In case it wasn't clear before --

The main problem with Trump is not that he's "corrupt"-- I already laid out in a previous diary why the whole economy runs on "corruption" -- but rather that his attempts to control the world economy through tariffs will instead crash the US economy.

Oh yeah, and DOGE is nonsense too, having nothing to do with efficiency.

Here's a simplification: let's say you are thinking of starting a business in the US, producing everything Trump wants, because you're a big all-American fan of Trump. To accumulate the capital goods necessary to get this business off the ground, all the material stuff for your business, you will have to buy it. And the stuff you will be buying will have Trump's tariffs attached to it, because, under current conditions, a lot of that stuff comes from China, Mexico, Canada, and other countries being threatened with tariffs. The factories to produce everything you need from China will continue to be located in China, tariffs or no tariffs.

Moreover, if you are relying upon multinational banks/ corporations for your financial capital, your multinational overlords may at some point decide to put their money somewhere other than in the United States, because it's less risky to invest in businesses in places where people don't have to pay expensive tariffs.

Meanwhile if Trump decides to get serious about his big show of deportation and doesn't just make a show of his sadistic urges, none of those millions he will have deported will be contributing their hard work to the US economy. It won't help.

This, then, is why it won't work. Okay? Okay.

PS Dear Trumpies,

You want to get American goods to compete with Chinese goods? Have the government produce the goods directly. The problem is that over the past seven Presidents the US economy has been reorganized to appear far more as a parasite devouring the host organism than it once was. If you want to strengthen the American economy, you actually have to strengthen the American economy, not your ideology about it.

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QMS's picture

.
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This is more about optics than rational problem solving.
Genius understanding is not required to see this as just
another head fake (a sports term). Trying to game the media
for the next pass or goal is silly, if you pay attention. The boundaries
of the playing field do not change.

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Thought is the wind, knowledge the sail, and mankind the vessel.
-- August Hare

Cassiodorus's picture

@QMS But, yes, it's PR, like you said.

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"To watch the leader of the most powerful nation on earth endorse and finance a genocide prompts not a passing kind of disgust or anger, but a severance." -- Omar el Akkad

soryang's picture

I listened to a Stiglitz interview saying basically the same thing recently. They simply don't know what they're doing.

About a month ago, I was talking to a business manager who sells imported materials to US domestic producers. They won't book any new supply contracts, since Trump began threatening new tariffs. I know some companies were loading up, after Trump was elected and before he took office, but now the uncertainty of future costs is causing a slow down in booking trade contracts (imports) and eventually is going to affect domestic production here, if it hasn't already.

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語必忠信 行必正直

Cassiodorus's picture

@soryang The thing is, this point, the one Richard Wolff has been making, is obvious. I'm beginning to wonder if anyone else has been making it, much less why there hasn't been a national "Trump is being stupid" campaign.

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"To watch the leader of the most powerful nation on earth endorse and finance a genocide prompts not a passing kind of disgust or anger, but a severance." -- Omar el Akkad

soryang's picture

@Cassiodorus

But the point this manager made to me was, the losses imposed by tariffs to profit margins have to be allocated and determined along the supply chain. Negotiating new contracts is difficult under the circumstances, causing supply chain slowdowns if not breaks, because in production supply contracts, contract requirements cover fixed periods of time. So the dialogue goes something like this, "how much of the loss in profit margins are you going to take?" "I'm not sure yet how much we can take. How about you?" "You can pass your losses along to your retail customers." "I'm not sure how much of a price increase the end consumer will bear, or how much it will shrink demand, if I increase the wholesale price too much, the market will shrink to an undetermined degree, and I'll end up with inventories that I paid too much for, and then I can't project how much to order, or how much to pay for it."

Something like that. I don't have an MBA nor have I studied economics. The difficulties arise long before the retail consumer purchase.

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語必忠信 行必正直

His inflated ego and his delusional advisers is like an over inflated balloon ready to burst!

Unfortunately the economy and the American public will also suffer the consequences

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be relevant.

The rest of the tweet:

Since Trump’s return to the White House for a second term, things have not gone as they did during his first presidency. Back then, the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq were on the rise. Now, they are moving in the opposite direction. At one point, losses on the S&P 500 reached 4 trillion, while the Nasdaq lost 4 trillion.

Money isn’t just avoiding Wall Street. China is unloading U.S. Treasury bonds. The process is steady but relentless: over the past 14 years, Beijing’s holdings of these securities have dropped by nearly a third. Japan is also actively selling U.S. bonds to support the yen and its own debt market—despite being the largest foreign holder of U.S. government debt.

All of this stems from the dead end in which the U.S. finds itself. The country has long thrived on the more productive labor of other nations. The U.S. offshored much of its manufacturing because other countries learned to produce goods more efficiently.

But there are no miracles. What underpins the high demand in the U.S.? It is fueled by skyrocketing government debt—at an unprecedented pace: $1 trillion every four months. Previously, such growth took four years. Add to this a massive budget deficit and the “helicopter money” pumped into the U.S. economy during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. There is plenty of money, but no one is obliged to play by the rules that suit the U.S., where Washington tries to relegate all its “partners” to the bottom of the food chain.

This is why we are witnessing the breakdown of all existing mechanisms of global consensus. Countries want to live differently. Essentially, we are seeing a renewed global “non-alignment movement": most nations want fair trade relations.

Originally emerging in the 1950s, this movement reflected the desire of 25 countries to cooperate without joining any military-political blocs. Today, these ideas are shared by 120 states, accounting for over 60% of global GDP, and they are actively asserting their rights.

The U.S. dead end has instantly exposed a multitude of long-accumulating problems. The UK is in agony: without the U.S., it is politically just another country in the world. Africa seeks to end Western neocolonial policies—France is rapidly withdrawing its troops from Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Chad, and Senegal. Germany’s economy has been in decline for two years.

Meanwhile, BRICS+, the EAEU, the SCO, and the powerful financial triangle of Singapore-Hong Kong-UAE are showing strong momentum.

✅ BRICS+ represents a massive consumer market: 60% of the world’s population.
✅ The EAEU has significantly reduced dollar use in foreign trade: 80% of payments are in national currencies.
✅ The SCO is pioneering new logistics solutions, including the Belt and Road Initiative.
✅ The Singapore-Hong Kong-UAE triangle is a powerful financial and trade hub serving Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, creating an alternative to the financial West. Singapore and Hong Kong lead in digital economy and trade, while the UAE excels in investments and logistics.

We are witnessing the contours of a new world taking shape—new growing consumer markets, new payment and logistics solutions, and the emergence of new trade and financial hubs.

What this new world will look like is up to all of us living on Earth. There is no predetermined scenario. That’s why it’s crucial to debate and soberly assess the challenges ahead. By the way, heated discussions on the new world order are expected at the Moscow Economic Forum on April 2, 2025.

If the collective West manages to reimpose its hegemony on the majority, it will be a continuation of the old game, where almost all but a handful of states are stripped of their advantages. This must not be allowed.

We are not just in a history textbook being written by us and everyone else—we are at a turning point in human civilization. It’s vital not to make mistakes or let ourselves be deceived.

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lotlizard's picture

and enable world civilization to hit its anti-climate-change emission-reduction targets.

Assuming that those in league with satanic forces fail in their efforts to bring about hell-on-earth via a “tactical” atomic-bomb attack somewhere, leading to that old “War Games” favorite, global thermonuclear war.

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Cassiodorus's picture

@lotlizard For the time being, though, as humphrey's post above suggested, what we're going to get is an expanding BRICS+ economy and a shrinking US/ EU economy.

The idea that a collapsing world economy would achieve green degrowth, though, brings to mind Aldous Huxley's 1932 novel Brave New World. (Here's the PDF.) In the future depicted in the novel, there was in the past a catastrophic war (about which Huxley is not too specific), and the human population has been stabilized at an optimal two billion (I gather he wasn't too interested in the exact number; Huxley wasn't a scientist). Since the elites of this world, the Controllers, did not trust human creativity, everyone in the Brave New World was either made into an idiot, or asked to go along with the general stupidity (and so for instance the character of Helmholtz Watson). There is a permanent caste society.

Now of course a Brave New World "solution" to the ecological crisis would be an organized one -- there would, after all, be Controllers. What looks likely now would be something along the line of the Biden administration's response to weather disasters -- Lahaina over in Maui, for instance, or Asheville in North Carolina -- writ large. The government will give everyone affected a tiny, inadequate package, and then put its energies into some perfunctory war somewhere (like Biden's favorite, in Ukraine, only far more catastrophic -- Ukraine, after all, only swallowed up half a million soldiers out of a world population of eight billion. Maybe the Middle East, or China, or Africa or Venezuela?)

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"To watch the leader of the most powerful nation on earth endorse and finance a genocide prompts not a passing kind of disgust or anger, but a severance." -- Omar el Akkad

that's all there is to it. Tariffs are just a lever, along with dismantling the infrastructure, and he's too fucking stupid and lazy to do much himself. If the economy wrecks he'll be fine, maybe even profit from the wreckage. He'll just keep pushing until he gets stopped somehow. Musk is the zealot egomaniac that rolls up his sleeves to do a MY Lai on the bureaucracy. Trump just wants tribute to exempt businesses that didn't rush to kiss the ring, and he'll be happy to be #2 richest man in the world. He won't run again. Look for Baron or Don Jr to run in the future, against Chealsea Cinton or Mayor Pete.

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Cassiodorus's picture

@Snode As I said:

I already laid out in a previous diary why the whole economy runs on "corruption"

There is no "corruption" because it's all corruption. But let's be even clearer. America is not a democracy. There are four layers to the ruling class here:

1) Duopoly -- you must either believe in the (D) fiction or the (R) fiction if you wish to participate effectively. These people also control the NGOs.

2) The donor class -- if you cannot find a billionaire patron, you will receive no publicity.

3) Veto power by the alphabet agencies and the Pentagon -- if you piss them off, they will retaliate, like they did against the Kennedys and King

4) The Ivy League and the social clubs -- the two groups deciding how everything is to be run.

The reason I do not use the word "corruption," once again, is that there is no pure, pristine, outside to the abovementioned model of American rule.

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"To watch the leader of the most powerful nation on earth endorse and finance a genocide prompts not a passing kind of disgust or anger, but a severance." -- Omar el Akkad

@Cassiodorus ......but Trump. I grew up in NYC and he's 4yrs. older than me. He was endlessly in the papers and gossip columns. The old man was a tax cheat slumlord connected with NYC politicians and boyo is the same as he ever was, the boastful superior arrogant playboy who's best talent was talking people out of money and then cheating them. The universe revolves around only him and the only thing that impresses him is wealth.

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