Iraqi government collapsing faster than ISIS

I've been warning for some time that Baghdad's government wouldn't last much longer without a drastic change (see here and here), but the political crisis took a dramatic turn for the worse this week.
The highlight of this growing crisis was the storming of Iraq's parliament.

Lawmakers fled Saturday after protestors stormed into the parliament.
About 60 lawmakers, mostly from the minority Kurdish and Sunni parties, flew out of the capital for Irbil and Suleymania, in the northern autonomous Kurdish region.
“It was dangerous for all of us,” one parliament official told VOA, speaking on condition of anonymity out of fear of retaliation. Some lawmakers were beaten, he said.
The official said thousands of protesters were still in the so-called International Zone Sunday, parked outside the major government buildings.
“It is dangerous,” the parliament official said. “At any time, the protesters could attack any embassy, any institution they want, or abuse anybody passing by.

Iraqi's lawmakers were trapped in the basement for hours, and then beaten as they fled the building.

This happened just days after VP Joe Biden visited the Green Zone.
Parliament was already politically paralyzed before this happened.
Some are describing this as a coup, and because of this fact Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi has ordered the arrest of the protesters after declaring a state of emergency. This is a risky move because the local security forces have strong sympathies with the protesters.

There are no indications that any actual arrests have taken place.

The political chaos in Baghdad has caused Shia militias, militias that are already outside of Baghdad's control, to withdraw forces from the front lines in the battle against ISIS in order to secure the streets of Baghdad.
That's not good news because the Mosul offensive was already failing.

From a sandbagged hilltop outpost here, you can see the front line of the Islamic State in the muddy brown houses of Al-Nasr, a village on the next ridgeline, about a mile-and-a-half west. The Iraqi army was supposed to have captured this target a month ago. But the offensive was repelled....
“I have limited forces,” says Maj. Gen. Najim Abed al-Jabouri, the Iraqi commander for the Mosul offensive. He has about 5,000 troops but says that he needs a force six times larger and an attack plan that hits Mosul from all sides. The recent political chaos in Baghdad has hurt army morale and made planning more difficult, he says. “We try to move toward the correct way, but the corruption in Iraq is very deep.”

It appears increasingly likely that any serious attempt at recapturing Mosul will have to wait.
Very belatedly, the American news media is waking up to the flaws in our Iraqi allies (things I pointed out 18 months ago).

ISIS has been seriously weakened over the past year or so, but that only makes the weaknesses of it's enemies more apparent.
Baghdad's chronic political problems become more urgent the further ISIS is driven from Baghdad. The most obvious chronic political problem is the lack of reconciliation with the Sunnis, but another chronic problem is the increasing divisions with their Kurdish allies.

Hostilities broke out over the weekend between two groups considered critical components of the ground war. Troops from the predominantly Shiite Muslim militias – known as the popular mobilization units or PMUs – reportedly attacked the home of an officer with the Kurdish fighting force known as the peshmerga, according to media reports. The militiamen claimed they were retaliating against an unprovoked peshmerga attack.
Fighting escalated into Sunday as peshmerga troops launched mortars and Shiite militias lit two of the Kurdish unit's tanks on fire.

It appears increasingly likely that Iraqi Kurdistan will declare independence from Baghdad before the year is out.

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I read something like this my blood boils. Nice exit plan America...oh, and screw all of those that voted for this debacle...

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Citizen Of Earth's picture

Quick elect Hellery so she can invade Iran and fix that ME country.

Gee, I'm starting to think the US has been led by fools for the past 20 years. Just kiddin, I knew it all along.

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Donnie The #ShitHole Douchebag. Fake Friend to the Working Class. Real Asshole.

Steven D's picture

War Contractors
Big Oil
Wall Street

etc,. etc., etc.

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"You can't just leave those who created the problem in charge of the solution."---Tyree Scott

josb's picture

Plenty of war-associated businesses with the goal of moving bags and bags of money from everyone else to the connected few.

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They had an election, donchaknow.
So surely she can fix the rest of the ME and Iran too.

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vtcc73's picture

I think you're selling the US short. We have had something from a completely dysfunctional to nonexistent foreign policy since WW2. I'd argue that there has been no coherent foreign policy but only strings of opportunistic actions with short term immediate goals. It's sort of like wanting a nice lawn but getting out the backhoe every time you see a weed.

I don't see anything changing. Both parties support failure calling it success. The public is supportive for the most part. No excuse for failure is ever too lame or outrageous. The solutions are always more of the same. This is insanity remade into ensuring our freedom.

I'd love to think a solution could be found in electing better leaders and eliminating the corruption in politics that is the basis for our foreign policy/endless war problems. That is certainly an action step along the way but it is also similar to using the backhoe. Most of us don't know there is a need for change or won't do anything to effect change for all sorts of silly reasons. This election cycle is a prime example. Hillary is a prime example of all that is wrong with leadership and der Drumph is the poster boy for all of the nastiness in our society. The same will only promote the same.

I think Jim Wright has a great point. I don't know how to turn his idea into action although I do think Bernie's revolution is on the right path. Jim posted an essay on his blog in mid April called Two Wolves that I think most of you will enjoy. I don't always completely agree with his positions, we disagree on subjects like Manning, but I deeply respect him for being thought provoking and providing a useful perspective. Check out the archive if you like this essay. He is particularly strong on gun issues. Bang Bang Crazy, #12 in the series for this link, is spot on IMHO.

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"Ah, but I was so much older then, I'm younger than that now..."

jorogo's picture

It's sort of like wanting a nice lawn but getting out the backhoe every time you see a weed.

I'd offer that it's best to just stop wanting that nice lawn, and learn to love the weed. Mono"culture" is costly, wastes fuel, pollutes air and water and requires a self-sustaining cycle of killing anything that's "different". Good for the herbicide business, though.

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"If I sit silently, I have sinned." - Mossadegh

gulfgal98's picture

is attack Iran. Iran is about 3 and a half times the size of Iraq and has about 2 and a half times the population. Wow! This might be one war we could win -- NOT! Bomb

Our war making is insane from every aspect imaginable except for lining the pockets of the MIC.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

mjsmeme's picture

Security check, the environment, and all the rest that needs fixin'.

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Steven D's picture

Her "fixes" are more likely to be passed than if the Dems were an opposition party in the Congress.

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"You can't just leave those who created the problem in charge of the solution."---Tyree Scott

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Beware the bullshit factories.

wilderness voice's picture

... misadventure.

The people most worthy of support in this mess we have created are the Kurds, but they get very little cause of our "ally" Turkey.

Meanwhile breaking the Mideast has created millions of refugees. We the US, are the cause, yet we leave it to everyone else deal with the problem, from Jordan to the UK and everywhere in between. But noooo, we can't admit (nor admit to) any of these refugees we created cause there might be terrists among them. Meanwhile, terrist legislators are voting to allow guns in schools and colleges, and small town kids can't even go to the prom without worry of being shot. But we can't admit any of them other people cause we're not like that.

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Partitioning Iraq has always seemed like the most sensible option to me. It seems like the longer it's put off, the bigger the problems become. Now, instead of a Baathist Sunni state we're in danger of getting an ISIS-led one. The Shi'ite militias are still a black box to me, but I'm not sure how safely Iran can contain them any more. And I don't know which neighbor is going to let an Iraqi Kurdistan have the oxygen to survive.

The best solution for the US still seems like a renewable-energy New Deal, and getting out of the whole region. But our imperialist habits just won't let that happen.

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Please help support caucus99percent!

lotlizard's picture

Balkanize everyone in the region for the benefit of Israel.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Clean_Break:_A_New_Strategy_for_Securing...

Partitioning means giving them exactly what they wanted when they conned us into invading Iraq in the first place.

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Lenzabi's picture

The Horrors our nation has unleashed in the name of "Free-dumb"

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So long, and thanks for all the fish

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Beware the bullshit factories.

Bush/Cheney and Obama (and corrupt Iraqi politicians), but Hillary was a small player here.

Her shame is Libya.

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For doing the right thing and opposing that obvious bullshit from the beginning and demonstrating how much more qualified he is to be our President.

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Beware the bullshit factories.

fakenews's picture

From the safety of places undisclosed Iraqi PM Haider Jawad Kadhim Al-Abadi placed all of the protesters "under arrest" LOL! - boy this tin pan government is starting to look more and more like the Vietnam government under president Nguyễn Văn Thiệu. Despite what the press is saying this thing is not over and Al-Abadi will probably be deposed post haste. The protesters did leave but promised to be back on Friday. There are only three main entrances into the green zone large enough for a mass demonstration and one is over the same bridge that crosses the Tigris River that they used previously; some very narrow toll gates that present an opportunity to spark some contention. If violence breaks out and attracts more followers over to Moqtada al-Sadr, this thing could be over real quick...

Peace
FN

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"Democracy is technique and the ability of power not to be understood as oppressor. Capitalism is the boss and democracy is its spokesperson." Peace - FN