Evidence Based Community‽
The designation, Evidence Based Community, makes me a bit skittish. I am regularly "down voted" at Reddit by members of its evidence based community. At certain political sites I am worse than "down voted" because -- by not being a political pundit -- I must be an idiot for thinking [blah blah blah], and if I would just look at the evidence. Then more [blah blah blah] about "just the facts ma'am".
I **think** I understand the motivation of these various detractors. They act like the Republicans That Hate Science but envy the success of science, and hate people, like me, who have a useful, and (more importantly) credible Weltanschauung. Or, perhaps they are just time traveling anachronisms from the 20th century.
Hello, I am Dr. Robert I. Price, and I know what I am talking about‽ whereof I speak. See, I'm even a little like Sheldon Lee Cooper: The deleted words make my skin crawl. Yes, we all know ending a sentence with a preposition is acceptable. Just like, we all know that science is grounded in a body of experimental knowledge, extracted from nature, so fundamental as to be fact. And, fact(s) are far superior to theory(ies) as a foundation of any argument.
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Except for one small point . . . it just ain't so. The "accepted" notion of the nature of science, that seems to be the foundation of the Evidence Based (non-science) Communities meme, is fundamentally flawed.
So, if you are predisposed to throwing "Evidence Based Community" about willy-nilly, perhaps you should rethink your options. As a practicing physicist I am constantly vexed by those pretending to understand my field, specifically, and science in general. I started delving into the substance of science (particle physics in particular) in the mid-50s. By the mid-60s I was firmly ensconced within the physics enclave (think, Venn diagrams). During that decade I discovered something very enlightening:
Science Grounded in Experiment, Not!
Sorry to disappoint, but what you were taught or, thought you were taught, just ain't so. We do not adhere to a ridged hierarchy (of Facts supporting [whatever] supporting Laws supporting [whatever] supporting Theories) of science. Any "evidence" of such a contention from more than about one hundred years ago is by definition too old be of any value. Writers unfamiliar with Quantum Mechanics and the subtle nature of non-Euclidian spaces have nothing useful to offer. Even your understanding of basic statistics needs to be tweaked if you want to be relevant.
Copernicus slammed into this flawed paradigm a few years ago and used the only "out" available at that time:
The Case Against Copernicus By Dennis R. Danielson, Christopher M. Graney : January 1, 2014
- PDF at FSU
- Page 76
- Rather than give up their theory in the face of seemingly incontrovertible physical evidence, Copernicans were forced to appeal to divine omnipotence.
- Page 77
- The acceptance of Copernicanism was thus held back by a lack of hard scientific evidence to confirm its almost incredible claims about cosmic and stellar magnitudes.
Fortunately Copernicus hired Kepler to collect and analyze data, And, upon his death Copernicus' data passed to Kepler. Without Copernicus' obstinate adherence to a "theory" over "fact", Kepler would not have had the insight to produce the simple (but obviously wrong) orbital equations that lead to, Newton's simple (but obviously wrong) Law of Universal Gravitation. You see everyone knows Newton's law of universal gravitation is wrong (even the scientists at NASA know it is wrong, but they use it daily), because the "fact" of the orbit of Mercury proves it wrong.
What the hell does this all have to do with our "Evidence Based Community"? Most of what we know about the real world outside of our brainpan is not informed by "facts". Unlike bacteria or algae, we are one of many "higher" life forms: We construct conceptual models of our reality. Those constructions cannot function if only "facts" are acceptable sources of information. Indeed, if we were only allowed to use "facts" as input to the decision making process, we would not have survived the rigors of the evolutionary gauntlet. So with respect to the "Evidence Based Community" meme — Lighten up Francis:
No!, wild unfounded speculation is not acceptable as a foundation of an argument: If you think that's what I am about, maybe you should, more carefully, reread what I wrote. (Sorry, but, burn me once shame on you, burn me twice shame on me.)
Comments
I'm fine with the Kuhn vision of how we gain knowledge
scientifically, just don't go all post modern on us.
Sputter-sputter-spit
Postmodernism leaves a bad taste in the mouth. I am all about grand narratives, Enlightenment rationality, and the existence of objective reality. Absolute truth, particularly within a sociological context, not so much, but with respect to the physical world . . . All I can say is: The real world exists, period, and we just have to live with that reality.
So while I am not a postmodernist in any real sense, I might be seen as such when trying to examine why the various attempts to "explain" Quantum Mechanics are destined to fail as long as we continue to construct "interpretations" grounded in (our Classical By Definition) concepts that are the product of our evolutionary past.
If you think
you understand quantum mechanics, you don't know the first thing about it.
There is no such thing as TMI. It can always be held in reserve for extortion.
I love Richard Feynman.
When I was studying Quantum Mechanics in another
life, my professor said basically that the math appears to be correct, but no one knows what the fuck it means, or at least they cannot translate it into anything resembling English. Then, he said you can be a philosopher and sit around trying to figure it out, or you can accept the math as a tool, be a Chemist, and get on with conducting experiments and observing phenomena. At first I was taken aback by that, but now I see the absolute wisdom in his words, especially when I read about something like string theory. FYI --- I used Feynman diagrams a lot in my work, he was a brilliant person.
Have you read any of the gibberish written by the Anthropologist/Philosopher Bruno Latour about the practice of science? If you want a laugh, check out "Laboratory Life: the Social Construction of Scientific Facts" or read some of its critiques.
Thanks for the tip:
I have never heard of Bruno Latour so I will have to take a look.
Those of us that teach QM and elementary particle physics tend to push the limit of social acceptability. We tell the truth about how very weird it all is and let the shrapnel settle where it may. There are several clips of Feynman (ever smiling with his infectious laugh) talking about the various we explore our ignorance.
I learned a bit of the concepts
you speak of from my dad. I am definitely not a scientist. But Dad taught me that even facts can be confining as far as free thought goes. He also taught me to keep an open mind about everything. There is no hope if we start from a place of contempt prior to investigation.
I have to keep it simple.
Is this sort of what you mean?
'Well, I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years, Doctor, and I’m happy to state I finally won out over it." Elwood P. Dowd "
Ah, siblings from different families:
My dad never "just did a task", he always tried to think it through before starting the job. He was the ultimate "do it right the first time" kind of guy. He tried to keep a "fresh eye" to see the possibilities that may have been missed by other people.
I suppose working around heavy equipment, explosives, and taut drag lines made thinking ahead somewhat mandatory. He seemed to have a knack for not getting killed: Working with a fire crew in Idaho once in a box canyon, he suddenly stopped clearing and hollered for everyone to run down to the creek. Everyone in that crew survived the crown fire that devastated that little valley.
Thank you, PriceRip
I admire your respect for your father. Mine started as a idealistic patriot in WW2, ended in an acceptance that the goal was not to end wars, but to make them profitable. May my Dad rest in peace.
Survival is what we do when the berries of free speech wither on the vine?
Look up at the stars and not down at your feet. Try to make sense of what you see, and wonder about what makes the universe exist. Be curious. Stephen Hawking
Thank you for answering me PriceRip,
I'm sorry I just found it.
Dad was an MD in the Air Force.
From reading what you said about your dad I got the feeling he had a special sense about things. Almost psychic. It feels so good to have known and loved people like our dads.
'Well, I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years, Doctor, and I’m happy to state I finally won out over it." Elwood P. Dowd "
The problem is that "facts"
are not necessarily "objective," nor do they provide an accurate representation of the situation. Meaning necessarily derives from the process of interpretation, and multiple people can have very different views that have been drawn from the exact same set of facts.
Just look at historical artifacts like photos, for example. We tend to think of them as factual representations of what really happened, but very often they distort and obfuscate reality. We use captions to interpret them, require a narrative context, and never see beyond the frame or what happened before/after. They capture a very selective moment in time, but even then it's something that's literally constructed by the photographer to convey a very particular meaning to the viewer.
That's not to say that everything is relative, but it's important to consider that being accurate consists of more than just an examination of the facts and available evidence. Granted this is more of a humanistic perspective than a scientific one, but I tend to think that the two areas could learn a lot from one another if they weren't so divided by disciplinary lines and methods.
One of my favorite questions.
In the later half of the first semester after introducing the standard conundrums involving torque I like to ask: How do you initiate a left turn while riding a bicycle across the quad? It's amazing how many different "realities" exist. Even when we nail it down to "to turn left you first turn the handlebars right", there are still many subtle points to be grokked.
We are potentially irrevocably locked into our evolutionarily defined classical view of the world. If true we will never fully understand the reality of the quantum mechanical processes from which all process seem to emerge. I keep working with the hope that we will be able to penetrate that barrier, I would like to live so long . . .
That is amazing, Price Rip.
A wonderful world of seeking the correct questions to find the true answers. I have long been fascinated by quantum mechanics. It seems magical. I am no where near intelligent enough to understand it the way you do, but I do find it endlessly delightful.
'Well, I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years, Doctor, and I’m happy to state I finally won out over it." Elwood P. Dowd "
Great essay.
There were people at this other place I used to visit that bugged me because they were so certain they were "reality-based" and "evidence-based" and "fact-based". In many cases, facts are simply the best current speculation about particular topics. It is sheer hubris to think we know everything there is to know.
Some think I am arrogant.
As a practicing physicist, I know a lot about a tiny portion of what is possible to know, and I know it well. But, one step out and **wham** flat on my face. I have been at this since the mid 50s so I know my limits. I find it strange that so many are so afraid to own their limitations. I really like the thought:
a big part of my job was to emphasize the tentative nature of our knowledge. It would be so depressing to think I know all there is to know: I do not want to live to see that day.
"As a practicing physicist... flat on my face."
"As a noted scientist, it comes as a great surprise that the girl blinded ME with science."
"The suspense is terrible! I hope it continues!" - Wilde
I would call it self assured.
Look up at the stars and not down at your feet. Try to make sense of what you see, and wonder about what makes the universe exist. Be curious. Stephen Hawking
This is the key:
Preferably, they should be based as much as possible on "evidence." They are, IMO, the more useful the more closely they map onto "that which is there" in a manner permitting reliable predictions. I wrote a whole rant on this topic at the GOS: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/01/25/938809/-A-Separate-Reality-A-Ko...
That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --
Wow! EL.
From Carlos Castenada to Berty Russell and finishing with I. Asimov. Well done! I hadda tip it and it's five years old.
There is no such thing as TMI. It can always be held in reserve for extortion.
Thanks. It's one of a very few that I sometimes
think of dragging over here.
That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --
Very nicely written:
I just returned, and it was a very well constructed "rant". I think it should be in your local list of articles.
Thank you.
That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --
So, I need to go "there" again‽ Have you no heart‽
Many scientific facts are just our best guess at the moment.
But if we keep that in mind, we can go forward, learning as we go.
It is my unscientific belief that if humans had a firm grip on reality, we would have given up long ago and none of us would be here today. We go forward, hopping from one bubble of supposition to the next.
Life is strong. I'm weak, but Life is strong.
Science Fiction
In many cases reading science fiction was the first place I encountered a concept. I grew into an understanding of the scientific process while exploring those alternate histories. The question of finding the ultimate answer versus bumbling along is the subject of many late night discussions.
Well I am very science minded
Well I am very science minded, but actually fall a little on the skeptical side of science confidence for two reasons.
1) The scientific method never really says what is 'true' it only says 'what the current evidence leads us to believe without any confirmed contradicting evidence to negate' and along the path of understanding we almost always find we got stuff wrong. As such it is reasonable to expect our current body of knowledge includes inaccuracies from gaps in our understanding, not to mention most theories are pushed as being more conclusive than the methodology really says they are.
2) Ivory Towerism is a major problem at the top of most fields and the saying is science progresses one death at a time and though that may be an exaggeration there is often a lot of resistance to overturning long held ideas.
That said its a a matter of probability in that though evolution or general relativity may not be 100% proven and could be possibly wrong, the probability they are right is 99.99%+ after a century or more of scientific support. Then there are theories like the 'Pyramids were Tombs' yet most tombs have paintings and writings on the walls even going back to the first kingdom and its odd the 'burial chambers' are absolutely clean. Doesn't mean its wrong, but it does make the question more ambiguous than the way the theory is present as so absolute.
None the less even if the Tomb theory is wrong, it still doesn't make the Star Gate theory any more credible
Putting it all into perspective.
Experimental results tell us what is not possible, Theoretical constructions tell us what may be possible. Between these two bounds we hope to exclude the silly.
The reality: To escape being irrelevant one must assume a childlike approach. The best of us are at play our entire lives and realize true progress is the provenance of the initiates.
Scientists are also discounting the Big Bang now.
Turns out an exploding Universe model originally theorized by a Belgian WWI artillery officer doesn't actually fit the observational data.
And yet this long-held creation myth persists and continues to spawn countless research grants to try to prove it is still viable.
My how we cling to our beliefs long after reality says otherwise.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
I am not so sure.
The universe certainly expanded "violently", what that means is not entirely clear. Most of those countless research grands are for trying to tease out details. My deep space, short wavelength, friends are looking for stuff I would like to know about because CERN (and even the long abandoned SSC) cannot produce the energy densities needed.
I can sympathize with the objection that we don't really know what we are doing and am open to suggestions on how best to proceed. But, capitulation is not an option, as in it ain't happening. Like it or not, we are a curious bunch of apes.
Not everyone is so certain.
Steady state theories, long scoffed at by the inflationists, are making a big comeback right now.
The basic flaw seems to be that the Big Bang and other inflation theories fail to take into full account the spin of the observed objects, and thus falsely attribute too much of the redshift acceleration to linear motion and not enough to rotational. If that's true, we exist in a much smaller and far more stable Universe than we have been taught to believe.
There is also an ancillary school that believes time dilation is also not being properly accounted for in the models, and that it distorts the observational data more than we give it credit for.
I am not in any way criticizing your buddies' work. The more we search, the more we find. Just saying that the underlying assumptions may be falsely coloring their understanding of what they are seeing.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
I am sympathetic
For example this is a source of much discussion with my colleagues down the hall a bit:
And, dealing with non-Euclidean 4-manifolds in flat TimeSpace is tricky enough but toss in a **few** mass-concentrations then everything gets really complicated.
As for this:
I say criticism is welcome, as long as you can be specific.
For me a big problem at a fundimental level is that we do not know how gravity really works. We know Newton's sexy F = G M1 M2 ÷ r2 is an approximation that fails in the vicinity of Mercury. So it fails virtually everywhere even though it is (literally) "good enough for government work". General relativity works better but it will have to be tweaked if it is to account for Dark Matter and/or Dark Energy. My Galactic Evolution friends are puzzling with this one now.
None of this is news to us. But what it all means is certainly up for debate. From my little soapbox I see the latest LIGO results confusing: How can gravity waves exist (suggesting quantum like processes like Electro-Weak-Strong) when everything else suggests TimeSpace distortions. If the latter then then at least we could talk meaningfully about a trinity of quantum stuff happening in a TimeSpace defined by G-DM-DE trinity. That would be pretty. Gravity waves just muck up the works.
Now I will just go pout in the corner until I get my way.
My own pet theory on LIGO...
Gravity waves are momentum signals with extremely long wavelengths.
Kind of like a long swell on the ocean where you don't feel the rise sitting in the boat, the momentum of two black holes merging is so vast that a single vibration cycle would take some (?)illions of our years to complete from our time perspective.
LIGO is a way of measuring a proton's length of change in that cycle, but it is a change nonetheless. Luminiferous aether is reborn.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Most people, including most of those who consider themselves
to be well-educated and well-grounded in reality, don't have more than a slight clue about:
A. The nature of measurement
Once, I was in a semi-polite argument with a friend who was homeopathic. (heh, i just decided to use that as an adjective for the delusion that homeopathy works.) I said, "well sure, in principle it works, vaccines are homeopathic," and she said, "yes, but with homeopathic remedies, the amount of the agent is too small to measure."
Here's the thing: If it's "too small to measure", then it has no physiological effect, because if it had any physiological effects, those effects would constitute a measurement. This is a tautology. Only somebody who doesn't grasp what measurement is, as an abstract epistemological exercise, could simultaneously argue that homeopathy works, but that the homeopathic agent cannot be measured.
B. The principles, strengths, and weaknesses of even the simplest statistical methods.
The use, abuse, and misuse of the "margin of error" in the endless debates at GOS about poll results, demonstrate that most of the people talking about polls, including people on "my side" of any given issue at hand, and even including people who are paid a hell of a lot of money to talk about polls, don't understand fuck-all about statistics.
The stalwarts of the GOS Defenders of Science Brigade (Lenny Flank et al) were often starkly, infuriatingly wrong in the conclusions they drew from published results -- especially when they were asserting that "X has been proved not to cause Y".
C. The culture of science -- and most scientists themselves have at best a passing familiarity with the kind of thinking required for reflective introspection about what it is they do, how they do it, why they do it, and what, if anything, it means.
Scientists for the most part defy the stereotypes society has constructed for them. As with any other population of middle-class, well-educated, very intelligent individuals, many of them:
1. are physically attractive -- sometimes, excruciatingly so
2. are witty and articulate
3. are athletic themselves and/or are obsessed with pro-level competitive sports
4. are party animals and enthusiastic users of alcohol and other drugs
5. are very sexually active
6. are sentimental kooks who like cute things
7. are artistically accomplished
8. are more likely to listen to rock and roll or hip hop than classical or jazz.
etc.
What scientists mostly are not is slaves to formalisms. They bumble through their days just the same as everybody else, trying to keep their act together while searching half-randomly for the Big Insight hidden somewhere down in the data. Data, and the methods that produced the data, get lost or forgotten or corrupted (inadvertently or otherwise). Reasons and ideas and purposes come and go. Hard-won knowledge slips away into the noisy chaos of a billion-trillion points of data, of millions of charts and tables published in hundreds of thousands of papers in thousands of journals.
Science: It ain't all that it's cracked up to be.
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
We.can only understand our world
by what our instruments tell us. We can only build instruments according to what we know.
There is no such thing as TMI. It can always be held in reserve for extortion.
Deceptive they are.
Our instruments lead us astray, if we trust them too much. Once in an advanced lab I had to coach a student through a rough patch. He was measuring DC voltages in a mildly interesting circuit. The last few nixie tubes of the 16 digit electronic display would not settle down to reproduce a previous result no matter how carefully he adjusted the ten turn pot. He had become extremely frustrated by the lack of reproducibility.
I am not sure he really ever understood the absurdity of the situation. You see the setup was supposed to include the analogue meters provided, but he had walked over to the technology department to borrow a better meter. This was in 1978, and these new fangled digital meters were all the rage.
Now that digital instruments are ubiquitous: Save me from these
Please!
True story: In class I have asked students to multiply two numbers together and they will use a calculator everytime. I walk around the lab tables and see students type 5 × 10 and press the equals button to see . . . you guessed it . . . 50 !!!
16 digits of precision?
On a voltmeter? Milli-picovolts? EE here. Never heard of such a thing.
You are correct, My bad
I just remember an absurd number of the tubes, probably more like six or eight, which still seems insane. So while reading to better than a tenth of a volt or better would have been fine the last few (more then three) would not settle down to the student's satisfaction.
They use a cell phone instead of their knuckles
to knock on a door. Watch - they never just bang on the door - they send a text or call "hey! I'm here!!"
wierd
"If we all threw our problems in a pile and saw everyone else's, we'd grab ours back" - Regina Brett
I am disabled and spend my days alone.
I don't answer my door unless I receive a call from the person on my porch. I just feel safer that way.
'Well, I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years, Doctor, and I’m happy to state I finally won out over it." Elwood P. Dowd "
I have occasionally asked people the time and they have
responded, "I'm sorry, I don't have my cellphone with me." Do they even know what a watch is?
Please check out Pet Vet Help, consider joining us to help pets, and follow me @ElenaCarlena on Twitter! Thank you.
I actually have a cell phone:
I only "answer" if I know the number and I only give out my number by calling the person that wants my number. That way, I never deal with RoboCalls and their ilk.
I had a particularly sadistic EE prof who gave us an
assignment to calculate all of the voltages and currents in a circuit with 4 transistors (plus miscellaneous resistors), carrying forward all 8 or 11 or 12 digits or whatever that our TI-30s would generate.
God that sucked, keying in all those values on those teensy clicky buttons.
He was a bastard, but an interesting bastard. "It's ridiculous. We come into class and teach you all about significant digits ... and then we go back to a committee and draw admissions cutoffs based on the second decimal place of GPAs!"
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
I have wondered about that when I see milk labels stating that
normal cows' milk contains "no measurable trace of growth hormone". I wonder, "What are you measuring it with?"
Walmart will not allow their cashiers to accept different amounts of money after they open their drawer because it's too "confusing," so I now say, "wait until I see if I have change in the bottom of my purse". If it's not an exact amount they freak, but I say "Trust me, just punch it in". If the purchase is for $17.05, for example, and I give them a 20 then a quarter, they try to give me back the quarter because the 20 will cover it, and I have to explain that I don't want 95 cents in change. They look even more puzzled if it's $16 and I give them $21. Then I explain that I don't want a bunch of ones. I'm sure it's not just Walmart cashiers, but I self checkout at Kroger (the machine always understands!) and those are my two go-to stores.
Please check out Pet Vet Help, consider joining us to help pets, and follow me @ElenaCarlena on Twitter! Thank you.
When I was nine:
My mother would often send me to the Stewart's Market with a pocket full of bills and coins to buy a few items. We were dirt poor, so, I was terrified of being embarrassed by getting to the checkout counter without enough money, so . . .
On the way to the store I would count and recount (several times) the money in my pocket. As I picked up the various items I would keep track of the values compared to the amount money I knew I was carrying. Then as I set the items on the checkout counter, I would calmly place some appropriate amount of money on the counter and quietly tell the cashier the amount of change I expected, and I was never wrong. Most of the time the cashiers were somewhat surprised and amused by all this.
The good old days when cashiers could do math in their heads!
I got so used to telling cashiers what I was doing with my money that I did so with a young woman at a Chinese restaurant once. She looked at me like I'd lost my mind and said, "I know". LOL! She did not speak very good English, but she knew her math like the rest of us used to!
Please check out Pet Vet Help, consider joining us to help pets, and follow me @ElenaCarlena on Twitter! Thank you.
And, we have the most awesome parties!
At one such party, John, was staring at the tray of hors d'oeuvres for a long time, picked up a cheeseball, examined it at length, then in his trademark laconic way said, "Ah, a cheesesphere, interesting . . . ". Classic, John, brought the house down. . . . Well, maybe you had to be there.
Well, to be fair, the premise of homeopathy is at odds
with strict materialistic science. When saying it's too small to be measured, I assume she was referring to the number of molecules of the active substance in solution, which can be zero in a homeopathic remedy. If she's a proponent of homeopathy, she probably wasn't saying the effects could not be measured, only the active substance. (Of course, I wasn't there, so I could be totally wrong about this).
But her statement does not appear to be about any physiological effects, am I misunderstanding that?
Homeopathy is based on the theory of energetic signatures, which are unproven to exist, at least as of yet - for instance theorizing that water could be imprinted with the energetic 'pattern' of the active substance while no substance itself still remains materially in the solution. If you will temporarily allow the possibility of such for the sake of this comment, then the homeopathic solution would contain no measurable molecules of the active substance, but still have an efficacious, physiological effect. The molecular content of the active substance would be "unmeasurable" or measurable only as zero content, while if it worked, the physiological effect would be measured by changes in white cell counts, blood pressure changes, etc. etc. I'm not saying this is the case, simply that if it WERE the case, which I assume she is a proponent of, then she would be correct.
So really, she probably didn't misunderstand measurement. She is operating out of a completely different paradigm to pure materialism.
As you might guess, I'm somewhere in the middle. I think there's probably more to the world then strict materialism allows for, and I suspect someday if humans survive, we will discover some it, but as far as I know, it hasn't yet been proven. Of course, it never will be proven as long as strict materialists are the ones doing the experimenting.
No you are understanding exactly what she "meant".
The problem is that what she meant is simply meaningless from the perspective of science and measurement
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
Just to clarify a bit:
You are correct in isolating the point of epistemological difficulty: That she meant, "You can't count the molecules, or for that matter detect the molecules," -- that she was drawing a distinction between that, versus measuring an "effect" of the homeopathic remedy.
The problem is that whatever means you used to count or otherwise detect the molecules, what you are in fact measuring or detecting -- what you are sensing -- is the effect that the molecules have or might have had or could have or should have or would have had or whatever on whatever it is you are using as an instrument. Trying to draw the distinction between that effect and the effect of the possibly-absent molecules on the physiology of the patient, by invoking what is essentially the supernatural -- that there are no molecules to be measured, but they have left some mysterious imprint on the water -- runs you head first into the nonsense that is "modern" homeopathic "theory": The ridiculous notion that magically and incomprehensibly (and utterly non-empirically), the "potency" of the treatment increases linearly (or for that matter, at all) with the degree of dilution. If homeopathy worked by anything other than impenetrable magic, I would be able to take measurements of a remedy's effects and tell you how many dilutions had been done, and how many molecules remained, if any. And by "impenetrable magic", I mean magic so impenetrable that it exerts confounding effects on my attempts to measure its effects -- it's Heisenberg with a magic wand.
Of course, nobody has done that, and nobody can do that, which is precisely what I mean when I assert that the cornerstone more-dilutions-equals-directly-proportion-more-potency is utterly non-empirical.
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
Homeopathy: Once something is so diluted that there must be
only a few molecules per gallon, obviously most small amounts taken from that gallon contain nothing but diluting solution. Homeopathics (love that word!) think there is some essence or spirit of the substance remaining, oblivious to the fact that there is no smaller unit of a compound than a molecule!
Anyone who finds Lenny Flank et al annoying is a friend of mine. He attacked me with his "scientific certainty" the minute I signed up over there. I will never forget.
Edit: Sorry. I responded to the original comment before reading the postings down-thread.
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A homeopathic remedy should be about 30% effective
due to the placebo effect. If you are selling a placebo, why waste a lot of expensive ingredients?
+500 on Lenny who loves science... from afar. He often seems like a wannabe shill, with a combination of reader's digest reprints to build mojo, and blind defense of industry research claims.
Heh. All true.
Might as well save money and make a very inexpensive placebo.
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One time I was HAPPY homeopathy is bullshit!
A while back, over at TOP, I read a user's suggestion that a cat be treated with a 20X dilution, a dilution level guaranteed not to contain any of the original substance.
The substance? Aconite, the "king of poisons and the poison of kings".
Folks who talk of treating cats with aconite are not likely to get a friendly (or even civil) response from me!
"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar
"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides
Monkshood? Wow, there's a lot of study of it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aconitine
Apparently if you get the dose JUST so, it's beneficial.
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Yeah, but doing that's REALLY hard.
Parsecs beyond the acumen of the typical homeopathy beLIEver.
In medieval days, monkshood was used as a liniment for some of the most intractable pain. But even then, it had to be applied with fully paranoid levels of care, as the stuff can and will kill you.
"US govt/military = bad. Russian govt/military = bad. Any politician wanting power = bad. Anyone wielding power = bad." --Shahryar
"All power corrupts absolutely!" -- thanatokephaloides
Yes, that's how I read it, a very narrow window.
But in homeopathy it's so diluted as to be nonexistent, so as noted, good! At least it won't kill anybody.
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A given set of data...
can lead to several conclusions. Some contradictory. However I think it is essential to use observational data to lead you to (a perhaps mistaken) conclusion. It's better than just inventing ideas with no basis in reality.
My training is as an agricultural scientist, and sucktistics is the game...developed to deal with replicated ag studies. You get far enough along and you learn how to make the data say what you want. The chemical companies appreciate that. In fact the corporate support (ie funding) of science has lead to a false narrative on many levels. I know many of the physicists I know are dependent on the MIC for their funding.
My approach has always been to come from the angle of what do we want? In my case sustainable agriculture. How do we get there? That's the research goal! And the answer is very complicated because it is different for different places. That's why you need experimentation.
I no longer work in a research capacity, but I keep experimenting on my little farm in a non-replicated anecdotal way. I think it is fun.
“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”
Making the data say what you want
Pharma is quite expert at that, to the detriment of the public: http://caucus99percent.com/content/when-good-doctors-prescribe-bad-medic...
Science vs. Business
I have a real problem with the privatization of science. Corporate culture coupled with unfettered capitalism is a bad influence on the scientific process. Science should be a government funded (read societal) program with government agency oversight.
I have a vested interest as I have "intractable" hypertension, and rely upon the products of this industry for my very life (literally). I do not like being depending upon a collection of for profit corporations for my health and wellbeing.
I have a feeling that few,
if any of us, do.
"I’m a human being, first and foremost, and as such I’m for whoever and whatever benefits humanity as a whole.” —Malcolm X
When we say, "evidence-based community"
…don't we really mean, "community-based evidence?"
When did that change happen?
It is my observation that things large and small flip into their opposite state with annoying frequency in this cosmos. Only a tiny few may notice these abrupt changes of state. But almost everyone instantly adapts without noticing consciously. The brain notices, however, and revises the individual's "background Reality Map." Over time, one's reality becomes a very twisted affair. The Map's mental landmarks and guideposts can be associated with ideologies — which can lead to biased reality-narratives and pretzel logic. There is no better example of this "secret law of physics" than TOPapalooza.
(Only with a top-shelf, finely-calibrated, Moral Compass can you anticipate and navigate reality accurately and avoid making society dumber. Instead, you will likely piss everyone off. Party invitations will drop off precipitously.)
I'll throw out this reality-mapping "proof," as well:
If you click on the first lowercase link in the main text of any Wikipedia article, and then repeat the process for subsequent articles, you may travel far but will eventually arrive at Philosophy (via Physics). (There are only a scant number of exceptions that dead end or end in loopiness.) The median link jumps to reach philosophy is 23.
Up Next: Proof that household wires live in a separate reality.
_______
Oh, great essay, Price. Thanks for opening that door.
yr friend,
Pluto
a layman takes a swing at it...
Well, of course. Our senses "see" more than facts, why wouldn't we allow all of our stimuli, internal or external, to inform our reality? Some of the things we sense might suggest a certain factual nature to what we're sensing, others might not, even though they demonstrably make sense. For instance, if I smell dogshite, it could be a fact that I have stepped in same, or that a dog is nearby. Also, some people have senses others don't.
“Bohemian Gravity”
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2rjbtsX7twc]
Outstanding.
"I’m a human being, first and foremost, and as such I’m for whoever and whatever benefits humanity as a whole.” —Malcolm X
Neil deGrass Tyson?
On Bill Maher the other night,' the universe is under no obligation to make sense to you'. Or some thing close to that, anyway.
I've always liked that guy.
To your post, my thought is that what reality we experience is purely a construct of our senses. Does it exist outside our senses? I have no idea, but I would hazard a guess that it does. Am I confused by a lot of these concepts? Hell yeah! I just pound nails for a living and don't have to understand Why things work so much as How they work together to build a safe and strong structure. KISS really does apply to me. I didn't invent the wheel, I just have to know how to use it. Does this make any sense to anyone?
Or should I just do another binger and try again later?
: }
Ya got to be a Spirit, cain't be no Ghost. . .
Explain Bldg #7. . . still waiting. . .
If you’ve ever wondered whether you would have complied in 1930’s Germany,
Now you know. . .
sign at protest march
Tyson was on fire. Never saw him appear angry before
But he seemed to have no patience for Mahar and neither did I
I like bill Mahar ... To a point. But often he is a pompous ass like he was last night. Which war rented Tyson's comment that the universe owes humans nothing.
And it doesn't.
Orwell was an optimist
Tyson was on fire. Never saw him appear angry before
But he seemed to have no patience for Mahar and neither did I
I like bill Mahar ... To a point. But often he is a pompous ass like he was last night. Which war rented Tyson's comment that the universe owes humans nothing.
And it doesn't.
Orwell was an optimist
Double post?
Ya got to be a Spirit, cain't be no Ghost. . .
Explain Bldg #7. . . still waiting. . .
If you’ve ever wondered whether you would have complied in 1930’s Germany,
Now you know. . .
sign at protest march