News Dump Wednesday: Continuing failure of mainstream politics

No longer "draining swamps"

One of Donald Trump's advisers says the president-elect is no longer interested in his rallying cry "drain the swamp."
"I'm told he now just disclaims that. He now says it was cute, but he doesn't want to use it anymore," former House Speaker Newt Gingrich said in an interview that aired Wednesday on NPR. Gingrich, a vice chairman of the transition team, also predicted there would be "constant fighting" over Trump's efforts to reduce the influence of lobbyists and Washington insiders.

Still bailing out banks in Italy

Monte dei Paschi di Siena is to be rescued by the Italian state using a new €20bn bailout package, as a last-gasp private sector rescue plan for the world’s oldest bank looked set to fail, forcing losses on bondholders...
Support for the bank bailout bill was led by Italy’s ruling centre-left Democratic party, but members of the centre-right opposition also agreed to vote in favour after Silvio Berlusconi, the leader of Forza Italia, announced his backing.
The Five Star Movement, the main anti-establishment opposition party led by comedian Beppe Grillo, opposed the measure, calling for a full nationalisation of struggling banks.

our future "populism"?

A little over a year ago, Poland’s Law and Justice Party (PiS) swept to power promising to challenge the political elite, restore national control of the country’s affairs, and realign government with traditional conservative values. Since then concerns have grown, at home and in Europe’s capitals, that Poland has taken a wrong turn. The government’s most recent moves do nothing to dispel that fear.
PiS has devoted too much energy on consolidating power and not enough on bolstering Poland’s economic prospects. It has tightened its grip on the media -- firing managers and more than 100 journalists at the country’s public broadcasters, and undercutting the regulator’s authority. It put a friend of the party in charge of the intelligence services, brought the prosecutor’s office under political control, and replaced scores of executives at state-owned companies. When it moved to undercut the country’s constitutional court, the European Commission launched a probe that might lead to sanctions.

Old and in debt

The federal government is increasingly taking money out of Americans’ Social Security checks to recover millions in unpaid student debt, a trend set to accelerate as more baby boomers retire.
The government has collected about $1.1 billion from Social Security recipients of all ages to go toward unpaid student loans since 2001, including $171 million last year, the Government Accountability Office said Tuesday. Most affected recipients in fiscal year 2015—114,000—were age 50 or older and receiving disability benefits, with the typical borrower losing about $140 a month. About 38,000 were above age 64.
The report highlights the sharp growth in baby boomers entering retirement with student debt, most of it borrowed years ago to cover their own educations but some used to pay for their children’s schooling. Overall, about seven million Americans age 50 and older owed about $205 billion in federal student debt last year. About 1 in 3 were in default, raising the likelihood that garnishments will increase as more boomers retire.

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China capital controls

China is also trying to avoid a currency crisis that its companies’ massive transfers of funds overseas is hastening. The RMB has slipped recently to an eight and a half year low and analysts are predicting a further slide by the time Trump takes office next month.
“China has been worried about what could happen to the dollar with Donald Trump becoming president,” said Julian Evans-Pritchard, China economist with Capital Economics in Beijing. “It is controlling capital outflows as a pre-emptive measure.”

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Trustiing Trump

Americans’ confidence in the economy continues to gradually strengthen after last month’s post-election surge. Gallup’s U.S. Economic Confidence Index averaged +10 for the week ending Dec. 18, marking another new high in its nine-year trend.
The latest figure is up slightly from the index’s previous high of +8 recorded in both of the prior two weeks. The first positive double-digit index score since the inception of Gallup Daily tracking in 2008 reflects a stark change in Americans’ confidence in the U.S. economy from the negative views they expressed in most weeks over the past nine years.

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Trusting Trump #2

The CNBC All-America Economic Survey for the fourth quarter found that the percentage of Americans who believe the economy will get better in the next year jumped an unprecedented 17 points to 42 percent, compared with before the election. It’s the highest level since President Barack Obama was first elected in 2008.
The surge was powered by Republicans and independents reversing their outlooks. Republicans swung from deeply pessimistic, with just 15 percent saying the economy would improve in the next year, to strongly optimistic, with 74 percent believing in an economic upswing. Optimism among independents doubled but it fell by more than half for Democrats. Just 16 percent think the economy will improve.

U.S. no longer has a say in Syria

Russia, Iran and Turkey met in Moscow on Tuesday to work toward a political accord to end Syria’s nearly six-year war, leaving the United States on the sidelines as the countries sought to drive the conflict in ways that serve their interests.

Secretary of State John Kerry was not invited. Nor was the United Nations consulted.

With pro-government forces having made critical gains on the ground, the new alignment and the absence of any Western powers at the table all but guarantee that President Bashar al-Assad will continue to rule Syria under any resulting agreement, despite President Obama’s declaration more than five years ago that Mr. Assad had lost legitimacy and had to be removed.

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8 year of Obama

Almost 40% of young Americans were living with their parents, siblings or other relatives in 2015, the largest percentage since 1940, according to an analysis of census data by real estate tracker Trulia.

Despite a rebounding economy and recent job growth, the share of those between the ages of 18 and 34 doubling up with parents or other family members has been rising since 2005. Back then, before the start of the last recession, roughly one out of three were living with family.

The trend runs counter to that of previous economic cycles, when after a recession-related spike, the number of younger Americans living with relatives declined as the economy improved.

The result is that there is far less demand for housing than would be expected for the millennial generation, now the largest in U.S. history. The number of adults under age 30 has increased by 5 million over the last decade, but the number of households for that age group grew by just 200,000 over the same period, according to the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies.

Analysts point to rising rents in many cities and tough mortgage-lending standards as the culprit, making it difficult for younger Americans to strike out on their own.

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CB's picture

When the US cannot get its way in foreign nations that it intervenes in, it reverts to Plan B - destabilize using covert operations and sanctions combined with massive media propaganda. The US deep state will continue to make life untenable for the ordinary Syrian just it has done to dozens of other nations in the past.
The US is 'exceptional' all right. It is exceptional in having destroying untold millions of ordinary people's lives in every corner of the globe.

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Sandino's picture

but it is about 6 years late. The US has already had the 'covert' phase, then the overt phase, then the blowback phase, where our enemies have the weapons.

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CB's picture

re-branded players.

The Great Game continues but with new rules and added players. The playing field of the game has shifted from a north-south to a more east-west axis. In this game, when one of the players makes a move, all the other players immediately shift their pieces. Unfortunately Obama's 11th dimensional skill level is woefully inadequate to the task at hand. The MENA arena, unlike Central Asia, requires players with at least double that level to be reasonably successful.

It is unknown at what level Putin is playing but it must be at least 4-5 times that of Obama. Just look to Putin's recent coup. He managed to convince almost half the population to vote for Trump over the highly respected, seasoned and capable Hillary Clinton, loved by untold millions, despite having 19 three letter intelligence agencies that were sworn to protect America from it's enemies, both domestic and foreign, had her golden crown untimely ripped from her fingers.

Just think of this feat! The most powerful nation the world has ever seen was brought under complete control by the actions of a single man from a second rate regional power using computer skills that many high school computer nerds possess as if the country was some kind of banana republic. Fucking remarkable. Almost unbelievable.

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people can't afford to establish a household; and another is that males are finding it hard to earn a "breadwinner's wage" and females have noticed.

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

thanatokephaloides's picture

males are finding it hard to earn a "breadwinner's wage" and females have noticed.

Just what we don't need -- more baggage injected into the mate marketplace!

No wonder so many Western marriages fail. It's not no-fault divorce (that's about 40 years older than the problems we're discussing). It's not females being the peers of males under the law (same consideration).

It's GIGO. With money stresses being the number one cause for marriage failure, the unavailability of a net breadwinning wage for most of us essentially guarantees that this failure will occur. And increasingly, 99 percenters are twigging to it -- and refusing to marry at all under such circumstances. Better to remain alone than to craft a guaranteed-to-fail "marriage". Grrrrr.

Diablo

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

has foisted onto this generation of people of marrying age. "Two can live as cheaply as one" used to be the saying and it may be so but there has to be some money, beyond food, clothing, and shelter, to have a marriage that is not beset by stress before it even gets started. I think this change in an important sociological way of life that needs to be understood for what it is: The skewing of society, even it's most basic component -the family - so that the 1% can take all excess value added by people's labor.

In the 1880's and 1890's marriage was delayed about til age 30(if I remember correctly) and the reason usually cited was that this was the time when the greatest % of Americans were first or second generation. It made a certain sense to postpone marriage while saving for marriage(hope chests, stashed cash) but the promise was, that once established, the marriage could succeed without being bankrupted by loss of work or dislocated by jobs disappearing in your area.

To raise a family, a certain stability is needed, and while that doesn't always occur, the odds have not been as stacked against young people as they are now.

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

have made housing unaffordable.

Elizabeth Warren and Amelia Warren Tyagi have written the book, The Two-Income Trap: Why Middle-Class Parents are Going Broke, in which they outline how the family income has become less livable, how previous generations had actual savings, which are now so rare, and how this plural income has been a net loss for recent generations. The only winners in this trend are big banks.

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"The justness of individual land right is not justifiable to those to whom the land by right of first claim collectively belonged"

Wed, 12/21/2016 - 10:17pm — Linda Wood

The banks, in their insatiable greed,

have made housing unaffordable.

Elizabeth Warren and Amelia Warren Tyagi have written the book, The Two-Income Trap: Why Middle-Class Parents are Going Broke, in which they outline how the family income has become less livable, how previous generations had actual savings, which are now so rare, and how this plural income has been a net loss for recent generations. The only winners in this trend are big banks.

I noticed that, in a graph given above, the number of house sales appears to have considerably risen while the number of new mortgages appears to have considerably dropped, indicating (to me, at any rate) that many of the homes are being bought not by people needing them (who typically require mortgages) but by such as investment groups - those having sufficient capital themselves to purchase properties outright and expecting to profit richly from the desperation of others forced to pay high rents. And I expect that this would be why I've seen rising house prices out of the reach of many being hailed as being a good thing as an economic indicator. If only for Those Who Matter, who plan to truly Have it ALL. So, just to mention, a larger group of financial interests may be benefiting than this, beyond the big banks.

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Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.

A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.

I think the whole issue of wages, vs housing costs, vs insurance costs, vs the costs of basic needs, all of this is something young adults see very clearly because it is their reality! It doesn't even include the loss of time, now dedicated to working more hours to afford basic things, that in older generations was spent just being together, eating together, talking together, something very difficult to have now for younger families. So much time is spent dealing with the effects of earning two incomes and paying others to take care of children, that eating and sharing time together are seen as luxuries.

I know this is somewhat off the subject of what you point out, but I think you're touching on the fact that the value of more and more income is really winding up in the hands of fewer and fewer people and entities, while the wage-earner is receiving less and less in terms of basic human needs.

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thanatokephaloides's picture

In the 1880's and 1890's marriage was delayed about til age 30 (if I remember correctly)

Only for a relatively small slice of the Americans of that time: what we today would call the urban middle class, the folks who had that time to wait and earn wages. Normal marriage age for the majority of Americans from the 1780s to the 1960s was late teens to early 20s.

Do please remember that in the 1880s and 1890s, working-class urban industrial workers needed to face the oncoming reality of "dead by age 50". Pioneers and homesteaders also tended to marry early because their sustenance wasn't cash-based at all, and younger bodies were better suited to face the simultaneous challenges of wresting a living from a small plot of Earth while rearing the children who would inherit that plot from them, Cat willing.

Later marriage, for most of us, began in the 1970s, as nearly all Americans had been converted to urban wage labor by then -- triggering the very considerations you cite:

It made a certain sense to postpone marriage while saving for marriage(hope chests, stashed cash) but the promise was, that once established, the marriage could succeed without being bankrupted by loss of work or dislocated by jobs disappearing in your area.

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"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar

"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides

What a surprise!

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Big Al's picture

Of course it was, everything's cute, now he's cute too.

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ggersh's picture

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I never knew that the term "Never Again" only pertained to
those born Jewish

"Antisemite used to be someone who didn't like Jews
now it's someone who Jews don't like"

Heard from Margaret Kimberley

self-inflicted blow

More than a month on, India’s Reserve Bank has issued around 1.7 billion new notes, with less than one-third the value of what was removed. The sixth-largest economy in the world is running on 60% less currency than before. Lines outside banks continue to stretch, and India’s small business lobby says its members are facing an “apocalypse”. But Modi insists he isn’t done.
...

This week, labour minister Bandaru Dattatreya announced it would soon be mandatory for employers to pay their staff into bank accounts, a hugely ambitious step in a country where as many as 90% of workers are paid in cash.

Already struggling, businessmen such as Sharma are dreading the prospect of more enforced digital migration.

“How do you think I can pay the workers with a cheque if they don’t have a bank account?” he asks, in a tiny office thick with incense smoke. “And it takes three days to clear a cheque. What will they eat during those days?”

...
But workers too are wary of the big push online. Tens of millions of Indians have been given zero-deposit bank accounts in the past two years under a government scheme to boost financial inclusion. But even after demonetisation prompted a rush of new deposits, 23% of the accounts still lie empty.
Cash has a cold, hard certainty that still matters to itinerant workers. “There are many factory owners who will make these daily wage workers into fools,” Devi adds. “They’ll tell them they have deposited the money when they haven’t.”

“In theory, it’s a great idea to actually ensure that workers actually get the wage they’ve been promised,” says Aparna, the president of the Indian Federation of Trade Unions, who like many Indians uses only one name.

“The downside is: we can’t do it. It’s a bit like say the government has announced the end to all poverty by tomorrow. It’s not taking into account any of the obvious constraints that even a child in India could see.”

Around one in three Indians still don’t have bank accounts, she says, many of them put off by the need to navigate banking bureaucracy.

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sojourns's picture

that Poland regained independence from the Soviet Union. This global hard right turn is a terrible terrible harbinger. Do not think that the United States is immune. We are much closer than most want to admit into becoming an autocracy. One can go on and on about our checks and balances that would prevent such a thing. That's nice until those checks and balances are voted into extinction. Once liberalism is basically gone, it will take lifetimes to revive it.

Drumpf's personal agenda: Make it possible for him to pardon himself and his children. This essentially makes him a dictator.
Demand that the military take an oath to him, not the office of President and the Constitution.
This also adds to dictatorship.
He is now pushing for a private security detail in lieu of the Secret Service. Additional dictatorial
behavior.

This is not a drill, ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls.

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"I can't understand why people are frightened of new ideas. I'm frightened of the old ones."
John Cage