A communist shakes up the French election
Until recently the talk in France's presidential election was all about either Le Pen's bigotry or Fillon's corruption, and the only alternative was the quasi-neoliberal centrist Macron.
But now someone else has surged into contention - Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
The French Communist-backed presidential candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon is closing in on the frontrunners Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen, according to new polls.
A rally held by Mélenchon drew tens of thousands of supporters on Sunday, underlining his surging popularity just two weeks from the election on 23 April and adding new drama to a rollercoaster campaign.
After strong performances in two televised debates, several surveys at the weekend showed him climbing to third position, with 18% to 19% of voters saying they would vote for him.
Speaking in Marseille, Mélenchon said voters had a choice other than the extreme-right “condemning our great multi-coloured people to hate itself” and fans of the free market that “transforms suffering, misery and abandonment into gold and money”.
The left-leaning news magazine L’Obs commented that “the sudden emergence of Jean-Luc Mélenchon among the four candidates with around 20% has shattered all the predictions, [and] is sowing doubt among the favourites”.
If you need to picture this election in a left-right arc:
Le Pen is far-right
Fillon is center-right
Macron is center
Hamon is center-left
Melenchon is far-left
Here's a break-down on their relative positions.
I gotta say that I like Melenchon.
He's still behind, but he's surging in the polls like no one else.
When margins of error are taken into account, that suggests all four candidates are in a position to be among the top two after the first round of voting on April 23, and that the contest remains wide open with a month to go until the May 7 runoff.
“It has effectively become a four-way race,” said Kantar’s Riviere.
That being said, France has a very long history of shooting communists.
Comments
Thanks, gjohnsit.
After Al From supposedly convinced a Democratic Arkansas Governor to run for President--which Bubba was clearly aiming for anyway--he and Hillary toured Europe to spread the neoliberal gospel there. So, for whatever reason, it was important to them that Europe be neoliberal, too. (Heaven forbid Americans see a leftist government model that works?) That may mean Macron will get quiet help from outside France. So, while I want Hamon or Melenchon to win, I dasn't get my hopes up too high.
What effect will this have?
I'm tired of this back-slapping "Isn't humanity neat?" bullshit. We're a virus with shoes, okay? That's all we are. - Bill Hicks
Politics is the entertainment branch of industry. - Frank Zappa
Hamon and Melenchon
It looks like the left vote is relatively constant with Melenchon taking votes from Hamon. The Melenchon and Hamon curves are mirror images of each other. Btw I am somewhat more favorably disposed toward Le Pen than many are (note: not naive here, her father was, and is, a right wing bigot and there is a considerable legacy of that in the FN). She opposes neo-liberalism and foreign intervention and supports a more sensible relationship with Russia. She supports women's right to have an abortion and she is generally more pro worker and pro farmer than most of her opponents. She is clearly nationalist and secular. She is anti-nuclear and her policies might result in greater greenhouse gas emissions. However, she is not an anti-environmentalist like Trump. I don't read her as a con artist like Trump. In her interviews, she seems to be thoughtful and relatively honest. I think Macron would dish out more of the same merge that France has been wading through for years. Fillion would be even worse. I would support Hamon or Melenchon, but I think this characterization of Marine Le Pen as ultra right wing is simplistic and misleading.
wow, she is a "France First" kinda gal?
who would have thought...
and you like that? ...
she is definitely smarter than Trump, but that doesn't make her better, no? I missed two documentary style productions tonight on German TV about her ... too tired. But I am really disappointed you would fall for a gal like that.
Just saying.
https://www.euronews.com/live
I would like to hear your thoughts on this about Le Pen
Le Pen disturbing denial
When I was a kid, Republicans used to red scare people, now it's the Democrats. I am getting too damn old for this crap!
The Neoliberal press has been very happy to report this
Le Pen is anti-nuclear? In France, that’s a very big deal.
the “Hexagon” (as France calls itself).
The all-atomic national electric power company EDF (Electricité de France), intertwined with De Gaulle’s nuclear force de frappe, have always been a yuuge deal forThe Hexagon versus the Pentagon — sounds like a pro wrestling attraction.
You are absolutely right
If Hamon threw his weight behind Melonchon
it could be an upset.
Neither Russia nor China is our enemy.
Neither Iran nor Venezuela are threatening America.
Cuba is a dead horse, stop beating it.
Nod
I'd have to nod my head if an avowed communist came forward and won.
I haven't paid much attention to French elections before, but this one has me curious.