Peace or something

The editors at Counterpunch seem to think they have something now by frontpaging Boris Kagarlitsky's "My Peace Plan." There are some things that might genuinely lead them to believe they have something. Kagarlitsky is arguing for peace; he's a smart guy; he understands a sort of marxist (as opposed to mainstream) view of global history. These are all good things.

(Just as a side-point here: the reason why it's good to think of the marxists as better than the mainstream thinkers is that the mainstream thinkers make a fetish of capitalists and of capitalism. The central concept destroying mainstream thought is what the late Mark Fisher called "capitalist realism" -- the idea, simply put, that it's easier to imagine the end of the world than it is to imagine the end of capitalism. Not being mainstream, then, is a point in Kagarlitsky's favor)

At any rate, with Kagarlitsky, too, we are still, despite these advantages, at the point of what Cornelius Castoriadis called "the complete atrophy of political imagination." Let's take a look at his plan:

Let’s try to imagine a real plan that would actually work to end the confrontation, and not simply to extend the Putin oligarchy. It could consist of four main points:

1. Stop fighting on both sides;

2. Cessation of any supply of foreign weapons and ammunition to both Ukraine and Russia;

3. Abandonment by the Russian Armed Forces of the territory of Ukraine as of February 1, 2014 (“zero option”);

4. The UN and its peacekeeping forces are temporarily introduced to the territories left by the RF Armed Forces.

Okay, so Putin sucks. We get that. Let's take a look at the points. Point 2 would be good for the Ukrainian people because said foreign weapons do not really help them; rather, said foreign weapons give Zelensky a pretext for continuing pointless "counter-offensives." So Zelensky would never agree to it. Point 3 would be a non-starter for the Russians.

Part of the Russian claim against point 3 is that there were supposedly referenda in which the residents of the Donbas and of Crimea supposedly chose to be part of Russia. To which Kagarlitsky says:

If you believe the Kremlin propaganda, one of the mouthpieces of which is Simonyan herself, there have already been “referendums” in these regions, but now she is proposing to hold new ones. So then, you will admit that what happened before was a circus, and not a vote?

Actual democracy (meaning, literally, "people-rule," in classical Greek) would mean that we asked the people what they wanted, and then everyone would do that. Mere votes are held to show powerful authority-figures "look, the people have chosen," without reference to how the votes were rigged or coerced or manufactured in some way. So this complaint is also a non-starter. Is Kagarlitsky hoping that ethnic Russians in those regions can be gotten to "vote" to be part of Ukraine at this time? The elections are all circuses.

Kagarlitsky concludes with a principle:

The left must offer a program of an honest peace without territorial conquest or any further aggressive policy, with remuneration for all destruction, not from the pockets of the working people, but at the expense of those who unleashed this massacre.

"Those who unleashed this massacre" should, in general, not be allowed to keep what they stole from the people, out of whose "pockets" all remuneration will come. General principle: the people created this world; the elites merely ride the wave of that creation. Proudhon's "property is theft" is the general principle covering all cases.

As I've explained before, the current war is a con job. People like Kagarlitsky can rebut this argument by saying "well, Putin started it," but Putin has merely turned the tables upon the forces of the West, basically NATO and the bankers' cliques, who were interested in acquiring Ukraine from the moment it was created as a nation-state. The fact that Putin is the unintended beneficiary of this con job ought to worry anti-Putinists like Kagarlitsky. Instead, they write "peace plans" which are really "Putin loses plans," in short, non-starters.

The con job will end when Zelensky runs out of resources with which to entice NATO into the war further. Right now NATO pretends that Zelensky can run "counter-offensives" without benefit of NATO air cover. It's a really stupid pretense, one costing Ukraine hundreds of thousands of casualties, but bringing NATO into the war further risks nuclear war. This is why we like peace -- not because NATO sucks, not because Putin sucks, and even though depreciating the stock of both of those entities would be a good thing. Rather, we like peace because it's better than nuclear war. Okay? Okay.

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QMS's picture

I hope it is not too late to formulate the mechanisms.
Thanks Cass

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Pricknick's picture

as a cure to the problem is very much out of touch.
They've become a lapdog at best and a hindrance at worst.

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

Playing neverending war too. Both sides seem to want it to go on forever. Russia could just crush Ukraine but they don't.

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Cassiodorus's picture

@Battle of Blair Mountain My diary of June 14th explored Simplicius the Thinker's explanation as a possible hypothesis for the Russian strategy of holding the main force back while the Ukrainians (in fact) did -- and still do -- the heavy lifting for Russia by pointlessly attacking the Russian forces without air cover. Simplicius:

I believe that Putin may be holding a lot of his forces back “just in case”, and refraining from committing them all into the Ukrainian frontlines at once for fear that they may be bogged down when NATO decides to open up a second front.

So, if this explanation is to be believed, there will be some "dramatic event" manufactured by the West, with accompanying shroud of propaganda in the spirit of the Gulf of Tonkin incident, to justify an escalation by NATO. Here's the most recent Simplicius discussion of that explanation. Presumably Putin wants some forces in reserve if all that transpires.

Otherwise Ukraine runs out of troops at some point. That point will probably come soon -- 400,000 casualties is a lot. If there is another general mobilization, it will be of no use to Zelensky's immediate hunger for action, because the new troops will have to be trained, and that will take time.

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“One of the things I love about the American people is that we can hold many thoughts at once” - Kamala Harris

QMS's picture

@Cassiodorus

NATO contingent may be deployed to Ukraine after Vilnius summit
— politician

NATO countries "will find in the days remaining before the summit
the wording that will not disappoint Ukraine"

As for territories where such a contingent can be deployed to, Rogov noted that Poland is interested in Western Ukrainian regions.

https://tass.com/politics/1643139

So the RF has good reason to hold back forces for such contingencies.

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Cassiodorus's picture

@QMS -- and sick, and stupid. And NATO is re-shaping the world, but mostly because Putin has turned the tables on the member nations and is using their own stupidity against them.

(Meanwhile, Boris Kagarlitsky, much as I might sympathize with him, is so blinded by his hatred of Putin that he proposes a peace plan that, because it merely recommends a return to the status quo ante, is a non-starter. What's needed, of course, is a peace plan that is not a non-starter. You begin negotiations when one side or another proposes something that the other side concludes is worth negotiating, however flawed the initial proposal might be.)

(Oh, but let's endorse Biden's re-election campaign! Say the liberals in the US. Here's Scott Ritter on what NATO is doing.)

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“One of the things I love about the American people is that we can hold many thoughts at once” - Kamala Harris

@Cassiodorus

the Scott Ritter/Garland Nixon video. And your statement,

... Putin has turned the tables on the member nations and is using their own stupidity against them.

is priceless, and it sums up perfectly what so many commentators have been trying to say.

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Cassiodorus's picture

-- that being a smart politician is not itself a virtue. Hitler before World War II was a smart politician.

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“One of the things I love about the American people is that we can hold many thoughts at once” - Kamala Harris

Cassiodorus's picture

Ignore the headline -- most of this interview is about the situation today with Lula and the Brazilian government. There is, however, some meaningful content spilled by Escobar about Ukraine.

It doesn't look like Lula will be in power for long.

One quibble with Escobar: I can't imagine Ukraine creating a "fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh army." By the time NATO is dragged kicking and screaming to the peace table, perhaps the fourth army will be possible, but beyond that, no.

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“One of the things I love about the American people is that we can hold many thoughts at once” - Kamala Harris