Tulsi at 7% in Latest NH Poll--Other Polling News
A LOT of interesting polling stuff going on right now.
Today, in a Patinkin Research Strategies poll of New Hampshire (600 people, 21% on cell phones), Tulsi came in at 7% in 5th place. According to this poll, 7% of those polled are still undecided.
All the states are literally up for grabs at this point. For example, in New Hampshire, Sanders is leading in one poll, Biden in one poll, and Buttigieg in one poll.
In Iowa, Sanders leads in one poll, and Sanders/Biden/Buttigieg are all tied for first place in another (at 23% each).
In South Carolina, Biden leads the only recent poll by far (36%)--but guess who is in second place? Steyer, with a 15% showing! (Sanders follows third at 14%.)
In Nevada, Biden (23%) is ahead of Sanders (17%) in the only recent poll, with Steyer and Warren tied for third place at 12%.
Warren seems to have disappeared from the top 3 choices in most states. Bloomberg seems to have gained little traction.
Remember, the goal is obtaining delegates, and anyone who polls under 15% in a state gets zero pledged delegates from that state. Going into Super Tuesday, it seems Sanders, Biden, and Buttigieg will definitely have delegates, and Steyer may have some as well. Warren might not have any, which will put great pressure on her campaign.
Who will have the most delegates? Iowa has 41 pledged delegates, New Hampshire has 24, Nevada has 36, and South Carolina has 54. It may be Biden if he wins SC with large numbers, even if Sanders takes the majority in Iowa and NH.
But, come Super Tuesday, Sanders seems likely to win California (416 pledged delegates), Biden seems likely to win Texas (228 pledged delegates), and Warren is likely to win Massachusetts (91 pledged delegates)--the three most delegate-rich states for that day.
It's coming down to the wire now . . .