Neofeudalism and Billionaire Warlords: If things keep going in the same direction

It's always a hazard to make any long-term predictions, and they are generally wrong.
However, there is value to making a statement of "...if things don't change..."

It's no secret that big Wall Street money is squeezing the working class out of the housing market.
But to give you an idea of just how much influence it is having consider this example.

In one example, a bidding war broke out over a D.R. Horton complex in Conroe, Texas - after the homebuilder put the entire subdivision up for sale. After a "Who's Who of investors and rental-home firms flocked to the December sale," the winning bid of $32 million came from an online property-investment company, Fundraise LLC, which manages over $1 billion for around 150,000 individuals, according to the Wall Street Journal.

D.R. Horton ended up booking roughly twice what it typically makes selling houses to middle-class homebuyers according to the report.
"We certainly wouldn’t expect every single-family community we sell to sell at a 50% gross margin," said CEO Bill Wheat at a recent investor conference.

Wealth in this world has never been more concentrated than it is now, and rarely has the ruling elite been more greedy and rapacious.

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Which brings me to the video below.
I think this guy is amoral in his delivery, but he's also educated, logical and realistic.

People generally think of the pre-1776 world as a place of dictators in the form of kings.
In reality wars before the 17th Century were almost always privatized affairs. Where the large landlords held power over the kings because the kings usually had to borrow the personal armies of the lords to go to war.
If you look at the failed states of the modern era, such as Afghanistan and Somalia, you will see plenty of warlords. Where do you think they came from? They weren't all Conan the Barbarian.
They were large landlords who could hire mercenaries to protect their property when the country fell apart, and then later made the logical decision to take over their neighbor's land when there was no one to stop them.

Our military has been so privatized that it couldn't function without these outside companies. The Pentagon doesn't even know how many private security contractors it has hired. That's even before we talk about the many mercenary companies of the world.

Mozambique is fighting and winning a civil war almost entirely with mercenaries. We appear to be on the cusp of a new trend.

The involvement of private contractors is reminiscent of some other recent coup attempts, including the 2004 “Wonga Coup,” in which a group of South African mercenaries financed by Margaret Thatcher’s son attempted to overthrow the government of Equatorial Guinea, and last year’s “Bar of Piglets” fiasco in which a former Green Beret-turned-security contractor mounted a ludicrously unsuccessful invasion of Venezuela. In Haiti, the contractors got much closer to achieving their goal: They killed Moïse, though it’s not really clear what step 2 was supposed to be.

Now just imagine if Gates or Bezos wanted to hire a mercenary army to overthrow a regime. If not one of them, how long until a billionaire does decide to simply take the logical next step, like so many warlords in history?

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Cassiodorus's picture

because the land they're buying up will be so ecologically depleted by capitalist exploitation that it will be devoured by flood or fire when the next manifestation of climate change rolls around.

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"The war on Gaza, backed by the West, is a demonstration that the West is willing to cross all lines. That it will discard any nuance of humanity. That it is willing to commit genocide" -- Moon of Alabama

@Cassiodorus I live 32 miles from Conroe.

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"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

Raggedy Ann's picture

You get it on a real estate contract so no competitive bids. I will own land and be happy. Pleasantry

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"The “jumpers” reminded us that one day we will all face only one choice and that is how we will die, not how we will live." Chris Hedges on 9/11

@Raggedy Ann
Thanks,
R

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Raggedy Ann's picture

@BORG_US_BORG
I live in New Mexico. My family is looking for empty land to buy and then put something on it. We found four acres in one area and five in another. We bought the four and now buying the five. It's just a matter of looking and making an offer. Banks here won't lend for empty land so it has to be real estate contract. Other than that - if you have questions, we'll see if I can answer any of them.

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"The “jumpers” reminded us that one day we will all face only one choice and that is how we will die, not how we will live." Chris Hedges on 9/11

that what you describe, private industrial companies hiring warlords, is what happened in Germany in the 1930s. The fact that the principal company, through which all the others managed to operate, was Standard Oil, a U.S. corporation, should matter. Treason should matter. But if you read Congressional testimony during the war, in hearings over why Standard wasn't sharing its aviation fuel formula with the Allies while it was providing it to Hitler, the answer was that Standard had a patent agreement with Farben which it couldn't break.

Outraged, one senator exclaimed, "Why, I think that approaches treason!"

You THINK it APPROACHES treason?

You see, the senatorial world then as now saw the military industrial complex as independent from our country, independent from our people, independent from humanity. And why wouldn't they? It's a death machine.

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also known as flipping. How the new homeowners managed finance their purchase and give Horton a 50% profit margin would be interesting information.

Pension funds got burned in that last housing bubble as they got stuck with shreds of non-performing mortgages. Shreds that they paid a premium to purchase. So, this time, they're buying the houses (for a premium) with the expectation of high returns from rental income. What could go wrong?

They'll find out soon enough.

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Pricknick's picture

@Marie
People are taking home equity loans to buy shit they don't need.
As in 2007, they will soon find out they owe much more than their net worth including the home.
This game has been played before and the only winners are those who clean up for pennies on the dollar.

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Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

Shahryar's picture

But check this out. Vacasa is buying up houses all along the Oregon coast to be used for vacationers. It means people can't accept work there because there's not enough available permanent housing. That includes teachers. I'll see if I can find a link or two....

a good letter to the editor

https://www.oregonlive.com/opinion/2021/08/readers-respond-the-erosion-o...

The school district and the hospital cannot find employees because nurses and teachers’ aides who accept positions find out that there is no place to live.

and from 3 years ago, in a similar vein.

https://www.streetroots.org/news/2018/06/15/tourisms-coastal-crunch-vaca...

But vacation rentals, she said, are causing more harm than good due to their increasing numbers. She is constantly losing employees because they cannot find anywhere to live. One of her cooks is living in a small pull-trailer in an RV park because she cannot find housing.

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