to Newt Gingrich he did so with Senator Biden’s full support. “When I argued that we should freeze federal spending, I meant Social Security as well. I meant Medicare and Medicaid. I meant veterans’ benefits. I meant every single solitary thing in the government. And I not only tried it once, I tried it twice, I tried it a third time, and I tried it a fourth time.”

Matt Taibbi On Rising: I Published The Twitter Files, Then The IRS Came For Me

Widespread FBI abuse of foreign spy law sets off “alarm bells,” tech group says

The FBI isn't supposed to use its most controversial spy tool to snoop on emails, texts, and other private communications of Americans or anyone located in the United States. However, that didn't stop the FBI from sometimes knowingly using its Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) Section 702 powers to conduct warrantless searches on US persons more than 280,000 times in 2020 and 2021, according to new disclosures. US Senator Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) described the searches as  "shocking abuses."

Among the most concerning so-called backdoor searches on Americans were disclosures that the FBI ran more than 23,000 queries on people involved in storming the US Capitol, 19,000 on political campaign donors, and 133 on protesters after the police killing of George Floyd. The deputy director of the Center for Democracy and Technology's Security and Surveillance Project, Jake Laperruque, said that "these latest revelations should set off alarm bells across Congress," urging lawmakers in a statement not to re-authorize FISA Section 702 at the end of this year—when it's due to expire—without a "full overhaul."

"The systemic misuse of this warrantless surveillance tool has made FISA 702 as toxic as COINTELPRO and the FBI abuses of the Hoover years," Laperruque said, while his group's press release noted that the court opinion "confirmed the worst fears of civil rights and civil liberties advocates.

"We now know that the FBI, which has already been under scrutiny for a litany of past compliance violations involving Section 702, engaged in improper searches for Americans’ communications targeted at political activities and actors," the press release said.

George Floyd's legacy: Three years after his death, what has changed in the US?

Pfffftttt!!!

Chief justice says US supreme court keeps ‘highest standards’ of conduct

The chief justice of the US supreme court, John Roberts, said he and the other justices were working to hold themselves to the “highest standards” of ethical conduct. “I want to assure people that I am committed to making certain that we as a court adhere to the highest standards of conduct,” Roberts told an awards dinner in Washington on Tuesday.

He was speaking the same day lawyers for Harlan Crow said the Republican mega-donor would not cooperate with the Senate judiciary committee. The panel asked for list of gifts Crow has given to the conservative justice Clarence Thomas and which Thomas mostly did not declare: the source of scandal and calls for Thomas to resign or be removed.

On Tuesday, Roberts said: “We are continuing to look at things we can do to give practical effect to that commitment, and I am confident that there are ways to do that consistent with our status as an independent branch of government and the constitution’s separation of powers.” ...

Supreme court justices are subject to federal ethics rules – which observers have said Thomas clearly broke – but in practice govern themselves. In his remarks on Tuesday, Roberts did not say what the justices were doing or planned to do.



the horse race



70 percent of US voters fear intel agencies will interfere in elections: Harvard poll

An overwhelming majority of US voters say they are concerned about law enforcement and intelligence agencies interfering in future elections, according to a new Harvard CAPS-Harris poll.

When asked whether they were concerned “about interference by the FBI and intelligence agencies in a future presidential election,” 37 percent of respondents said they were “very concerned,” while 33 percent said they were “somewhat concerned.”

This comes just months after the Ronald Reagan Institute (RRI) revealed that less than half of US citizens trust their nation’s military.

The Harvard poll shows that 71 percent of US voters believe the federal government needs “wide-ranging reform” to prevent the same meddling US spy agencies regularly conduct abroad.

Seven out of ten respondents also said they were “not surprised” that the FBI violated its rules to launch an investigation into the 2016 Trump presidential campaign over the so-called ‘Russiagate’ scandal.


Worth a full read, here's a snippet:

Patrick Lawrence: John Durham and the Burying of American History

It is fine that we know more now of the who-did-what-when-and-why of the Russiagate story. But let us remind ourselves of something Durham chose for whatever reason not to note. Russiagate was a criminal enterprise with many perpetrators and accomplices guilty of what would stand in a court of law as felonies. They corrupted the political process, tampered with an election and unlawfully undermined the Executive Branch. Abuses of office and public institutions were rampant during the Russiagate years—fatally, I would say, in the case of the FBI.

We are left with various bitter realities. Our already troubled republic has sustained permanent damage at the hands of people pretending to protect it. We can no longer trust the nation’s dominant political party or those institutions charged with upholding the Constitution and the legal processes that derive from it.

Let’s go larger. Many of those elected to govern this country display no respect for it. I do not see there is any longer any denying that a Deep State—a term that gained currency during the Russiagate years, not coincidentally—exercises a wholly unlawful degree of power over the American polity. “Apple pie authoritarianism” can no longer be taken as a distant, unlikely danger or the cry of Cassandras. It is our reality.

I have been looking, since the Durham Report was made public, for historical comparisons to bring home the magnitude of what the report puts on paper, if incompletely. Nixon and Watergate? Not even close. Watergate was at bottom one man’s scandal; it had nothing to do with systemic decadence and institutional rot from within. The theft of the Gore–Bush election in 2000 is a worthier comparison. While it got a lot less press than Watergate, it put Americans on notice that their judiciary, supreme among our mediating institutions, was corroded at the very highest level.

But for the breadth and depth of the decay, it seems to me, Russiagate has no match in American history going back who knows how long. It leaves us with the bitter realities just mentioned. ...

I have to ask: Was Durham, whose integrity and disinterest have been much-praised in the course of his career, compromised during his investigation? Has he been “got to,” shown where the Deep State plants the fence posts and advised not to operate beyond them? Was he urged to conclude—this reminds me of Al Gore’s moment in 2000—that the truth, the whole, and nothing but of Russiagate would threaten the stability of our republic (as I think it would) and so avoided telling it? Did he produce what the spooks call a “limited hangout” because what is probably the greatest political hoax in our history is simply too big to fail?

The consequences of the Durham Report’s omissions are already evident. The New York Times can describe it as “a whimper” bearing no significance. The Times and the major dailies that routinely ape it continue to report allegations of malfeasance at the FBI as mere “conspiracy theory.” You see what is going on here, I trust. Allow the Deep State and its appendages to bury our history in this manner and we will lose our ability to see anything clearly—you name it: the war in Ukraine, Joe Biden’s senility, the conjured nonsense of “domestic extremism,’ and in the end even ourselves, who we are, and what kind of nation we live in.

Hillary Clinton Says It’s OK To Question Biden’s Age!



the evening greens


Plastic waste puts millions of world’s poorest at higher risk from floods

A devastating 2005 flood that killed 1,000 people in the Indian city of Mumbai was blamed on a tragically simple problem: plastic bags had blocked storm drains, stopping monsoon flood water from draining out of the city. Now a new report, attempting to quantify this problem, estimates that 218 million of the world’s poorest people are at risk from more severe and frequent flooding caused by plastic waste.

The number is equivalent to the population of the UK, France and Germany combined. About 41 million of those are children, older people and people with disabilities, the report found. Three-quarters of those most at risk live in south-east Asia and the Pacific region.

Researchers from Resource Futures, an environmental consultancy, and Tearfund, an international Christian charity, found that communities in Cameroon, Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Ghana, Bangladesh and Indonesia had experienced more severe flooding due to plastic waste blocking drainage systems in the last few years. In these communities, plastic waste was a “risk multiplier” for flooding, they said.

To identify those most at risk, they used a study of flood risk and poverty published in 2022 by Jun Rentschler and others that identified 1.8 billion people at high risk of flooding in 188 nations. They narrowed their analysis to only low and middle-income countries with inadequate urban drainage, solid waste management and sanitation. To focus on the populations most at risk from plastic exacerbating the flood risk, they also excluded countries with mismanaged waste of less than 1kg for each person a year, and focused on urban slums.

Rich Gower, a senior economist and policy associate at Tearfund, said: “Around the world, from Brazil to the DRC, from Malawi to Bangladesh, we see plastic pollution making floods worse. Without decisive action, this problem is only going to get worse.”

Oxfam: G7 Countries Owe the Global South More Than $13 Trillion in Development & Climate Assistance

German police stage nationwide raids against climate activists

Nationwide raids against members of the German climate protest group Letzte Generation (Last Generation) have been carried out at the behest of authorities in Munich investigating charges that the group is a criminal organisation. Launched at 7am local time on Wednesday, 170 police officers took part in the raids, which targeted 15 properties in seven German states, including Bavaria and Berlin.

According to the Munich general public prosecutor’s office, the searches took place at the request of the Bavarian state criminal police office (LKA), which is in the preliminary stages of an investigation, based on “numerous criminal complaints received from the population” against seven people, members of Letzte Generation aged between 22 and 38, who are suspected of “forming or supporting a criminal organisation”, according to prosecutors.

On a police directive, the homepage of the group was shut down and possessions belonging to members were seized. There were no arrests.

The seven individuals are accused of setting up a donation campaign with funds of €1.4m (£1.22m) to finance the group’s future legal battles, in order to allow the campaigners to continue their protests, including gluing themselves to roadways and bridges, more recently to vehicles, and holding up traffic, as well as throwing substances at paintings in art galleries and other activities. There have been mixed reactions to their protests by the public. The LKA said two of the defendants were also suspected of having tried to sabotage the Trieste-Ingolstadt oil pipeline in April 2022.


Also of Interest

Here are some articles of interest, some which defied fair-use abstraction.

Biden Missing, But Assange Sydney Rally Goes On

Stella Assange & Jen Robinson at the NPC

Mearsheimers Latest Talk On The War In Ukraine

Pakistan’s young voters rally behind Imran Khan

Pennsylvania Avenue Freeze-Out: Debt, Death, and the Democrats

The Debt Ceiling Crisis Is Just Politics

As Water Levels Drop, the Risk of Arsenic Poisoning Rises

Cleaning Up After the North Sea Oil Industry Will Cost Billions – But Nobody Wants to Pay

Paralysed man walks using device that reconnects brain with muscles

Jimmy Dore Added To Ukraine Government’s Kill List!

NATO’s Latest Stunt To Keep Ukraine War Going

Student Debt Forgiveness FAIL Lays Squarely On Joe Biden's Shoulder's: Briahna Joy Gray


A Little Night Music

Little Mike & The Tornadoes - Payday

Little Mike & The Tornadoes - Nothin' but the Blues

Little Mike & The Tornadoes - Not What Mama Planned

Little Mike & The Tornadoes ~ Me and The Blues

Little Mike & The Tornadoes ~ Close to My Baby

Little Mike & The Tornadoes ~ Wait a Minute Baby

Little Mike & The Tornadoes w/ Zora Young - Rock Me

Hubert Sumlin (With James Cotton & Little Mike And The Tornadoes) - Chunky

Pinetop Perkins with Little Mike and The Tornadoes - Chicken Shack

Little Mike & The Tornadoes - Heart Attack


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Comments

Pluto's Republic's picture

...where in the world would you like to be living?

I don't think I would want to be living in Europe, for starters.

I also don't think that Russia has any shortage of potential leaders who are on track for Russian voters to consider when the time comes to elect a new President. Polls indicate that there is a great deal of consensus among Russian voters.

China is always in the process of training and grooming leaders. They have a University in Beijing that is devoted to just that, with many current leaders periodically enrolled. Although China has eight separate political parties that are seated in the governments general assemblies, none of them appear to be contentious.

Both China and Russia have rid themselves of US NGOs in recent years, so those snake pits are gone. And much of the current population has studied abroad, so they appear able to conduct a peaceful transition to new leadership. Internally, that is.

How do you think USians would react if they were told the US President was assassinated by assets of a rival government?

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enhydra lutris's picture

@Pluto's Republic

multiple answers
% would openly cheer
% would clandestinely cheer
% would be glad that he was dead but not that furriners did it
% that would regret his demise
% that would be openly regretful but hope to climb the ladder as a result
% that would demand retribution
% that would be certain that, regardless of the narrative, the CIA did it
etc.

be well and have a good one

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6 users have voted.

That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

Pluto's Republic's picture

@enhydra lutris

...which was sort of rhetorical, describes a much broader spectrum of individual perspectives than I have witnessed in a long time.

I assumed, at the very least, the US reaction would be 9/11 all over again, complete with torture and 20-year wars of revenge. With little, if any, dissent.

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joe shikspack's picture

@Pluto's Republic

heh, i'm thinking that if the neocons succeeded as you indicate that there would be no place on earth that would be a good place to live in light of the likely retaliation.

undoubtedly, that is what the neocon death cult is aiming for.

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soryang's picture

Tim posted a link to this article in Nikkei. It's behind a paywall. The US is trying to resolve the "near and far" issue in expanding its military capabilities on the Chinese littoral seas.

Tim S. linked to this article as well:

SEOUL (Kyodo) -- South Korea and Japan are making arrangements for a Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force destroyer taking part in a naval drill hosted by South Korea next week to fly the controversial rising sun flag when it enters the port of Busan, a source familiar with bilateral relations said Thursday.

The potential agreement on the flag, which is widely viewed in South Korea as a symbol of Japan's wartime aggression, is another sign of improved bilateral ties following disputes stemming from Japan's 1910-1945 colonial rule of the Korean Peninsula, according to the source.

While the flag is the official ensign of the MSDF, the government of President Yoon Suk Yeol's predecessor Moon Jae In asked Tokyo to refrain from raising it due to its links to the Imperial Japanese Army, which used it until the end of World War II.

With its move toward accepting the MSDF displaying the flag when it enters the South Korean port, Yoon's administration apparently aims to promote trust between the two nations' defense authorities, the source said.

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20230525/p2g/00m/0in/087000c

There is no trust between the two sides. If a major South Korean political leader were to visit Dokdo in the center of the East Sea/Sea of Japan, which Japan claims as its own territory, the relationship would probably immediately go back to what is was before Yoon's pro-Japanese humiliating concessions to Japan. Yoon didn't propose a settlement of the outstanding slave labor judgement against Mitsui, he simply agreed to have his corporate backers pay it off.

Moon Jae-in didn't want the ook-il-ki ( 욱일기 ) Imperial Japanese Flag in Korean territory during an International Naval Review event. The flag is offensive to the overwhelming majority of Koreans. Having Japanese warships in Korean harbors is simply repugnant to all but the pro-Japanese elites who are the heirs to the fortunes their ancestors made collaborating with Japanese occupiers.

Jimmy Dore discusses Biden's description of an upcoming thaw in relations with China. Biden wants to be in the position of screwing the Chinese on vital economic interests while at the time preserving US corporate access to Chinese markets. The discussion's focus is fixed on Mircron high end chips at this point. The US aim to block its allies from trading with China as well. The idea that the US restrictions are transparent is ludicrous. I've been listening to South Korean analysts trying to guess at what the exact specifications of limitations on chip related trade and production inside and with China was since last October. Uncertainty helps to inhibit trade. The US warned South Korea not to attempt to fill the vacuum created in the Chinese industry left by Micron's exclusion.

Apparently an attempt is being made to offset South Korean losses in Chinese markets-

Not only ASM, but also U.S. companies such as Applied Materials (AMAT), KLA, Lam Research and Dutch company ASML are focusing on domestic investments centered on Dongtan and Yongin in Gyeonggi Province. These companies hold over 60 percent of the market share in global semiconductor equipment.

Industry officials say that the global companies' expansion of domestic investments is driven not only by the growth potential and investment value of the domestic semiconductor industry but also by the desire to alleviate the burden of business and investments in China. In October last year, the U.S. government announced regulations banning the export of equipment necessary for advanced semiconductor manufacturing to China.

AMAT, the global leader in front-end equipment, has begun construction for a Memory Equipment R&D Center in Gyeonggi Province. Lam Research, the world's number one in semiconductor etching equipment, opened an R&D facility in Goksan Industrial Complex in Yongin in April last year. In 2021, they established a third factory in Hwaseong. U.S.-based KLA is also expanding its R&D and organizational presence in Korea.

Japanese equipment companies are also expanding their investments in Korea. Tokyo Electron (TEL) invested 200 billion won ($150.8 million) last year to expand its existing R&D facilities. TEL is the world leader in track equipment, essential for the lithography processes.

Major semiconductor equipment companies rush to build plants in Korea
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2023/05/419_351720.html

Not sure this will offset South Korean losses. The timing is off as well. Looks like Japan is trying to make up for the market losses it sustained a few years back by placing trade barriers on South Korea during the Moon administration. A return to dependence on Japanese suppliers is exactly what South Korea doesn't need.

"Largest ever" live firing exercises in South Korea.

More than 600 weapons systems, including the latest fighter jets, tanks and drones, as well as 2,500 troops from South Korea and the United States participated, Thursday, in the first leg of their largest-ever live-fire ordnance drills.

F-35A stealth jets, AH-64E Apache attack helicopters, K9 Thunder self-propelled howitzers, K2 Black Panther tanks and Nuclear Biological Chemical Reconnaissance Vehicles of the U.S. were among those mobilized for the exercises conducted at Seungjin Fire Training Field in Pocheon, a city less than 40 kilometers away from the inter-Korean border.

According to the Ministry of National Defense, the event was part of celebrations for the 75th anniversary of South Korea's military and the 70th anniversary of the Seoul-Washington alliance that was forged in the crucible of war on the Korean Peninsula. The exercises are primarily aimed at improving the allies' interoperability against North Korea's growing threats.

Under a scenario of a North Korean invasion, initiated with barrages from self-propelled artillery guns, the allies responded immediately by mobilizing K-9 self-propelled howitzers as well as 239-millimeter Chunmoo rockets to destroy not only the North's artillery corps but also their command and control facility.

Hundreds of weapons systems mobilized for ROK-US live-fire drills
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2023/05/205_351708.html

These exercises are to continue through June 15 according to the Korea Times report. Korea Times is an English language newspaper with a history of being conservative and pro-Japanese. When they say both the Singapore and the Hanoi summits with North Korea were unproductive, they are distorting the truth. They are also dutifully reporting the "defensive" nature of the exercise. It is extremely unlikely the North would conduct an invasion of the South under its current economic and military circumstances. Planning and exercising for preemptive US/ROK "decapitation" attacks on North Korean command and control centers was openly discussed in Korean media for years until just recently.

One thing I liked about the article was that they made an admission, although somewhat vague that the Pocheon firing range was "less than 40km" from the military demarcation line with North Korea.

I get a lot of my English language links from Tim's twitter thread directly or indirectly, so in the interest of fair disclosure, credit to Tim Shorrock. I spend most of my time, interpreting interviews and broadcasts from South Korean independent media.

Edited spelling of the Rising Sun Flag.

Oh, and thanks for the EBs Joe!

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11 users have voted.

語必忠信 行必正直

QMS's picture

@soryang

That's almost too funny. The US Navy is offshoring its fleet for service in Asia?
What could possibly go wrong with that? Since they have too many ships to
maintain themselves, perhaps a few may be recommissioned for their 'allies'.
Then we would have to build more to replace them, but not here. The
Pentagon loses so much stuff, what's a few ships and subs here and there
Accounting errors Wink

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10 users have voted.

question everything

joe shikspack's picture

@soryang

thanks for all of the coverage! perhaps in order to articulate its hubris and ambition more transparently, the u.s. ought to start producing maps that label all of south asia as "the u.s. naval archipelago."

have a great evening!

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8 users have voted.
QMS's picture

must be getting tired
read the name of the song as
pinkeytop gerkins with little meat and tomatoes in a chunky chicken stock
whew, cooking too much lately, I guess
thanks for the EB's (extra bread)

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7 users have voted.

question everything

joe shikspack's picture

@QMS

heh, i like it when the band cooks. Smile

have a great evening!

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5 users have voted.
snoopydawg's picture

.

Another view on how to end the Ukraine conflict. Except for how he ended it. Seems contrary to what he laid out. Or contradictory?

There is no reason for peace talks

More and more Western voices are being heard suggesting that peace talks in former Ukraine could be a good idea, indicating that some people may have gone beyond the stage of denial (a few sanctions and Russia will withdraw like an umbrella) and anger (throw all your money and weapons on the Kiev regime!) and are approaching the stage of bargaining (let Russia keep Crimea, but return the rest). As with the previous stages, this attitude is based on a very deep misunderstanding of the current situation. It's not so difficult to explain - to those who are ready to process new information - so I will try.

1. The idea of peace talks presupposes a certain level of trust between the two parties. In this case, trust simply does not exist, because the West has not kept all its promises. When Russia authorized the reunification of Germany, it accepted the promise that NATO would not extend to the east; however, this is exactly what NATO did, up to Russia's borders in Scandinavia and the Baltic countries, and it continues to maintain the fantasy of absorbing what remains of Ukraine. Instead of allowing the Donetsk insurgents to quickly defeat the Kiev regime installed by the United States in 2014, Russia accepted the Minsk agreements, which the Kiev regime completely ignored, then the leaders of Germany and France who signed the agreements admitted that they were only delaying tactics used to save time to arm and train the Ukrainian side. And, for the sake of breviry, let's move on to the many promises not kept by the United States. All this allowed Russia to describe Ukraine as "non-agreement-capable" (недоговороспособные). The EU and the United Nations are equally untrustworthy. Let's take the example of the cereal agreement. The agreement involved a counterpart: Ukrainian cereal exports would be released in exchange for the authorization of certain Russian exports. Russia respected its part of the agreement, but the rest was ignored. Talks would therefore be in vain, because there can be no peace agreement if there is no trust - and there is no trust.

2. The idea of peace talks presupposes the existence of a war, but there is no war. This is a special military operation against terrorists and war criminals who, for eight years, bombed the Russian civilian population, violated the rights of Russians in many ways, and then planned a total assault on Russia that the Russian army foiled. There was no declaration of war or break in diplomatic relations: the Ukrainian embassy in Moscow is still open, as is the Russian embassy in Kiev. Russia allows Ukrainian passport holders to enter without a visa and offers them a simplified route to Russian citizenship. Russia considers that Russians and Ukrainians are the same people and have the same rights, but that the Ukrainian state has lost its rights to sovereignty under international law because it has violated the rights of people who identify as Russians, choose to speak Russian and worship in Russian Orthodox cathedrals and churches. The special military operation cannot be considered over until all the terrorists and war criminals of the former Ukraine have been killed or brought to justice and the territory of the former Ukraine has been fully demilitarized, and none of this is negotiable.

3. The idea of peace talks presupposes a reasonable starting proposal. An example of an unreasonable starting proposal is the one that offers the other party something it does not want, such as the lifting of American and European sanctions, which are, in Russia's opinion, unilateral and therefore illegal and which, in any case, do much more harm to the EU than to Russia. Another example of failure is the request made to Russia to cede part of its sovereign territory. According to the Russian Constitution, Crimea, the Donetsk People's Republic, the Lugansk People's Republic and the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions are now all part of the Russian Federation on the basis of their internationally recognized rights of self-determination and the results of a public referendum, and any public call for their separation is a crime under Russian law. Suggesting that Russian officials commit treason is not a good way to start negotiations.

4. The idea of peace talks presupposes a minimum of mutual respect between the parties involved in the negotiation. However, if you take any of the many articles on Russia published in the United States or the European Union, simply replace "Russian" and "Russian" with "Jews" and "Jew" and publish the result, you find yourself quite quickly in prison for hate crime. Russophobia, which is rife in the West, is no different from anti-Semitism or racism in general. Why would the Russian authorities want to grant a hearing to such reprehensible and despicable people?
……
7. The idea of peace talks presupposes that neither side of the conflict sees a relatively easy and una risky path to an absolute victory, but Russia sees precisely this path. The collective West has seriously injured itself by imposing thousands and thousands of sanctions on Russia. More importantly, the entire EU, and Germany in particular, have destroyed the basis of their economic prosperity, namely the cheap energy provided by Russia, and have therefore entered a loop of economic crisis from which they will emerge too weak to oppose Russia. On the other side of the ocean, the United States is, from an economic point of view, a dead man. Their last vestige of economic power lies on shale oil, which has reached its peak and is expected to decline rapidly. Its Treasury and its banking system are both on the verge of collapse, because the world is gradually abandoning the American dollar. The country is led by a senile puppet president, whose vice-president is a laughing idiot. The country is in the grip of a nascent civil war that will not fail to break out as the financial collapse continues and economic conditions worsen. Given these developments, the United States may no longer be in the running, American military bases around the world will become non-functional, the EU and NATO will dissolve, and Europeans and other former U.S. vassal nations will replace their American puppet leaders with patriotic conservatives and restore bilateral relations with Russia. Russia may have known what it wanted at the beginning of the special military operation, but what it could achieve in the end could surpass the wildest dreams of its leaders.

At this point, the greatest risk for Russia is that the Ukrainian army will simply abandon, that its Western supporters will shamefully disappear and that there is only one Uk-ruin that the Russians will have to manage alone, ensuring the maintenance of order and feeding a miserable but hostile population. To avoid this scenario, the Russians engage in a real theater of shame, feigning weakness in order to support the morale of Ukrainian forces and encourage them to continue fighting and, ideally, to launch a counter-offensive, because it will then be much easier for the Russians to decimate them

But in the end, Russia will most likely be forced to accept what, throughout history, has constituted the default, normal and expected end of an armed conflict: capitulation and unconditional surrender. It seems that the world is finally running out of fools who want to sign peace treaties with the West.

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10 users have voted.

Was Humpty Dumpty pushed?

joe shikspack's picture

@snoopydawg

i don't think that his conclusion is contradictory so much as it notes that there is no good way for russia to "win" this conflict. since the west cannot be trusted to keep its word and the international institutions (un) are dominated by the collective west, russia has to win on the battlefield and impose a solution. russia doesn't really want to have to take on the economic responsibility of running ukraine afterwards, nor does it have the option of leaving them unsupervised afterwards either.

no matter what russia does, it is going to be stuck dealing with ukraine for a long time to come.

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9 users have voted.
Pluto's Republic's picture

@joe shikspack

...an American citizen who's reporting on the war from inside Russia. It's titled, "No Reason for Peace Talks."

The two missing sections read:

5. The idea of peace talks presupposes that both sides to the conflict have something to gain from them. But what does Russia stand to gain from a premature cessation of hostilities—prior to fully achieving the goals of demilitarization, denazification and Ukrainian neutrality, which are the stated goals of its special military operation?

Furthermore, these are not the only goals Russia would like to achieve: a few months before the start of the operation, Russia demanded that the US and NATO to fulfill their promises and to honor their commitments to provide for collective security, specifically, by rolling back NATO expansion to its 1997 positions and removing foreign troops and offensive weapons from Eastern Europe.

Moreover, the special military operation has helped focus the attention of the world on essential tasks: dedollarization, organization of collective security around alternative organizations such as BRICS and SCO (their membership is increasing rapidly) which are organized around China as the economic force and Russia as the ultimate military power and security provider, and completing the task of decolonization in Africa, Latin America, Asia and the former Soviet republics. All of these tasks are as yet unfinished and need more time.

6. The idea of peace talks presupposes that both sides to the conflict are pressed for time. But Russia is in no hurry at all. It has committed somewhere between 10% and 15% of its armed forces to the special military operation. It has not instituted a wartime draft and merely called up a small fraction of reservists to active duty and accepted some volunteers. Its economy is not on a wartime footing and is doing very well with growth projected to resume later this year.

It has used the conflict as an opportunity to test its weapons and tactics in direct confrontation with NATO (which is to a large degree in command of Ukrainian forces) update its weapons systems and develop new weapons and tactics, especially in the area of air defense, drone warfare and radioelectronic warfare.

In addition, this conflict has given Russia an opportunity to purge itself of internal enemies, many of whom chose to depart Russia voluntarily. Russia has already regained a number of lands that are historically Russian territory, and as the special military operation proceeds it stands to gain more lands, increasing its geopolitical power and economic potential. In all, for Russia, the benefits of the special military operation far outweigh the costs and it is far from done in collecting these benefits.

You got it exactly right, Joe.

i don't think that his conclusion is contradictory so much as it notes that there is no good way for russia to "win" this conflict. since the west cannot be trusted to keep its word and the international institutions (un) are dominated by the collective west, russia has to win on the battlefield and impose a solution.

Russia wasted eight years trying to avoid this war.

No Reason for Peace Talks by Dimetry Orlov is published at Club Orlov. Orlov's complete war essays, including lively and informed discussions, is behind a paywall. For those interested in an up-close view of the war in its entirety, from a Russian perspective, it's worth every penny.

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9 users have voted.
snoopydawg's picture

@Pluto's Republic

It was written in a different language. I thought we couldn’t post an entire article so I left those 2 parts out and hoped people would read the rest at the source. No paywall for it, but it needs translation.

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8 users have voted.

Was Humpty Dumpty pushed?

Pluto's Republic's picture

@snoopydawg

We both published excerpts. It's a important essay for independent thinkers who are seeking understanding.

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9 users have voted.
joe shikspack's picture

@Pluto's Republic

i used to read orlov frequently, i think that i found him on chris floyd's empire burlesque site. it's too bad he went to the paywall, though i'm sure that his insights are worth what he asks.

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6 users have voted.
TheOtherMaven's picture

@snoopydawg

The West has not kept ANY OF its promises. So how can there possibly be any trust?

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11 users have voted.

There is no justice. There can be no peace.

snoopydawg's picture

It is fine that we know more now of the who-did-what-when-and-why of the Russiagate story. But let us remind ourselves of something Durham chose for whatever reason not to note. Russiagate was a criminal enterprise with many perpetrators and accomplices guilty of what would stand in a court of law as felonies. They corrupted the political process, tampered with an election and unlawfully undermined the Executive Branch. Abuses of office and public institutions were rampant during the Russiagate years—fatally, I would say, in the case of the FBI.

We are left with various bitter realities. Our already troubled republic has sustained permanent damage at the hands of people pretending to protect it. We can no longer trust the nation’s dominant political party or those institutions charged with upholding the Constitution and the legal processes that derive from it.

But for the breadth and depth of the decay, it seems to me, Russiagate has no match in American history going back who knows how long. It leaves us with the bitter realities just mentioned.

And what did the report accomplish? One side continues to see Russia gate for what it was and the other side sees it as just another Trump attempt to cover up his crimes because both Durham and Barr worked for Trump. And Adam Schiff is still telling us that Trump was guilty of colluding with Putin. The Russian xenophobia is another thing that came out of it.

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10 users have voted.

Was Humpty Dumpty pushed?

Pluto's Republic's picture

@snoopydawg

...the existence of the Durham Report tells us the political sickness of mind in the US is certainly as insidious as the social horrors that Orwell imagined.

I remember being relieved in 1984 that Orwell's vision had never happened — and the Apple Mackintosh happened instead.

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6 users have voted.
joe shikspack's picture

@snoopydawg

the report does little. it provides a counter-narrative for those that want it so that people can point to it and call people with alternative facts poopyheads.

in failing to charge and try people for actual crimes, the durham's narrative has no more basis than the clintonista's narrative. courts are our finders of fact and that is the place durham should have dragged this process kicking and screaming to go through the adversarial process with some guard rails.

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7 users have voted.

@snoopydawg Russian xenophobia was in place well before Trump hit the campaign trail. The shocking revival of McCarthyism among Democratic chatterbots arose in 2014 or so. not exactly organic.

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6 users have voted.
ggersh's picture

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10 users have voted.

I never knew that the term "Never Again" only pertained to
those born Jewish

"Antisemite used to be someone who didn't like Jews
now it's someone who Jews don't like"

Heard from Margaret Kimberley

joe shikspack's picture

@ggersh

thanks for that, i got a good laugh out of it, too.

have a great evening!

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6 users have voted.
enhydra lutris's picture

According to Alexander, Russia and Iran are talking finances and, in passing, Russia is setting up rail and other oil transport links to Iran. The US has long wanted to squelch the oil operations of each of those two and all it has managed to do is drive them together.

Meanwhile, as of November 2022, Kazakhstan planned to export oil via the ‘Baku - Tbilisi – Ceyhan’ pipeline. That was a big part of the reason for building it, the US determination to get Kazakh oil to market without it going through Iran or Russia. (For decades it went via Russia, much to our chagrin.) But also according to Alexander, Kazakhstan is, at least as far as finances, talking of buddying up with its central Asian neighbors. It will be interesting to see just how much, in the end, it uses that Baku to Ceyhan pipeline in this new reality.

be well and have a good one

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6 users have voted.

That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --

joe shikspack's picture

@enhydra lutris

heh, i am guessing that the kazakhs have to have noticed that the poles are shifting and that their neighbors are now the larger of the 2 major economic powers in the world. i assume that they will act accordingly.

have a great evening!

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5 users have voted.