For the first time in years, I was curious what Markos had to say. In this case it was about Ukraine and the Kherson offensive.

Seems obvious to everyone that there’s no reason for Ukraine to agree to any of the previous Russian demands. Russia has very little leverage at the moment. But what seems obvious to the rest of us—like Kherson was a transparent trap—seems to somehow elude Russian policy makers. What matters here is that Russia can’t accomplish its goals on the battlefield, so it is trying to get concessions it hasn’t earned at the negotiating table.

Put another way, a strong Russia wouldn’t be begging for sanctions to be lifted, it would sell all that gas and use it to fund its war machine, it would stage a real referendum in Kherson, it would smash Ukrainian defenses, and it would get what it wanted by force.

Ukraine is in the driver’s seat.

So Markos, with all of his infinite military wisdom and savvy, saw how Kherson was a trap when Russia could not. Don't believe him? The link is right there.
You don't have to click on the link and read his drivel, because I did for you.

If the intent was to panic the Russians into reinforcing the region, it’s been a smashing success. Russia has already moved between a quarter and a third of its total combat forces in Ukraine to the area, and according to video on Telegram, troops and equipment continue to stream in. Yesterday I wrote:

By all indications, Russia is shifting a huge number of their forces to Kherson where they are ripe for being cut off. Supplies and access to the Kherson region run through just three easy-to-cut railroads and a handful of bridges. You know how in some stupid movie, you see the heroes headed into a trap and you scream at the screen, because it’s so obvious it’s a trap?

Yeah, that

Two weeks ago I speculated the main Ukrainian counteroffensive won’t be Kherson, but south of Zaporizhzhia and southern Donbas. I’m more and convinced that’s the play. Certainly no reason to hit a mass of Russians at Kherson when it’s far easier to cut them off. And the near-daily announcements of Ukraine’s big push to Kherson has been perfect bait. (If you haven’t yet, check out how this would play out.)

In other words, if Ukraine was serious about Kherson, they would’ve kept their mouths shut, sprung the surprise on Russia. Instead they gave them months advance notice. Ukraine isn’t that dumb.

OK. Let's unpack this.
Markos has been "proven right" because Ukraine has sprung an "obvious trap" on Russian forces at Kherson, because they are attacking in the southern Donbas, rather than directly at Kherson, because Ukraine isn't dumb. Ukraine wouldn't spend months giving advanced notice that they were going to launch an offensive directly at Kherson, and allowed Russia to reinforce the region.

...Except that is exactly what has happened. Ukraine has done exactly what Markos has said they wouldn't do because Ukraine isn't dumb.
Ukraine did in fact spend months talking about how they were going to liberate Kherson, thus allowing Russia to both build up their forces there AND fortify their positions. And then Ukraine has directly attacked Russia's strongest and most defensible area, thus wasting countless Ukrainian lives.
Yet somehow this has proven Markos right.
I guess that when you own the blog you can be thick as a brick but never be wrong.

One other thing: "a strong Russia wouldn’t be begging for sanctions to be lifted, it would sell all that gas and use it to fund its war machine". Uh, has no one pointed out to Markos that Europe is engaging in absolutely massive bailouts of its energy companies, and that whole industries are shutting down? Does Markos not understand what denying your enemies badly needed commodities can do?