Bibi defeated. For Now. Maybe For Good.
Here is the current situation in Israel. We have been here before but this time it may actually be the end of Bibi's time as Prime Minister. He has been in office for 12 years and 3 other elections in the last 2 years have failed to dislodge him. It is not certain that he will be ousted this time either but it looks much more promising.
The Fourth Election was held a month ago and Bibi was offered the first chance to form a government because his Part, Likud, got more seats than any other party.
His time ran out last night and today the President of Israel, President Rivlin, offered the second chance to form a government to Yair Lapid, the leader of the Yesh Atid, a leftish party. This is exactly what happened last time, only Benny Gantz of the Blue and White Party got the nod and was unable, Just like Bibi to form a Leftish Party. Then, Benny and Bibi joined together and formed a government so unstable it fell apart in months. Bibi refused to share. No surprise. Hence, Election #4.
Bibi got the first opportunity. He failed. Today Yair Lapid steps up to the plate.
Yair Lapid has gone a different route. The prime Minister position will go to Naftali Bennett the current leader of the Yamina right wing Party.
(During the previous Election season I wrote on this blog that Ayelet Shaked, then the leader of Yamina, was looking to be the kingmaker. I was laughed at because not too many people were aware of her existence. Well, Ayelet has stepped aside and is Deputy to Bennett, who now may hold a winning hand. I was premature last time. And may be wrong here now as well.)
Lapid and Bennet have 28 days to put together a coalition of 61 Knesset member if they want to oust Bibi from his throne. They may just do it.
If they do, sad to say, not enough will change in Israel that I can tell. Bennet is a RW warmonger and unless he has more decency and humanity than I am aware of, the Palestinians will not fare significantly better.
What Will change is the lessening of power of the Orthodox Rabbis and I expect religious Jews to be subject to the same conscription policies of other Jews. Out of the synagogues and into the real world. Which in Israel involves military service for all citizens.
I also expect travel prohibitions on the Sabbath to ease or cease. Which means buses will be running 7 days a week.